Gareth Soloway framed the day as a chart-driven risk-off session: oil surged above $100 on stalled Iran negotiations, yields ticked up, and futures/US equities softened. He focused on earnings reactions in Nvidia, Intuit, Ralph Lauren, Deere, Walmart, IBM, quantum names, Rocket Lab, and also reviewed gold, silver, natural gas, and Bitcoin with specific technical levels.
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Gareth Soloway opened by introducing himself as chief market strategist at verifiedinvesting.com and saying he is a former losing trader who learned technical analysis. He emphasized that he is using charts and probabilities rather than narratives. The main macro setup in the video was an oil-driven macro scare: oil moved back above $100 after comments from Iran’s Supreme Leader that enriched uranium would not leave the country, which he said stalled any progress on a US-Iran deal. He linked that oil move to rising 10-year yields and a softer stock market open. On index charts, he walked through the S&P 500 and Nasdaq as major trendline decision points, saying the market is at a fork between resuming the bull trend with higher highs or rolling over into lower highs/lower lows. …
Near term, the tape looks fragile: oil strength and firmer yields are pressuring equities, so the market is vulnerable until the S&P and Nasdaq either reclaim recent highs or clearly reject them. The most actionable setup is to wait for confirmation around the levels he cited rather than chase the open.
Over the next few weeks, the market likely decides whether this is a brief consolidation or the start of a topping process. A breakout to new highs would keep the bull case intact, but repeated failures near resistance would shift attention toward lower highs, sector rotation, and defensive positioning.
Structurally, the video argues for a regime where liquidity, inflation shocks, and technical trend confirmation dominate trade selection. If that framework persists, earnings beats alone matter less than where a stock sits in the chart and how it reacts to macro pressure.
Nvidia earnings were fantastic, but the stock is stalling because expectations were already very high.
He explicitly said earnings were fantastic, the valuation was huge, and the stock is acting flattish / selling the news.
Oil moving back above $100 and Iran comments are the immediate catalyst for weaker equities and firmer yields.
He tied the oil spike to the Supreme Leader's statement and said stocks fell while yields rose.
The S&P 500 is at a key inflection point where either a higher high confirms the bull trend or a lower high/lower low signals a top.
He laid out a clear conditional structure based on trendline behavior and the next few days.
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