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Are Bitcoin Bulls Back Now that Jane Street Is Out?

Channel: CryptosRUs Published: 2026-02-26 10:22
CryptosRUs

George argues that Bitcoin’s recent stability and the disappearance of the recurring 10 a.m. selloff suggest a short-term turn may be underway, with Jane Street framed as the likely culprit behind the prior weakness. He pairs that with a broader bullish fundamental case: ETF inflows have re-accelerated, institutions are adding exposure, and Bitcoin is increasingly being adopted by major financial firms and corporates.

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Detailed summary

George opens by framing the stream around a potential shift in Bitcoin market structure: if the alleged Jane Street-driven 10 a.m. dump has really stopped, then Bitcoin bulls may be “back.” He says BTC is holding above support around 66.8k and notes that the last two days did not show the familiar 10 a.m. flush. In his telling, this matters because the recurring intraday selloff had repeatedly interrupted momentum; now, with the pattern absent, he thinks the market may finally be free to rebound. A major part of the thesis is the Jane Street accusation. George says the firm has been sued over Terra/Luna and Bitcoin manipulation allegations, points out that it deleted its X timeline, and argues that investigation should not stop there because the history of alleged manipulation in India makes the story more plausible to him. …

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Main takeaways

  1. George’s near-term Bitcoin bull case hinges on the disappearance of the recurring 10 a.m. dump, which he attributes to Jane Street.
  2. He treats the Jane Street allegation as plausible but still unproven, and uses it mainly as a structural explanation for recent weakness.
  3. ETF inflows and institutional disclosures are presented as the stronger, more durable support for Bitcoin than price action alone.
  4. He sees the market as reactionary in the short term, but the adoption trend as still clearly improving.
  5. Nvidia’s huge earnings yet weaker stock reaction are used as an example of how fundamentals can be overwhelmed by tape behavior.
  6. He expects PPI, month-end flows, and futures/options expiration to be the next immediate volatility catalysts.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Tactically, BTC looks better if the recurring 10 a.m. dump is truly gone, but the setup is still dependent on risk sentiment and tomorrow’s macro data. A clean hold above support plus strength in crypto-linked equities would favor a squeeze higher; otherwise, the recent bounce could fade quickly.

  • Watch whether BTC can keep holding above the mid-66k support area and extend the rebound above the 68k zone.
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  • The next 1-2 sessions are framed around PPI, month-end positioning, and futures/options expiration, all of which George expects could move risk assets.
  • Confirmation for the bull case would be continued absence of the 10 a.m. BTC dump and green turns in Coinbase, MicroStrategy, and Robinhood.
Mid term

Over the next few weeks, the base case is a gradual recovery in Bitcoin if ETF inflows stay positive and the institutional-adoption narrative keeps building. The view weakens if macro turns risk-off or if BTC fails to hold the recent support zone on repeated retests.

  • Over the next several weeks, George’s base case is that Bitcoin can recover further if the recent intraday pressure really is gone and ETF inflows stay positive.
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  • He wants to see continued institutional accumulation — ETF flows, pension fund disclosure, bank integration, and treasury adoption — to validate that the recent bounce is fundamental rather than purely mechanical.
  • If the U.S. market remains weak and crypto-linked equities fail to improve, he implies Bitcoin could stall even if the manipulation narrative fades.
Long term

Structurally, George is arguing that Bitcoin is becoming a mainstream financial asset owned by banks, pensions, treasuries, and large asset managers. The long-run regime implication is less about survival and more about institutionalization, lower volatility than the early years, and a more mature market structure.

  • George’s structural thesis is that Bitcoin is moving from a speculative niche into a more mature asset embedded in banks, pensions, asset managers, and corporate treasuries.
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  • He believes the long-run return profile will likely compress from Bitcoin’s early hyper-growth phase, but still remain attractive enough for meaningful compounding over years.
  • The enduring risk he highlights is market manipulation or concentrated short-side activity, which he argues is more damaging in crypto because of leverage and thinner structure.
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Key claims (8)

BULLISH BTC

Jane Street was the entity dumping Bitcoin over the last few days, and they stopped only after being sued.

Speaker notes the dumping stopped right after Jane Street got sued and they deleted their entire timeline, connecting the dots circumstantially.

BULLISH Bitcoin

Bitcoin will continue to compound 20-30% annually over the next few years.

The speaker agrees with Anthony Pabliano's view, citing that Bitcoin's historical annualized returns were much higher (120-140%) but as the asset grows larger, lower but still substantial returns are expected.

BULLISH institutional adoption BTC

Coinbase, MicroStrategy, and Robin Hood turning green is a strong indicator that Wall Street is buying and that Bitcoin and crypto will see a good comeback.

Speaker observes that these three crypto-exposed stocks are flipping green while the broader market is red, interpreting this as institutional buying.

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Assets discussed (12)

Bitcoin — BTC
BULLISH crypto

George says BTC is holding support, the 10 a.m. dump has stopped, ETF inflows returned, and he expects a rebound if the tape confirms.

Ethereum — ETH
BULLISH crypto

He notes ETH saw strong inflows and frames Vitalik’s token sales as funding development rather than a negative exit.

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Speakers

SPEAKER George Tung

Interview (2 Q&A)

near-term Bitcoin outlook

Does that mean the Bitcoin bulls are back?

He argues the tape and fundamentals both point toward a possible bounce, especially if the 10 a.m. dump has ended.

Bitcoin manipulation narrative

Is it really because of Jane Street?

He says it appears increasingly likely, while still labeling the claim as allegations.

Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • George treats Jane Street as the likeliest explanation for the 10 a.m. dumps, but the transcript offers only allegation-level evidence and no direct proof.
  • He jumps from the disappearance of the dump pattern to a bullish conclusion; that causal link is suggestive but not established.
  • The claim that shorting mechanics can explain repeated intraday dumps may be directionally plausible, but he does not show concrete trade data or verified order flow.
  • He frames Bitcoin as near a bottom using oversold comparisons to prior cycle lows, but the chart evidence mentioned is qualitative and not rigorously demonstrated.
  • The assertion that institutional adoption guarantees a bullish backdrop may understate how much of that exposure is already priced in.
  • He mentions other possible culprits besides Jane Street, but leaves those alternatives vague, so the explanation remains incomplete.

Topics

bitcoin price actionJane Street allegationsETF inflowsinstitutional adoptionNvidia earningscrypto market structureEthereumSolana inflowsMicroStrategyClash Picks

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