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‘Global Monetary Order Is Changing’: Investor Explains The Selloff And What’s Next | Darrell Thomas

Channel: David Lin Published: 2026-03-16 16:03
David Lin

Daryl Thomas argues that gold is his top hedge in a shifting global monetary order, driven by de-dollarization, central-bank buying, deficits, and stagflation risk. He prefers physical gold plus gold miners/royalties, while also seeking exposure to oil and asset-light royalty businesses as geopolitical instability rises.

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Detailed summary

This interview centers on Daryl Thomas’s market positioning in a volatile, geopolitically stressed environment. He says his top pick for regional instability is physical gold, supported by the ongoing de-dollarization trend, central-bank accumulation, and his view that fiat currencies will continue losing purchasing power because of deficits and political incentives to spend. He says he has owned gold since 2020, still adds to it, and now prefers mining equities and royalty/streaming exposure as a way to maximize fiat returns while owning real money. The conversation then broadens into how he is playing related themes. He highlights oil as a hated asset and says he is looking at royalty and land-leasing businesses such as Franco-Nevada, Viper Energy, Texas Pacific Land, and LandBridge because they have less operational risk than direct producers or junior explorers. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Gold is presented as the primary hedge against de-dollarization, deficits, and monetary debasement.
  2. Daryl prefers physical gold plus miners and royalty/streaming equities over trying to trade the metal.
  3. He sees oil, royalties, land-leasing, and exchange infrastructure as attractive ways to benefit from instability with less direct commodity risk.
  4. The macro backdrop he describes is K-shaped, inflationary for many households, and potentially stagflationary.
  5. The host is more tactically cautious on gold, preferring to wait for a pullback rather than buy at current levels.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, the setup is tactically mixed: Daryl wants continued exposure to gold and oil-related hedges, but the host’s pullback argument highlights real breakout-failure risk after a sharp run. Volatility is high enough that short-duration cash-like assets still make sense until the market shows whether the move is consolidating or reversing.

  • Tactically, Daryl is still adding to gold and gold-related names, but the host is waiting for a pullback because the chart looks stretched and may be repeating prior top patterns.
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  • Daryl also says he is holding more cash and short-duration Treasuries right now because volatility is high and the near-term direction is unclear.
  • Oil remains a near-term geopolitical trade in his view, with royalties and land-leasing companies favored over direct producers.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the base case in the interview is that hard assets stay favored if deficits, de-dollarization, and geopolitics remain dominant. Confirmation would come from sustained central-bank buying, firmer energy prices, and weak breadth in consumer-facing parts of the economy; a clear easing in those forces would argue for more caution.

  • Over the next several weeks to months, Daryl’s base case is that gold and related equities remain supported if central-bank buying, deficits, and de-dollarization continue.
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  • He expects investors to rotate toward hated or underowned assets such as oil if the Iran conflict widens or keeps energy markets tight.
  • He would want confirmation from continued weakness in fiat purchasing power, persistent fiscal deficits, and steady demand for real assets.
Long term

Structurally, the conversation frames a regime where fiat credibility erodes and ownership of scarce, hard-to-replicate cash flows becomes more valuable. The durable thesis is not just ‘buy gold,’ but that monetary instability should favor real assets, royalties, and infrastructure-like toll collectors over pure paper exposure.

  • Structurally, he believes the monetary regime is shifting away from fiat confidence toward hard assets and sound money.
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  • His long-run thesis is that governments will keep printing, debt burdens will rise, and fiat currencies will continue losing value over time.
  • He also sees a durable implication that infrastructure-like businesses—royalties, exchanges, land, toll-booth style cash flows—can be superior long-term business models in unstable regimes.
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Key claims (7)

BULLISH regional instability hedge Gold

Gold is his top pick for regional instability.

Direct answer to the interviewer’s question about what stocks/assets could benefit from regional instability.

BULLISH de-dollarization Gold

Central-bank gold buying is a signal that the global monetary order is changing.

He ties central-bank demand to de-dollarization and a regime shift in the monetary system.

BULLISH precious metals allocation Gold miners

He prefers gold miners over physical gold for maximizing fiat returns.

He says he does not focus on the spot price for physical gold and instead looks at miners.

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Assets discussed (10)

Gold
BULLISH commodity

Daryl calls it his top pick, says he still buys it, and frames it as protection against de-dollarization and fiat debasement.

Gold miners
BULLISH miner

He says he prefers miners to maximize fiat savings and sees them as leveraged exposure to the gold thesis.

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Interview (15 Q&A)

regional instability picks

If you were writing an article about top picks for regional instability, what would your picks be?

Daryl's top pick is gold and gold equities. For oil, he avoids the big majors and instead invests in oil royalties via Franco Nevada, Viper Energy, Texas Pacific Land, and Landbridge because they carry less risk.

land leasing model

How do the land leasing companies work? How do they make money?

They buy land with infrastructure, and oil companies doing the drilling must lease the land from them. Daryl likens it to owning the roads and toll booths rather than the cars driving on them.

gold buying motivation

Think back to the moment in 2020 that persuaded you to buy gold. Tell us what it is.

Daryl started by reading Rich Dad Poor Dad, then watched Robert Kiyosaki's YouTube channel where guests like Lynn Alden and George Gammons laid out the case for gold. He also read The Power of Gold. The key insight was that gold is outside the financial system controlled by elites, is hard money that has been around for thousands of years, and has stood the test of time.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The host argues gold may be near a tactical top and prefers to wait for a pullback; Daryl thinks waiting has repeatedly caused investors to miss the move.
  • The host suggests gold’s recent volatility challenges the ‘store of value’ framing; Daryl says the move was still an anomaly and does not change his long-term view.
  • The host’s chart-based double-top analogies are used to question upside; Daryl relies more on macro regime change and relative valuation than on chart timing.
  • Daryl’s claim that central-bank gold buying clearly signals a coming monetary shift is directionally plausible but not directly proven in the conversation.

Topics

gold thesisde-dollarizationcentral bank buyingoil and energyroyalties and streamingstagflation riskfiat debasementK-shaped economyasset rotationinfrastructure and critical minerals

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