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Gold & Silver Trading Halted: They’re Playing Very Dangerous Game | Andy Schectman & Michelle Makori

Channel: Miles Franklin Media Published: 2026-02-26 18:56
Miles Franklin Media

Michelle Makori interviews Andy Schectman about repeated CME trading halts in gold/silver, tight physical supply, Mexico cartel risk to silver production, and the possibility that U.S. strategic stockpiling or price support is already emerging. The discussion is strongly bullish on precious metals and highly skeptical of Western price discovery.

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Detailed summary

This episode of The Real Story centers on a rapid-fire discussion of gold and silver market disruptions with Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals. The main thread is that recent CME trading halts in metals futures, combined with repeated delivery stress, growing physical withdrawals, and strategic-mineral rhetoric from the U.S. government, are evidence that the paper metals system is under strain. The conversation begins with the CME Globex halt in metals and natural gas futures. Michelle frames it as a technical outage, but Andy treats it as suspicious because it occurred while silver was pushing through $90 and during a delivery-expiration window. He argues the exchange is increasingly eroding confidence in COMEX price discovery, and that large traders would be foolish to leave metal inside the system. …

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Main takeaways

  1. The interview’s core thesis is that gold and silver price discovery on COMEX is becoming less credible under repeated halts, delivery stress, and abrupt open-interest reductions.
  2. Andy Schectman views physical metal withdrawal as more important than paper delivery, arguing that rising withdrawals and persistent backwardation show real scarcity and distrust.
  3. The speakers frame silver as increasingly strategic: critical mineral status, Project Vault, defense use, and possible U.S. stockpiling all point to a national-security bid.
  4. Mexico’s cartel violence is presented as an additional supply-side risk because Mexico is the world’s largest silver producer.
  5. Shanghai silver pricing is treated as evidence of a much higher real-world value for physical metal outside the West.
  6. The conversation is strongly bullish on gold and silver, but the bullishness is rooted in systemic distrust, not just cyclical commodity strength.
  7. Andy argues that AI/robotics are not a simple solution to metal scarcity and that they may actually increase metal demand.
  8. Mainstream gold bullishness from large investors is interpreted as confirmation that the reserve-asset narrative is becoming more accepted.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Tactically, silver looks crowded and volatile: repeated exchange interruptions and expiration stress raise the odds of another sharp move if physical tightness persists. Near-term risk is a forced unwind or another halt around delivery windows, with $90 treated as a visible resistance area and $70 as nearer support.

  • Immediate focus is the CME halt episode and whether it coincided with a large defensive sell order in silver near the $90 level.
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  • The near-term risk is another abrupt exchange intervention if open interest, delivery claims, or physical shortages become too stressed into expiration.
  • Silver appears to have a tactical ceiling near $90 and support around $70 based on the speaker’s described trading range.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the transcript’s base case is continued pressure on paper pricing as physical withdrawals, strategic buying, and security risks keep the market tight. Confirmation would come from sustained off-exchange withdrawals, persistent Asian premiums, and more official critical-mineral or stockpile messaging; invalidation would be easing delivery stress and a return to smooth arbitrage.

  • Over the next several weeks or months, the base case in the transcript is a tightening physical market that keeps pressuring paper pricing mechanisms.
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  • If withdrawals remain elevated and delivery stress persists, the speakers expect confidence in COMEX to erode further and drive more metal off-exchange.
  • A continued Western/Asian price gap would support the view that real demand is being expressed outside the U.S. and London price-setting system.
Long term

The structural thesis is that gold and silver are gradually moving into the category of reserve and strategic assets rather than ordinary tradable commodities. If that regime shift continues, exchange credibility, Treasury trust, and Western paper pricing could matter less than physical possession and sovereign accumulation.

  • Structurally, the episode argues that gold and silver are shifting from ordinary commodities toward strategic reserve assets tied to trust, sovereignty, and national security.
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  • The long-run implication is a possible migration away from Western paper price discovery toward more physical-metal-centric pricing in Asia or other hubs.
  • The broader regime thesis is that fiat credibility, Treasury primacy, and exchange-based trust are weakening while hard assets gain importance.
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Key claims (8)

BEARISH market structure and trust silver

The CME metals halt has helped erode confidence in COMEX price discovery and may have protected an offside participant near silver delivery expiration.

Andy says halts during rising prices and delivery windows are suspicious and could bail out a short or under-delivered position.

BULLISH physical supply tightness silver

Physical silver withdrawals from COMEX in February far exceed what delivery data alone can explain, indicating tight supply and low trust in the system.

Andy cites about 38.8 million ounces withdrawn versus about 23.2 million ounces delivered, calling it a sign of distrust and scarcity.

BULLISH regional pricing dislocation silver

The Western silver price is artificially low relative to Shanghai, where silver trades at a meaningful premium even after VAT considerations.

Andy argues the premium persists because Asia values physical metal more and arbitrage has not closed the spread.

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Assets discussed (9)

CME Globex metals futures
MIXED other

The trading halt is presented as a major event affecting metals futures price discovery and liquidity.

silver
BULLISH commodity

The guest argues silver is under physical stress, faces supply tightness, and could be entering a violent upside move.

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Interview (25 Q&A)

CME trading halt

What is your read on the CME Globex trading halt for metals and natural gas, especially given that silver was approaching $90 per ounce when it happened?

Andy Shackman says people are waking up to the split between real physical gold and paper gold/silver. He argues these games at the 12th hour erode confidence in the COMEX system, and this is just the beginning of more shenanigans on the upside — stopping price rises with technical glitches but letting price falls happen. He says big traders would be foolish to leave their metal within this ecosystem.

delivery default risk

When you say a player 'ran out of runway,' do you mean they did not have the physical silver to deliver?

Andy confirms this interpretation — a bank or big fund was massively offside and ran out of runway, so pausing was likely the lesser of two evils to prevent the exchange from blowing up.

CFTC regulation

At what point does the CFTC step in here, if at all, given these suspicious halts?

Andy says the CFTC has been lame all along, citing the JP Morgan $920 million settlement for spoofing and Bart Chilton's admissions that these activities happened. He implies the regulator has failed to act meaningfully.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The claim that the CME halt was coordinated to help an offside participant is plausible only as speculation; no direct evidence is provided.
  • The suggestion that 31,828 contracts represented over 150 million ounces is repeated as rumor/allegation without independent verification in the transcript.
  • The idea that U.S. government entities are covertly driving large metal withdrawals is asserted as a top possibility but remains unproven.
  • The comparison to the Hunt brothers and 1980 is used rhetorically, but the market structure and regulatory context are not shown to be equivalent.
  • The claim that Shanghai pricing indicates the 'real price' of silver may be overstated because taxes, logistics, and market segmentation can complicate direct comparison.
  • The AI/robotics bear case is treated as simplistic by the speaker, but the long-run supply impact is not fully analyzed in a quantified way.

Topics

CME trading haltCOMEX silver delivery stressphysical metal withdrawalsShanghai silver premiumMexico cartel violencecritical minerals policyProject Vaultgold reserve asset thesisAI and robotics mining thesisgold/silver market manipulation

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