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What is the state of U.S. infrastructure?

Channel: J.P. Morgan Asset Management Published: 2026-04-09 15:07
J.P. Morgan Asset Management

A J.P. Morgan Asset Management podcast interview with ASCE infrastructure chair Darren Olson says U.S. infrastructure has improved to a C, but remains underfunded, with especially large gaps in power, water, and roads as AI/data centers, EVs, and resilience needs drive demand.

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Detailed summary

This episode of Alternative Realities interviews Darren Olson, chair of the American Society of Civil Engineers’ Committee for America’s Infrastructure, about the 2025 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure. Olson explains that ASCE, founded in 1852 and representing roughly 160,000 civil engineers, issues the report card every four years to measure the condition of U.S. infrastructure and signal where investment is needed. The core message is that U.S. infrastructure has improved, but only modestly. The latest report card grade is a C, up from C-minus in 2021, and historically the system spent many years in the D range. Olson frames C as “mediocre,” better than before but still insufficient for U.S. global competitiveness. …

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Main takeaways

  1. U.S. infrastructure improved to a C, but the grade still signals mediocre condition and inadequate long-term competitiveness.
  2. Energy infrastructure is under the most pressure from AI/data centers, EV charging, renewables, and grid modernization needs.
  3. Water systems face a very large funding gap and need resilience-focused investment, not just capacity expansion.
  4. Private capital is positioned as a necessary complement to public funding, not a substitute.
  5. The near-term policy backdrop matters because major federal funding is approaching expiration, creating uncertainty for project pipelines.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, the actionable setup is in power and utility-linked infrastructure spending, with data centers and EVs keeping grid investment urgent. The main tactical risk is policy uncertainty as federal support rolls off and project timing becomes less predictable.

  • Watch the federal funding outlook this September; Olson says expiring support creates near-term uncertainty for project timing and capital allocation.
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  • Energy and grid-related projects appear tactically attractive because demand is accelerating fastest there, especially from data centers and EV charging.
  • Infrastructure names tied to regulated utility spending, substations, transmission, and water resilience may see continued flow if policy support holds.
Mid term

Over the next few quarters, the base case is continued capex for energy, water, and resilience as demand and infrastructure gaps remain unresolved. The view improves if federal, state, and private funding continue to flow; it weakens if political pushback or budget uncertainty slows approvals.

  • Over the next several quarters, the base case is continued pressure to fund power, water, and roads as demand and resilience needs outpace current budgets.
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  • Confirmation would come from continued federal, state, local, and private-sector capital deployment rather than a one-time stimulus spike.
  • The setup improves if energy demand keeps rising and utilities/owners keep approving grid and water upgrades; it weakens if policy support fades or ratepayer pushback limits spending.
Long term

The structural regime is one of chronic infrastructure underinvestment meeting new load growth from electrification, AI, and climate adaptation. That implies persistent demand for capital in utilities, water systems, and transportation rather than a one-off rebuild cycle.

  • The lasting thesis is that U.S. infrastructure remains underbuilt relative to economic and climate needs, so the regime is one of persistent reinvestment rather than a single catch-up cycle.
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  • AI, electrification, and climate resilience are structural demand drivers that should keep power and water investment elevated for years.
  • Private capital’s role appears secular: public budgets alone are too small relative to the multi-trillion-dollar gap, so blended financing becomes the durable model.
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Key claims (11)

BULLISH U.S. infrastructure U.S. infrastructure

The 2025 U.S. infrastructure report card grade improved to C from C-minus in 2021.

Olson explicitly states this is the second increase and that the current grade is a C.

NEUTRAL U.S. infrastructure U.S. infrastructure

A C grade means U.S. infrastructure is in mediocre condition, with some systems doing well and others vulnerable to risk.

He directly defines the grade in qualitative terms.

BULLISH U.S. infrastructure Power and electricity sector

Energy infrastructure need tripled from the 2021 report card to the 2025 report card.

He says the need in energy infrastructure basically tripled.

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Assets discussed (8)

U.S. infrastructure
MIXED other

Described as improving from D to C, but still mediocre and underfunded.

Power and electricity sector
BULLISH other

Large and growing investment need tied to AI, data centers, EVs, renewables, and grid modernization.

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Speakers

HOST Aaron Mulvihill GUEST Darren Olson

Interview (2 Q&A)

energy sector rating

How do you rate the power and electricity sector in the report card?

Olson says energy was one of the lower grades. The need in energy infrastructure roughly tripled from the 2021 report card to the 2025 one. The total ten-year need for infrastructure is about $1.9 trillion, with about $600 billion in needs in the energy sector alone. The sector is changing dramatically due to shifts in generation (renewables, battery storage) and surging demand from data centers and electric vehicles.

energy demand drivers

Where is the increased demand for energy coming from?

Olson explains the demand side has shifted dramatically. Data centers are the biggest new driver — they require their own substation that could power an entire municipality. Additionally, electric vehicle charging stations contribute. Demand is expected to roughly double within our lifetime, whereas ten years ago there was nearly zero demand growth due to efficiency improvements like LED lights.

Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The case for private investment is asserted more than proven; the episode gives examples but not a detailed comparison of returns, affordability, or political feasibility.
  • Olson cites very large funding gaps, but the transcript does not fully break out how much is already funded, scheduled, or offset by user fees and local spending.
  • The claim that energy is especially attractive because people are accustomed to paying utility bills is plausible, but it oversimplifies regulatory, political, and rate-base constraints.
  • The Europe comparison is directionally interesting but thinly supported; it is presented as a broad observation rather than a measured analysis.

Topics

U.S. infrastructure report cardASCEpower and electricity infrastructurewater infrastructureprivate capital in infrastructureIIJA and IRA fundingdata centers and AI power demandEV charging demandroads and tollsclimate resilience

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