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Don Durrett: Wall Street Is Ignoring the Cheapest Stocks in the Market

Channel: Wealthion Published: 2026-03-19 16:15
Wealthion

Don Durrett argues the precious-metals bull market is still early despite sharp 2025–26 gains, with gold and silver miners remaining cheap relative to his long-run targets. He says the recent pullback is short-term noise from oil, rates, and Fed expectations, not a thesis break, and that the real driver is a fundamental stress in the monetary system that central banks are already reacting to by buying gold.

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Detailed summary

This Wealthion segment is an introduction and discussion between Trey Reich and Don Durrett of Gold Stock Data. Trey frames Don’s service as a broad fundamental-data resource on roughly 850 gold and silver equities, aimed at helping subscribers do their own research rather than receiving model portfolios or frequent trading calls. The conversation focuses on the ongoing precious-metals bull market and the strong price action in gold, silver, and mining equities through 2025 and early 2026. Trey notes that since their earlier December discussion, gold has risen to about 5,200, silver to about 89, and GDX to about 104. Don says he is not surprised by the strength. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Don remains firmly bullish on precious metals and mining stocks, and sees the cycle as still early.
  2. He thinks the recent volatility is short-term noise, not a change in the long-term setup.
  3. Silver lagged gold for a long time, but once it joined the move the miners began re-rating.
  4. He believes gold’s rise reflects deeper monetary-system stress, not just inflation.
  5. He argues many gold and silver miners are still cheap even after large gains in the metals.
  6. He sees central-bank gold buying, especially outside the West, as an important backdrop.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Tactically, the precious-metals trade looks noisy rather than broken, with rates and oil acting as near-term headwinds. Pullbacks may be tradable, but miners need to start confirming strength relative to the metals to avoid another lagging phase.

  • The immediate setup is a pullback/volatility phase after a very sharp run, with rates, oil, and Fed expectations pressuring the trade.
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  • Trey explicitly frames the recent move as temporary interference from higher oil and yields rather than a thesis change.
  • Near-term risk is that the market keeps reacting to macro jitters and overshoots to the downside despite the bullish larger cycle.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the base case is that gold and silver remain in an uptrend and the miners gradually catch up if the cycle is still intact. A sustained failure of miners to improve versus bullion would be the main sign that the move is less durable than Don expects.

  • Over the next several weeks to months, Don’s base case is that the precious-metals trend resumes and broadens beyond the metals into miners.
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  • Confirmation would come from silver staying strong and the miner-to-metal ratio finally improving rather than remaining flat.
  • He expects the market to remain in the early-to-middle phase of a multi-year advance rather than near a final blowoff.
Long term

The long-run thesis is that gold is being repriced as a monetary reserve asset in a regime of growing distrust in the existing financial system. If that is right, precious metals and quality miners could benefit from a multi-year structural reallocation rather than a short-lived inflation trade.

  • Structurally, Don sees the rally as a signal that something fundamental is breaking in the monetary system.
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  • His long-run thesis is that gold is being revalued as a monetary asset by non-Western central banks and by investors responding to system risk.
  • He implies the precious-metals complex may continue outperforming traditional equity benchmarks over a multi-year regime shift.
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Key claims (7)

BULLISH

Wall Street is not involved yet, so the precious-metals cycle is still early.

Speaker explicitly says Wall Street is not involved and that they are very early in the cycle.

BULLISH gold miners

Silver miners are at least five-baggers and elite gold miners are still only a few times book from his assumed gold scenarios.

He gives explicit upside multiples for miners at $6,000-$7,000 gold.

BULLISH gold and silver

Gold’s breakout began in February 2024, while silver did not join until August 2025.

He dates the breakout sequence for gold and silver.

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Assets discussed (5)

Gold — XAU
BULLISH commodity

Don says gold has broken out and is still in an early multi-year bull market tied to monetary-system stress.

Silver — XAG
BULLISH commodity

He says silver is catching up to gold and that the current move is only the beginning of a larger cycle.

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Interview (2 Q&A)

recent performance

Have you been surprised by the strength of these 2025 and early 2026 performances?

Don says he was not surprised because he viewed the breakout as beginning in August, with gold already broken out in February 2024 and silver only joining later in 2025.

January blowoff

What do you think happened in January for these blowoff moves to accelerate as much as they did?

Don says the move is hard to explain succinctly but reflects a broader re-pricing; he points to how cheap miners are, how silver and miners are not aligning cleanly, and how gold is signaling a deeper macro change.

Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The claim that gold is rising because ‘something fundamental is breaking’ is directionally plausible but not substantiated with specific mechanisms in the excerpt.
  • The assertion that the fear trade is not yet here is more rhetorical than evidenced; the transcript does not quantify positioning or flows.
  • The idea that all silver miners are ‘at least five baggers’ and elite gold miners are ‘two and a half to three baggers’ depends heavily on the assumed gold price scenario and is presented without valuation detail.
  • The statement that miners have not really rerated versus silver, while possible, is asserted without a chart or specific comparative data in the transcript.

Topics

precious metals bull marketgoldsilvergold minerssilver minerscentral bank gold buyinggold-silver ratiomacro stressmining stock valuationsTreasury yields and Fed expectations

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