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Central Banks Caught Buying 70% More Gold Than Reported

Channel: ITM TRADING, INC. Published: 2026-05-24 11:05
ITM TRADING, INC.

Taylor Kenny argues that Goldman Sachs’ recent reporting suggests central banks are buying far more gold than official data shows, possibly about 70% more, because some purchases are being routed through London in a way that avoids standard export reporting. The video frames this as a sign of growing distrust in the dollar system, with China and BRICS countries presented as likely actors behind the secrecy and as evidence that the world is moving toward a less dollar-dominant monetary regime.

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Detailed summary

Taylor Kenny’s core claim is that a Goldman Sachs report reveals a material gap between reported central-bank gold buying and the actual flow of gold leaving London vaults, implying that official reserve data has missed a large share of accumulation over the past several months. He says that starting around August 2025, vault outflows continued while export data did not reflect the movement, and that when the unreported flows are included, central-bank purchases appear roughly 70% higher than previously thought. He explains the supposed mechanism as a classification and reporting loophole: gold can be treated as either nonmonetary gold, which is commercially tracked, or monetary gold, which becomes an official reserve asset after a central bank claims it. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Goldman Sachs is presented as evidence that central-bank gold buying is being undercounted, potentially by about 70%.
  2. The alleged gap comes from gold moving out of London vaults without matching export records.
  3. Taylor Kenny argues the activity is likely tied to sovereign buyers such as China and other BRICS-aligned states.
  4. He frames Russia’s reserve freeze as the catalyst that made gold more attractive to central banks.
  5. The video uses this thesis to argue that the dollar system is losing trust and that gold is becoming a preferred reserve asset.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, the video is bullish gold and gold-related sentiment because it leans on a fresh Goldman Sachs angle and the idea of continuing official-sector buying. The immediate risk is that the reported flow gap may be overstated or later revised, so the trade is more narrative-driven than data-secured.

  • The immediate catalyst is the Goldman Sachs report and the claim that London vault outflows are still occurring without matching export data.
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  • Tactically, the setup is bullish gold if viewers accept the premise that hidden official-sector demand is still strong and ongoing.
  • Near-term risk is that the 70% figure and the secrecy narrative are hard to verify, so the story may be more persuasive than actionable without confirmation from official reserve data or clearer flow data.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the transcript’s base case is that central-bank demand stays firm and keeps the gold bid supported, especially if geopolitical distrust of dollar assets persists. The view would be challenged if official reserve data or vault/export statistics fail to validate the claimed hidden accumulation.

  • Over the next several weeks or months, the base case in the video is continued central-bank accumulation of gold and persistent support for the metal.
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  • That view would be strengthened if other market commentary or reserve data continues to show official-sector buying, especially from non-Western buyers.
  • The argument weakens if export data normalizes, if London outflows slow, or if official reserve disclosures fail to corroborate the scale of the implied hidden demand.
Long term

The long-run thesis is a gradual erosion of dollar dominance as reserve managers prefer gold for neutrality and lower counterparty risk. In that regime, gold is not just a trade but a structural reserve asset with a larger role in global monetary architecture.

  • The structural thesis is that global reserve management is shifting away from dollar reliance toward gold as a neutral reserve asset.
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  • If the video’s logic is right, sovereign actors are re-pricing counterparty risk and reducing dependence on assets that can be frozen or politically weaponized.
  • The lasting implication is a less dollar-centered monetary regime where gold plays a larger role in reserve diversification and possibly cross-border settlement.

Key claims (8)

BULLISH central bank gold demand Gold

Goldman Sachs found that central banks are expected to buy far more gold this year than previously expected.

This is the video's central premise and the basis for the rest of the argument.

BULLISH reserve transparency Gold

Official reserve data has not captured the full picture of central-bank gold purchases over the last 10 months.

Speaker says the reporting gap has persisted for months, implying hidden demand.

BULLISH London gold flows Gold

Starting in August 2025, London vaults were draining while export data failed to show corresponding gold outflows.

This is the mechanism behind the supposed hidden buying.

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Assets discussed (8)

Gold
BULLISH commodity

Speaker argues central banks are accumulating more physical gold than reported and that gold is the preferred reserve asset in a weakening dollar system.

Silver
BULLISH commodity

Mentioned in the commercial pitch as part of ITM Trading's offering and a limited-time promotion.

Unlock the full asset map (6 more) See all assets mentioned, their directional bias, and the exact reasoning. Unlock asset map

Speakers

SPEAKER Taylor Kenny

Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The video treats a reporting gap as evidence of secret central-bank buying, but the causal chain is not independently demonstrated here.
  • The 70% higher-buying figure is presented as firm despite relying on inferred flows rather than direct reserve disclosures.
  • China is offered as a leading suspect, but the speaker explicitly says this is speculation rather than proof.
  • The claim that central banks are acting in secret to signal a coming dollar breakdown is plausible as a narrative, but the transcript does not provide direct evidence of intent.

Topics

goldcentral banksGoldman SachsLondon vaultsChinaBRICSdollar systemRussia sanctionsreserve assetsdedollarization

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