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SILVER Has Broken Into 'New Bull Era' as Charts Go BALLISTIC

Channel: VRIC Media Published: 2026-01-13 14:29
VRIC Media

This is an interview/panel on precious metals and commodities, centered on silver’s explosive move, gold’s longer bull case, and whether the stock market is entering a secular rollover. The guests argue that the price action itself is the best evidence: silver has broken into a new bull era, gold is confirming a capital-rotation regime, and uranium/copper are still earlier in their relative-breakout phases.

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Detailed summary

Jesse Day opens by framing the discussion around silver’s surge to roughly $87, the growing social-media enthusiasm for triple-digit targets, and the question of whether caution is warranted. Patrick Kim and Kevin Wodsworth respond with a strongly chart-driven view rather than a narrative-driven one. Patrick says “the price creates the narrative,” and argues that silver’s rapid acceleration has made higher targets more plausible, not less. He emphasizes a steep trendline that, as long as it holds, keeps a move toward $100 in play over the coming weeks. Kevin adds the time-frame distinction: for traders and investors with different horizons, silver can still be ridden higher, but the broader implication is that gold and silver have broken into a new bull era relative to stocks. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Silver is being treated as an active breakout, but the guests think the important question is not whether narratives are exciting — it is whether the trendline/support structure remains intact.
  2. Gold/silver ratio behavior is central to their framework: silver’s outperformance can continue, but a later reversion toward gold leadership would not be surprising.
  3. The guests view precious metals and commodities as entering a multi-year capital-rotation regime versus equities, not just a short-lived trade.
  4. Kevin’s longer-term base case is a stock-market relative bear market versus gold, with equity indices potentially going sideways for years.
  5. Uranium remains constructive, but the guests think the next major phase depends on uranium miners breaking out relative to gold and silver miners.
  6. They repeatedly stress that corrections are possible even inside a confirmed bull era; trend confirmation matters more than headlines or euphoria.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Silver looks extended but still tactically bullish while the steep trendline holds. Near-term upside is possible, but a decisive break of support would force a quick reassessment.

  • Silver is the immediate focus: the guests say it is near $87 and could still reach $100 quickly if the steep trendline holds.
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  • A sharp pullback is not ruled out; Kevin explicitly says silver could drop 30% or more and still fit the bigger thesis.
  • Near-term watchpoint is the steep rising support line in silver — a close below it would trigger reassessment.
Mid term

Base case is continued commodity leadership with metals broadening beyond silver into gold, copper, and uranium. Over weeks to months, equities may still rise nominally, but the more important signal is whether they keep lagging gold.

  • Over the next several weeks to months, the base case is continued leadership from metals and commodities if relative-performance trends keep confirming.
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  • Kevin expects some kind of silver top or consolidation zone before the end of the current impulse, potentially in the $120–$125 area per his Fibonacci framing.
  • He also expects stock-market leadership to weaken relative to gold, potentially via sideways action or repeated drawdowns rather than a straight crash.
Long term

The guests are calling for a secular regime change in which hard assets outperform equities for years. If their analogs prove right, the durable story is a long gold-led commodity cycle and a multi-year equity relative bear market.

  • The structural thesis is a secular capital rotation out of equities and into gold, silver, and commodities.
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  • Kevin’s framework says the current setup resembles prior century-defining regime shifts in 1929–30, the early 1970s, and the early 2000s.
  • The long-term implication is that stocks may spend years going sideways in real terms while hard assets lead.
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Key claims (12)

BULLISH Secular rotation out of equities into commodities

Gold and silver have completed a capital rotation process, confirming a new bull era versus stock markets, analogous to the early 2000s, early 1970s, and 1929-1930 periods.

Kevin points to multi-asset relative breakout evidence and draws historical analogies to previous secular turning points where precious metals subsequently rose hundreds to over a thousand percent while stocks stagnated.

BEARISH capital rotation / stocks vs commodities SPX

The S&P 500 is now in a bear market versus gold, which has only happened three times in 100 years (1929, 1970s, early 2000s), and signals a multi-year period of sideways stock market underperformance.

BEARISH Capital rotation from equities to commodities SPX

The stock market (S&P 500) will eventually decline significantly, with historical parallels suggesting a prolonged sideways or bearish period as gold outperforms.

Speaker uses a 100-year S&P chart with 300-month moving average and gold versus S&P ratio to argue that when gold enters a bull era versus stocks, the stock market corrects or goes sideways for many years.

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Assets discussed (16)

silver — XAG
BULLISH commodity

Presented as breaking into a new bull era, with momentum to $100 and possibly higher if trend support holds.

gold — XAU
BULLISH commodity

Viewed as part of the same precious-metals bull era, with strong long-term upside and relative strength versus equities.

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Speakers

GUEST Kevin Wadsworth GUEST Patrick Kim INTERVIEWER Darrell Thomas

Interview (14 Q&A)

silver outlook

Is caution warranted at current silver prices, or is more upside still ahead?

Patrick says the move is being driven by narrative and momentum, but he anchors his view in the chart. He believes silver can keep rising as long as the steep trend line holds, and says $100 could be reached within weeks if that support remains intact.

silver correction

Could silver see a dramatic correction from these levels?

Kevin says the risk depends on the time frame and the participant’s role as investor or trader. He warns silver could fall 30% or more, especially after a large run, but says long-term holders can ride through that volatility if they remain within the broader bull era.

profit taking

Should traders or investors be taking profits in silver now, and if so when?

Kevin says profit-taking depends on entry price, horizon, and risk tolerance. He suggests lightening up when weakness appears or upside targets are hit, but says larger exits should wait until price breaks important support or stop-loss levels.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The guests are highly confident in a secular rotation thesis, but much of the evidence is technical and analog-based rather than causal.
  • They cite 1929–30, the 1970s, and early 2000s as analogs, but the transcript does not deeply test why the current macro backdrop should map cleanly to those periods.
  • The call for $16,000 gold and $300 silver is presented as an evolving target, but the path and timing are highly speculative.
  • Patrick and Kevin sometimes blur the line between relative-performance leadership and outright price direction, which can make the framework harder to falsify.
  • Kevin’s assertion that silver could fall 30% and still remain bullish is plausible, but the transcript does not define clear invalidation levels beyond broad trendlines.
  • The stock-market bear case is argued mainly through failure to outperform gold rather than through earnings, valuation, or recession evidence.

Topics

silver breakoutgold bull marketgold-silver ratiocapital rotationstock market relative weaknessuranium equitiescopper breakoutcommodities cycletechnical analysisNorthstarbadcharts.com

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