This is a live day-trading stream centered on NASDAQ futures and related macro inputs, with the speaker and guests reacting in real time to a sharp risk-off move triggered by stronger U.S. jobs data, rising rate-hike expectations, a stronger dollar, and geopolitical headlines around Iran/oil. The conversation repeatedly shifts between trading levels, order blocks, RSI divergence, and the impact of headlines on NQ/ES, oil, gold, Bitcoin, yields, and the dollar.
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This transcript is a long live trading session rather than a prepared analysis piece. The core thesis that emerges is simple: the speaker and the room increasingly view the market as a downside trending day in U.S. index futures, and they attempt to trade that move using ICT-style order blocks, gap fills, and intraday support/resistance. Early in the stream, the tone is uncertain and tactical, with both bullish and bearish probes around the 30,000 NASDAQ level, but as the session develops the bias shifts hard toward bearish continuation. …
Near term, the tape was positioned for continued downside unless price could reclaim major intraday resistance around 30K and stabilize above it. Until that happens, rallies looked like short-covering chances rather than trend change.
Over the next several weeks, the market likely remains fragile if rate-hike pricing and yield strength persist. A durable rebound would need confirmation from cooling macro pressure and sustained reclaim of broken support, not just one relief bounce.
Structurally, the session argues for a more rate-sensitive, volatility-prone equity regime where liquidity and macro repricing can overpower bullish narratives. In that kind of regime, discipline and position sizing matter more than conviction alone.
The market’s selloff was being driven by stronger U.S. jobs data and rising expectations for Fed rate hikes, not just random noise.
The speaker repeatedly links the move to rate-hike repricing and stronger payroll data, and references traders moving hike expectations earlier.
A break below 30,000 on NASDAQ was a key psychological and technical level that could unlock much lower prices.
The speaker repeatedly says 30K was the level people were defending and that losing it would lead to a much larger downside extension.
The session turned into a trend-day downside move, with repeated failed bounce attempts and increasingly lower downside targets.
He and others keep lowering targets from the gap fill to 29,600, 29,200, and beyond as the tape fails to bounce meaningfully.
What made you move to Mexico?
The speaker is moving to Guadalajara to help run a friend's business there and have some fun.
How has work been going, and are you still planning to go full-time day trading?
The guest says work has been pretty good and that he is still planning to go full-time day trading. He explains he already trades every day but usually limits himself to one New York session trade, maybe two at most.
How many trades do you usually take in a day, and what approach works best for you?
He says he usually takes one trade in the New York session, maybe two max, and that this approach has been going pretty well. He prefers following his rules, taking a win or loss, and moving on instead of overtrading.
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