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How to Invest in an AI-Disrupted Market | Ask Me Anything with Jonathan Wellum

Channel: Wealthion Published: 2026-02-18 16:00
Wealthion

Jonathan Wellum says AI is disrupting markets unevenly, creating both real threats and selective value opportunities. He remains constructive on moat-protected businesses, energy/infrastructure, and gold, while warning that expensive markets, tariff noise, and large drawdown risk justify caution, cash, and discipline.

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Detailed summary

This Wealthion interview features Maggie Lake asking Jonathan Wellum, CEO/CIO at Rocklink, about how to invest through AI disruption, elevated valuations, tariffs, energy demand, and precious metals. Wellum’s main framework is that AI will be disruptive, but not every company is equally exposed. He argues investors should focus on businesses with durable moats: high switching costs, network effects, brand trust, regulatory barriers, capital intensity, and protected data. He gives examples of businesses he thinks the market may be mispricing on AI fear, such as ServiceNow and Thomson Reuters/Westlaw, while cautioning that some software and service models may face more pressure. He then uses several value-investing examples to show why patience matters. …

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Main takeaways

  1. AI is a real disruption, but the market is not distinguishing well between vulnerable names and durable businesses.
  2. The right filter is moat quality: switching costs, network effects, protected data, regulatory barriers, and balance-sheet strength.
  3. Patient value investors can profit from temporary stock dislocations if the underlying business is intact.
  4. He prefers AI-adjacent beneficiaries over pure-play AI stocks.
  5. Valuations are rich enough that drawdowns of 50% or more remain a real possibility.
  6. Tariff risk matters, but he thinks much of the repricing has already happened.
  7. Gold remains his clearest long-term structural hedge because fiscal and debt problems are unresolved.

Market read by horizon

Short term

The immediate setup favors selectivity over aggression: AI-related selling can still create pockets of opportunity, but crowded growth names remain fragile and broad index exposure looks vulnerable. Cash, sizing discipline, and avoiding pure-play AI exposure are the main tactical defenses.

  • Near term, he is being selective and is not rushing into names simply because they sold off on AI fears.
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  • He is watching for businesses whose data, customer relationships, or regulatory setup make them harder to disrupt than the market assumes.
  • He thinks tariff-sensitive Canadian industrial and auto names should still be approached carefully.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the market likely continues rotating toward businesses that can use AI as an incremental boost rather than depend on it entirely. Confirmation would come from fundamental improvement in moat-protected names; the main invalidation would be a sharp reversal in the quality/value rotation or an unexpected macro shock.

  • Over the next several months, he expects the market to keep separating true AI losers from names that were only caught in the selloff.
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  • He sees continued opportunity in AI-adjacent infrastructure such as utilities, uranium, data centers, and electrification suppliers.
  • His base case is a more uneven market where expensive growth stocks remain under pressure and value discipline matters.
Long term

Structurally, this points to a more active, moat-focused market where AI acts as an amplifier for some incumbents and a threat to others. Gold and hard assets stay relevant as long as debt, deficits, and currency-debasement pressures remain unresolved.

  • AI should continue to reshape costs, workflows, and some competitive advantages, but it is more likely to reward companies with pre-existing moats than to replace them wholesale.
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  • Gold remains a long-duration hedge against debt accumulation, deficits, deglobalization, and currency debasement.
  • The broader regime may shift toward more active security selection and away from passive concentration in mega-cap leaders.
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Key claims (12)

MIXED

AI will be disruptive, but the market is likely overreacting in some names and underreacting in others.

He repeatedly says AI has both benefits and business-model damage, and that the market has sold off some companies too indiscriminately.

BULLISH multiple equities

Businesses with high switching costs, network effects, brand trust, regulatory barriers, capital intensity, and protected data are more defensible in an AI world.

He explicitly lists these moat characteristics as the filter for selecting durable companies.

BULLISH ServiceNow

ServiceNow is an example of a business he bought during the AI selloff because it became unusually inexpensive and still has a strong moat.

He says they started buying around 130 down to 100 and that insiders were buying too.

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Assets discussed (27)

Charles Schwab — SCHW
BEARISH stock

Used as an example of a traditional service stock hit by AI fears.

Salesforce — CRM
BEARISH stock

Cited as an example of a SaaS company hit by AI fears.

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Interview (10 Q&A)

economic moat

How should value investors redefine a wide economic moat in an AI-disrupted market?

He says investors should focus on businesses with strong switching costs, network effects, brand trust, regulatory barriers, capital intensity, and specialized patent-protected data. He argues AI will hurt exposed models while leaving more protected businesses intact, though the full impact is still uncertain.

discipline

How do you stay disciplined and patient when markets swing between AI euphoria and AI doom?

He says the key is being patient through volatility and trusting the process. He gives an example of Tora, where a major write-down hammered the stock, but the business was fundamentally safe and the company remained intact.

AI energy

Where do you see the best value in the AI and electrification ecosystem?

He says the best value is where they understand the business and can do the research. He highlights unregulated utilities, Brookfield Renewable and Brookfield Infrastructure, uranium through Cameco, data-center-adjacent real estate like Prologis, equipment makers such as Eaton and Schneider Electric, and small exposure to copper through Power Metallic.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The idea that fiduciary duty and human relationships will meaningfully protect some service businesses may understate how quickly AI can compress labor-heavy workflows.
  • He says tariff repricing is mostly done, but the transcript offers limited evidence that second-round inflation or policy shifts cannot still matter.
  • The gold thesis relies heavily on fiscal pessimism and says little about counterforces like higher real yields, policy tightening, or a growth surge.
  • He cites valuation extremes as a warning but does not provide a clear timing model for when a broad correction would arrive.
  • The claim that protected data and balance sheets will shield some businesses from AI is plausible, but the examples are selective rather than a full industry test.

Topics

AI disruptionvalue investingeconomic moatsmarket valuationstariffsenergy demanddata centersuraniumprecious metalsportfolio discipline

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