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Stocks on Sale? Here’s What We’re Buying

Channel: MarketBeat Published: 2026-02-16 17:48
MarketBeat

This MarketBeat Monday episode is a cold-look, live stock screen focused on what the hosts think is attractive after a broad selloff in software and several growth names. Their core message is that the market has overreacted in a number of cases: they favor Microsoft, Salesforce, SoFi, Pure Storage, Corning, Riot, HUMA, Kraken Robotics, and several speculative small caps, while staying cautious on names with weak catalysts, dilution, or poor execution such as Datava, Plug Power, and Wendy’s.

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Detailed summary

This episode is structured as a fast-moving live watchlist session rather than a single thesis video. The hosts open with the near-term macro setup: Federal Reserve minutes on Wednesday, PCE inflation on Friday, and Walmart earnings as a read on the consumer, especially lower-income spending. They frame the week as relatively light on headline earnings outside Walmart, but potentially important if inflation comes in hotter than expected or if consumer weakness shows up in Walmart’s report. From there, the discussion shifts heavily into the software selloff, which both hosts argue has gone too far. Microsoft is the clearest example: they say the market is fixated on AI spending and worries about demand, but the real business still sits in core cloud migrations and long-term contracts. Their view is that AI is an add-on rather than the main investment case. …

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Main takeaways

  1. The hosts think the market has overdone the selloff in several software and growth names.
  2. AI spending fears are seen as exaggerated for companies like Microsoft, Salesforce, and Pure Storage.
  3. Institutional buying is presented as an important confirmation signal in several names, especially SoFi and enterprise software.
  4. Several small caps are framed as speculative but catalyst-rich, especially HUMA, Kraken Robotics, and Resolve AI.
  5. Weak execution, dilution, or pre-revenue status are the main red flags in names like Datava and Plug Power.
  6. The immediate macro focus is Fed minutes, PCE inflation, and Walmart earnings as a consumer read.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, this looks like a dip-buy setup in selected software and growth names, but the tape is still vulnerable to hotter PCE or a weak Walmart consumer read. The actionable edge is in names with both institutional support and a near catalyst; speculative stories without that backing remain risky.

  • Watch the Fed minutes midweek and PCE on Friday; a hotter inflation print would quickly pressure the market tone.
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  • Walmart earnings on Thursday are a near-term sentiment check on the low-income consumer and broader demand resilience.
  • Microsoft, Salesforce, SoFi, Pure Storage, and Corning are the main near-term buy-the-dip candidates discussed.
Mid term

Over the next few weeks, the base case is a stabilization attempt in software and AI-adjacent infrastructure if earnings and flows stay firm. Confirmation would come from continued analyst support, improving institutional ownership, and clean earnings reports; disappointment on margins, guidance, or consumer demand would quickly rotate the market back into caution.

  • Over the next several weeks to months, the hosts expect software to stabilize if AI-spending panic fades and operating results continue to show cloud/enterprise demand.
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  • They think Microsoft, Salesforce, SoFi, and Pure Storage can grind higher if earnings and institutional flows continue to confirm the thesis.
  • Corning’s AI/data-center link may support continued strength, though upside may be more limited because valuation is already stretched.
Long term

Structurally, the discussion points to an AI infrastructure regime that still favors cloud, networking, storage, optics, and defense-linked hardware over the idea that AI will simply wipe out incumbent software. The durable edge appears to belong to companies with recurring revenue, enterprise lock-in, and the ability to turn AI into a profit lever rather than a disruption risk.

  • The broader structural theme is that AI infrastructure spending is creating a long runway for cloud, networking, storage, optics, and defense-adjacent technology suppliers.
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  • The hosts repeatedly argue that AI is not automatically a threat to software; in some cases it is an enabler or an add-on that strengthens incumbents.
  • Several companies discussed are being viewed as beneficiaries of durable multi-year contracts, recurring revenue, or infrastructure buildouts rather than one-off catalysts.
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Key claims (12)

BULLISH MSFT

Microsoft's sell-off is overdone and the stock is a buy at current levels.

Speaker argues Microsoft's core cloud migration business (70% of intelligent cloud growth) is locked in under multi-year contracts and AI is icing on the cake.

BULLISH CRM

Salesforce will continue to fire on all cylinders and provide a catalyst for the market to rebound.

Speaker cites clear business momentum, forecasted acceleration, and low analyst forecasts compared to company guidance.

BEARISH DVLT

Dataval (DVLT) will see its stock price stay down and possibly move lower until the next earnings report with no bullish catalyst in sight.

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Assets discussed (15)

Microsoft — MSFT
BULLISH stock

Seen as a buy despite the software selloff; the hosts argue its core cloud business and long-term contracts matter more than AI capex fears.

Oracle — ORCL
BULLISH stock

Presented as a beneficiary of AI/data-center spending despite rising debt because backlog is also growing sharply.

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Speakers

SPEAKER Bridget Bennett GUEST Thomas Hughes GUEST Chris Markoch

Interview (23 Q&A)

week ahead

What are you watching in the week ahead?

The guests point to the Fed minutes on Wednesday and PCE inflation data on Friday as the main macro events. They also flag Walmart earnings as the key company report to watch for clues on the consumer, especially lower-income shoppers.

microsoft

What is driving Microsoft's selloff right now?

They argue the market has overdone the selloff and is misreading Microsoft’s AI commitment. Microsoft’s core cloud migration business remains the bread and butter, with multi-year contracts supporting that revenue, and AI is framed as an added upside rather than the main thesis.

software stocks

Which software stocks look attractive on this dip, and which would you avoid?

They favor names like Oracle, Salesforce, and Lemonade. Their view is that the selloff has created value, while institutions are still accumulating many enterprise software names.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The hosts argue the software selloff is overdone, but they give limited hard evidence beyond analyst/institutional buying and narrative confidence.
  • Microsoft’s AI-capex concern is dismissed as a moot point, but the discussion does not deeply address margin risk or whether spending could still disappoint.
  • Oracle is cited as an example of debt and backlog rising together, but the ratio of future profitability to debt buildup is not quantified.
  • Resolve AI is called attractive because of analyst targets, yet one host also notes weak institutional support and limited conviction, which cuts against the bullish case.
  • SoFi is repeatedly called a buy, but the conversation does not fully reconcile valuation concerns with the bullish growth thesis.
  • Wendy’s is simultaneously described as a possible trade and as fundamentally weak, leaving the long-term case quite thin.

Topics

Fed minutesPCE inflationWalmart earningssoftware selloffMicrosoftSalesforceLemonadeSprouts Farmers MarketCorningResolve AI

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