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Sectors Up Close: 'You can't have your cake and eat it' in private markets

Channel: Reuters Published: 2026-06-04 12:01
Reuters

Reuters interviews Sam Kemp of Connection Capital about rising withdrawals and gating in private credit funds. His core view is that the immediate problem is not private credit itself, but the mismatch between illiquid strategies and retail investors being sold the idea of liquidity, especially in the US. He also says AI disruption is a real but uneven risk for software-heavy portfolios, and that some private-market bets on companies like SpaceX and Anthropic have already paid off for early investors.

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Detailed summary

This Reuters segment argues that the current pressure around private credit is being driven less by a broad collapse in the asset class and more by a specific distribution problem: retail investors are being offered vehicles that look liquid, but the underlying assets are long-dated and not easily redeemable. Sam Kemp, CEO of Connection Capital, says the recent withdrawal caps or “gating” at funds like Blackstone’s flagship vehicle and the Partners Group fund are best understood as a protection mechanism for investors rather than a sign that private credit is inherently broken. Kemp repeatedly frames the issue as a product-design and investor-education problem. In his view, the loosening of rules around marketing to retail investors in the US has encouraged a sales process that may not adequately explain liquidity constraints or duration risk. …

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Main takeaways

  1. The gating wave is framed as a liquidity-mismatch fix, not a wholesale indictment of private credit.
  2. Retail demand exists, but only if investors understand duration risk and redemption limits.
  3. US retail marketing rules and product distribution are a central part of the current strain.
  4. AI is a real fundamental risk for some software holdings, but not a universal one.
  5. The private-market value proposition is access to hard-to-buy companies before public markets reprice them.

Market read by horizon

Short term

Tactically, the risk is further fund-gating headlines and redemptions in US retail-facing private credit products. Near-term sentiment stays fragile until managers reassure investors that liquidity terms match the asset duration.

  • Watch for more fund withdrawal caps or gating announcements if retail redemptions keep building.
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  • Near-term headline risk is concentrated in the US retail-flavored private credit products, not necessarily institutional vehicles.
  • The key tactical issue is whether managers can keep explaining liquidity terms well enough to prevent a broader run.
Mid term

Over the coming weeks and months, the setup improves only if redemptions stabilize and managers demonstrate that performance is holding up despite softer sentiment. If more retail-oriented vehicles have to cap withdrawals, the story shifts from isolated headlines to a broader product-structure issue.

  • Over the next few months, the base case is continued tension between investor demand for higher returns and the realities of long-duration assets.
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  • If fund structures are adjusted to match asset duration more honestly, the panic around withdrawals should ease.
  • The narrative improves if managers show that performance remains solid and that liquidity terms were always intended to be limited.
Long term

The long-run implication is that private markets are becoming a core outlet for bank-like risk, but only sustainable if clients are told plainly what liquidity they are giving up. The regime challenge is not returns alone; it is whether retail access can scale without eroding trust in the product structure.

  • The transcript points to a durable regime shift: more credit and venture-like risk has moved out of banks and into private markets.
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  • Long term, the key structural issue is whether private-market products can be marketed to non-institutional investors without misleading them about liquidity.
  • If retail access keeps expanding, investor education and product design become as important as returns themselves.
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Key claims (9)

NEUTRAL private markets private credit

The current private-credit anxiety is concentrated in a specific retail-facing segment, not the whole asset class.

Kemp says the issue is about loosened retail marketing rules and illiquid products sold as if they were liquid.

NEUTRAL liquidity mismatch private credit

Gating withdrawals can protect investors when a fund’s assets are much less liquid than the redemption terms imply.

He frames withdrawal caps as a protection for all investors in mismatched structures.

NEUTRAL investor education private markets

Investor education has not kept pace with the push to sell private products to retail buyers in the US.

He says sellers have an obligation to ensure understanding and that this has been 'slightly missing.'

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Assets discussed (8)

Partners Group
NEUTRAL stock

Mentioned as a manager preparing to cap withdrawals; context is a liquidity-management response, not a directional investment call.

Blackstone
NEUTRAL stock

Cited as having restricted withdrawals from its private credit fund; used as evidence of broader pressure in the asset class.

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Speakers

GUEST Sam Kemp

Interview (5 Q&A)

market nerves

What is driving the recent nerves in private credit markets?

He says the pressure is coming from a specific part of the market: retail investors being sold products that are not actually very liquid. He frames the gating of withdrawals as a protection for investors and points to weak investor education and understanding of the product.

retail pitch

Did asset managers make a mistake by pitching private credit to retail investors seeking liquidity?

He says it is a different sales process and that sellers have an obligation to ensure investors understand the product and are properly advised. He thinks that part has been slightly missing, but also says there is real demand from investors to access products usually reserved for institutions.

private credit appeal

Where is the ongoing demand for private credit coming from, and what is its appeal to non-institutional investors?

He says the appeal is access to returns and investments that are otherwise unavailable. He adds that, after the financial crisis, private credit picked up exposures that banks used to hold, and investors want interesting investments while understanding what they are buying.

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Where this transcript pushes against consensus

  • The argument that gating is purely protective is plausible, but it may understate whether managers mispriced liquidity risk when designing these products.
  • Kemp says the issue is mainly a US retail marketing problem, but the transcript does not establish that the concern is confined to the US.
  • His view that software moats will protect many companies is asserted generally and not supported with examples or data in the segment.
  • The claim that access to private companies like SpaceX and Anthropic explains retail enthusiasm is intuitive, but the transcript does not show how widespread that motivation really is.

Topics

private creditfund gatingretail investorsliquidity mismatchduration riskinvestor educationAI disruptionsoftware companiesprivate marketsSpaceX and Anthropic

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