Benjamin P. of Verified Investing walks through technical trade setups on S&P 500 (SPY), semiconductors (SOXX), and beaten-down megacaps (AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, NFLX) as well as select movers (SNDK, MU, DELL, PLTR, USO). He emphasizes that repeated tests of support weaken it, requiring confirmation via continuation moves before calling trend reversals. Most setups are long bounces at gap fills and pivot lows; a few short entries are identified at resistance. The session ends with a pitch for his paid day-trading room.
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Benjamin P., head trader at Verified Investing, opens with a macro-level observation: the S&P 500 opened sharply higher, faded, and then bounced off support near $731.58 on SPY. He flags that the more times a support level is tested, the weaker it becomes. If SPY closes below $731.58 on a daily basis with follow-through, the next support sits at $723.77. On the upside, he eyes a gap fill at $744.39 — the same gap he targeted the prior day before the pullback. His broader framing: markets are in a choppy, bounce-prone environment where beaten-down names offer day-trade and swing-trade entries, but reversals require confirmation. On semiconductors (SOXX), Benjamin notes the uptrend line has been tested four times and remains intact despite multiple hammers. He calls out a gap at 591.02 that was hit yesterday and held, with upside resistance at 637.84 and a potential short at 655.32. …
Choppy and bounce-prone — SPY is testing support at $731.58 with repeated hits weakening it; the immediate setup favors gap-fill longs in beaten-down names but with elevated breakdown risk if SPY support fails on a daily close.
Uncertain base case — if SPY holds $731-$723 and SOXX holds its uptrend line (above 599.73), the bounce in oversold megacaps could extend into a broader recovery; if those supports break with continuation, a deeper correction becomes the dominant path.
Repeated support tests without decisive resolution hint at distribution — the structural bull trend is not yet invalidated, but the pattern of hammering key levels without recapturing all-time highs suggests a regime may be shifting from trending to range-bound or worse.
If the S&P 500/SPY breaks the key support level at $731.58 on a daily closing basis with continuation, the next support is $723.77 and the market will head lower.
The speaker identifies a specific price level ($731.58) as key support that if broken with continuation signals further downside to $723.77.
SOXX's uptrend will reverse into a sustained sell-off only if the stock takes out the upswing trend line and the previous gap at $599.73, closes below the low pivot, and shows continuation moves with lower pivots over the next day or two.
Speaker argues a single close below support does not confirm reversal; multiple conditions including breaking the trend line, a gap fill, and successive lower pivots are required.
Micron (MU) will face resistance at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement around $1,229.60, which is an aggressive shortable level, with a more conservative short entry at the 88.6% Fibonacci near $1,241.47.
Speaker uses a Fibonacci extension tool from the recent pivot high to pivot low on Micron and identifies specific retracement levels as short entries.
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