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Gold & Silver Just Had The "Mother Of All" Washouts! What Happens Next? | Ed Steer

Channel: Liberty and Finance Published: 2026-06-24 19:00
Liberty and Finance

Ed Steer argues the metals selloff is a deliberate, repeated COMEX washout rather than a logical response to inflation or rates. He says the setup remains extremely bullish because bank/ commercial shorts are near record lows, physical and official-sector buying is strong, and the current plunge may be the final flush before a much larger revaluation in gold and silver.

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Detailed summary

Ed Steer’s core thesis is that the sharp gold-and-silver selloff is not being driven by rational macro fundamentals, but by an engineered paper-market washout designed to shake out longs and let commercial traders cover shorts. He repeatedly says the mainstream explanation — inflation fears, higher expected rates, or a stronger dollar — is “pure BS,” and he frames the move as part of a long-running price-management scheme in COMEX futures that has suppressed precious metals for decades. He supports that view by pointing to the behavior of commercial traders and bank positioning. In his telling, the banks’ short position was already the lowest on record a few weeks earlier, and the latest downdraft makes the setup even more bullish because the downside flush is helping commercials cover more shorts. …

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Main takeaways

  1. He views the plunge in gold and silver as a deliberate flush-out, not a fundamental repricing.
  2. He thinks commercial traders/banks are covering shorts into the weakness, making the setup more bullish.
  3. He believes official-sector and physical demand remain strong despite the selloff.
  4. He expects the long-run pricing center of precious metals to migrate away from Western futures markets.
  5. He sees unusually large call-option activity and talk of gold-backed financing as possible catalysts for a major reset.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Tactically, the selloff looks like a capitulation flush within a still-bullish metals setup, but further volatility is likely until short covering and forced selling run their course.

  • The immediate tape is a violent washout, and he thinks the selloff may be near exhaustion rather than the start of a new downtrend.
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  • He is watching December gold call-option activity at 10,000/15,000/20,000 strikes as evidence of large speculative bets.
  • He flags July 4th discussion around a gold-backed bond as a possible near-term narrative trigger.
Mid term

Over the coming weeks to months, the base case is a rebound if physical demand stays firm and commercial shorts keep shrinking; if those signals fail, the washout could extend longer than he expects.

  • Over the next several weeks or months, he expects the market to recover once the forced washout is complete and commercial shorts are reduced further.
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  • His base case is that gold and silver remain in a much larger bull market, even if prices stay volatile and below recent highs for a time.
  • Confirmation would come from sustained recovery off the current lows, continued strong physical/official-sector buying, and further evidence that bank shorts are shrinking.
Long term

His structural view is that precious metals are in a multi-decade revaluation as fiat credibility erodes and price discovery shifts away from Western paper markets toward physical-led Eastern markets.

  • He argues the fiat-currency era that began in 1971 is nearing its endpoint.
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  • His structural thesis is that precious-metals prices have been suppressed for 50+ years by paper-market controls and will eventually reprice much higher.
  • He expects pricing power to shift from Western venues like COMEX/LBMA toward Eastern markets, especially Shanghai.
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Key claims (10)

BEARISH gold and silver

Banks have suppressed precious metal prices through COMEX futures short selling for 50+ years

Fixed exchange rates and price suppression claims since 1975, with most recent attempts beginning about five years ago

BULLISH gold and silver

Commercial traders are tricking and spoofing to force long traders to sell, allowing commercials to cover their record-low short positions in gold and silver.

The speaker explains the mechanics of how commercials are manipulating bids to flush out long positions for covering.

BULLISH COMEX futures market

The COT report and bank participation show the most bullish setup in 25 years, making the upcoming rally even stronger despite current ugly price action.

Speaker says ugly price action creates an even stronger setup for the upcoming rally.

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Assets discussed (9)

gold — XAU
BULLISH commodity

He argues the current selloff is an engineered flush and that gold is set for a much larger revaluation.

silver — XAG
BULLISH commodity

He treats silver as part of the same manipulated metals complex and expects a strong rebound after the washout.

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Speakers

Interview (10 Q&A)

selloff rationale

Why would mainstream financial media say renewed inflation fears are causing precious metals to sell off?

Ed Steer says the mainstream explanation is nonsense and part of broader disinformation. He argues the media invents a story after the fact, while the real driver is commercial traders using a wash-rinse-spin cycle to flush out long holders.

rates and metals

Do higher interest rates and a stronger dollar really explain lower gold and silver prices?

He says the historical relationship is unreliable and often contradictory. He points to a tiny move in the dollar index and says it cannot plausibly explain the large drop in gold and silver; instead, he sees it as another tired trope used to justify manipulation.

true price

What is the true price of gold and silver?

He says nobody knows the true price because gold and silver have been suppressed for decades in the COMEX futures market. In his view, if banks were not acting as short sellers of last resort, prices would be far higher and would reflect real free-market demand.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • He treats inflation fears and higher rates as the main driver of the selloff, but offers little evidence beyond dismissing the mainstream explanation.
  • His claim that commercial traders are engineering the move is plausible within his framework but not independently demonstrated in the transcript.
  • The idea that gold could be headed to 10,000-20,000 by December is presented as smart-money positioning, but the transcript does not establish why that strike activity implies a real forecast.
  • He references a future shift in price discovery to Shanghai as inevitable, but does not specify the mechanism or timing clearly.
  • Some of the argument relies on broad claims about suppression and reset narratives that are not verifiable from the interview alone.

Topics

gold manipulationsilver manipulationCOMEX shortscentral bank gold buyingphysical demandEast vs West pricing powerfiat currency declinecall optionsgold-backed bond speculationprecious metals revaluation

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