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Gold price — is the bull market over?

Channel: Investing News Published: 2026-06-23 11:30
Investing News

The speaker says gold’s pullback is a normal correction after a very large run-up, not evidence that the bull market is over. He argues the underlying constructive forces that drove gold higher are still intact, but the move had simply gotten ahead of itself.

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Detailed summary

The speaker’s core view is that the recent decline in gold should be treated as a correction inside an ongoing bull market, not the start of a new sustained downtrend. He explicitly pushes back on the idea that January marked the end of the move, saying people need to understand that gold had already risen so much last year that a sharp pullback is not unusual. His main supporting point is simple: when something has gone up “triple digit within a year,” a correction is normal. He also extends that logic to mining shares, especially juniors, implying that participants in that segment tend to feel every drawdown more acutely. The colorful Charlie Bond reference is used to convey the emotional experience of being repeatedly whipsawed by price action. The key caveat is that gold “got way ahead of itself,” so the correction is partly about excess rather than a fundamental thesis failure. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Gold’s recent decline is framed as a normal correction after an outsized run.
  2. The speaker thinks the bull-market drivers for gold remain in place.
  3. He sees the move as having gotten ahead of itself rather than failing fundamentally.
  4. Mining shares, especially juniors, are portrayed as especially volatile during corrections.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Tactically, the speaker treats the gold pullback as a buyable correction rather than a confirmed top, but gives no levels or timing cues. The immediate risk is misreading routine volatility as a regime change.

  • Near-term, the tape can still be choppy because gold already had a very large prior move.
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  • The current pullback is being treated as a correction rather than a decisive trend break.
  • Juniors and mining shares may feel the downside more sharply than bullion.
Mid term

Over the next few weeks or months, he expects gold to digest the prior surge and potentially reassert its uptrend if the underlying constructive backdrop remains. The key invalidation would be evidence that the drivers of the prior rally have faded, not just continued price chop.

  • Over the next several weeks or months, the base case in his framing is that gold stabilizes and resumes its broader trend if the underlying drivers remain intact.
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  • What would change the view is evidence that the constructive forces behind the prior rally are actually gone, not just that price has pulled back.
  • He implies the market needs time to work off excess before the next leg higher can be judged.
Long term

He views the gold bull market as still structurally intact, implying this drawdown is noise within a broader secular advance. The long-run regime change would only be a real concern if the original bullish foundations no longer hold.

  • Structurally, he believes the gold bull market still has a valid foundation.
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  • The long-run implication is that a fast correction does not necessarily invalidate the secular setup when the original drivers remain constructive.
  • For mining equities, especially juniors, the lasting lesson is that volatility is part of participation in a powerful gold cycle.
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Key claims (1)

BULLISH commodity cycle gold

The correction in gold mining shares after a triple-digit percentage move higher in the prior year is normal and not a sign that the bull market is over.

The speaker argues the sell-off is a natural pullback following extreme gains, not a structural reversal.

Assets discussed (2)

Gold — XAU
BULLISH commodity

Speaker says the correction is normal after a big run and is not worried the bull market is over.

mining shares
MIXED stock

He notes mining shares, especially juniors, tend to feel corrections acutely.

Interview (1 Q&A)

gold cycle

Where are we in the overall cycle for gold, given that many people looked at what happened in January and thought that was the end?

The guest explains that gold went up triple digits last year, so a correction in January is not unusual. The constructive factors that drove gold higher are still present — it just got ahead of itself. He is not concerned that the bull market is over.

Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The claim that the constructive forces behind gold’s rally are still intact is asserted rather than demonstrated in this clip.
  • No macro evidence is given for why the bull market should continue beyond the speaker’s general confidence.
  • The transcript does not define what price/technical level would prove the bull market is actually over.

Topics

gold correctiongold bull marketmining sharesjunior minersmarket cycle

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