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'Bezuinigingen op uitkeringen zijn niet nodig: versterk juist economie met investeringen'

Channel: De Telegraaf Published: 2026-05-18 00:00
De Telegraaf

The transcript is a Dutch interview about creating a National Investment Bank for the Netherlands. Kees Oudshorn argues that separating consumption from long-term investment would let the state mobilize pension savings and private capital for infrastructure, innovation, energy transition, and industrial policy, rather than relying on ad hoc budget funds and austerity.

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Detailed summary

This is an interview on De Telegraaf’s ‘Kwestie van Centen’ with Kees Oudshorn, a retired former director at VNO-NCW and former civil servant. The conversation centers on his push for a Dutch National Investment Bank. Oudshorn argues that the Netherlands has too many long-horizon investment needs—grid expansion, infrastructure maintenance, housing-related power constraints, industrial decarbonization, innovation funding, defense-industrial buildout, and agricultural transition—but handles them through small, fragmented budget funds that are vulnerable to being raided for other spending. His core argument is institutional: the government should separate current expenditure from long-term productive investment. …

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Main takeaways

  1. The speaker’s central thesis is that the Netherlands needs a National Investment Bank to channel long-term capital into productive domestic investment.
  2. He sees the main problem as institutional and fiscal design, not a lack of money.
  3. Dutch pension savings are, in his view, already being invested abroad because the Netherlands has not built the right domestic financing channel.
  4. He argues that current budget rules crowd out long-term projects when fiscal margins are tight.
  5. The suggested scale is roughly 10–12 billion euros of state equity supporting about 100 billion euros of assets via leverage and private capital.
  6. He believes this could support infrastructure, grid expansion, innovation, industrial transition, and some defense-industrial investment, but only where returns exist.
  7. He warns that if investment and growth do not rise, the welfare state will keep coming under pressure through austerity and ad hoc cuts.
  8. He connects the investment agenda to labor-market reform, productivity, and a broader social accord.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, the actionable setup is political: watch whether the government opts for a genuine leveraged investment vehicle or a small budget-fund compromise. The immediate risk is that the plan is diluted, which would leave the same bottlenecks and fiscal trade-offs in place.

  • Watch for the cabinet’s decision on the ‘nationale investeringsinstelling’ by Prinsjesdag, which the speaker treats as the near-term deadline.
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  • The immediate risk is that the government chooses a small, fragmented budget-fund version instead of a true leveraged investment bank.
  • A second short-term risk is that the structure excludes private capital, reducing scale and credibility.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the base case in this argument is a slow move toward a more formal investment institution, but only if the cabinet accepts that long-term investment should be separated from current spending. If it stays within the old budget-fund model, the growth and social-spending pressure story likely persists.

  • Over the next several weeks to months, the key question is whether the Netherlands actually builds a financing vehicle that can mobilize pension and private capital at scale.
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  • If the plan stays close to existing funds like Invest-NL or Invest International, he thinks it will underdeliver and fail to change the growth path.
  • The base-case path in his framing is: more public-private investment capacity, higher domestic investment, and gradual pressure relief on infrastructure and transition bottlenecks.
Long term

Structurally, the transcript argues for a new Dutch state-capital regime: use public balance-sheet capacity and private leverage to fund productive investment at home. If that regime is not built, the lasting implication is continued underinvestment, lower trend growth, and repeated welfare-state strain.

  • Structurally, he argues the Netherlands is underusing its financial system and pension capital for domestic development.
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  • His broader thesis is that the country needs a permanent capital-discipline framework: current spending and long-term productive investment should not be governed by the same budget logic.
  • If adopted, he sees this as a regime change in how the Dutch state funds infrastructure, innovation, and transition investment.
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Key claims (7)

BULLISH Dutch investment policy Nationale Investeringsbank

Nederland heeft een nationaal investeringsvehikel nodig om langetermijninvesteringen professioneler te organiseren.

The speaker repeatedly argues for a National Investment Bank as the central solution.

BEARISH budget process Dutch fiscal framework

De Nederlandse overheid behandelt investeringen te vaak als gewone consumptieve uitgaven, waardoor langetermijnprojecten de dupe worden.

He argues that annual budget classification crowds out investment.

BULLISH capital formation National Investment Bank structure

Een bank met staatsaandeelhouderschap kan privaat kapitaal aantrekken en een veel grotere investeringsomvang mogelijk maken.

He cites a 10–12 billion euro public equity base and 100 billion euro balance sheet using leverage.

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Assets discussed (9)

Nationale Investeringsbank
BULLISH other

Presented as the proposed solution to mobilize Dutch savings and pension capital for domestic investment.

Invest-NL
NEUTRAL other

Mentioned as an existing Dutch investment vehicle, but criticized as too small/fragmented for the task.

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Speakers

HOST Host GUEST Kees Oudshorn

Interview (25 Q&A)

carrière achtergrond

Heeft Kees Oudshorn twee carrières gehad — één bij Economische Zaken en één bij VNO?

Nee, daarvoor werkte hij ook nog 2,5 jaar bij Sociale Zaken voor hij naar EZ ging. Hij studeerde economie in Amsterdam en koos ervoor te gaan werken in plaats van promoveren, omdat hij uit een middenstandsgezin kwam en al lang op de beurs van zijn vader studeerde.

nationale investeringsbank

Wat was de reden om met het plan voor een Nationale Investeringsbank te komen?

De reden is dat veel landen om ons heen al zo'n staatsbank hebben. De waterschappen en gemeenten hebben ook zo'n bank, maar de rijksoverheid niet. Hierdoor worden consumptieve uitgaven en investeringen op één hoop gegooid, waarbij investeringen het kind van de rekening zijn. Daarnaast is de kapitaalmarkt niet diep genoeg voor innovatiefinanciering en start/scale-up financiering, en acteert de overheid nu met te kleine, versnipperde fondsen.

invloed VNO

Was de tijd dat VNO NCW tot in de haarvaten van de politiek zat en werkgevers de dienst uitmaakten?

Het is iets te kort door de bocht, maar ze waren wel heel invloedrijk. Bij stabiele kabinetten en goede akkoorden met de vakbeweging kon die invloed helpen, en het was een succesvolle periode met Bernard Wientjes.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The claim that a National Investment Bank would materially raise Dutch growth is asserted confidently but not proven in the transcript.
  • The 100 billion euro balance-sheet target and 10–12 billion euro equity base are presented as reasonable, but the underlying assumptions are only briefly referenced.
  • He treats many budget-fund shortcomings as evidence for a new bank, but the transcript does not fully test whether existing institutions could be reformed instead.
  • The link between lower growth and welfare-state cuts is plausible, but he sometimes presents it as near-automatic rather than politically contingent.
  • His claim that social-security cuts are mainly bookkeeping rather than policy necessity is strongly argued, but not independently evidenced in the conversation.
  • He suggests private capital will reliably participate once the structure is right, but the transcript does not examine market appetite or pricing risk in depth.

Topics

nationale investeringsbankpension capitalbudget rulesinfrastructure maintenanceenergy transitiongrid congestiongrowth and productivitysocial security cutsprivate capital leveragepublic investment policy

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