Felix presents a bullish thesis on Intel (INTC), arguing that both Nancy Pelosi and Donald Trump are making large, concurrent bets on the stock. Pelosi purchased ~$6M in Intel call options with a one-year horizon, while the Trump administration made the US government a ~10% equity owner of Intel alongside Trump's personal trust buying stock and bonds. Felix applies a three-pillar framework: (1) fundamentals are weak (he scores it 13/100) but improving with the 18A manufacturing process; (2) risks include execution difficulty, strong competitors (TSMC, NVIDIA, AMD), and negative cash flow; (3) the catalyst is government underwriting — national defense priorities ensure continued support for domestic semiconductor manufacturing. He notes a bullish technical pattern and has a watchlist entry around $136 with stops at $115 or $97, but has not yet entered. The video functions partly as a funnel for his free live training at 90dayplaybook.org and his Winston app.
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Felix opens with a hook: two of the most powerful people in America — Donald Trump and Nancy Pelosi — are making the same bet, and it's not on NVIDIA or Microsoft. The stock in question is Intel, which he first covered bullishly in August 2025, claiming a $1,000 investment at that time would now be worth $65,000 (the stock is up 550%). He walks viewers through a three-pillar framework he uses to analyze "political stocks." **Pillar 1 — Fundamentals:** Felix is candid that Intel scores poorly — 13 out of 100 on his app's metric. Revenue growth is about 7% year-over-year (unimpressive versus NVIDIA), the company is not making money, and R&D spending is declining. Despite this, he argues that "big money" and Wall Street are buying, which is what ultimately matters more than understanding every technical detail. …
Near-term tactical: Intel sits at a technical inflection point with a defined entry (~$136) and stops ($115/$97). Felix is on watch, not yet triggered. The setup is a breakout-or-fail pattern; if it triggers, the thesis is that institutional flows follow the same pattern as August 2025 and April 2026 breakouts. If it fails, the stop-losses are pre-set. No immediate macro catalyst beyond the chart.
Medium-term base case: Government semiconductor spending (CHIPS Act, defense budgets) continues regardless of which party holds power, creating a multi-month bid under Intel. The foundry business needs 12-18 months to show whether factory investments translate to revenue. Pelosi's one-year call option horizon aligns with this timeline. The key risk is execution — if 18A fails to win external foundry customers, the government-backing thesis alone may not sustain the stock at elevated levels.
Structural thesis: US domestic semiconductor manufacturing is a national security imperative driven by Taiwan risk and AI-enabled military threats (drones). Intel is positioned as the only US-based leading-edge foundry alternative to TSMC. If the foundry strategy succeeds, Intel's valuation framework shifts from a cyclical chip stock to a strategic infrastructure asset with implicit government backing — a multi-year re-rating. If it fails, the stock likely reverts to its legacy PC/datacenter valuation floor.
The US government now owns about 10% of Intel, creating a support floor under the stock via national defense and semiconductor manufacturing policy interests.
Speaker states the Trump administration made the government a shareholder via billions in taxpayer money, not just loans or grants, which underwrites the stock.
Intel stock has a repeatable technical breakout pattern forming that previously led to a 550%+ rally, and the same pattern is flashing signals again now.
The speaker points to a prior textbook pattern in August 2025 and April 2026 that preceded large moves, and claims the same pattern is forming again currently.
Nancy Pelosi (via her husband Paul) bought $6 million of expensive Intel call options with roughly a one-year horizon, signaling very high conviction.
Speaker describes the size ($6M), the type (expensive calls), and the duration (almost a year) as indicators of strong conviction beyond a casual trade.
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