Fox Business interviews retired General Jack Keane about Iran, Hezbollah, and the US/Israel ceasefire situation. Keane argues Iran is repeatedly violating ceasefire terms through attacks in the Gulf/Straits of Hormuz and via Hezbollah rocket/drone fire into northern Israel, and that Trump is trying to extract a tougher deal while keeping military options on the table.
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This segment is a geopolitical interview centered on Iran’s ceasefire violations, the Israel-Hezbollah front, and the Trump administration’s negotiating posture. General Jack Keane’s core thesis is that Iran is miscalculating President Trump: Tehran appears to believe it can stall negotiations for 60–90 days, play for time, and avoid renewed US military action, but Keane argues Trump has already shown he is willing to reauthorize force if talks fail. Keane repeatedly frames the situation as a live test of resolve rather than a diplomatic reset. Keane says Iran has been violating the ceasefire “quite continuously” in the Gulf/Straits of Hormuz area, including attempts to interfere with shipping, drone activity, and threats to American forces. …
Near term, the setup is escalation-prone: any fresh Hezbollah or Iranian violation could bring a rapid retaliatory response, so headline risk remains elevated. The immediate watch item is whether the Trump team keeps talks alive without conceding cash or weak verification.
Over the coming weeks, the market will likely trade the credibility of any Iran deal against whether sanctions and military pressure stay intact. A durable de-escalation would require real enforcement; otherwise the base case is a fragile pause punctuated by renewed strikes.
Structurally, the interview argues that Iran remains a coercive proxy power whose behavior is unlikely to change without sustained pressure. If that framing is right, Middle East risk premiums stay embedded because diplomacy alone does not remove the underlying regime incentives.
Iran has been persistently violating the ceasefire in the Gulf/Straits of Hormuz area and interfering with shipping.
Keane says the violations have continued for weeks, including drone and boat activity, and US forces have responded defensively.
Hezbollah has fired about 2,400 rockets and drones into northern Israel since the April 17 ceasefire.
This is the central factual claim used to justify Israeli retaliation and the view that the ceasefire is being violated.
Israel has every right to retaliate and expand operations in southern Lebanon against Hezbollah launch sites and command-and-control nodes.
Keane treats Israeli strikes as defensive and legally justified because Hezbollah is continuing attacks under ceasefire.
Another attack. How should the US respond?
General Keane explains the pattern of Iranian ceasefire violations in the Straits and Gulf area, detailing US defensive measures taken — shooting down drones, taking out guidance systems, and downing an Iranian air defense system that targeted a US MQ1 drone. He also notes 2,400 missiles and drones Iran-backed Hezbollah fired into northern Israel since April 17th, calling it an outrageous ceasefire violation that gives justification for resuming military operations.
Does Iran want the attacks on Hezbollah to stop in any peace deal, and can the US restrain Netanyahu?
Keane strongly pushes back, saying Israel is not initiating attacks — Hezbollah struck northern Israel 2,400 times under ceasefire, towns are evacuated, and Israel cannot let that stand. He questions why anyone would consider restraining Israel's retaliation.
How come Iran still has 2,000 missiles to fire at Israel when we thought their capability was vastly reduced?
Keane clarifies these are Hezbollah missiles coming from Lebanon, not Iranian missiles directly — over 1,000 missiles and about 1,400 drones from Lebanon since April 17th. He explains Israel has every right to defend itself and that Netanyahu is expanding operations in southern Lebanon to go after these launch sites.
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