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Silver Is Strong Again, and This Producer Is Ramping Up | Arturo Prestamo - Santacruz Silver

Channel: The Deep Dive Published: 2026-05-12 10:07
The Deep Dive

Interview with Santacruz Silver CEO Arturo Prestamo arguing the company is back on track after 2025 disruptions, with Bolivar recovering, Porco kept strategic but small, Caballo Blanco expected to improve after seasonal softness, and 2026 production up roughly 10%. He is also very bullish on silver and says the company will shift reporting to a more investor-friendly byproduct basis.

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Detailed summary

This is a host-led interview focused on Santacruz Silver’s operating recovery and outlook into 2026. The host frames Santacruz as one of the few Canadian junior stories that has moved from exploration/development into real production and positive cash flow, while noting 2025 setbacks including flooding at Bolivar and lower silver-equivalent grades at Porco due to a greater focus on zinc-dominant zones. Arturo Prestamo says he is bullish on silver and expects the metal to remain strong for the rest of the year, citing an ongoing silver deficit. On company operations, he says Bolivar’s dewatering process is progressing and production should keep improving quarter by quarter, with full capacity expected by the end of Q3. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Prestamo is constructive on silver prices and expects the metal to stay strong, supported by a continuing deficit.
  2. Bolivar is the main near-term operational recovery story, with full capacity targeted by end of Q3.
  3. Porco is not a growth driver right now; it is being kept strategic and profitable rather than heavily invested.
  4. Caballo Blanco had a seasonal Q1 slowdown, but management expects a stronger Q2 and steadier second half.
  5. Santacruz is not issuing annual guidance yet because compliance and reporting systems are still being completed.
  6. The company says year-over-year production should be up around 10% in 2026.
  7. San Lucas promissory note financing is presented as working-capital management, not a distress signal.
  8. Management is preparing Soracaya for future production, which is a medium-term optionality item.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, the setup is constructive as long as silver stays bid and Bolivar keeps improving quarter by quarter; the main tactical risk is that recovery slips or guidance remains absent, which would keep the market skeptical.

  • Bolivar dewatering is the key immediate catalyst; Q2 should show another production increase and the mine is expected to reach full capacity by end-Q3.
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  • Seasonality should fade at Caballo Blanco after a weak Q1, making Q2 the next visible operating check.
  • Silver’s morning rally and ongoing geopolitical de-escalation are presented as supportive for the stock’s tape in the near term.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the stock likely trades on whether Q2 and Q3 show clean sequential production gains and whether the company finally provides compliant guidance. If those boxes are checked, the narrative can shift from recovery story to rerating candidate; if not, execution discount persists.

  • Over the next several weeks to months, the base case is steady operational normalization: Bolivar recovers, Q2/Q3 output improves, and year-over-year production trends higher.
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  • Confirmation would come from sequential quarter-over-quarter production growth, successful compliance filings, and evidence that the byproduct-based reporting better reflects margins and operating progress.
  • If Bolivar recovery slows, or if guidance remains unavailable longer than expected, the market may keep discounting execution risk despite favorable metal prices.
Long term

Longer term, Santacruz’s significance is whether it can remain a rare junior producer that generates cash without repeated dilution. The durable thesis is not just silver exposure, but proof that multi-asset, byproduct-driven operations can compound value through the cycle.

  • Structurally, the company is trying to prove that a junior silver producer can transition into a durable cash-generating operator rather than a perpetual financing story.
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  • The long-run thesis depends on sustaining multi-asset production, improving disclosure quality, and showing that district-scale assets in Bolivia/Mexico can be operated profitably through cycles.
  • If silver stays in deficit and the company keeps scaling output without equity dilution, Santacruz could be viewed as a rare successful junior-to-producer conversion.
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Key claims (10)

BULLISH precious metals Silver

Silver is likely to remain strong for the rest of the year.

Prestamo says he is very bullish and cites an ongoing silver deficit.

BULLISH Bolivar mine

Bolivar production will keep improving and reach full capacity by the end of Q3.

Management gives a clear recovery timeline for the flooded mine.

MIXED Porco mine

Porco is strategic but should remain a small, zinc-heavy, profitable mine rather than a major growth engine.

Prestamo says the mine is small, zinc oriented, and not receiving much investment.

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Assets discussed (9)

Silver
BULLISH commodity

Prestamo says he is 'very bullish on silver' and expects it to be strong for the rest of the year due to a market deficit.

Gold
NEUTRAL commodity

Gold is mentioned in the macro setup, but the company does not produce it and no direct thesis is offered.

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Speakers

HOST Steve GUEST Arturo Prestamo

Interview (9 Q&A)

silver/gold macro

What's going through your head when you look at the price of silver and gold right now?

Arturo is very bullish on silver, noting the market is seeing another year with a silver deficit and expects silver to be strong for the rest of the year at least.

company overview

Give us the high level overview of Santa Cruz Silver for first-time viewers.

Arturo explains their mines are doing well, the Bolivar mine's dewatering is progressing and will yield more silver, Q2 will be stronger than Q1, and the company now operates from a position of accumulating retained gains.

Bolivar production

Is Bolivar getting back to full production after the flooding issues?

Yes, absolutely. The dewatering process is on track — Q1 showed a production increase over Q4 last year, Q2 will see another increase, and by the end of Q3 the mine will be at full capacity.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The host says Santacruz avoided equity dilution and implies this is a strong sign of discipline, but the transcript does not independently verify capital structure outcomes beyond management’s framing.
  • Prestamo says full Bolivar capacity will be reached by end-Q3, but the transcript gives no hard operational evidence beyond management assertion.
  • He attributes the lack of annual guidance primarily to compliance and system buildout; that may be true, but it also conveniently avoids setting expectations during a recovery period.
  • The move to byproduct-based reporting may improve clarity, but it also can make performance look better than silver-equivalent metrics in periods of metal-price divergence.
  • The bullish silver thesis is stated with confidence, but the evidence offered is mostly the asserted market deficit and price action, not a detailed supply-demand model.

Topics

silver outlookSantacruz Silver operationsBolivar mine recoveryPorco mine strategyCaballo Blanco productionguidance and complianceSan Lucas promissory notesNASDAQ listingSoracaya developmentreporting methodology

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