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How Should We Regulate AI?

Channel: Chris Williamson Published: 2026-06-25 13:38
Chris Williamson

Chris Williamson argues the AI regulation conversation is one-sided — focused entirely on preventing harms while neglecting a "theory of AI goods." He contends that for AI to serve the public, problems need funding and legible data, which governments often fail to provide. His central example: the IRS could build an LLM to automate tax filing, since it already has income data and owns the tax code, yet government only thinks about what to stop AI from doing.

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Detailed summary

Chris Williamson opens with a critique: the AI policy conversation is overwhelmingly about what we don't want from AI, with almost no discussion of what we do want. He argues this asymmetry needs correcting — we need a "public agenda for AI" and, in his framing, a "theory of AI goods." He lays out two prerequisites for AI to solve a public problem. First, money must be behind the problem, because meaningful compute remains costly. Second, the problem must be "legible to the system," meaning the government must create structured data that machine learning can ingest — and he notes this is something government routinely fails to do. His concrete use case is the IRS automating tax filing via an LLM. The IRS already holds income data (ground truth) and writes or shapes the tax code. Williamson argues there is no reason most people should need to pay an accountant. …

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Main takeaways

  1. AI regulation discourse is dominated by harm prevention with no equivalent focus on AI's public benefits
  2. A 'theory of AI goods' and a public agenda for AI are missing from policy conversations
  3. Two prerequisites for AI solving public problems: funding (compute is costly) and legible government data
  4. The IRS is a canonical missed opportunity — it has income data and the tax code, yet no LLM does your taxes
  5. Williamson holds both views simultaneously: AI existential risk is real AND government needs a positive AI vision

Market read by horizon

Short term

No market-relevant macro bias is expressed in this transcript. Williamson's argument is about AI governance and public-sector technology policy, not financial markets, asset prices, or economic conditions. The near-term setup he describes is a policy landscape dominated by precautionary AI regulation with no affirmative public-sector deployment agenda.

  • Near-term AI policy remains tilted toward restriction and guardrails, with no pending legislative push for affirmative public-sector AI deployment
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  • The IRS use case is a litmus test: if even that obvious application isn't being built, expect no rapid government AI adoption in the next several months
Mid term

Over the coming months, the AI policy conversation may begin to incorporate a "positive agenda" framing if advocates like Williamson gain influence — but this depends on political will and is not a market-moving dynamic. No financial market macro bias is expressed.

  • If advocates like Williamson gain traction, expect a shift in policy framing toward AI public goods — but the data-infrastructure and funding preconditions mean this is a years-long build, not weeks
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  • Governments that invest in making their data 'legible' for AI will create a competitive moat in public-service delivery; those that don't will fall further behind
Long term

The structural question is whether governments build the data infrastructure and procurement frameworks to deploy AI for public goods. This is a multi-decade institutional-capability question, not a near-term market call. No financial market macro bias is expressed in the transcript.

  • The structural divide is between a precautionary AI regime that only regulates and a dual-purpose regime that also actively procures AI for public goods — this choice shapes decades of institutional capability
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  • An AI concierge layer on government services could fundamentally rewire the citizen-state relationship, but only if governments overcome their data infrastructure deficit

Key claims (3)

BEARISH AI governance and policy

The public sector is only thinking about what it wants to prevent AI from doing, neglecting a necessary theory of AI goods.

The speaker notes that government focuses on AI harms (which the speaker affirms as important) but lacks an equally developed positive agenda for what AI should achieve in the public interest.

BULLISH Public sector AI deployment

The IRS could deploy an LLM that does citizens' taxes with them, eliminating the need for most people to pay an accountant.

The IRS already knows income (ground truth), knows the tax code, and helps write it, so the data and rules are available for a conversational tax-filing system.

BULLISH AI-enabled government services

An AI concierge could navigate any government service for a citizen because it would know the citizen, their situation, and what government programs can do.

The government is currently very hard to navigate; an AI that knows the person and the available programs could bridge that gap.

Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • Williamson says the IRS 'writes' the tax code 'a lot of the time' — this overstates IRS authority; Congress writes the tax code and the IRS issues regulatory guidance, a meaningful distinction for legal-architecture arguments about AI tax filing
  • The IRS-automation use case ignores political-economy barriers: the tax-preparation industry (Intuit, H&R Block) has lobbied heavily against government tax-filing simplification for decades
  • The claim 'there's no reason most people have to pay an accountant' overlooks complex filers — business owners, multi-state earners, those with foreign assets — for whom AI concierge-level help is a harder technical problem than W-2 filing
  • Williamson cites no specific policy mechanism, legislative vehicle, or funding pathway to build the 'theory of AI goods' — the idea remains a conceptual critique rather than an actionable plan

Topics

AI regulationAI public goodsIRS AI use casegovernment data infrastructureAI existential risktheory of AI harms vs goodspublic sector AI adoptionAI policy asymmetry

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