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Where Is The Bottom For Gold & Silver? | Andy Schectman

Channel: Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money® Published: 2026-06-24 11:24
Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

Adam Taggart interviews Andy Schechtman about the recent pullback in gold and silver and whether it marks a bottom. Taggart frames the move as a sharp selloff in futures, with gold briefly below $4,000 and silver below $60, and asks Schechtman whether the decline is temporary or signals something deeper. Schechtman argues the market action is largely driven by manipulation and narrative management around Fed policy, while also noting that supply conditions in his junk-silver special are tightening modestly but still available at a discount to spot.

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Detailed summary

This is an interview format centered on precious metals, especially gold and silver, and the immediate question of whether the current decline represents a tradable bottom. Adam Taggart opens by describing a thesis he has discussed before: high oil prices allegedly forced some countries to sell precious metals to fund energy costs, and once oil pressure eased, precious metals should have benefited. He then says that instead, the market has continued lower, with gold futures briefly below $4,000 and silver futures below $60, and he asks Andy Schechtman for his latest view on whether the dip is transitory. Schechtman’s broad framing is that the price action looks absurd relative to the macro narrative being presented. …

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Main takeaways

  1. The episode is an interview about where gold and silver may bottom after a sharp futures selloff.
  2. Taggart highlights gold briefly below $4,000 and silver below $60 as the immediate catalyst.
  3. Schechtman frames the market action as inconsistent with the broader macro narrative and implies the weakness may be misleading.
  4. The only concrete supply-side update is that Miles Franklin’s junk-silver special is still available below spot, though supply is getting tighter.
  5. The transcript excerpt is extremely repetitive, suggesting only the opening section is visible here.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, gold and silver look vulnerable after losing key round-number levels, but Schechtman’s tone suggests the move may be sentiment-driven rather than a clean trend break. The immediate risk is further liquidation if the Fed/rates narrative keeps dominating, while any stabilization could trigger a sharp bounce.

  • Gold and silver are under immediate pressure, with futures having broken below key round-number levels.
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  • The near-term question is whether the selloff is a transient flush or the start of a more durable leg lower.
  • Schechtman indicates the market’s reaction to Fed-rate expectations looks exaggerated or 'absurd,' which hints at a possible bounce if sentiment stabilizes.
Mid term

Over the next several weeks to months, the base case is that the precious-metals trend will depend on whether the current selloff is interpreted as a temporary flush or a genuine change in macro expectations. A recovery would need the market to stop leaning on Fed hawkishness as the sole explanation and refocus on the broader monetary backdrop.

  • The discussion sets up a base-case debate about whether precious metals can regain footing once the current narrative pressure fades.
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  • A more constructive view would need the market to stop treating Fed communication as a reason to keep suppressing metals and instead refocus on the underlying monetary backdrop.
  • If the selloff persists, it would challenge the idea that the move was only a temporary response to rate expectations and could imply a more extended reset in sentiment.
Long term

Structurally, the interview implies a continuing bullish regime for precious metals, where price weakness is viewed as a mispricing within a larger repricing process. The lasting thesis is that gold and silver remain sensitive to policy, narrative, and physical-market tightness rather than just short-term futures flows.

  • The structural argument implied here is that gold and silver remain in a broader regime where official narrative, rate policy, and macro manipulation matter more than simple spot moves.
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  • Schechtman appears to view the precious-metals market as fundamentally mispriced relative to underlying conditions, suggesting a secular bull thesis remains intact even if the path is volatile.
  • The long-term implication of the interview’s opening is that round-number selloffs may be noise within a larger repricing process rather than a thesis breaker.
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Key claims (12)

BULLISH precious metals price action

The dip in gold and silver prices is transitory and not the start of a sustained downtrend.

Adam frames the question about whether the recent price decline is temporary, and Andy indicates he disagrees with the selloff being justified.

BULLISH Federal Reserve interest rate policy gold

The gold market's recent reaction to the Fed not being able to lower interest rates is absurd.

Andy believes the price action in gold is an overreaction to the Fed's stance on rates and that there is evidence contradicting that narrative.

BULLISH Fed policy and gold gold

The gold market's reaction to the Fed not being able to lower interest rates is absurd, and there is a lot betraying the mainstream narrative about why gold is under pressure.

Andy claims the market's bearish response to the Fed's hawkish stance is irrational and the mainstream explanation is misleading.

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Assets discussed (5)

Gold
BEARISH commodity

Taggart says gold futures briefly dropped below $4,000, framing the immediate setup as a selloff needing a bottom.

Silver
BEARISH commodity

Taggart says silver futures are trading below $60, describing the current decline in precious metals.

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Interview (6 Q&A)

junk silver supply

Where are we on supplies of junk silver and has anything changed with the pricing?

Supplies are still decent but becoming a little harder to get. The price is up a little bit, not a lot. Andy says he'll provide the current price before the end of the podcast.

junk silver

Where do you stand on the current junk silver offer and pricing?

Andy says supplies are still decent, though getting a little harder to get, and that he will provide a current price later in the podcast. He also says the offer will still be at a discount to spot.

junk silver discount

Will the junk silver still be at some discount to spot?

Yes, it will still be at a discount to spot.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The claim that higher oil prices forced countries to sell precious metals is presented as a theory, not established evidence.
  • Schechtman’s suggestion that the market is acting 'absurd' or betraying the narrative is asserted without supporting data in the excerpt.
  • Taggart’s boot-on-the-neck framing is speculative and may oversimplify the drivers of gold and silver pricing.
  • The transcript excerpt does not yet show detailed evidence for any claim about the exact bottom in gold or silver.

Topics

gold pullbacksilver pullbackFed policyprecious metals pricingphysical silver supplyjunk silver promotionmarket narrativeround-number support

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