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Gold's Worst Crash Since 1983, Is This An Opportunity Or Trap? | Morgan Steckler

Channel: David Lin Published: 2026-03-24 14:30
David Lin

Morgan Steckler argues gold’s sharp pullback is a mechanical, liquidity-driven selloff rather than a lasting change in the bullish long-term thesis. He says Priority Gold is seeing strong client demand for physical gold and silver as a preservation trade against dollar weakness, debt, inflation, and geopolitical stress.

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Detailed summary

This interview centers on gold’s sharp drop after a strong run and whether the move is a buying opportunity or the start of a larger reversal. Morgan Steckler, identified as senior director of Priority Gold, says the selloff is being driven by a mix of a stronger U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, profit-taking after a historic rally, and forced selling from margin calls. He repeatedly frames the move as mechanical rather than evidence that the long-term case for gold has broken. Steckler’s core thesis is that gold and silver remain preservation assets in a world he believes is defined by dollar devaluation, unsustainable debt growth, inflation risk, geopolitical conflict, and a gradual shift away from the dollar as a reserve asset. …

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Main takeaways

  1. Gold’s latest decline is presented as a liquidity/forced-selling event, not a broken bull thesis.
  2. Steckler says client demand for physical gold and silver is rising, especially among retirement-age buyers.
  3. The interview frames gold as protection against dollar debasement, debt growth, inflation, and geopolitical shocks.
  4. The host raises the possibility that gold has become a speculative fear trade; Steckler only partly engages that critique.
  5. Priority Gold is positioned as an education-based precious-metals dealer focused on IRAs, rollovers, and physical delivery/storage.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Near term, the setup is fragile: gold has already had a violent unwind, and the key tactical risk is continued deleveraging if the dollar firms or funds keep locking in gains. A rebound would likely require the market to re-embrace defensive positioning rather than simply stabilizing.

  • Gold is in a sharp pullback after an extreme run, and Steckler thinks the near-term weakness is mainly mechanical.
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  • He cites a stronger dollar, higher Treasury yields, profit-taking, and margin-call selling as the immediate pressure points.
  • The host highlights that gold has not fully recovered even after the dollar stabilized, which raises the risk that the selloff is broader than one factor.
Mid term

Over the next few months, the base case in the speaker’s view is that pullbacks get bought as long as debt, geopolitics, and central-bank demand stay elevated. The thesis weakens if the market decides the recent move was pure crowding and rotates persistently into other risk hedges instead.

  • Over the next several weeks or months, Steckler’s base case is that gold demand remains supported by macro uncertainty and persistent buying from clients and institutions.
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  • He expects physical-metal demand to stay strong if debt, inflation, central-bank buying, and geopolitical stress remain elevated.
  • The main invalidation would be a meaningful improvement in confidence in fiat money, fiscal stability, or a sustained unwind of defensive positioning.
Long term

Structurally, the interview argues for a regime where tangible assets regain importance as trust in fiat and digital claims erodes. If that regime shift persists, gold stays relevant not just as a trade but as a custody-and-preservation asset.

  • Steckler’s structural view is that gold remains a durable store of value in a world where the dollar has weakened as a reserve asset.
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  • He argues the long cycle is driven by debt expansion, currency debasement, and a shift toward tangible assets that cannot be created digitally.
  • A lasting implication of his view is that physical metals will continue to matter more for preservation, retirement, and intergenerational wealth transfer.
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Key claims (8)

BULLISH precious metals Gold

Gold’s recent selloff is largely mechanical rather than a true change in the long-term thesis.

He attributes the move to dollar strength, higher yields, profit-taking, and margin calls rather than weakening conviction.

BULLISH Gold

Some observers think gold could fall into the high $3,000s, but Steckler still expects much higher prices over time.

He contrasts a bearish floor estimate with JP Morgan’s 2026 target above $6,000.

BULLISH Physical gold and silver

Priority Gold is seeing more buying than selling from clients, especially in physical metals.

He says client conversations show strong interest in preservation, not liquidation.

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Assets discussed (9)

Gold — XAU
BULLISH commodity

He argues the selloff is temporary, calls dips a buying opportunity, and frames gold as a store of value amid debasement and uncertainty.

Silver — XAG
BULLISH commodity

He repeatedly pairs silver with gold as a physical preservation asset and cites supply tightness and industrial demand.

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Interview (5 Q&A)

gold pullback

What do you think is causing gold selloff?

Steckler says it is driven by a stronger dollar, higher Treasury yields, profit-taking after a major run, and margin-call-related forced selling.

gold floor

Where does the floor look like to you at this point?

He says he does not have a crystal ball, notes some think gold could see the high $3,000s, but also cites bullish bank targets above $6,000 in 2026 and treats the dip as a buying opportunity.

client demand

What are clients telling you right now?

He says the firm is seeing more buying than ever, with clients focused on preservation, legacy, and protection against dollar devaluation and inflation.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The host’s theory that gold has turned from safe haven into speculative momentum trade is not directly disproven and is only partly addressed.
  • Steckler uses broad macro claims like dollar loss of reserve status and hyperinflation risk without offering concrete evidence or timeframes.
  • He cites high gold targets from banks but does not explain the assumptions behind them.
  • He repeatedly points to debt and currency debasement as imminent risks, but the transcript does not show why a crisis must occur soon rather than remain delayed for years.
  • Some supply-tightness claims are anecdotal and promotional, with no hard data on inventories, premiums, or demand trends.

Topics

gold selloffphysical gold demandsilver demanddollar devaluationdebt crisisinflationreserve currency shiftprecious metals IRAsPriority Goldsafe-haven assets

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