Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-21 17:00

Recent appearance

HOLY SH*T! Corporate Insiders JUST DUMPED $77B in Stocks!

Corporate insider sellingRetail vs institutional positioningEnergy shock and consumer spending

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that corporate insiders are selling shares at the fastest rate in two decades ($77.6B in H1 2026), while retail investors are the lone buyers. He contends insiders see an impending energy-shock-driven consumer squeeze that will crush corporate profits and trigger a market selloff, pointing to record short interest, hedge fund selling, cooling foreign demand, and tightening semiconductor crowding as confirmation. He recommends cutting equity exposure, watching the bond market, and waiting 1-2 months before shorting.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-20 17:00

Recent appearance

BofA WARNS: Gold is About to CRASH to $3,500 (And Possibly LOWER)!

Preview:Steven Van Metre walks through BofA's bearish gold call targeting $3,500 (and possibly as low as $2,700), arguing that real rates — not inflation — are the true driver of gold. When real rates turn negative (because inflation outruns the Fed's ability to hike), gold actually falls, not rises. He presents both the bearish technical case (downward channel, death cross, topping pattern) and the bull case (fund manager contrarian positioning, central bank buying led by China). The critical risk is an energy-driven inflation surge concurrent with labor market weakness — forcing the Fed to cut into rising prices, which he argues would smash gold, bonds, and equities together.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-19 17:00

Recent appearance

43 DAYS LEFT: Crude Oil JUST Signaled the WORST Possible Scenario!

crack spreadgasoline prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that US crude inventories have fallen to just 43 days of supply — the lowest in 45 years — and that the crack spread blowout signals an imminent gasoline price surge. He claims this energy shock will crush consumer spending, break the labor market, and trigger a recession that takes the S&P 500 (and the "41K" Dow) down sharply. His trade thesis: go long energy (XLE, USO) and long bonds (TLT) while cutting equity risk, because every prior Cushing tank-bottom has preceded a long-bond rally.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-16 17:00

Recent appearance

SpaceX JUST Issued a DIRE WARNING to ALL Shareholders!

Hyperscaler AI CapEx funding gapCredit market divergence from equities

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues SpaceX's post-IPO decline and its falling bonds signal a broader AI/debt bubble about to burst. He contends that hyperscalers (Oracle, Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon) are issuing record debt to fund AI CapEx while free cash flow turns negative, credit cover ratios collapse, and bond investors balk — creating a divergence where equity markets ignore credit-market warnings. He claims banks are scrambling to offload AI-related debt before the reckoning, and that falling high-yield credit (HYG) historically leads equity selloffs.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-14 17:00

HOLY SH*T! The Biggest Tech Crash Since 1987!

Fed rate hike expectations and policy error risk

Preview:IBM's 24% intraday crash is framed as the first warning shot of a software bubble bursting, driven by corporate IT spending pivoting to hardware and AI infrastructure. The speaker argues this will cascade through private credit markets, consumer weakness, and a Fed poised to raise rates — a combination he claims mirrors late-cycle setups before the 1991 recession, dot-com bust, and financial crisis.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-13 17:00

Goldman's PANIC Indicator JUST Signaled IMMINENT Stock Market CRASH!

Goldman Sachs panic indicator

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues multiple indicators — Goldman's panic indicator at two-year lows, extreme bullish options positioning, declining buybacks, rising 2-year yields, and a South Korean KOSPI crash — are signaling an imminent US stock market correction. He advises cutting equity exposure and rotating into Treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-12 17:40

Japan Just ORDERED the DUMPING of $900 BILLION of U.S. Assets

Japan GPIF repatriation riskVIX and volatility regime

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Japan's finance minister is pressuring the massive GPIF pension fund (~$1.8T, roughly half in US assets) to repatriate ~$900B back to Japan. He walks through the yen carry trade mechanics, shows charts correlating yen strength with NASDAQ selloffs, and warns that combined with record-low VIX, elevated single-stock volatility, and a stretched earnings season, the US market is fragile. He ultimately admits the pension fund likely won't comply (next review isn't until 2030), but frames the real risk as structural: the yen underpins US equities, and a reversal—however triggered—would hit stocks, bonds, and the dollar simultaneously.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-11 17:40

Japan Declared War on the Yen Carry Trade… It Won’t End Well

Japanese institutional capital flightBOJ rate hike paradox

Preview:Eurodollar University hosts Jeff Snider and Steve break down what they call the "real yen carry trade" — not hedge funds borrowing cheap yen, but Japanese pension funds, insurers, and institutional money fleeing Japan's uninvestable economy. They argue that BOJ rate hikes paradoxically weaken the yen by destabilizing the JGB market and making Japan even less attractive to domestic capital. Recent reporting suggests Japanese officials have finally identified this capital outflow as the core problem, but the hosts are deeply skeptical that authorities can fix it, since the real issue — a structurally uninvestable Japanese economy — is beyond the reach of monetary policy.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-09 17:00

HOLY SH*T! The Banks Are About to INTENTIONALLY CRASH the Economy!

Bank earnings and trading desk profitsIntentional credit tightening and economic slowdown

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that major US banks are about to intentionally engineer an economic downturn. His thesis: banks loaded up on ~$800 billion in Treasury/agency securities since late 2023 and now need rates to fall to book massive profits. Their plan, he claims, is to tighten lending standards, squeeze consumers via high credit card rates (22.15%), drive up unemployment, and force the Fed to cut rates — while the Fed itself is pushed to hike first as a scapegoat. He points to declining consumer credit, weakening housing data, Pepsi's consumer demand warning, and an inverting yield curve as evidence the slowdown is already underway, and flags TLT as a vehicle to profit alongside the banks.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-07 17:00

REVEALED: China's SECRET PLAN for Gold Was JUST Leaked

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues China is orchestrating a deliberate campaign to suppress gold prices — via investment bank downgrades, commercial bank speculation bans, and a hawkish Fed narrative — so the PBOC and allied central banks can accumulate bullion cheaply ahead of launching a yuan-denominated, gold-backed global reserve currency centered in Hong Kong. He sees technical downside risk to GLD (potentially to 230 if a topping pattern plays out) but frames any sell-off as an engineered buying opportunity for China, not a bearish fundamental shift.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-06 17:00

Japan is About to DUMP $100's of BILLIONS in TREASURIES & DOLLARS (AGAIN)!

Japan currency interventionUS Treasury yields and bond prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Japan is about to intervene heavily in currency markets to defend the yen, which will require dumping US Treasuries and dollars. He claims this intervention will trigger a global margin call as the yen carry trade unwinds, crashing US equities (especially tech) while benefiting bonds and gold. The catalyst: yen weakness is causing record bankruptcies among Japanese small/mid-size firms, forcing the BOJ's hand. He highlights extreme speculative short positioning on the yen as a contrarian signal.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-05 17:00

HOLY SH*T! 514k Full-Time Jobs GONE OVERNIGHT—Why It's ONLY the BEGINNING!

June 2025 jobs report and household vs. establishment survey divergenceHistorical recession analogs using non-farm payrolls and labor force participationNegative payroll revisions as recession precursor

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the June jobs report's headline of +57K payrolls masks a disaster: the household survey shows 514K full-time jobs lost. He presents historical recession analogs using labor force participation, the household-vs-payroll gap, negative revisions, and declining production-worker wages — then translates the thesis into a portfolio call to cut equities and shift into intermediate Treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-02 17:00

This Signal Predicted the 2000 DOT COM CRASH and It JUST TRIGGERED AGAIN!

momentum volatility signalVIX and market inflectionVXN-VIX spread

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that 30-day realized volatility on the Goldman Sachs US Momentum Index has hit levels only seen at major market turning points — the dot-com crash, 2008 financial crisis, 2020 COVID crash, and 2022 selloff. He presents multiple technical charts (VXN-VIX spread, VIX triple-touch at 16 with lower highs on SPY, South Korean KOSPI breakdown, yen carry trade unwind risk) to build a bearish case that the momentum/AI trade is at an inflection point likely to resolve sharply lower.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-07-01 17:00

OH SH*T... The Labor Market JUST Broke!

Stagflationary recession thesisDurable goods new orders vs. unemployment rate historical pattern

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the US labor market has just broken, with S&P Global data showing the sharpest manufacturing job shedding since May 2020. He weaves together falling durable goods orders, elevated retailer inventories, declining input prices (especially oil), and weakening consumer demand to make the case that we are in the early stages of a stagflationary recession. He flags the Meta AI compute monetization news as a crack in the AI capex narrative, warns of topping signals in the semiconductor index, and points to rising bond volatility (MOVE index) as a precursor to a VIX spike and equity correction. His tactical stance: he closed long S&P positions, expects volatility to rise and markets to fall, followed by a potential rally toward S&P 8,000 later.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-30 17:00

BofA WARNS: A Massive THREE-WAVE CORRECTION is About to Send Stocks CRASHING!

Leverage in markets: levered ETFs, dealer funding spreads, margin debt

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Bank of America's warning of a three-wave correction that could send the S&P 500 down ~7.6% to 6,850. He agrees with the call, citing deteriorating momentum (21-day MA rolling over, closes below 50-day MA), a symmetrical triangle breakdown risk, surging leverage across ETFs and institutional positioning, record retail call-option speculation, and weakening labor market internals. He closed his longs on Friday and repositioned into an unspecified asset class. The core risk: leverage unwinds cascade through dealers, machines, and retail. A mid-summer Fed rate hike could be the trigger.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-29 17:00

I'M OUT: The $11 Trillion AI Bubble is Breaking!

AI bubble and hyperscaler capexFree cash flow collapse at Mag 7 / hyperscalers

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the $11 trillion AI bubble is breaking as hyperscaler free cash flow collapses, buybacks vanish, and equity issuance surges — creating a persistent supply overhang. He has closed his long positions, points to a bearish rising-wedge pattern across major indices, widening VXN/VIX spreads, hedge fund deleveraging, and extreme leverage as catalysts. He now expects the dollar to break higher and a potential Fed rate hike at the July meeting, which would squeeze over-leveraged investors and accelerate the selloff.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-28 17:00

GET OUT NOW: Goldman’s URGENT Warning to Every Investor!

Goldman Sachs machine sellingAI capex and share issuance

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the market is entering a near-term selloff as Goldman/BofA positioning, machine selling, a stronger dollar, and retail crowding all line up against equities. He says he sold his S&P 500 longs late Friday, still thinks an eventual move to S&P 8000 is possible, but believes the path now likely involves a pullback and a rotation toward long bonds (TLT) first.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-27 17:30

Bitcoin And BlackRock Just Did Something VERY Strange

BlackRock stock correlation with BitcoinPrivate credit fund redemptions and shadow banking

Preview:Jeff Snider (Eurodollar University) and co-host Steve argue that Bitcoin's drop below $60K is not an isolated crypto story — BlackRock stock and the Hang Seng Index are showing the same pattern. The common thread: offshore institutional investors are pulling money from private credit funds (Apollo's fund is now cash-flow negative), signaling a broader global liquidity squeeze and credit-cycle turn. Rather than one asset crashing, all three are reacting to the same late-cycle dynamic — risk aversion, dollar shortage, and growing recession signals that have been building since October.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-25 17:00

WHAT THE?! China's Banks are BANNING Gold!

Chinese recession risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Chinese banks’ restrictions on retail gold trading are not just risk controls, but a sign that China’s economy is deteriorating and officials want to steer households away from gold and toward other uses of money. He ties the move to falling Chinese oil demand, weak refiners, property stress, deflation, and elevated youth unemployment, while also linking the setup to the dollar, U.S. inflation, and the Fed. He says the immediate market context still hinges on the dollar: gold has been pressured by a stronger DXY, but he thinks the dollar is now near resistance and may reverse lower, which would support gold. He also argues that falling energy prices could pull inflation down and reduce pressure for Fed hikes, helping the dollar roll over and gold recover. The video includes a long promotional section for his trading system and reports.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-24 17:00

HOLY SH*T! Now its Morgan Stanley...

Morgan Stanley private credit redemptionsdollar liquidityDXY technicals

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Morgan Stanley’s North Haven private income fund redemptions are a sign of deeper dollar liquidity stress, not just a private-credit problem. He frames the setup as a potential global margin call: if the dollar strengthens further, assets, equities, and commodities could all come under pressure, but he thinks seasonality and weakening economic data may soon drive the dollar lower instead.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-23 17:00

NO EXIT: The $1.8 Trillion Credit Bubble Just Locked the Doors

private credit redemptionsglobal liquidity squeezewages and retail sales

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that a private-credit redemption surge at Apollo is an early warning that global liquidity is tightening, which he believes will spread into weaker retail sales, rising delinquencies, recessionary PMIs, labor-market deterioration, and eventually market stress across FX and equities. He frames the move in the dollar and the VIX as the key near-term trading battleground: if the dollar fails at supply and the VIX cools, he thinks stocks could squeeze higher briefly; if not, he sees the liquidity crisis intensifying.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-22 17:00

THEY’RE WRONG: Why the Bond Market Just Sent a Huge Warning to the Fed!

bond market signalsFed funds futures

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the bond market, especially the MOVE index and 10-year breakevens, is signaling lower inflation, lower rates, and eventual weakness in the dollar—despite traders leaning the other way after Warsh comments pushed August Fed funds futures and SOFR positioning toward higher rates. He extends that view across oil, gold, and equities, saying short-term oil looks weak, gold should benefit if rates fall and the dollar reverses, and Nasdaq volatility may be overstating tech risk relative to broader bond-market signals.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-21 17:22

Swiss Bond Market Just Gave A Dire Warning to the World

Preview:The video argues that Swiss and Chinese bond markets are flashing a global slowdown/recession warning that central bankers are missing. The speaker says ultra-low or negative Swiss yields, very low Chinese yields, and a flattening U.S. Treasury curve all point to falling growth and inflation expectations rather than persistent inflation.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-21 17:00

THE FED’S FATAL MISTAKE: Why Gold is About to EXPLODE Higher!

Fed policy mistakeyield curve inversion

Preview:The speaker argues gold is set up for a strong second-half rally because seasonality, weak speculative positioning, central-bank buying, and a likely Fed policy mistake all point higher. He says the main near-term risk is a stronger dollar, but if the dollar breaks down and gold reclaims key technical levels, bearish positioning could get squeezed.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-18 17:00

OH SH*T! Dollar LIQUIDITY is Breaking—What You NEED to Know!!

excess liquidityFed hawkishness

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the dollar is at an important breakout point because excess liquidity has turned negative, the Fed has sounded more hawkish, and positioning in the dollar is crowded enough to fuel a short squeeze. He thinks a stronger dollar could pressure stocks and other risk assets in the near term, but he also argues the move may ultimately prove to be a bear trap if wage growth keeps slowing and bond yields/TLT continue to signal falling growth and inflation.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-17 17:00

What JUST Happened With OIL Inventories Has Me TERRIFIED

oil inventoriesStrategic Petroleum Reservegas prices

Preview:Steve argues that collapsing oil inventories and Strategic Petroleum Reserve drawdowns will force energy prices higher again, squeezing consumers and triggering rising delinquencies/defaults in private credit. He frames this as the start of a broader shadow banking crisis, while also criticizing the Fed for leaving rates unchanged.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-16 17:00

HOLY SH*T! The Dollar is About to Send Gold SKYROCKETING HIGHER!

real yields

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues gold is setting up for a sharp upside breakout because the dollar, real yields, and oil all appear to be turning lower at the same time. He frames recent gold weakness as a likely bear trap, with technical resistance levels and systematic short-covering creating the conditions for an abrupt squeeze higher.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-14 17:00

Goldman WARNS: The $1.8 TRILLION Off-Balance Sheet AI Time Bomb is About to EXPLODE!

AI capexhyperscalerscredit tightening

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that AI hyperscaler capex is approaching a financing wall: cash flows are being consumed by spending, buybacks are being cut, and banks and equity markets may not be willing to fund the next leg. He frames that as a late-cycle setup reminiscent of the dot-com era, with near-term upside still possible from continued AI spending and leverage, but a larger risk of reversal once credit tightens or earnings roll over.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-11 17:00

WTF?! Global Bankers Just Guaranteed a Global Financial Crisis (Again), Here’s Why

ECB policyfinancial crisis risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the ECB’s latest hike is a major policy mistake that echoes 2008 and could help set up another global financial crisis. He says the bond market, weakening wages, rising producer prices, and worsening jobless claims all point to demand destruction rather than a healthy inflation cycle, even as markets briefly rallied on news that Trump cancelled strikes on Iran. He ends by highlighting a tactical long idea in software stocks, especially IGV, on the theory that short interest could fuel a squeeze.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-10 17:00

DOLLAR CRASH IMMINENT: Why Negative Real Wages Just Broke the Economy

negative real wagesenergy shocks

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the latest CPI and wage data show a classic late-cycle demand-destruction setup: real wages have turned negative, consumers are under pressure, retail sales and labor demand should weaken, and that ultimately points to lower rates, a weaker dollar, and possible market volatility. He ties this to energy-driven inflation, Canada’s policy dilemma, and a short-term tension between a still-firm inflation narrative and a likely rollover in the dollar and equities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-09 17:00

THE FED'S WORST NIGHTMARE: Small Business Just Signaled a Recession

small business labor datainflation and fuel costs

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that today’s stock selloff is being driven less by semis and more by small-business data that he says exposes a much weaker labor market than government payroll reports imply. He links that weakness to falling NFIB hiring intentions, a weaker optimism index, rising price plans from small businesses, and a sharp drop in capex intentions, then says the Fed risks making a policy mistake if it leans on headline data instead of the private-sector signals. Despite the bearish macro read, he also argues the dollar’s failure to break higher and the way VIX/equity action behaved supports a buy-the-dip setup in stocks.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-08 17:00

Goldman Warns: This ONE ETF Could Trigger a Market Meltdown!

SOXLsemiconductorsleverage unwind

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that SOXL, a 3x leveraged semiconductor ETF, is a key warning signal for the broader market because forced deleveraging in semis could spill into the S&P 500. He says Friday’s selloff was driven by crowded positioning, mechanical leverage unwinds, and a stressed volatility setup, but he still thinks the market can melt back toward 8,000 if charts reclaim resistance and macro data/Earnings stay supportive.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-07 17:00

HOLY SH*T! Bank of America is Going to DUMP GOLD!

systematic sellingBank of America flow monitor

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues gold’s Friday drop below its 200-day moving average is the start of a systematic liquidation wave, not just a one-day macro selloff. He thinks Bank of America’s flow monitor shows machine selling will intensify on Monday, even though he also argues the underlying jobs data was weaker than the headline suggested and that higher rates may not be justified.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-04 18:30

OUT OF CASH: The $1.8 Trillion Private Credit Bubble is Bursting!

private creditBlackstone gated fundconsumer income

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Blackstone’s gating of a flagship private-credit fund is a sign the broader $1.8 trillion private credit market is under severe liquidity stress, not just facing normal redemptions. He links weakening disposable incomes, softer retail demand, rising job cuts, and tighter consumer conditions to worsening loan performance and more redemption pressure.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-03 18:30

The Labor Market JUST Triggered the FINAL Stage

ISM serviceslabor market weakness

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the U.S. services economy is now showing clear recessionary/stagflationary stress: S&P Global and ISM services data show weakening activity, falling employment, and stubborn price pressure, which he says validates his long-running warning about an energy shock. He then pivots to a tactical call: the market’s crowded trade is too bearish bonds, and he thinks the bigger contrarian move is to add Treasuries because falling labor demand and weaker consumption should eventually pull yields down even if oil stays elevated.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-02 18:30

The ECB’s Next Move Will CRASH Markets!

ECB rate hikeeurozone inflationlabor wages

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the ECB is about to make a major policy error by hiking rates into slowing wage growth and weakening demand, and that this could trigger a market selloff similar to past ECB tightening episodes in 2008 and 2011. He remains tactically bullish on US equities for another month or two, but says investors should hedge and start looking toward bonds if Friday’s payroll and wage data confirm slowing labor inflation.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-06-01 18:30

OH SH*T! China is About to CRASH the Global Bond Market!

U.S. yields and dollar

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China is under pressure to weaken the yuan and may resort to selling U.S. Treasuries to force dollar strength and squeeze speculative positions. He says that move may briefly lift yields, but he thinks it will ultimately fail because weakening U.S. labor data and slowing demand will cap rates and support bonds.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-31 18:30

Bank of America JUST Confirmed the WORST CASE Scenario!

AI bubblemarket breadthinstitutional positioning

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the U.S. market is in the late-stage blowoff of an AI-led bubble: breadth is narrow, positioning is crowded, volatility is subdued, and buybacks plus forced chasing by institutions and retail are still pushing prices higher. But he says the bigger setup is to prepare for the post-bubble unwind, which he thinks could be triggered by an energy shock, and later by falling yields that make long Treasuries the next major trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-30 18:30

Texas Oil Insiders: "An Oil Apocalypse is Imminent"

Iran warenergy shock

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the oil market is entering a dangerous supply squeeze, with crude and commercial inventories near critical lows and Iran-related disruptions tightening already-stretched buffers. He says the near-term result could be higher oil and gasoline prices, but the broader consequence may be demand destruction, stagflation, and eventually recession if consumers can’t absorb the shock.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-21 18:30

Europe Has Fallen...

ECB policy mistakeenergy shock

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Europe is entering a stagflationary slowdown driven by an energy shock, and that the ECB may repeat a 2008-style policy mistake by tightening into weakening demand. He extends that warning to the US, pointing to softer PMIs, weakening employment, and margin pressure as evidence the US is following Europe’s path. Despite the bearish macro framing, he still sees near-term equity strength possible in the S&P 500, while also making a case for adding duration to portfolios because long Treasuries may be near a reversal.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-20 18:30

HOLY SH*T! Home Depot JUST Revealed the DIRE State of the Economy!

Home Depot earningsstagflationconsumer slowdown

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Home Depot’s weak sales are an early warning that the U.S. economy is sliding into stagflation: growth is soft, prices remain sticky, and consumer spending power is fading. He repeatedly links retail weakness to labor-income deterioration rather than just housing or rates, and uses gasoline, Treasury yields, and homebuilder data to argue that interest rates are ultimately more likely to fall than keep rising.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-19 18:30

The $300 Trillion Credit Bubble Is About to BURST!

credit bubbleoil shock

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that surging global bond yields and an oil shock are forcing central banks into an increasingly difficult corner, but he thinks the bond market is likely to reverse once labor data and consumer demand weaken further. He frames the current setup as a credit-bubble problem rather than a stock-market story, with the key near-term question being whether long rates keep spiking or roll over.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-17 18:30

BofA's URGENT Warning to ALL Investors—What You NEED to Know Before It's TOO LATE!

Treasury yieldsInflation and CPIBank of America / Michael Hartnett

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Bank of America’s warning is basically a rates warning: if inflation and Treasury yields keep rising, the current equity meltup could unwind quickly. He says the main things to watch are 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields, financials (XLF), and several near-term macro catalysts in early June; but he also lays out a bullish alternative where falling yields would force systematic buyers and short-covering to support stocks and bonds.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-14 18:30

Stocks Are Repeating the EXACT Pattern at the Dot-Com Bubble Peak!

market breadthdot-com comparisonAI-led rally

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Goldman Sachs’ warning about narrow breadth and dot-com-like leadership concentration does not currently signal an imminent crash. Instead, he thinks the market is more likely in the late stage of a blowoff top, with indexing, passive flows, dealer gamma, and global fund manager chase still able to push stocks higher in the near term before an eventual reversal tied to energy/inflation pressures.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-13 18:30

OH SH*T! Japan is DUMPING U.S. Treasuries!

JGB yield breakoutU.S. inflation/PPI

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Japan’s rising bond yields and reported Treasury selling could pressure U.S. rates higher, which would threaten equities in the near term. He pairs that with a sticky-inflation argument: producer prices, services costs, freight costs, and negative real wages could support a short-term melt-up in stocks before a later stagflationary or correction phase.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-12 18:30

The Bond Market ONLY Does This Before Stocks CRASH!

bond market yield breakout riskreal wages vs interest rates historical relationshipCPI inflation and shelter cost statistical quirk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that despite widespread fear that rising bond yields will crash stocks, the real setup is the opposite: real wages have turned negative, making sustained inflation unlikely, which means rates are more likely to fall — a bullish catalyst for equities. He contends hedge funds are wrong to bet on a bond breakdown, and the market has a 1997-style meltup feel driven by mechanical flows, mutual fund catch-up, and systematic buying.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-11 18:30

China Warns of IMMINENT Currency CRISIS!

PBOC policy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China’s weakening export model is colliding with a stronger yuan and higher producer inflation, which he says could spill into a broader global inflation and recession scare. He also argues that hedge funds are underexposed and likely to be forced to chase a continuing US equity melt-up, which he thinks keeps the short-term path for stocks higher even as he doubts the rally is sustainable long term.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-07 18:30

OH SH*T... BlackRock's Private Credit Fund JUST Took a MASSIVE LOSS!

private credit stressBlackRock markdownsloan recovery rates

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that private credit is deteriorating fast, with BlackRock’s publicly traded private credit fund taking another NAV cut, rising distress in leveraged loans, and sharply lower recovery rates signaling weaker collateral. He ties that credit stress to broader labor-market weakness and argues that falling real worker compensation will eventually pressure consumer spending, worsen defaults, and tighten financial conditions enough to hit banks, the economy, and eventually equities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-06 18:30

OH SH*T! The Banks are Dumping AI Loans!

AI capexbank credit cycledata-center financing

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the AI/data-center spending boom is running into a credit wall: large banks are reportedly trying to offload data-center and AI-related debt, hyperscalers are consuming cash faster, and some of the financing is shifting from self-funded capex to bank loans and risk transfers. He treats this as an early warning that the credit cycle is turning and that the AI bubble could eventually pressure banks, equities, and credit markets.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-05 18:30

This ETF is About to Rally 30-40%—And Hedge Funds Are MASSIVELY SHORT!

IGVsoftware sector squeezehedge fund short positioning

Preview:The video argues that IGV, the software ETF, is setting up for a sharp short squeeze and could rally 30–40% over the next several months. Steven Van Metre ties the bullish setup to weak ownership, heavy hedge fund shorts, improving but not booming macro data, and the idea that software is not being crushed by the AI narrative the market feared.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-04 18:30

China JUST Ordered It's BANKS to DUMP The DOLLAR!

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China, Japan, and possibly other major holders are pushing away from dollars, and that this could pressure the dollar lower, eventually lift Treasury yields, and create a stagflation-like risk for stocks and the US economy. At the same time, he says buybacks, systematic flows, and dip-buying could still drive a blowoff rally before any break.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-05-03 18:30

Goldman WARNS: 2000-Dot-Com Style CRASH Imminent!

market breadthdot-com analogymega-cap concentration

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Goldman Sachs is right about one thing—market breadth is extremely narrow and historically that often appears near major tops—but he thinks the conclusion should be the opposite: the market is more likely to continue melting up than crash immediately. His core case is that index concentration, systematic flows, hedge-fund underexposure, and forced buying by mutual funds/CTAs/volatility strategies can keep pushing the S&P 500 and a handful of mega-cap stocks higher even as breadth worsens.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-30 18:30

Zuck Warns: The AI BUBBLE is About to BURST!

AI spending bubbleMeta capex and debtMegacap free cash flow

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the AI trade is increasingly fragile because the biggest cloud and internet companies are funding massive AI capex with declining or negative free cash flow and, in some cases, new debt. He says Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Oracle, and Microsoft are all showing the same pattern: rising spending, weaker cash generation, more borrowing, and eventual pressure on buybacks and employment. Despite the bearish longer-run setup, he remains tactically bullish on equities in the near term, expecting a squeeze higher in the S&P 500 driven by supportive flows, low volatility, and a weaker dollar.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-28 18:30

What Hits TOMORROW Could Send STOCKS CRASHING!

mega-cap earningsAI capex

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the market’s immediate fate hinges less on the Fed than on a concentrated set of mega-cap earnings and the size of AI-related capex guidance from Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and then Apple. He says the S&P is sitting at a technical inflection point, with volatility suppression and mechanical V-control buying potentially cushioning the tape, but he sees oil as the biggest macro risk because a spike in energy could force equities to reprice recession/stagflation risk.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-27 18:30

OH SH*T! The U.S. Treasury is Going to CRASH the DOLLAR!

swap lines

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Treasury, Fed, and DOJ are aligning to expand dollar liquidity via swap lines, which he says will weaken the dollar, lower the VIX, and support a higher stock market. He also argues hedge funds are still net-short and selling tech, so if the market keeps rising the squeeze could be powerful despite near-term pension selling.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-26 18:30

GOLDMAN SACHS WARNS: MASSIVE STOCK SELLING STARTS MONDAY!

pension rebalancingCTA positioningcorporate buybacks

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that equities may face a near-term pullback from a large Goldman Sachs-flagged month-end pension rebalance and cooling CTA demand, but he stays long because buybacks and volatility-controlled strategies should become stronger offsetting buyers soon. He also flags broken U.S.-Iran talks and still-elevated oil volatility as macro risks, while keeping a bullish next-month bias for the S&P.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-23 18:30

Europe Has Fallen...

Germany stagflation riskEnergy prices and inflation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Europe is already showing early stagflation/recession signals, led by a collapsing services PMI, rising input/output prices, weaker demand, and worsening German data. He thinks that, paradoxically, these macro warnings do not yet mean stocks must fall immediately; instead, he says the near-term setup still favors higher equity prices because volatility remains contained, CTA/systematic buying may continue, and post-tax-day/corporate buyback flows could support the market. He repeatedly contrasts Goldman Sachs’ bearish framing with his own view that the rally can extend before a larger unwind.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-21 18:30

OH SH*T! They're DUMPING DOLLARS!

US dollar weaknessDXY chart levelsVIX relationship

Preview:Steve argues hedge funds are dumping dollars because the market is pricing down near-term geopolitical risk, and that this dollar weakness should support lower VIX, higher equities, and a stronger euro. He combines chart levels, flow data, retail spending, and earnings/buyback seasonality to argue the rally can extend in the short term, while warning that higher oil and food prices could still end the move within a few months.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-20 18:30

China is About to Send SILVER Prices SURGING!

China importssolar industry

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that record Chinese silver imports, solar demand, recession fears, and a weaker dollar create a bullish setup for silver. He pairs the fundamental case with a technical read on SLV that he says is coiling near support and could break toward $80 and potentially higher if demand persists.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-16 18:30

The Pain Trade is Just Beginning...

hedge fund short positioning and short squeeze mechanicsCTA and systematic program buying triggershead and shoulders pattern failure / Peter Brandt technical analysis

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that hedge funds are massively short the market just as it breaks out to new all-time highs, creating a setup for a powerful blowoff top. He believes the S&P 500 could reach ~7,800–8,000+ driven by forced short-covering, CTA/program buying, carry-trade tailwinds, declining volatility, and upcoming corporate buybacks. He frames the narrow breadth as a feature of indexing flows, not a flaw, and says the pain trade is just beginning for shorts.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-15 18:30

MASSIVE Silver Shortage Sets Up for MONSTER Price Rally!

SLV technical analysis and volume profileCTA positioning and systematic buying triggers

Preview:Steven Van Metre makes a bullish case for silver, citing a sixth consecutive year of supply deficit (widening 15% to 46.3M oz), favorable technicals on SLV (holding six-month volume profile, reclaiming the 100-day moving average), and a macro setup where a weakening labor market could force Fed rate cuts. He lays out a price path to $80 then $100, notes CTAs are positioned to buy on any up move, and promotes his CTA Timer Pro service alongside sponsor Blue Moon Metals.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-14 18:30

BREAKING: Now It's Wells Fargo...

Wells Fargo private credit exposureNon-accrual loan deteriorationConsumer spending slowdown and delinquency rates

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Wells Fargo's $36.2B private credit exposure — more than BofA and Citigroup combined — signals a brewing credit crisis reminiscent of 2008. Despite deteriorating economic data (falling retail sales, rising delinquencies, weakening services demand), he believes the stock market can continue a "melt-up" driven by massive hedge fund short positioning, institutional buying flows, and dealer gamma dynamics before everything collapses. He's actively long small caps (IWM), S&P, and NASDAQ for the short-term squeeze but expects a severe downturn once the economic reality catches up.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-13 19:00

China's Banks JUST Flashed a MASSIVE Recession WARNING!

China credit contraction and recession riskUS-Iran Strait of Hormuz blockade and energy supply disruptionChinese consumer and business loan demand collapse

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues China's banking system is flashing a recession warning through collapsing credit demand — aggregate financing fell YoY and both businesses and consumers are pulling back on borrowing. He warns the US-Iran Strait of Hormuz blockade will cut off China's energy supply (90% of Iran's oil goes to China), potentially tipping China into recession, with global contagion to follow. Contrarily, he is bullish on US equities short-term, citing massive CTA buying flows ($45B+ expected this week), declining VIX/MOVE/ dollar, and S&P 500 positioning for a breakout toward all-time highs. He bought the dip today.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-12 19:00

OH SH*T! The Oil Markets Just Broke and Stocks Are Next!

Strait of Hormuz blockade

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the market impact of Trump's announced blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which sent weekend oil futures up ~7.5%. He walks through the bearish case (energy-driven recession risk, potential China stock crash, S&P 500 gap down toward 6,700) but spends most of the episode building the counter-case: dealers are positioned to buffer downside moves, CTAs must finish short-covering then begin a massive $45B buying program, corporate buybacks are running at record pace, and short interest remains extremely elevated — all of which could produce a sharp dip-and-rebound rather than a crash. His own position remains long the S&P 500 into the weekend.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-11 19:00

The Fed JUST Initiated CRISIS LEVEL Protocols!

Federal Reserve private credit investigationPrivate credit systemic risk and bank exposure

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Fed has quietly initiated crisis-level scrutiny of private credit, alarmed that banks' credit-line exposure to the sector could trigger a systemic meltdown. He claims large banks—led by JP Morgan—are simultaneously tightening credit to private credit funds while preparing to launch credit default swaps on the industry, replicating pre-GFC behavior. Consumer stress from higher energy prices, falling sentiment, and rising pawn-shop loans, combined with PIK debt masking true defaults, sets up a crisis he says will ultimately force the Fed to cut rates aggressively.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-09 18:15

HOLY SH*T! It's HAPPENING Again!

CMBS delinquenciessmall and midsize regional bank insolvency risklabor market and weekly hours correlation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) delinquencies are surging to COVID-era highs, driven by weakening weekly hours and consumer spending, and that this will trigger a cascade of small/midsize regional bank insolvencies reminiscent of 2008. He sees stagflation emerging from the Iran war, expects the Fed to cut rates despite official projections, and warns the current stock market rally is purely mechanical CTA/machine buying with deteriorating fundamentals underneath.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-09 00:21

BREAKING: $200 BILLION of Machine Buying JUST Triggered—Everything YOU Need to Know!

CTA / systematic macro positioning and mechanical buying triggersVIX and volatility control fund releveraging dynamicsRetail investor panic: inverse ETF and put-buying squeeze

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that CTA/machine-driven buying is about to trigger a massive equity rally — up to $200 billion globally — driven by mechanical breaching of trigger levels on S&P 500 and NASDAQ futures. He layers on short-squeeze dynamics from retail panic-buying inverse ETFs, hedge fund hedging at 95th-percentile leverage, vol-control funds releveraging, and tax-season seasonality. He acknowledges the macro backdrop is weakening (stagflation risk, potential bear market) and the Iran ceasefire is fragile, but asserts the near-term mechanical buying is too powerful to ignore. He is long S&P 500 (~50% allocated) and continues adding.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-07 17:45

Gold Just Issued a MASSIVE Warning to the WORLD—Bull Trap?!

Stagflation thesis and central bank rate cutsRetail investor positioning in inverse ETFs (SQQQ)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues gold is issuing a massive stagflation warning: weakening labor markets will force central banks to cut rates despite inflation fears, driving gold higher. He claims retail investors are on the wrong side by piling into inverse levered ETFs (SQQQ), setting up a squeeze in equities that would validate gold's upside. The show also serves as a sponsor segment for Resolve AI (RZLV).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-06 18:19

The Bond Market JUST Broke—Why You NEED to Act Now!

CTA positioning and systematic flows

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the bond volatility index (MOVE) has broken lower, signaling a near-term rally in equities (S&P 500), a drop in interest rates, and a potential shorting opportunity in crude oil. He points to CTA positioning near max short, a VIX pullback from the 25-30 zone, and a stagflationary economic backdrop where stocks can still surge before recession hits. He has been adding long S&P 500 positions daily and sees asymmetry pointing upward, albeit with limited near-term support.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-05 17:45

OH SH*T... The Labor Market JUST Broke!

March 2026 non-farm payrolls analysisStagflation thesis and labor market deteriorationAverage hourly earnings decline and historical recession patterns

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the March 2026 non-farm payrolls report, which came in at +178K — blowing past expectations. Despite the strong headline, he argues the labor market is breaking beneath the surface: the household survey dropped for a third straight month, labor force participation fell to its lowest since 2021, part-time work for economic reasons rose, and average hourly earnings growth plunged to a near-5-year low. He frames this as early stagflation and warns the energy shock from the Middle East conflict is the catalyst pushing a weak economy toward recession. However, he expects a short-term stock market rally on the bullish payroll headline, noting he is personally buying the dip.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-02 17:45

A MAJOR Private Credit Fund JUST Blocked Withdrawals as Private Credit Fund Bank Runs Begin!

Blue Owl private credit redemption gatesPrivate credit fund bank run riskRetail sales vs. credit card delinquency framework

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the Blue Owl private credit fund redemption crisis — a $36B fund where investors asked to pull 21.9% (and 40.7% in a tech income fund) — framing it as the early tremors of a private credit bank run. However, he pivots mid-episode: tax refund checks and tariff rebates are keeping consumer spending afloat, jobless claims remain low, and machine positioning is flipping long. He turned bullish short-term, bought the dip, and now expects a bear-market rally toward 6,900–7,000 on the S&P 500, while warning that the credit bubble still looms and a 401(k) rule change could force private credit onto unsuspecting retirement investors.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-04-01 18:15

OH SH*T: Foreign Central Banks are DUMPING Treasuries!

Foreign central bank Treasury salesGlobal dollar shortageWells Fargo repo market liquidity

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that foreign central banks aren't dumping Treasuries because they're abandoning the dollar — they're selling because of a global dollar shortage driven by slowing trade and collapsing oil revenues. The selling would have spiked yields much higher but for Wells Fargo stepping into the repo market as a massive liquidity provider. On equities, he flipped from short to long, citing machine positioning (CTAs) flipping from sell to buy, a weakening dollar, falling VIX, and short-term consumer strength from tax refunds. He sees a tactical rally that could reach all-time highs, driven by a massive short squeeze, even though the broader economy is slowing toward recession.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-31 17:45

Machines JUST Flipped to Buy Mode—Massive Stock Short Squeeze IMMINENT!

CTA positioning and short squeeze mechanicsGoldman Sachs flow data and trigger levelsIran conflict and ceasefire catalyst

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that a massive short squeeze is imminent based on three catalysts: Goldman Sachs data showing CTAs are positioned to flip from $47B short to buying $142B in global equities over the next month, a breached trigger level of 63.99 on the S&P, and Iran's president signaling willingness to end the war. He has covered his personal shorts but is not yet long, warning that the economic fundamentals remain weak and the rally is a machine-driven trade, not a fundamental recovery.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-30 17:45

Stocks Crashed the Last Time Bonds and the Dollar Did This—And It's Happening NOW!

Dollar-yield correlation as crash signalStagflation thesisMiddle East energy shock and infrastructure damage

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a simultaneous rise in the US dollar and decline in bond yields is a historically reliable precursor to stock market crashes. He contends that surging energy prices from the Middle East conflict are not inflationary in the traditional sense but rather stagflationary — they crush consumer spending and growth, which is exactly what falling yields are signaling. He urges long-term investors to raise cash and reduce equity exposure, while advising traders to position short.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-29 17:45

Goldman Warns: A MASSIVE Wave of MACHINE Selling Hits Next Week—Everything You NEED to KNOW!

CTA positioning and systematic trend-following flowsDealer gamma and options market structureVol-control strategies and variable annuities

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Goldman Sachs and Bank of America data showing CTAs (commodity trading advisors / systematic trend-following machines) are already net short US equities and poised to sell $10-25B more next week. He warns that vol-control strategies (~$1T+ in assets) have not yet triggered but are near a breakout point, with the VIX at ~30 and the dollar rising — a combination that could mechanically force massive equity unwinds. Key watchpoints: the VIX level, the DXY breakout, non-farm payrolls on Friday, and whether vol sellers step in to cap volatility. He also pitches sponsor Resolve AI (RZLV).

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-29 17:30

We May Have Just Passed the Point of No Return

stagflation and unemploymentcentral bank policy errors

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve discuss the early economic fallout from the Iran conflict, framing it as a genuine oil shock that is already hitting consumer/business sentiment, compressing margins, and accelerating job losses — all on top of an already-weakening global economy. They argue central bankers are misreading it as inflationary when the real outcome will be stagflation and rising unemployment, citing PMIs, retail sales, and the Bank of Mexico's surprise rate cut as evidence. The core thesis: we may have already passed the point of no return into a prolonged downturn.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-27 17:45

BREAKING: UBS Just Blocked Withdrawals for THREE YEARS on a Private Credit Fund!

UBS private credit fund redemption gatePrivate credit liquidity crisis and systemic riskStagflation evidence (UK, Canada, Australia, US)

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that UBS gating a private credit fund for three years is a flashing warning that private credit is on the verge of blowing up, triggering a financial crisis. He ties this to stagflation signals (falling retail sales, rising delinquencies, weak consumer sentiment), AI disruption hitting tech stocks, and recommends cutting equity exposure, shorting banks/private credit, and hiding in short-term Treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-26 17:45

The AI Bubble JUST BURST—What You NEED to Know Before It's TOO LATE!

AI bubble burst thesisGoogle/Turbo Quan compression algorithmAI hardware demand collapse (chips, memory, data centers)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the AI bubble has just burst following Google/Turbo Quan's compression algorithm breakthrough, which reduces LLM memory requirements 6x and speeds inference 8x with zero accuracy loss — collapsing the demand thesis for AI chips, memory, and data centers. He layers this with a stagflation/recession call driven by the Iran war's energy shock, rising diesel prices eroding corporate profits, and consumers unable to absorb higher costs. He sees the NASDAQ breaking below its 200-day moving average, silver rolling over, the VIX threatening a breakout above 30, and the dollar forming a bull flag — all pointing to a major downside move. He advises reducing equity exposure, shorting the market, and positioning defensively.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-24 17:45

HOLY SH*T! The Banks are Blocking Withdrawals—Act Now Before It's Too Late!

Private credit fund redemption gates and downgradesStagflation thesis driven by Iran conflict energy shockEurozone and US PMI data showing contraction and rising prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that private credit funds are gating withdrawals and losing investment-grade ratings — signs he equates to 2008 pre-crisis behavior. He argues the economy is entering stagflation driven by the Iran conflict energy shock, with European PMIs already showing rising prices and falling employment, and US employment now contracting for the first time in over a year. His trade thesis: short banks (XLF), private credit (PSP), high-yield bonds, and the broad market; long the dollar (DXY); and reduce equity exposure in 401(k)s. He flags the VIX above 30 and DXY above 100.4 as the two triggers for a "massive unwind."

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-23 17:45

Silver Just Issued a MASSIVE Warning to the WORLD—Act NOW Before It's TOO Late!

Dollar strength and DXY bull flag setup

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the recent divergence between oil and precious metals — oil plunging on peace hopes while silver and gold rolled over — signals deeper monetary-system stress. He sees silver as massively oversold but warns more downside is likely before a major buying opportunity emerges. The dollar rally, CTA short positioning, stagflation evidence, and VIX regime shift all point toward further equity and metals selling in the near term, setting up what he calls a "massive opportunity" once capitulation arrives.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-22 17:45

BofA Warns: They're DUMPING STOCKS—What You MUST Do RIGHT NOW!

CTA / systematic trend-following flows

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes BofA and Goldman Sachs CTA flow models, warning that systematic selling is set to accelerate next week — $70B+ in equities across all market conditions. He walks through trigger levels for the S&P 500 (6,512 already broken; 6,400 is the long-term danger zone), NASDAQ 100 (24,057), Russell 2000 (~2,420), gold ($4,496 and $4,386), and bonds. His thesis: CTAs are pivoting from long to short, dealers are gamma-imbalanced to the downside, hedge funds are de-levering, and a dollar breakout would compound the equity selloff. He recommends short-side positioning and reduced equity exposure, pitching his subscription service for trade signals.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-21 17:45

OH SH*T! JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs are About to Pop the Credit Bubble—And Take Stocks With It!

private credit bubbleJP Morgan and Goldman Sachs short strategystagflation and energy prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs are about to trigger a collapse in the $1.8 trillion private credit market by offering hedge funds ways to short it. He claims this will drag down the S&P 500, bank stocks (XLF), and potentially spark a financial crisis. He ties this to stagflation fears from rising energy prices (Iran conflict), softening retail sales, and the banks' plan to profit by buying distressed private credit assets at pennies on the dollar and repackaging them into CLOs for retail investors' 401(k)s. The video is a structured pitch for his subscription service, with a "macro trade" call to short the S&P 500.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-19 17:45

Gold Just Issued a MASSIVE Warning to the WORLD—Act NOW Before It's TOO Late!

Dollar short-squeeze and pair trade unwindCTA/systematic selling triggers

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that gold's recent breakdown below its 50-day moving average, despite a narrative that should support higher gold (inflation, deficits, uncertainty), signals that a massive leveraged short-dollar trade is unwinding. He contends this unwinding will drag equities down with it as traders are forced to deleverage their pair trades (short dollar / long gold and equities). His macro thesis ties the unwind to stagflation risks driven by the Iran-Qatar conflict disrupting LNG supplies, tightening lending conditions, and a Fed that cannot cut rates with elevated oil prices — all undermining the short-dollar thesis and pushing the dollar higher.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-19 01:49

BREAKING: Powell Crashed Stocks—I Warned You This Would Happen!

Fed policy mistake and rate-cut reductionDollar short-squeeze risk and DXY supply zone

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Fed made a major policy mistake by holding rates and cutting projected 2026 rate cuts from two to one. He contends a massive short-dollar/long-euro trade is at an inflection point, with the ECB decision tomorrow being the real catalyst. Rising energy costs from the Iran conflict, accelerating PPI, and a weakening labor market create a stagflationary lose-lose for the Fed. If the ECB signals less hawkishness, a dollar unwind could crush equities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-17 00:29

Goldman Sachs JUST Issued a FRIGHTENING WARNING About Stocks—What You NEED to Know!

Goldman Sachs S&P 500 downside scenariosIran oil supply shock and historical analogsCTA positioning and systematic selling flows

Preview:Steven Van Metre dissects a Goldman Sachs research note warning of a potential 25% S&P 500 correction driven by an Iran-related oil supply shock. He outlines Goldman's bull case (7,600 year-end target, AI investment offsetting weakness) and bear case (5,400 in severe shock), arguing the data favors the downside. He flags weakening consumer purchasing power via flat hours worked, CTAs selling ~$70B more equities this week, and central bank week as a pivotal dollar catalyst. His tactical recommendation: watch the dollar, hold cash, and prepare to buy a possible 20%+ dip.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-15 17:45

The Largest Dollar Short Trade in HISTORY is About to Unwind—What You MUST Do Right NOW!

Dollar short squeezeEnergy prices and recession riskECB vs Fed policy divergence

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a record short-dollar position across retail, institutional, and speculative traders is about to unwind violently, driven by energy-price spikes that will crush European economies, force the ECB to abandon hawkish rate-hike expectations, and keep the Fed neutral. He forecasts DXY ripping to 102, then 104, potentially 110, with the S&P 500 selling off in tandem as crowded long-equity/short-dollar positions are forcibly reversed.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-15 17:36

BREAKING: Now It's Wells Fargo AND Deutsche Bank

private credit bustshadow bankingDeutsche Bank

Preview:The video argues that the private credit bust is spilling beyond private credit vehicles and into bigger, more visible names like Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo. The speakers frame the rise in the U.S. dollar, fund gating, and bank stock weakness as signs of tightening liquidity, forced price discovery, and a growing credit unwind.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-14 00:29

Bank of America JUST Issued a Terrifying Warning to ALL Investors—What You Need to Know!

Michael Hartnett / Bank of America 2007-2008 analogCTA systematic selling and threshold levelsOil prices and Iran/Strait of Hormuz geopolitics

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett's warning that markets resemble mid-2007 to mid-2008, driven by surging oil prices, CTA systematic selling, and deteriorating consumer spending. Van Metre largely agrees with the bearish macro outlook but disagrees with Hartnett on selling long-duration Treasuries and the dollar at current levels. He emphasizes that CTA selling is now in "full sell mode" across major indices and that the US consumer is showing clear signs of stress via declining retail sales, rising savings rates, and stagnant wage growth.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-12 12:26

The Machines Are DUMPING STOCKS—What You NEED to Do RIGHT NOW!

CTA and systematic strategy selling cascadeStrait of Hormuz closure and oil supply shockEnergy prices as recession precursor

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that multiple CTA (trend-following) sell signals have triggered across the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, kicking off what he describes as the first of three waves of systematic machine selling. He ties this to elevated oil prices driven by the Strait of Hormuz closure and mounting stress in private credit (Morgan Stanley gating redemptions). His core thesis: the combination of forced mechanical selling, sustained high energy prices, and private credit fragility sets up a recessionary path and potentially a financial crisis. He recommends shorting the S&P 500 and bank ETFs for traders, and reducing equity exposure / rotating into short-term Treasuries for long-only investors.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-12 00:24

BREAKING: Another Private Credit Fund is CRASHING—The BANKS are NEXT!

private credit crisisCliffwater redemption run

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a private credit crisis is unfolding, triggered by redemption requests at the $33B Cliffwater corporate lending fund and JP Morgan restricting credit to private credit funds. He frames this as the start of a credit bubble bursting that will drag down bank stocks and the broader market. He provides three short-side trade setups: SEF (inverse bank ETF), SH (inverse S&P 500 ETF), and a potential future short on oil via SCO. He notes counter-risk from extreme short positioning that could fuel a sharp rally if geopolitical tensions ease.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-09 17:45

JPMorgan Warns Massive Stock Correction Imminent—Here's How to Trade it!

Systematic selling cascades (CTA / dealer gamma / BofA-Goldman sell signals)

Preview:Steve Van Metre flags JPMorgan's tactical bearish call for a 10% S&P 500 correction to 6,270, arguing it could run much deeper due to systematic selling cascades, surging oil prices after Gulf production cuts, and bond-market volatility. He lays out a short-side playbook using inverse ETFs and puts while promoting his energy-long trades and a SPAC sponsor (CHAC).

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-08 18:04

Oil Shock + Job Losses + Credit Crisis… This Is Bad

labor market deteriorationnegative payrollsretail sales weakness

Preview:The speakers argue that the labor market has clearly weakened, with five of the last nine months of payrolls negative after revisions, and that the pattern matters more than any one print. They connect the jobs deterioration to weak retail sales, falling labor participation, lower average hourly earnings, and a worsening private credit backdrop, while warning that the new oil shock could push an already fragile economy into something worse. Their broader point is that the market and many investors have normalized repeated negative data as "just noise," even though the trend is still drifting lower.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-08 16:45

MASSIVE Machine Selling TRIGGERED: 4 Trades You MUST Do RIGHT NOW!

CTA and systematic strategy positioningDealer gamma and delta hedging dynamics

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Goldman Sachs and Bank of America CTA trigger levels have been breached on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100, unleashing a cascade of systematic selling ($190B in equities, ~$64B from US alone) starting Monday. He frames this as a massive wealth-building opportunity and outlines four trades: short equities using CTA levels as stops, long oil via options (but warns the real opportunity is the eventual short), and long gold/silver with tight stops. He ties the thesis to Iran conflict-driven oil spikes, dealer gamma positioning at crisis lows, and a broadly risk-off setup that "virtually no investors are prepared for."

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-07 00:52

BREAKING: Payroll Bombshell Sends Stocks Crashing—THE MACHINES ARE SELLING!

February 2026 payroll report (-92K) and downward revisionsAverage hourly earnings decline and inflation implications

Preview:Steven Van Metre reacts to a surprisingly negative February payrolls report (-92,000 vs expectations for positive) and a plunging retail sales figure. He argues the labor market is weakening faster than most expected, consumer spending power is eroding, and the Iran/Hormuz oil shock will squeeze consumers who cannot absorb higher energy prices — making the typical "buy the war dip" play dangerous. He highlights CTA trend-following sell thresholds on the S&P 500 (6,752) and sees a potential cascade of machine selling into the following week, advising viewers to de-risk longs or position short.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-05 18:45

BREAKING: Another BlackRock Loan JUST BLEW UP—Everything You Need to Know!

Private credit blow-up riskBlackRock loan write-downLabor market deterioration

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that BlackRock's 100% write-down of a private credit loan signals systemic trouble ahead. He connects this to weakening labor market data (rising continuing claims, collapsing hiring plans, falling productivity) and warns that a recession is likely, which will trigger more private credit blow-ups and a stock market crash led by banks and tech.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-04 18:45

OH SH*T! Qatar's LNG Shutdown Will Plunge China (and the World) into a Recession!

Qatar LNG shutdown and Iran conflictGlobal energy price shock transmission to consumersStagflation risk and historical recession patterns

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Qatar's forced LNG shutdown following an Iranian drone strike, combined with already-rising factory input prices and margin compression, will trigger a stagflationary recession. He claims 1 billion Asian and European consumers face an immediate spending shock, that South Korea's record one-day crash previews what's coming for US markets, and that Goldman's "buy the dip" call is wrong. He pitches his trading system and lays out defensive positioning: energy longs with tight stops, rotation into utilities/healthcare/staples, tactical shorts on tech, and cash/bonds.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-04 04:30

URGENT: The Machines are About to Sell—Key Trigger Levels You MUST KNOW!

Dollar short-squeeze riskCTA/systematic selling trigger levelsDealer gamma and options expiration dynamics

Preview:Steve Van Metre warns that a sharp two-day dollar rally threatens to unwind one of the largest short-dollar positions in market history. He maps out CTA trigger levels for the S&P 500, QQQ, gold, and bonds, arguing that a dollar breakout above resistance could spark forced selling of risk assets as the crowded "short dollar / long stocks" carry trade reverses. Key levels: DXY 100.4, S&P 500 at 6752 (next CTA sell trigger), EUR/USD 1.1663. He presents gold as relatively insulated, oil as a near-term winner, and outlines potential trade setups including long dollar, short euro, and short bank stocks.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-02 18:45

The $10 Trillion Dollar Short Trade is About to Unwind!

Iran conflict energy shockDollar short squeeze thesisRecession risk from energy prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the escalating Iran conflict has triggered a surge in oil (+10%) and natural gas (+50%), threatening to tip the fragile global economy into recession. His central thesis is that this energy spike is colliding with a massive, crowded US dollar short position — one held by CTAs, speculators, and major banks like JP Morgan — creating the conditions for a violent dollar squeeze. He warns that an unwinding of this short trade could hammer bank stocks, pop a credit bubble, and trigger a broad market correction, while offering a defensive playbook involving long dollars, defensives, short-term treasuries, and tight stops on energy longs.

Crypto Banter

Steven Van Metre

2026-03-01 02:00

This Happened Right Before 2008 (It's Happening Again!)

private creditBlue Owlconsumer delinquencies

Preview:A Crypto Banter interview with Steven Van Metre argues that a private-credit accident, rising consumer delinquencies, weak labor data, and falling share buybacks point to a broader credit and market slowdown that could eventually hit equities, spending, and crypto risk appetite.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-28 18:45

Credit Markets ONLY Do This Right Before a MARKET CRASH!

Private credit bubbleMFS collapse and rehypothecationFSKR Capital dividend cut and loan markdowns

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a private credit bubble is beginning to burst, citing the collapse of UK bridging lender MFS (with a $1.3B collateral shortfall from double-pledging), dividend cuts and portfolio write-downs at FSKR Capital and Midcap Financial Investment Corp, redemption gates at German real estate funds, and technical breakdowns in HYG, XLF, and QQQ. He recommends rotating into defensives, long bonds, and silver, while tactically shorting big tech, banks, and high-yield bonds, and promotes his trading subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-26 18:45

CHINA IS RUNNING OUT OF SILVER—MASSIVE RALLY IMMINENT!

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues silver is primed for a massive breakout, driven by Chinese physical shortage visible in Shanghai Futures Exchange backwardation, extreme options-market bullishness, miner-stock all-time highs diverging from spot, and Deutsche Bank's $100 year-end target (which he suggests could prove conservative). He ties this to a broader bearish equity thesis post-NVIDIA earnings, recommending rotation into defensives and precious metals. The episode is heavily interwoven with promotion of his Momentum Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-25 18:45

HOLY SH*T! Another Private Credit Fund is BLOWING UP!

private credit market distressNew Mountain Finance loan saleUBS default rate forecast

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the $1.8 trillion private credit market is on the verge of a crisis, pointing to New Mountain Finance selling $477M in loans at a 6% discount and UBS forecasting private credit defaults surging to 15%. He contends banks are highly exposed through BDCs, leveraged loans, and CLO structures, drawing parallels to 2008. The episode includes a sponsored segment for Atai Life Sciences (ATI) and tactical trading advice to rotate into defensives, precious metals, and cash/short-term Treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-24 18:45

COMEX BOMBSHELL: MASSIVE SILVER SQUEEZE TRIGGERED!

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents a bullish thesis on silver, centered on COMEX registered inventories falling below 90 million ounces — a critical level that, combined with open interest exceeding available stock by 400%, creates conditions for a delivery squeeze. He argues the February 2026 futures settlement (tomorrow) is the first potential trigger, with escalating risk into March. Supporting factors include Shanghai silver trading at a $10+ premium, exploding silver volatility (VXSLV), a weakening yen boosting the carry trade, and technicals turning bullish. The video is roughly half market analysis and half sponsored promotion for NexPlat Corp (NXPL).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-23 16:39

BREAKING: A Major Private Credit Company is CRASHING and on the VERGE of INSOLVENCY!

Blue Owl private credit crisisContagion to bank stocks and tech2007-2008 financial crisis analog

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Blue Owl's private credit troubles — fund gates, forced asset sales, and a hedge fund offering to buy stakes at steep discounts — have now spilled beyond private credit into bank stocks, tech, the dollar, gold, silver, and long bonds. He draws parallels to 2007-2008, warning of a brewing financial crisis as credit dries up. He presents a bearish case for equities (especially banks and tech) and the dollar, and a bullish case for gold, silver, and long Treasuries via TLT.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-22 19:08

Walmart Just Revealed the Dire State of the Economy

Walmart earnings and hiring recession warningUS consumer stress and savings depletionReal income contraction (private sector)

Preview:A discussion of Walmart's Q4 2025 earnings call where CFO John David Rainey explicitly warned of a "hiring recession" — stark language that the hosts argue signals the US consumer is approaching a breaking point. They connect Walmart's warning to falling real incomes, a savings rate dropping to 3.6% (lowest since October 2022), General Mills cutting guidance, and rising delinquencies, framing it as evidence of a multi-year downturn ("forgot how to grow") that keeps worsening incrementally.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-22 18:30

URGENT WARNING: BofA JUST Dropped a MASSIVE BOMBSHELL!

Institutional selling and liquidity droughtHedge fund positioning and leverage unwindRetail investor all-in and margin debt parallels to 2000

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents a bearish macro warning driven by BofA and Goldman data showing institutional investors sold the second-largest amount of US equities on record, hedge funds are shorting tech heavily, corporate insiders are dumping at the fastest pace since early 2021, and market liquidity is at extremely low levels. He argues these conditions have preceded every major correction over the past two years, and that the NASDAQ 100's failure to make a new high, combined with record retail buying on margin, sets up a "massive correction." He recommends defensive rotations, cash, and possibly shorting big tech, while pitching his CTA-strategy trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-19 18:30

WTF! Massive Private Credit Fund is BLOWING UP and BLOCKING ALL WITHDRAWALS!

private credit crisisBlue Owl Capital redemption haltBDC sector risks

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that Blue Owl Capital's halt of redemptions on its OBDC2 fund signals the first crack in the $2 trillion private credit shadow banking system. He argues forced loan sales, heavy software-sector exposure, rising PIK interest, and hidden default rates mean a credit crisis is imminent — and that the stock market will follow private credit down. He recommends exiting private credit, rotating to defensives, and for aggressive traders, shorting big tech.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-18 19:15

HOLY SH*T! Texas Real Estate JUST TRIGGERED a National Warning!

Housing market inventory surgePre-GFC parallelsConsumer credit delinquencies

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that surging unsold new-home inventory (now exceeding 115,000 units, the highest since 2009), collapsing buyer demand, rising delinquencies across credit cards, auto loans, student loans, and commercial mortgages, combined with a "jobless recovery," signal the U.S. housing market is on the same trajectory as the pre-GFC period. He predicts downward pressure on home prices, the economy, and stocks, and recommends rotating into defensives (utilities, healthcare, staples), holding cash/short-term Treasuries, and considering tactical shorts on big tech.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-17 19:15

Goldman Sachs's TERRIFYING WARNING!

AI capex and Magnificent 7 buyback riskGoldman Sachs market warning

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the AI bubble is near bursting, citing a Goldman Sachs warning that soaring AI capex among the Magnificent 7 will force a halt to stock buybacks — removing the market's biggest prop. He combines this with technical signals (NASDAQ sideways at the 100-day MA, rising VXN, Wyckoff distribution) and investor positioning data (record-low cash levels) to call for a massive tech correction of 25% or more, potentially starting within days. He recommends rotating into defensives, shorting big tech tactically, and holding cash or short-term Treasuries. The back half of the video is a sponsored segment for Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-12 18:30

BREAKING: Stocks Crash as Yen Carry Trade Unwinds!

BOJ rate hike expectations

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a strengthening Japanese yen is triggering the unwinding of the massive yen carry trade, which he claims will cause a sharp crash in US equities — particularly tech stocks. He points to hedge funds flipping bullish on the yen, JGB yields rising, and the election of Prime Minister Sai Takahichi as catalysts. He recommends rotating into defensive sectors, holding cash and short-term treasuries, and for aggressive traders, shorting big tech. The video is heavily promotional, with an extended paid sponsorship segment for Enhanced Games (NASDAQ: APA).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-11 19:15

OH SH*T! The Labor Market JUST Flashed the Same Setup That Crashed Stocks in 2000 and 2008!

January 2025 BLS jobs reportSeasonal adjustments and payroll overstatementWage growth slowdown and recession signals

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the January 2025 jobs report is a mirage: the headline +130K payrolls gain masks an unadjusted loss of ~2.65 million jobs, entirely dependent on seasonal adjustments. He warns that downward revisions, softening hours, slowing wage growth, and the NASDAQ 100's failure at its 100-day moving average form a setup reminiscent of pre-recession crashes in 2000 and 2008. He recommends defensive rotation, gold mining trades, and tactical shorts on big tech while pitching his CTA subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-10 19:15

The Economy ONLY Does This Right Before a RECESSION!

Retail sales declineReal vs. nominal spendingInventory overhang

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that real (inflation-adjusted) retail sales have turned negative — a pattern he claims has only occurred right before the 2000, 2008, and 2022 downturns. He presents a series of overlaid charts linking declining retail sales to falling stocks (NASDAQ 100), lower Treasury yields, disinflation, decelerating wage growth, rising unemployment, inventory gluts, collapsing corporate profits, and eventual recession. The video is structured as a bearish macro warning, recommending rotation into defensives (utilities, healthcare, consumer staples), tactical shorts on big tech, short-term Treasuries, and holding off on gold/silver until a confirmed bottom. Much of the runtime promotes his paid trading service, CTA Timer Pro.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-09 19:15

OH SH*T! Beijing JUST Ordered Banks to DUMP TREASURIES!

PBOC monetary policy trap

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes reports that Beijing advised Chinese banks to reduce Treasury holdings, framing it initially as a potential dollar-crisis threat before pivoting to his real thesis: the PBOC is using "concentration risk" as a pretext to scare banks out of Treasuries and into Chinese bonds. His core argument is that Chinese banks are already levering up massively on domestic bonds (betting on China's recession and lower rates), and the PBOC wants to accelerate this to drive borrowing costs down without cutting rates directly — which they fear would collapse the yuan. He recommends defensive US equities, short-term Treasuries, and tactical shorts on Chinese stocks once they break the 200-day MA. The episode includes a sponsored segment on Resolve AI (RZLV).

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-08 18:30

New Jobs Data Crashes Markets (What You Must Know)

labor market weaknessChallenger layoffsADP revisions

Preview:The video argues that a cluster of January labor-market reports—Challenger layoffs, ADP revisions, and JOLTS/claims data—shows the U.S. labor market weakening far more than markets and policymakers expected. The hosts say this helps explain the sharp selloff in speculative assets, private credit, and riskier parts of the stock market, and they warn that the downside could continue if labor softness feeds into spending, lending, and layoffs.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-08 17:00

I JUST Got a FRIGHTENING E-mail from BofA!

BofA Bull & Bear Indicator sell signalHedge fund leverage and positioning extremesCTA / systematic selling triggers and thresholds

Preview:Steven Van Metre reviews a Bank of America sell-side warning: the BofA Bull & Bear Indicator hit 9.6, matching levels last seen before the 2008 crisis and prior market tops since 2002. He layers on extreme hedge fund leverage (gross 317%), record-low mutual fund cash (1.1%), massive insider selling at 5:1, CTAs poised to dump ~$80B if S&P 500 closes below 6,707, and a delayed non-farm payroll report due Wednesday that could break the bullish narrative. The show ends with a sponsored pitch for Enhanced Games (NASDAQ: APA).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-05 19:15

The Labor Market Just Signaled a STOCK MARKET CRASH is Imminent!

US labor market deteriorationJanuary 2026 layoffs and hiring freezeJobless claims and recession signal

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the labor market is flashing a recession signal comparable to what preceded the dot-com bust and GFC. He cites surging layoffs (108K in January, highest since 2009), rising jobless claims, falling job openings, and declining hours — claiming this means a stock market crash is imminent. He overlays a "WOFF distribution pattern" on the NASDAQ 100 and concludes investors should rotate to defensives, hold cash/short-term Treasuries, and for pros, tactically short big tech. The episode includes a lengthy pitch for his CTA Timer Pro trading subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-04 19:15

Treasuries ONLY Do This Right Before a MARKET CRASH!

Treasury yield curvebear steepener

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Treasury market is flashing a classic pre-crash warning: a bear steepener, weakening bills vs. longer yields, and deteriorating labor/services data. He says the setup resembles prior tops before the dot-com bust, the GFC, and COVID, and he uses that to justify a defensive posture, with tactical shorting only for experienced traders.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-03 18:45

Investors Are DUMPING Loans!!

private credit

Preview:The speaker argues that a wave of stress in private credit, especially loans tied to software and AI-exposed businesses, is already showing up in loan prices and could spill into broader credit tightening, recession risk, and a stock-market correction. He pairs that macro warning with a sponsored segment on Grid AI Technologies (GRDX), which he says is bottoming technically and positioned to benefit from rising AI power demand.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-02 19:01

OH SH*T! The Banks Are OUT OF GOLD!

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the apparent gold shortage at banks is real in physical markets, but the near-term price action in gold and silver is still vulnerable because paper-market selling from CTAs, dealers, and bank risk controls may dominate first. He says this creates a short-term downside setup even though long-term physical demand remains strong, and he repeatedly frames his service as the way to time the turn.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-01 18:33

Holy Sh*t! The Credit Losses Are WAY Bigger Than You Think

leverage loansprivate creditPIK financing

Preview:The video argues that leverage loan prices, private credit conditions, and related credit-market indicators are turning down again in January 2026, signaling rising economic stress rather than a renewed boom. The speakers frame this as corroborated by PIK financing, buyer strikes, higher SRT spreads, more fallen angels, and weak AI/large-cap tech cash-flow dynamics.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-02-01 18:01

BofA Warns: GOLD CRASH IMMINENT!

Bank of America commentary

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the recent silver/gold blowoff is a short-term bubble that could unwind further, citing BofA’s warning that metals are extremely overbought and noting dealer/option/futures dynamics that he says are driving the move. He also uses the episode to pitch Resolve AI heavily as the sponsor and as a separate growth stock idea.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-31 18:01

OH SH*T! China is About to DUMP Gold and Silver!

Fed chair nomination

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the recent collapse in gold, silver, and other precious metals is not just a one-day U.S. rate story, but the start of a larger unwind that began in China. He says Chinese retail/speculative buying, funding problems at small platforms, higher futures margin requirements, CTA/systematic selling, and dealer hedging around record call-option activity could keep pressure on metals into Monday and beyond.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-29 18:00

Microsoft JUST Issued a DIRE WARNING: "The AI Bubble is About to BURST"!

Microsoft AI capex and earnings missMeta cash burn and debt dependencyOpenAI concentration risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Microsoft's massive AI capex miss — $37.5B in a single quarter, up 66% YoY with no commensurate return — signals the AI bubble is bursting. He extends the warning to Meta (burning through cash, eyeing up to $135B in 2026 capex), Amazon (cutting 16,000 jobs), and ASML (cutting managerial roles), framing it all as a broader economic deterioration, not just an AI problem. His thesis: negative free cash flow will force tech companies to abandon buybacks, tap debt markets, and lay off workers, eventually dragging the whole market down. He recommends defensive rotation into utilities, healthcare, gold, silver, and cash, and for aggressive traders, shorting banks and big tech.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-28 18:01

Trump Just Signaled a MASSIVE Dollar Debasement—Silver to $170?!

Trump policy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Trump’s weaker-dollar rhetoric is a warning sign for a broader dollar debasement trade: the dollar is weakening, foreigners may repatriate capital, and the market is already responding by bidding up gold and silver. He says this is not a clean growth story for the U.S.; instead it risks higher import costs, rising inflation, layoffs, higher rates, and a recession-like setup, so he recommends defensive positioning, precious metals exposure, and caution with risk assets.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-27 18:00

The $9T JGB Market is About to IMPLODE and PLUNGE the DOLLAR Into a DEATH SPIRAL!

Japan 40-year JGB auction and potential failureJapanese life insurer boycott of super-long JGBs

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Japan's upcoming 40-year JGB auction could fail as life insurers boycott it, triggering a surge in global bond yields, a yen crash, a dollar death spiral, and potentially a global recession. He ties this to the unwinding of the yen carry trade and recommends defensive positioning: utilities, healthcare, gold/silver, shorting banks/tech, and going long the yen. The video also heavily promotes sponsor IMMX (IMX Bioarma) with a technical chart setup suggesting a 35% upside move.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-26 18:00

OH SH*T! Japan JUST THREATENED a Plaza Accord II!

Plaza Accord II speculation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Japan faces a crisis: the yen must rally ahead of a February 8 snap election to curb imported inflation and secure PM Takayichi's tax-cut mandate, or authorities will intervene — potentially via a coordinated "Plaza Accord II" where multiple nations dump dollars to buy yen. He warns this would unwind the $2 trillion yen carry trade, triggering a global equity correction potentially worse than the 25% drop in early 2025, especially given record-short VIX positioning, extreme retail inflows, and exhausted buying volume. He recommends defensive rotation, gold/silver, short-term Treasuries, and tactical short positions on banks and big tech.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-25 18:30

Ray Dalio Makes Shocking Prediction (Here’s What You MUST Know)

Ray Dalio critiquecapital wars

Preview:The video argues that Ray Dalio is wrong to frame the dollar/treasury system as being undermined by ‘capital wars.’ The speaker’s core position is that the dollar’s role is driven by global payment plumbing and Eurodollar functionality, not by political sentiment, so foreigners still need dollars and treasuries even if they dislike U.S. policy.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-24 18:00

U S & Japan About to DUMP $100's of BILLIONS in DOLLARS—MELTDOWN Imminent!

US-Japan coordinated currency interventionBOJ monetary policy and rate hike reluctance

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a coordinated US-Japan currency intervention to weaken the dollar and strengthen the yen is imminent, based on the NY Fed's "rate check" inquiries and Treasury Secretary Bessent's comments. He claims this will unwind trillions in yen carry trades, triggering a 25%+ stock market crash — drawing parallels to 2024 and early 2025 selloffs. The thesis links Japan's inflation/wage dynamics, BOJ reluctance to hike rates, and US desire for lower Treasury yields. He pitches defensive positioning (utilities, healthcare, gold/silver, cash/short-term Treasuries) and his CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-22 18:00

Goldman WARNS: $210B SELLING Tsunami Threatens IMMINENT STOCK CRASH!

CTA sellingmarket positioning

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Goldman Sachs is warning of a near-term market selloff driven by systematic de-risking, with CTA models close to key thresholds and potentially forcing roughly $200B+ of equity selling. He combines that with elevated bullish sentiment, stretched valuations, heavy positioning, and weakening labor-market data to make a bearish near-term case, while urging more defensive positioning and some cash or short-duration Treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-21 18:00

Moody's WARNS: IMMINENT 40% CRASH in Stocks as $627B AI Bubble is About to Burst!

Moody’s reportprivate credit contagion

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Moody’s has effectively outlined an AI bubble scenario in which AI-related valuations could fall 40% within months, and that the fallout could spread beyond tech into private credit, banks, jobs, and consumer spending. He supports this with examples like Netflix and Oracle, survey data showing low cash levels and high bullishness, and a chart-based claim that the Nasdaq 100 is in a WOFF distribution pattern. The video blends a bearish market call with a trading-system pitch and promotional content.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-20 18:00

OH SH*T! Japan JUST Threatened to DUMP $1.2 TRILLION in Treasuries!

yen carry trade

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a Japan bond-market break could trigger a major unwind of the yen carry trade, lift U.S. yields, and pressure stocks, especially tech and banks. He treats the move as already starting and recommends defensive positioning, cash, short-term Treasuries, and possibly tactical longs in the yen and gold/silver, while also using the video to push his paid trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-19 18:01

BofA Warns: $6 TRILLION BANK RUN IMMINENT!

bank depositsbank run risk

Preview:Steve Van Meter argues that Bank of America’s warning about up to $6 trillion moving from bank deposits into stablecoins is a real systemic threat, because it would shrink bank funding, raise loan rates, and potentially trigger bank failures and a broader credit contraction. He frames stablecoins as a higher-yield, Treasury-backed alternative that could pull money out of the banking system, and he says the policy fight over whether stablecoins can pay yield is the key near-term catalyst.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-18 20:10

HOLY SHT! Did You See What JUST Happened to Freddie Mac?!

Freddie Mac selloffcash bufferhousing market weakness

Preview:The video argues that Freddie Mac’s sharp stock drop is less about politics and more about a worsening cash-and-jobs backdrop. The host and guest say the market is starting to price in labor-market weakness, rising delinquencies, and the possibility that Freddie/Fannie could be forced to use cash for mortgage purchases, leaving too little buffer if the economy slows further.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-15 18:00

HOLY SH*T! $3T Private Credit Market About to BLOW UP!

private creditcovenant-lite lendingcredit cycle

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that private credit is entering a late-cycle stress phase: lenders are stripping covenants to keep business flowing, borrower cash flows are weakening, and rising delinquencies plus softening labor data could turn hidden stress into a broader banking/recession problem. He pairs that macro warning with a promotional trading pitch, saying his CTA system flagged EWY before a 16.54% 14-day move and that subscribers can use the same framework for signals and risk control.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-14 18:00

Citi's SHOCKING Warning: Why They Say in SIX DAYS Markets Will CRASH!

credit cyclebank lending standardsrecession risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Citi’s warning is really a warning about a broader credit slowdown already underway: banks are tightening standards, credit demand is weakening, delinquencies are rising, and that combination points to recession risk and possibly a bigger financial unwind. He frames bank stocks, QQQ, and the yen carry trade as the key market links, then pivots into a tactical pitch for defensives, bonds, gold/silver, cash, and his paid trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-13 18:00

JPMorgan JUST Confirmed the Next Financial CRISIS!

credit cycleJPMorgan earningsbank lending standards

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that JPMorgan’s earnings, reserve builds, tighter lending, and weaker fee income are early signs the credit cycle has peaked and recession risk is rising. He extends that into a bearish near-term market call, saying bank stocks are a leading warning for QQQ and the broader equity market, and ends with a tactical rotation toward defensives, cash, Treasuries, yen, and precious metals. The episode also contains a lengthy sponsored pitch for Foremost Clean Energy (FMST) tied to the AI power / uranium theme.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-12 18:00

Fed's Powell Issues DOLLAR CRASH WARNING!

Fed independenceJerome Powell

Preview:Steve argues that a DOJ/Fed investigation and threats around Jerome Powell are a direct attack on Federal Reserve independence, and that this is bullish for gold and silver while pressuring the dollar and, near term, stocks. He ties the macro story to positioning, saying the dollar is crowded, metals are underowned, and a weaker dollar plus rising inflation could drive an outsized metals rally, even as he warns the setup is overbought and could pull back first.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-11 18:22

Trump Just Pulled the Trigger on Housing… (Brace for Impact)

Trump administration housing policymortgage ratesQE and MBS purchases

Preview:The video argues that the Trump administration’s proposed $200B mortgage-security purchase program—framed by the hosts as “GSEQE” or “Trump QE”—will not meaningfully lower mortgage rates or revive housing because the core problem is a weakening labor market and tighter bank lending, not mortgage pricing alone.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-11 18:01

Trump's SHOCKING $200B Bombshell Indicates IMMINENT Housing CRISIS!

Trump Fannie Mae Freddie Mac $200B mortgage bond directiveHousing starts as leading recession indicatorMortgage rate efficacy of GSE vs Fed MBS purchases

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Trump's order for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $200B in mortgage bonds, arguing it will likely have minimal impact on housing affordability. He contends the real issue is jobs and incomes, not rates or supply. Using housing starts charts, he warns that declining construction activity historically leads to recessions and bear markets, and recommends rotating into defensives, short-term Treasuries, and potentially shorting big tech. The video includes a sponsor segment for Mindwalk Holdings (HYFT).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-10 18:00

President Trump's ULTIMATUM Has Banks Panicking!

credit-card rate capbank lending standardsrecession risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Trump’s push to cap credit-card rates at 10% is a squeeze on banks that could backfire by reducing credit availability, tightening lending, and worsening an already weakening economy. He ties that setup to recession signals in leading indicators, labor market softening, bank tightening data, and a likely risk-off move in bank stocks, tech, and cyclical assets.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-08 18:01

HOLY SH*T! $14 BILLION Silver SELL-OFF Starts TOMORROW!

BCOM rebalancingforced commodity selling

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that silver is setting up for a violent near-term move because a Bloomberg Commodity Index rebalancing will force between $7 billion and $14 billion of silver selling over about five trading days starting January 9. He says that could smash a market that has already rallied 138% in 2025, but he also presents the selloff as potentially buyable if London liquidity remains tight and the US continues to hold physical silver.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-07 18:15

The SAME Warning Signal That Preceded the Dot-Com Bust & GFC Just Hit!

JOLTS job openingslabor market recessionNASDAQ 100

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a sharp decline in U.S. job openings is the key warning signal that a labor-market recession is starting and that stocks, especially big tech, are vulnerable to a major correction. He leans on JOLTS, ADP, ISM services backlogs, and a JP Morgan outlook to argue that weaker hiring, fewer hours, and slower pay growth will hit spending and eventually force the Fed to cut rates, but cuts will arrive too late to prevent economic and market weakness.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-06 18:00

HOLY SH*T! Asia's Biggest Banks JUST Bet $61 BILLION on DOLLAR CRASH!

yen carry tradeJapanese banksdollar weakness

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a surge in Asian dollar borrowing — especially from Japanese banks — signals a coming dollar decline, yen strength, and a potential unwind of the yen carry trade that has supported U.S. stocks. He ties that thesis to rising Japanese bond yields, BOJ tightening pressure, and Japanese stimulus, then pivots into trading advice and a long CTA product pitch.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-05 18:01

U.S. Manufacturers Just Sent a TERRIFYING Warning to the ENTIRE Economy!

U.S. manufacturing datarecession warningstagflation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the U.S. manufacturing downturn is a recession warning: ISM manufacturing has contracted for 10 straight months, new orders and export orders are weak, backlogs and employment are falling, and input prices are still rising. He ties that to shrinking paychecks, stagflation risk, and eventual weakness in housing, consumer spending, and stocks, while warning that AI optimism and refund checks won’t offset the slowdown.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-04 18:27

The TRILLION Dollar AI Debt Bubble Is Bursting

credit cycleprivate credit

Preview:The video argues that the AI boom is increasingly a credit story, not just an equity story. The speakers say the real risk is the massive debt and private credit funding behind data centers and AI buildout, which could damage both lenders and the mega-cap companies if the cycle turns before AI produces enough cash flow.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-04 18:00

The $25 TRILLION AI Debt Bubble Is BURSTING!

AI capexdebt bubblebank lending standards

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the AI capex boom has become a debt-fueled bubble that is already starting to crack, with banks, lending standards, and negative free cash flow now the key stress points. He uses examples like Oracle, Microsoft, Amazon, QQQ, and off-balance-sheet structures to argue that financing constraints—not just valuation—could force the unwind, while also mixing in a broad promotional pitch for his trading system and a tactical setup for EWY, cash, Treasuries, yen, and defensive sectors.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2026-01-03 18:00

UBS's SHOCKING Warning: $1.45T European Bank on the VERGE of COLLAPSE—Why MORE Banks Are Next!

private creditDeutsche Bankglobal manufacturing PMIs

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that UBS’s analysis of Deutsche Bank and Europe’s private-credit exposure is an early warning of a broader banking problem. He ties that risk to weakening global manufacturing PMIs, falling new orders, rising inventories, and higher input prices, which he says could trigger layoffs, tighter lending, delinquency spikes, and ultimately bank stress. The video mixes macro warning with a heavy promotional push for his trading system and a recent EWY trade win.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-30 18:00

The World ISN'T Ready For What the DOLLAR is About to Do—You're WARNED!

Fed rate cutscurrency crisis

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a weaker U.S. dollar in 2026 will amplify inflation, unemployment, and global currency stress, with the Fed’s rate cuts and slowing imports acting as the main catalysts. He uses dollar, unemployment, CPI, import, and Treasury-yield charts to claim the dollar is topping and that the setup is bond-bullish but risky for stocks, especially big tech and the yen carry trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-29 18:00

Holy Sh*t! Something MAJOR Just Broke in the $38 Trillion U.S. Treasury Market!

U.S. Treasury settlement failsFed liquidity policybank lending contraction

Preview:The video argues that a major failure to settle 10-year Treasury trades signals a broader liquidity shortage in the U.S. financial system. The speaker says the Fed’s policy shifts have not fixed the problem, and that the result could be tighter lending, higher volatility, and a rotation into bonds, the yen, or cash-like defenses if markets start to unwind.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-22 18:01

😱 OH SH*T! The Bank of Japan is THREATENING to DUMP $1.2 TRILLION in U.S. TREASURIES!

Bank of Japan

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the Bank of Japan’s recent rate hike is not stabilizing the yen but instead setting up a more dangerous unwind: higher yen volatility, potential BOJ intervention, and possible sales of Japan’s roughly $1.2 trillion in U.S. Treasuries. He thinks that could hit U.S. rates, tech stocks, and broader risk assets through a yen carry-trade reversal, while creating tactical opportunities in defensives, cash, short-duration Treasuries, and possibly yen/dollar moves.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-21 18:41

The $25 Trillion AI Bubble Depends on One Thing… Debt

AI bubble and credit cycle intersectionBlue Owl Capital and Oracle deal breakdownPrivate credit market stress and redemptions

Preview:The speakers argue that Blue Owl Capital's refusal to partner with Oracle on an AI data-center deal is a pivotal signal that the AI credit bubble is cracking. They contend the entire AI infrastructure buildout has depended on an assumption of unlimited debt funding, and that the credit cycle is now turning — lenders are asking harder questions about cash flows, profitability, and payback. Oracle's deteriorating financials (negative free cash flow, collapsing stock, CDS blowing out) make it the "black sheep" of AI, and Blue Owl — already under pressure from redemptions and its own credit-quality questions — cannot afford the association. The thesis extends beyond AI: tightening credit will hit marginal borrowers first, with implications for the broader economy, private credit funds, and even Bitcoin as a leveraged risk-on play.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-20 18:00

🚨 CarMax COLLAPSE Sends a MAJOR WARNING to the Economy!

CarMaxconsumer spendinglabor market

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues CarMax’s weak same-store sales are a recession warning, not an idiosyncratic auto-retail problem. He links falling consumer sentiment, slowing labor income, and still-sticky inflation to an emerging 2026 downturn, then pivots to a defensive / bearish positioning playbook and a promotional plug for his CTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-18 18:00

💣 JPMorgan's SHOCKING $350 BILLION BET—The Same Bet They Did Before the 2019 LIQUIDITY CRISIS!

repo market stressJPMorgan reservesFed rate cuts

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that JPMorgan and other banks intentionally drained reserves and disrupted repo markets to force the Fed into rate cuts and liquidity injections. He links the current setup to 2019, says banks are loading up on Treasuries to benefit from falling rates, and frames gold, long bonds, cash/short-term Treasuries, the yen, and even shorting big tech as the main ways to position for the next unwind.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-16 18:00

⚠️ HOLY SH*T! 1 Million FULL-TIME JOBS LOST—U.S. Recession NOW WEEKS AWAY!

labor market deteriorationBLS payroll reportrecession warning

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the November payroll report is masking a much weaker U.S. labor market: headline job growth is still positive, but full-time work is falling, part-time work is rising, unemployment is climbing, and leading indicators suggest layoffs and demand weakness will worsen into early 2026. He pairs that macro view with a tactical bullish call on gold and a defensive/hedging playbook that favors cash, short-term Treasuries, yen, utilities, healthcare, and possibly shorting big tech if the unwind he expects starts to hit risk assets.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-15 18:00

😱 HOLY SH*T! The Bank of Japan is about to DUMP ¥83 TRILLION of Stocks–Global MELTDOWN Imminent!

Bank of Japan ETF salesBOJ rate hikeyen carry trade

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Bank of Japan is poised to flip from a huge stealth buyer of equities into a seller, and he thinks that, combined with a likely BOJ rate hike, could tighten global liquidity and trigger a yen-carry-trade unwind. He frames this as a near-term catalyst for a broader equity, crypto, and tech correction, while repeatedly pushing viewers toward defensive positioning and his trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-14 18:00

🚨 BofA's DIRE Alert to ALL Customers: Massive Threat Hits in DAYS–Why YOU MUST ACT NOW!

Fed rate cutequity correction

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Fed’s latest cut and liquidity measures are not bullish but a warning that the economy is weakening and markets are setting up for a correction. He links a reversal in Treasuries/TLT, overbought equity technicals, weak oil, high-yield bond softness, and Bitcoin weakness to the idea that stocks and tech are vulnerable in the near term, with a defensive rotation favored.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-13 18:00

⚠️ You Won't Believe What Just Happened In China!

China property crisisVanke default riskcredit contraction

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China Vanke’s failed bond-extension vote is a canary in the coal mine for a broader Chinese property bust, with spillovers into banks, credit, deflation, and global markets. He frames the situation as a systemic crisis rather than a single-company event, then pivots to tactical portfolio moves: reduce China/emerging-market exposure, hold more cash or Treasuries, and hedge with gold, silver, and potentially the dollar on a pullback.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-11 18:01

🚨 Oracle JUST CONFIRMED What NOBODY WANTS TO ADMIT About the AI BUBBLE!

Oracle earningsAI bubblecloud capex

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Oracle’s earnings and guidance exposed a deeper problem in the AI trade: huge capex, slower-than-expected cloud monetization, and rising leverage may mean the sector is overextended. He connects Oracle’s miss and stock drop to a broader warning about tightening financial conditions, falling two-year Treasury yields, weaker lending, and a coming labor-market deterioration that could pressure tech stocks and the wider market.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-10 18:00

💣 Banks in DANGER–Why the Fed's EMERGENCY MOVE CAN'T STOP the $2.8T Liquidity Drain!

Fed rate cutsreserve management purchasesbank reserves

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Fed’s latest rate cut and restart of reserve management purchases are not a sign of stimulus but an emergency attempt to stop a worsening liquidity drain. He says bank reserves have fallen to $2.83 trillion, lending is contracting, labor data are softening, and the Fed is trying to buy time before a larger crisis hits.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-09 18:00

Wendy's CAN'T Sell Burgers—Something's VERY WRONG!

consumer stressWendy's salesrecession risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Wendy’s declining lower-income traffic is a warning sign that consumers are running out of money, and that the weakness is spreading from fast food into housing, retail, and broader spending. He ties that to stagnant hours worked, inflation still near 3%, rising household debt stress, and upcoming medical-cost pressures, then urges viewers to rotate toward defensive assets and use his trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-08 18:00

😱 WTF! China’s Two BIGGEST Developers Just RAN OUT OF CASH!

China property crisisVanke debt extensionWanda Commercial Management

Preview:The video argues that China’s property crisis has become a systemic financial stress event, centered on China Vanke and Wanda Commercial Management seeking debt extensions while Beijing reportedly delays or suppresses housing data and hints at more stimulus for 2026. The speaker says this combination signals capitulation, threatens banks, commodities, supply chains, and global risk assets, and creates a tactical setup favoring cash, the dollar, short-dated Treasuries, gold, gold miners, and possibly Bitcoin.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-07 18:00

🚨 In 3 Days This SHOCKING U.S. Government Announcement Will STUN THE WORLD!

Fed liquidityQT endingrepo market stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Fed is about to restart balance-sheet expansion under a friendlier label — "reserve management purchases" — and that the market will likely react with a sharp year-end/Q1 rally. He frames the setup as a liquidity stress story in repo markets, but warns the rally could be fragile if labor data weakens or Powell sounds hawkish on the call.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-06 18:01

⚠️ HOLY SH*T! This Is the BIGGEST Late-Cycle Flag Since 2008—And It JUST TRIGGERED!

job cuts and weak hiring

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a sharp drop in Gallup holiday spending plans is an early warning that the U.S. consumer is breaking down, with job cuts, weaker hiring, tighter credit-like household adjustments, and rising inflation all pointing toward recession and a stock-market rollover. He frames the setup as both bearish for consumer-facing equities and bullish for cash, the dollar, Treasuries, gold, silver, and mining stocks, while repeatedly using CTA/trading-system promotion to sell his service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-04 18:01

💣 Japan Just PULLED THE TRIGGER—A $20T MELTDOWN is Imminent!

Bank of Japan policyJapanese carry trade

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Japan is about to trigger a major unwind in the yen carry trade because the Bank of Japan is likely to hike rates on December 19, which he says could pressure the Nasdaq 100, growth stocks, crypto, and other leveraged risk assets. He frames the setup as immediate, severe, and asymmetric: a stronger yen, higher JGB yields, and rising Japanese inflation/wages could force rapid de-risking and produce a sharp equity drawdown, while cash, long bonds, gold, silver, and yen exposure may benefit.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-03 18:01

HOLY SH*T! This ONLY Happens Before EVERY Recession—IT JUST TRIGGERED!

ADP payrollssmall-business layoffsFed policy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the latest ADP payroll print is a recession warning, with small-business layoffs, weaker wage growth, falling capacity utilization, and deteriorating profits all pointing to a 2026 downturn. He says the Fed is trapped between sticky services inflation and a collapsing labor market, and he frames the setup as a chance to rotate into defensives, cash, gold, Treasuries, and other rate-sensitive havens while avoiding overexposed cyclicals.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-02 18:00

😱 OH SH*T: Something JUST BROKE in the $11.9T Repo Market!

repo market stressbank reservesquantitative tightening

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the repo market is flashing a serious liquidity warning: banks are borrowing heavily from the Fed’s emergency facility, reserves have slipped below his cited threshold, QT has ended but liquidity is still deteriorating, and that tightening could spill into stocks, bonds, gold, crypto, and the broader economy. He frames the likely policy response as a rebranded form of QE or “reserve management purchases,” and he recommends defensive positioning: cash, T-bills, dollars, and rotation away from tech toward more defensive assets.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-12-01 18:01

🚨 Blue-Collar BLOODBATH: Why 30 Million U.S. Workers are About to LOSE THEIR JOB!

ISM Manufacturing PMIStagflation and recession riskGlobal manufacturing contraction

Preview:Steven Van Metre reacts to the November ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 48.2, arguing it signals a stagflationary recession is imminent. He details collapsing new orders (47.4), falling employment indices, rising prices paid, and massive inventory builds ahead of January tariffs. He extends the analysis globally — Canada, UK, Eurozone, Germany all contracting — and predicts the Fed will be trapped, unable to cut. His playbook: lock borrowing costs, build cash, rotate to defensives (staples, utilities, gold, short-term treasuries), and consider being long the dollar. The episode also features a sponsored segment promoting Super League (SLE).

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-30 18:15

HOLY SH*T! The REAL Crisis Just Started (And the Fed Is Hiding It)

Federal Reserve policy and FOMC rate decisionsUS labor market deterioration and layoffsFed Beige Book as leading indicator

Preview:Two speakers (Jeeoff and Steve) argue the Federal Reserve's public hawkish inflation rhetoric masks deep internal concern about labor market deterioration. They contend layoff announcements from HP and others, combined with the Fed's own Beige Book, reveal a shift from "no hire, no fire" to "no hire and some fire." They expect the Fed to likely pause in December but see a January rate cut as "a lock," while warning that rate cuts cannot fix structural job losses—particularly white-collar roles being attributed to AI. Consumer weakness, evidenced by disappointing Black Friday traffic and retailers' inability to raise prices, reinforces their bearish macro view.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-30 18:01

😱 China JUST Issued a TERRIFYING Warning to the WORLD—America ISN'T Ready for THIS!

China manufacturing contractionGlobal deflationary spiralChina property crisis (Vanke)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues China's 8-month manufacturing contraction signals a deflationary depression that will export cheap goods globally, crush commodity prices, trigger mass layoffs, and cause a 20-30% stock market haircut. He advises trimming China-exposed investments, taking profits on tech, rotating into defensives (bonds, utilities, staples, gold, treasuries), and holding cash or being long the dollar. The video is heavily interwoven with promotional content for his CTA Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-29 18:01

💣 China's $7.4B "Too Big to Fail" Property Developer is OUT OF CASH—$7T Real Estate Meltdown BEGINS!

China property crisisChinese banking system solvency

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China Vanke — the state-backed developer once considered "too big to fail" — is now on the brink of default after banks rejected its loan requests and S&P downgraded it to CCC-. He contends this is the trigger for a cascading $7 trillion Chinese property collapse that will export deflation globally, crush the Chinese banking system, and ultimately hit US markets. The practical thesis: position for prolonged disinflation, not reflation; trim China-exposed names; go long the dollar and short-term Treasuries; hold cash as "ammunition" for the eventual bottom. The episode is heavily interwoven with a pitch for his CDTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-26 18:00

⚠️ OH SH*T: Did You See What Just BROKE in Texas and Why It's a WARNING to the NATION?

Texas manufacturing collapse (Dallas Fed survey)National manufacturing contraction (Richmond Fed, Chicago PMI)Labor market deterioration (continuing claims, layoff predictions)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Texas manufacturing data signals a collapsing economy that will spread nationally within weeks. He cites the Dallas Fed's negative business activity index, cratering new orders in Richmond and Chicago, and rising continuing claims as evidence. His thesis: layoffs hit in early 2026, stocks get hammered, and viewers should rotate into defensives, gold, treasuries, and cash. The video heavily promotes his CTA Timer Pro subscription service (88% win rate claimed, 92% of open trades in the black).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-25 18:01

🚨 $44.6 Billion SPIKE in DELINQUENCIES Just Hit–Officially WORSE Than the Global Financial Crisis!

Commercial real estate delinquenciesCMBS market stressOffice loan defaults

Preview:Steven Van Metre delivers an alarmist monologue on surging commercial real estate (CRE) delinquencies, arguing the October 2025 CMBS delinquency rate of 7.46% — and an office-loan record of 11.76% — signals a crash worse than the Global Financial Crisis. He links the trend to weakening ADP jobs data, plunging consumer confidence, decelerating retail sales, and falling producer prices (driven by oil), warning of a doom loop: job losses → empty offices → defaults → regional bank insolvency → credit freeze. His prescribed hedge: rotate into cash, short-term Treasuries, gold, and long the dollar. The episode is also a heavy pitch for his CTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-24 18:00

💣 Blackrock's CLO Just EXPLODED—$2.1 TRILLION Private Credit Default APOCALYPSE Starts NOW!

private credit bubbleBlackRock Baker CLO failureBlue Owl fund gating

Preview:Steven Van Metre delivers an alarmist warning about private credit, arguing it is the "single most lethal asset class on Earth." He cites BlackRock's Baker CLO 2021-1 failing over-collateralization tests for 12 straight months, Blue Owl scrapping a fund merger after investors faced 20-25% losses, Fitch reporting 5.2% private credit default rates (10.9% for small companies), and UBS forecasting defaults could climb 3 percentage points in 2026. He draws parallels to 2006 subprime, claims a 30-40% stock market drawdown is "base case," and recommends moving to cash, short-term Treasuries, and being long the dollar. The episode includes a lengthy sponsored segment for Newton Golf Company (NWTG).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-23 18:01

⚠️ $20T Global Carry Trade UNWIND Threatens to CRASH Markets—What You MUST Do Right Now!

Bank of Japan monetary policy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Japan's rising JGB yields and a potential Bank of Japan rate hike are threatening to unwind a $20 trillion yen carry trade that has underpinned global equities for decades. He contends this unwind would cascade through crypto, gold, stocks, emerging markets, and eventually Treasuries, causing a liquidity crisis far worse than August 2024. He recommends defensive positioning, long dollar, and short-end Treasuries, while heavily pitching his CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-22 18:01

😱 Delinquencies SURGE as Zillow WARNS It Will Be WORSE Than the GFC!

US housing market declineZillow home price dataMortgage delinquencies and FHA loans

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents a bearish housing market thesis, arguing that Zillow data showing 53% of US homes declining in value signals the early stages of a housing crisis that could rival or exceed the GFC. He connects this to rising unemployment (especially among college grads), AI-driven job displacement, surging mortgage delinquencies, builder price cuts, and the Fed's inability to react in time. The video ends with a pitch for his CTA Timer Pro trading service and defensive portfolio recommendations.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-21 18:01

🚨 This Happens Before EVERY Recession and It JUST Triggered!

Consumer sentiment and recession leading indicatorsWage growth deceleration and labor market deteriorationManufacturing PMI, inventories, and export orders

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey's plunge to a 48-year low (51 in November) is the same warning signal that precedes every recession by 6-12 months. He ties deteriorating sentiment to slowing wage growth, rising unemployment expectations, collapsing durable goods orders, bloated inventories, and a crypto rout hitting younger investors. His base case: a 2026 downturn with stocks down 20%+, a holiday retail "bloodbath," and Q1 2026 layoff wave. He recommends dry powder, defensive rotation, long the US dollar (DXY), and long-term treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-20 18:00

🚨 Walmart's WARNING is TERRIFYING – I'm AFRAID!

Walmart earnings as consumer distress signalLower-income consumer trade-down and retail bifurcationLabor market weakness and payroll data skepticism

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Walmart's strong earnings are actually a warning sign of consumer distress, particularly among lower-income households. He contends that beneath the headline non-farm payroll numbers, the labor market is deteriorating with rising unemployment, lagging Fed policy, and weak seasonal hiring signals — painting a bearish outlook for the economy and risk assets heading into 2026.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-19 18:00

⚠️ Target Just Issued a GRIM WARNING to the ENTIRE U.S. Economy (It's Frightening)!

Consumer spending collapseRetail earnings warnings (Target, Home Depot, Lowe's)Trade-down / off-price retail (TJ Maxx)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Target's profit warning is a canary in the coal mine for a coming consumer collapse and recession. He contends that weak comparable sales across Target, Home Depot, and Lowe's reveal the average American is broke, that companies are using AI as cover for mass layoffs driven by evaporating demand, and that falling imports and global disinflation confirm the downturn. His prescribed playbook: build emergency cash, take profits on AI stocks, rotate into utilities/staples/defensives, buy gold on dips, and hold Treasuries ahead of Fed cuts triggered by labor market weakness. The episode also features a sponsor segment for Upexi (UPXI).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-18 18:00

😱 Home Depot Just Confirmed the TERRIFYING Truth NO ONE Wants to Admit About the Economy!

Home Depot earnings miss and guidance cutLabor market deterioration and leading indicatorsHousing market decline and builder distress

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Home Depot's disappointing quarter and lowered guidance are not about mortgage rates but about a deteriorating labor market — and that this signals a recession is already underway. He cites falling hours worked, rising subprime delinquencies, collapsing housing starts, and record unsold home inventory to claim the consumer is out of cash and the everything bubble is one bad payroll print from popping. He advises viewers to build emergency funds, dump cyclicals, and rotate into utilities, Treasuries, and gold. The episode includes a lengthy paid sponsor segment for Functional Brands (NASDAQ: MEA).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-17 18:01

🚨 Los Angeles Just COLLAPSED—Why the NATION is NEXT!

Port of Los AngelesPort of Long Beachimports and exports

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the sharp drop in Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach volumes is an early warning that U.S. demand, hours worked, jobs, profits, and ultimately the broader economy are weakening. He links the port data to rising delinquency rates, higher bankruptcy filings, and a stagflation risk if tariffs push prices up while labor softens, and he says the next jobs report and holiday sales will be key confirmation points.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-16 18:00

💣 China's Dire Warning: The Unthinkable Happens Monday!

China property crisis and developer defaultsIndustrial production slowdown and unemployment

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues China is on the brink of a severe recession driven by collapsing fixed asset investment (FAI), which fell an estimated 12% in October. He warns this will detonate a $940M Hong Kong developer loan due Friday plus broader trillions in property distress, triggering a wave of defaults, bank insolvencies, and a deflationary spiral that will spread globally. He draws US parallels using industrial production vs. unemployment charts and recommends pivoting into cash, treasuries, defensives, and long USD while slashing China exposure. The video includes a promotional pitch for his CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-15 18:30

Holy Sh*t...Did You See What Just Happened In The Market!?

SOFR repo market stress and liquidityFederal Reserve QE/QT policy and its limitsCredit cycle downturn and private credit blowups

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve Van Metre discuss a volatile market week where repo market stress (SOFR rates above Fed funds), Bitcoin selling off, WTI contango, rising delinquencies, and Fed officials hinting at QE all point to a deteriorating credit cycle. Their core thesis: the repo stress is not about insufficient bank reserves but about lenders unwilling to lend because they're discovering how much "stupid" credit was extended. Rate cuts and QE won't fix the underlying problem — only taking losses and purging the excesses will. The Fed's tools only manage sentiment temporarily, not the real plumbing issue. The speakers see the credit downswing as unavoidable, with unemployment and delinquencies still ahead of the worst.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-15 18:01

💣 25 Major Banks Hold EMERGENCY Fed Meeting As Liquidity Crisis DEEPENS!

Fed standing repo facility (SRF) failureTriparty repo market stressLiquidity crisis and bank cash hoarding

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Fed's closed-door meeting with Wall Street banks signals a deepening liquidity crisis that rate cuts cannot fix. Triparty repo rates remain elevated despite the Fed's QT wind-down announcement, and banks are hoarding cash out of fear—driven by rising delinquencies and bankruptcies, not interest rates. He claims the standing repo facility has failed, and with rate cuts off the table for December, a liquidity-driven market meltdown of 20–30% in stocks is possible. He recommends hoarding cash, short-side trades, and his CTA timer subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-13 18:00

🚨 BofA's $12 Trillion Alert: Banking System Running OUT of CASH—Crash Imminent!

SOFR and short-term funding market stressFederal Reserve quantitative tightening and reserve scarcityUS deficit and Treasury issuance flooding bond markets

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the US financial system is facing an imminent liquidity crisis, driven by a combination of ongoing Fed quantitative tightening, an exploding federal deficit flooding the bond market, contracting bank lending, and surging consumer delinquencies. He points to elevated SOFR rates above the federal funds rate as proof of stress, warns that a liquidity crunch could trigger forced selling across stocks, crypto, and gold, and advises viewers to rotate defensively — into cash, high-yield savings, short-term Treasuries, and the dollar — while watching the December Fed meeting as a key signal.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-12 18:01

😱 Banks FAKE BILLIONS in LOANS to Hide IMMINENT MELTDOWN!

Chinese phantom loans and bank fraudCredit contraction and recession signalsPBOC stimulus failure and liquidity traps

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Chinese banks are fabricating billions in phantom loans to meet government lending targets, revealing a credit contraction that signals an imminent recession in China and, by extension, the US. He presents charts linking credit slowdowns to GDP declines, rising unemployment, and climbing delinquencies, and contends that rate cuts and PBOC stimulus are failing because banks are hoarding cash in bonds rather than lending. He sees a banking crisis brewing and pitches his CTA Timer Pro trading service with a trade already up 5.46%.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-11 18:01

🚨 ADP Warns This Precedes MASS LAYOFFS–And It JUST Happened!

ADP employment reportLabor market deteriorationSmall business distress (NFIB)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the ADP report showing 45,000 private-sector job losses in October confirms his thesis that the labor market is cracking. He claims small businesses are being squeezed by weak sales and rising costs, CEOs are in "denial mode" about an economic slowdown despite quietly cutting jobs, and the stock market's high valuations are unsustainable. He recommends building emergency funds, diversifying into bonds/gold/defensives, and starting side hustles. The video includes a lengthy sponsored segment for Upexi (UPXI), a Solana treasury company.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-10 18:00

⚠️ BlackRock's SHOCKING 100% LOSS Signals Private Credit MELTDOWN Has Begun

private credit market riskBlackRock Renovo write-downcorporate debt and bankruptcy cycle

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that BlackRock's 100% write-down on a private credit loan to Renovo Home Partners is not an isolated incident but the first domino in a broader corporate debt crisis. He links the bankruptcy to slowing housing demand, overcapacity in manufacturing (especially autos), declining imports, falling consumer sentiment, and widespread inventory leverage across supply chains. His thesis: private credit markets are mispricing risk, and when defaults cascade, a credit freeze will hit Main Street jobs and the stock market. The episode is heavily intercut with a sponsored segment for TNL Media Group (TNMG).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-09 18:00

💣 Trump's BOMBSHELL Announcement Will Send Home Prices CRASHING—You're WARNED!

50-year mortgage proposaltariff dividend / stimulus checks

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes two Trump weekend announcements: a proposed 50-year mortgage (via FHFA Director Bill Pulte) and a $2,000/person "tariff dividend." He argues the mortgage would trap buyers in lifelong debt with minimal equity while inflating home prices further. The dividend, he contends, is a replay of failed stimulus—likely saved or used for debt repayment rather than spent, while widening deficits and reigniting inflation just as the Fed fights to reach 2%. He sees recession arriving by early-to-mid 2026, urges defensive portfolio rotation, and pitches his CTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-08 18:00

💣 $2 TRILLION DEBT BOMB EXPLODES—Wall Street's PANICKING and YOU Will Too!

private credit market stressUBS hedge fund liquidationsFirst Brands fraud and bankruptcy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that UBS shutting down two hedge funds signals a broader contagion in the $2+ trillion private credit market. He draws parallels to 2007-era early warning signs — opacity, fraud (First Brands bankruptcy), redemption panics, and repo market stress — and warns that slumping consumer sentiment, falling cardboard box shipments, and rising layoffs could trigger a credit freeze and a 2008-style downturn. He recommends defensive positioning: cash, Treasuries, gold on dips, and avoiding consumer-discretionary exposure.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-06 18:00

Another 153K JOBS GONE—Why a FINANCIAL CRISIS is IMMINENT!

October 2025 Challenger Gray layoff report (153K job cuts)Technology and warehousing sector layoffsConsumer debt delinquencies (credit cards, student loans)

Preview:Steven Van Metre reacts to the Challenger Gray October job cuts report showing 153,000 announced layoffs — the highest for any October since 2003. He argues this is not merely an AI-driven tech adjustment but a broad economic unraveling: consumers are tapped out, delinquencies are surging to record highs, and the middle class is next in the firing line. He sees the setup as a prelude to a full-blown financial crisis, dismisses Fed rate cuts as ineffective against shrinking incomes, and urges viewers to build cash buffers, rotate defensively, and buy gold on dips.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-05 18:00

😱 McDonald's Just Issued a MAJOR Warning for the U.S. Economy–What's Coming is FRIGHTENING!

McDonald's low-income consumer traffic declineK-shaped recession evidenceaverage weekly hours vs retail sales

Preview:Steven Van Metre uses McDonald's Q3 earnings to argue that the US economy is in a K-shaped recession. While same-store sales rose, low-income consumer traffic ($45K/year) cratered double-digits for the second straight year. He ties this to declining average weekly hours, still-too-hot inflation, weak ADP payrolls, and services-sector survey data showing falling backlogs—all pointing to a consumer crack that threatens a major stock market correction. He recommends defensive positioning: add dollars, wait for a gold dip, hold bonds, and build a cash cushion.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-04 18:01

💣 Michael Burry's $1B Bet Against the Bubble!

Michael Burry's bearish bets on AI stocks (Palantir, NVIDIA)Corporate profits and import linkage as leading indicator

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that nosebleed equity valuations, collapsing corporate profits, evaporating liquidity, a rallying dollar, and Michael Burry's $1B bearish bets against AI stocks are converging into a "perfect storm" for a 10-20% market correction. He advises viewers to diversify into value, treasuries, and cash, hedge crypto, and cut leverage before the selloff accelerates.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-03 18:01

⚠️ 600k JOBS GONE OVERNIGHT: The U.S. is NOT Ready for THIS!

trucking industry capacity purgefreight recession and economic leading indicatorsISM manufacturing contraction

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US economy is cracking beneath a strong stock market, centered on a coming trucking capacity purge that could eliminate 600,000 drivers (17% of the workforce). He ties this to an eight-month manufacturing contraction, collapsing imports, falling freight volumes, weakening consumer sentiment, and tightening liquidity. His thesis: the freight decline is a canary for a broader recession that will hit the labor market, retail, and eventually stocks. He recommends pivoting to defensive assets — dollars, Treasuries, gold on dips, tech, healthcare — and avoiding manufacturing and transports.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-02 18:30

You Won’t Believe What Europe’s Central Bank Just Did

ECB monetary policy and 2% rate floorEuropean GDP and economic stagnationConsumer spending collapse and purchasing power

Preview:A discussion between Jeff (host) and Steve (guest) arguing that the ECB's 2% rate pause and "economy is in a good place" messaging are contradicted by weak European GDP data, collapsing consumer purchasing power, and global economic deterioration. They contend central banks are trapped: they know the economy is unhealthy but cannot admit it without triggering panic, creating irregular rate-cutting cycles that will eventually force rates below the psychologically significant 2% threshold.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-02 18:00

😱 China's Announcement LEAVES World in PANIC—I'm TERRIFIED!

China property crisisglobal deflation and liquidity drainChina manufacturing PMI contraction

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents a bearish deep-dive on China's property crisis, framing it as a $60 trillion deflationary black hole that will drain global liquidity, crush manufacturing, and spill into banking contagion. He uses US housing/industrial production overlays to argue the same dynamic is brewing domestically. The back third is a paid sponsor pitch for Focus Graphite (FMS / FCSMF), which he positions as a beneficiary of graphite supply disruptions and defense/EV demand. Actionable advice: rotate to US Treasuries, AI plays, graphite commodities, and build emergency savings.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-11-01 17:00

🚨 Money Markets FLASHING RED: Banks PANIC as CASH RUNS OUT!

Fed Standing Repo Facility record usage

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that global money markets are flashing severe stress signals, with the Fed's standing repo facility hitting a record $50B in usage — the highest since becoming permanent in 2021. He frames this as evidence of a stealth dollar liquidity crisis that will trigger a massive short-dollar unwind, hammering tech stocks, gold, and crypto. He ties together distress in UK repo markets, Eurozone tightening, and Chinese bank reluctance to lend as signs of a synchronized global cash drain. His thesis: a post-pandemic debt overhang is causing money to vanish faster than weak economic growth can replace it, and central banks are powerless to stop it. His actionable advice: rotate to defensives, buy short-to-intermediate bonds, hedge gold, lock in high-yield savings, and pay down debt.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-30 17:01

🚨 Chipotle CAN'T Sell Burritos—Something's VERY WRONG!

Consumer income deceleration and retail salesFederal Reserve policy paralysis

Preview:Steven Van Metre uses Chipotle's 34% year-to-date decline and third guidance cut as a canary-in-the-coal-mine for a consumer-led recession. He argues that slowing wage growth, falling hours worked, rising unemployment among younger consumers, and sticky inflation are draining discretionary spending — and that the Fed is paralyzed between a cooling labor market and persistent inflation. His actionable advice: lock in high-yield savings, rotate out of consumer discretionary into defensives and dollars, and consider hedging gold. The episode includes a sponsor segment for Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-29 17:00

This ONLY Happens RIGHT Before a Recession—And the Fed JUST Did It!

Fed rate cut and QT endingRepo market stress and liquidity crunch

Preview:Steve Van Metre reacts to the Fed's October 2025 rate cut (25 bps to 3.75-4.00%) and the announcement that QT ends December 1. He frames the cut NOT as bullish but as a desperate signal that a recession is barreling toward us, citing repo market stress, dollar shortages, and subprime cracks. He advises locking in yields, taking profits on tech, hedging gold, and adding dollars/Treasuries. The video is roughly half market commentary and half sponsored pitch for Encelis Biotech (NCY).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-28 17:00

Amazon JUST Revealed that Americans Have Hit Their BREAKING Point!

Amazon layoffs and white-collar recessionAI-driven productivity and job displacementTexas economic contraction (services, retail, manufacturing)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Amazon's 14,000 corporate layoffs signal a broader white-collar recession already visible in collapsing Texas services/retail surveys. He ties AI-driven productivity gains, falling imports, sinking consumer confidence, and ineffective Fed rate cuts into a thesis that job losses will accelerate into year-end and Q1 2026. The back half of the video is a lengthy sponsored pitch for House of Doge (TBH).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-27 17:54

Texas CRASHES into DEATH Spiral–Nation NEXT?

Dallas Fed manufacturing surveyTexas manufacturing downturnUS recession risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes the Dallas Fed's October manufacturing survey, arguing Texas manufacturing is entering a "death spiral" with falling new orders, contracting capacity utilization, and slashed hours. He warns this regional weakness will spill over into trucking, retail, credit markets, and eventually the broader US economy, despite imminent Fed rate cuts and a potential US-China trade deal. The episode heavily promotes sponsor Oncolytics Biotech (NASDAQ: ONCY) using Elliott Wave technical analysis.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-26 17:30

You Won’t Believe How Bad the Cash Shortage Just Got

Federal Reserve balance sheet runoff (QT)Money market cash squeeze and SOFR ratesFOMC rate cut expectations

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve Van Meter discuss the mounting cash squeeze in money markets, arguing the Fed will likely be forced to end QT soon — potentially as early as this week's FOMC meeting — as repo usage and SOFR rates signal growing stress. They disagree on timing (Steve thinks the Fed waits; Jeff thinks they act now) but agree QT-ending is merely a first step toward eventual QE, driven by risk-averse money dealers slowing circulation, not a reserves-shortage problem. Credit market cracks (subprime auto lender bankruptcies, shadow bank failures), weakening consumer sentiment, and a tame CPI that gives cover for rate cuts all point toward a system under genuine strain, with the wealthy consumer as the last pillar holding the economy up.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-26 17:00

⚠️ The Fed is PANICKING: Here's What They DON'T Want You to Know!

Fed quantitative tighteningbank reserves and repo market stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a severe dollar shortage and liquidity crisis is brewing beneath the surface of all-time stock market highs, with money market stress signals, rising interbank rates, and heavy usage of the Fed's standing repo facility as evidence. He predicts the Fed will cut rates by 25bp and end QT at or soon after the upcoming FOMC meeting, but contends the Fed's tools are inadequate to handle a multi-trillion-dollar short squeeze in the dollar that could trigger a crash in risk assets. He recommends defensive positioning: long dollar, long Treasuries, and hedges on stocks/crypto/gold.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-24 17:09

😱 UBS's TERRIFYING Warning to ALL AMERICANS

consumer sentimentrecession probabilityUBS recession call

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the University of Michigan consumer sentiment plunge to 53.6 is a screaming recession signal, citing UBS's 93% recession probability estimate. He disagrees with UBS's stagflation call, predicting instead a financial crisis driven by consumer debt delinquencies as savings run dry and hours worked decline. He recommends building cash, slashing debt, and rotating into defensive assets like gold and treasuries.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-23 17:01

🚨 Another Subprime Lender Just Went BANKRUPT—Credit Markets Are IMPLODING!

subprime auto lender bankruptciesconsumer credit cycleweekly hours worked vs delinquencies

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that recent subprime lender bankruptcies (TriCor, First Brands, PrimoLand) are not isolated incidents but symptoms of a brewing consumer credit crisis echoing 2007. He points to falling weekly hours worked, rising delinquencies, and regional bank loan losses as evidence the "strong economy" narrative is a facade. He recommends rotating out of bank stocks into defensive positions, building cash reserves, and holding Treasuries. The video is heavily interwoven with promotional segments for his CTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-22 17:00

⚠️ Gold is CRASHING--What You MUST Do RIGHT NOW!

dollar breakout thesis

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that gold's recent 6.3% crash is not a dip-buying opportunity but the beginning of a leveraged unwind in the most overcrowded trade on the planet. He contends that with >80% of investors bullish, record ETF options open interest, and no downside hedging, the setup mirrors meme-stock and crypto blow-ups. His core thesis: the dollar is poised for a breakout, the short-dollar/long-everything trade will reverse violently, and gold could fall to $3,800 or lower. The video is heavily structured around a sales pitch for his CTA Timer Pro subscription service, with the bearish gold call serving as the hook.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-21 17:11

💣 SELL NOW—BlackRock's SHOCKING Fire Sale!

China real estate crisisChinese banking system insolvency riskForeign investor exodus from China CRE (BlackRock)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's real estate market is a "ticking time bomb" that could trigger the next global financial crisis. He cites accelerating home-price declines, 25% office vacancy rates, foreign investors (including BlackRock) dumping assets at 40% losses, and Chinese banks' 30% exposure to property loans. He connects China's slowdown to US manufacturing weakness via the Philly Fed's negative new-orders print and warns that both Chinese and US regional banks face insolvency risk. His prescribed blueprint: exit China exposure, hedge with Treasuries, buy gold dips, and watch the Trump-Xi meeting for de-escalation signals. The episode includes a sponsor segment for House of Doge (NASDAQ: TBH).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-19 17:00

😱 Oil's DIRE WARNING to the World—Why I'm TERRIFIED a Global Recession is IMMINENT!

global recession riskChina deflation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the current oil glut is not a consumer benefit but a recession warning: weak demand, China’s deflation, and trade frictions are all pointing to a global slowdown. He repeatedly says oil, inventories, and China-linked manufacturing data are signaling falling demand that could eventually hit U.S. jobs, stocks, and inflation dynamics.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-17 17:00

SHOCKING 50% Delinquency Spike IGNITES Fears of 2008 MELTDOWN!

auto loan delinquenciessubprime auto credit bubbleconsumer spending slowdown

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns of a brewing auto loan crisis, drawing parallels to the 2008 subprime mortgage meltdown. He cites a VantageScore report showing auto delinquencies surging 50%+ over 15 years, record subprime delinquencies above 6%, and 1.3M repossessions last year — the highest since 2009. He argues that falling hours worked, softening labor markets, and $1,000/month car payments are squeezing households, with small banks and credit unions most exposed. He ties this to broader consumer weakness, softening retail sales, tariff pressure on small businesses, and recommends defensive positioning: bonds (TLT), utilities, emergency funds, and spreading bank deposits.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-16 17:00

🚨 This ONLY Happens RIGHT Before a Liquidity CRISIS—AND IT JUST HAPPENED NOW!

Fed standing repo facility usage spikeDollar liquidity shortage and funding crisisBank reserves and quantitative tightening

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a dollar liquidity crisis is unfolding, evidenced by banks borrowing $6.75B then $8.35B from the Fed's standing repo facility — the largest non-quarter-end spike since COVID. He contends this signals a funding squeeze where banks can't sell underwater collateral, consumer distress is mounting (holiday job searches up 27%, multiple jobholders at 5.4%), and lending contraction combined with a global short-dollar position of trillions will force the Fed to end QT and cut rates aggressively, potentially restarting QE. His prescription: diversify into hard assets, slash debt, and hoard cash liquidity. The episode includes a lengthy paid sponsorship segment for House of Doge (NASDAQ: TBH).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-15 17:00

💣 JP Morgan's $3 TRILLION Bombshell—Why YOUR BANK May NOT Be Safe!

Jamie Dimon cockroach warningTricorColor bankruptcyC&I lending contraction and delinquency feedback loop

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Jamie Dimon's "cockroach" comment from JP Morgan's earnings call, where Dimon warned that one visible credit problem (the TricorColor bankruptcy's $170M hit) suggests more hidden losses across the banking system. Van Metre argues this signals a coming recession, driven by a lending-contraction/delinquency feedback loop, shadow bank exposure, consumer spending weakness, and potential tariff escalation to 130% on China by November 1st. He recommends diversification into gold, short-term Treasuries, and portfolio hedging.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-14 17:00

The U.S. ISN'T Ready For What China JUST Did!

China trade war escalationrare earth export restrictionsglobal shipping sanctions

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues China's latest shipping curbs and rare-earth export restrictions are not isolated retaliation but a calculated attempt to drag the global economy into recession alongside China's own deteriorating economy. He ties this to US manufacturing stress, rising credit delinquencies flagged by Jamie Dimon, a firming dollar threatening high-yield spreads, and recommends defensive positioning (long dollar, long Treasuries, short yen) ahead of what he sees as a likely 2026 recession.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-13 17:01

Credit Markets are BREAKING—Banks Are NEXT!

High-yield credit spreads and recession signalingChina rare-earth export controls and US manufacturing risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the high-yield bond market is flashing recession warnings: junk bond prices have plunged to August lows, credit spreads are blowing out, and yields are spiking. He ties this to a rising dollar, China's rare-earth weaponization, and surging US delinquencies (foreclosures +17% Q3, subprime auto delinquencies at record 6%+). His core thesis: the bond market is pricing a 2026 recession that Wall Street is ignoring. The video also contains a lengthy sponsored segment promoting House of Doge (NASDAQ: TBH).

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-12 17:00

Why “Trade War 2.0” Is Way Bigger Than Anyone Realizes

Trade War 2.0 and US-China tariff escalationCredit market stress and First Brands collateral scandal

Preview:Two speakers (Jeff/Geoff and Steve Van Meter) analyze the convergence of Trade War 2.0, a weakening US labor market, credit market stress (including the First Brands collateral scandal), and massively crowded "sell dollar, buy everything" trades. They argue Friday's violent liquidation was not a one-off but the start of something larger — the macroeconomic backdrop in October is "materially worse than April in every single way," and the banking sector is hitting pause on credit just as the labor market cracks. They expect continued volatility, dollar strength, and disorderly unwinds, emphasizing that even if the US-China tariff escalation is mere posturing, the underlying fragility remains.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-11 17:00

TRILLIONS Wiped Out in Minutes and It's JUST the BEGINNING...

China rare earth export controlsUS-China trade war escalationTrump tariffs (130% total)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's newly announced rare-earth export controls (effective November 1) represent a deliberate economic attack on the US, capable of idling factories and triggering recession. He claims his subscribers sidestepped Friday's crypto/equity carnage via dollar-long/short-euro/treasury-long positions and urges viewers to follow the same safety playbook for what he warns will be further liquidations on Monday.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-10 17:30

🚨 IMPENDING Bank BLOODBATH: TERRIFYING Dollar Squeeze THREATENS Trillions in Losses!

Government shutdown economic impact

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a massive short-dollar trade — the "biggest trade of the year" — is about to violently unwind. He contends that a weakening US labor market paradoxically drives the dollar higher (not lower) because in a debt-based economy, falling hours/wages create a scramble for dollars to service record debts. He predicts the dollar squeeze will crush tech stocks, gold, silver, and crypto, and urges viewers to go long the dollar and short the euro or yen. Heavy promotional content for his trading subscription service runs throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-09 17:01

😱 DARKEST U.S. Consumer Warning YET–Why It SCARES Me!

US consumer sentiment and spending pullbackGovernment shutdown economic impactRecession warning signals

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the US consumer is hitting a breaking point, exposed by the federal government shutdown but rooted in deeper structural weakness. He claims the "booming economy" validated by the stock market is a mirage, with 17% of Americans delaying major purchases, seasonal retail hiring projected at a 16-year low, and weakening German exports to the US. He warns of a strengthening dollar that could unwind popular trades in tech, gold, silver, and crypto, and pitches his optimized trading strategy as a way to navigate the coming downturn.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-08 17:00

🚨 Dire PANIC: Germany DECLARES Economic CRISIS!

German recession riskauto industry slowdown

Preview:The video argues that Germany’s economy is sliding into recession because of a deep industrial slump, weak auto demand, and China’s growing competition, with broader implications for the Eurozone and global growth. The speaker frames this as a warning sign of synchronized global slowdown, while also mixing in a long sponsor segment on Mindwalk Holdings (HYFT).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-06 17:00

🚨 This Just CRASHED -41%—America's Hidden NIGHTMARE Begins!

Trucking industry / freight recessionClass 8 truck ordersImport decline projections

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the trucking industry is at a tipping point, with Class 8 truck orders crashing 41% year-over-year and imports projected to fall sharply through early 2026. He frames transports as a leading indicator: where they go, the broader economy and stock market follow. The thesis ties together weakening manufacturing PMIs (9 straight months of contraction), falling durable goods orders dragging down weekly hours, and a potential loss of hundreds of thousands of logistics jobs. The video is structured around this bearish macro call, interspersed with a lengthy sponsored pitch for UPEX/UPXI, a Solana-treasury company.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-05 17:00

GFC 2.0 Alert: 4.6M Job Losses LOOMING Again – What You MUST Do Right NOW!

ISM Services PMI and business activity contractionGFC 2008 parallels and job loss comparisonManufacturing-to-services sector transmission mechanism

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the US services sector is stalling in a pattern eerily similar to the lead-up to the 2008 financial crisis, warning of potential mass job losses among the 138 million Americans employed in services. He points to ISM services data showing stagnation, contracting new orders, declining backlogs, falling export orders, and employment contraction — all while inventory sentiment suggests demand is dropping faster than supply. His thesis is that unless the holiday season delivers blockbuster spending or Fed rate cuts work magic, the economy faces a hard landing and millions could hit the unemployment line. The video is heavily interspersed with promotional segments for his paid trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-04 17:00

Bad Loans Exploding: Hong Kong Crisis Signals Global Bank Meltdown!

Hong Kong banking system and non-performing loansGlobal credit cycle and rising delinquenciesCentral bank policy shift from inflation to labor market

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a $25 billion bad-loan problem in Hong Kong's banking system is the leading edge of a broader global financial crisis. He ties rising credit-card delinquencies to falling weekly hours worked, predicts central banks will pivot from inflation-fighting to labor-market support, and claims rate cuts won't fix the underlying solvency issue. The wealthy, he says, are front-running this by buying Treasuries now so they can sell bonds and buy equities after central banks slash rates. The video is roughly 50% market commentary and 50% promotion of his trading-subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-03 17:00

Dumbest Economic Move of 2025—China’s $1 TRILLION Plan to DESTROY America’s Economy!

China $1 trillion US investment proposalBelt and Road Initiative debt-trap diplomacyUS-China trade war and tariff negotiations

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's proposed $1 trillion investment-for-tariff-relief offer to the US is a trap modeled on Belt and Road debt-trap diplomacy — China would build factories using Chinese workers, inputs, and machinery, lend the US money, and then seize American infrastructure when defaults occur. He frames this as China's desperate attempt to rescue its own slowing, deflationary economy while undermining US manufacturing and jobs.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-02 17:00

SHOCKING Report Reveals IMMINENT Economic Meltdown!

Challenger Report (October 2025)US labor market deteriorationHiring plans collapse

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes the October 2025 Challenger Report, arguing that a collapse in US hiring plans — the weakest September since 2011 and year-to-date hiring intentions rivaling 2009 — signals the economy is entering a recession, not stabilizing. He contends the Fed is behind the curve, planned layoffs will materialize in 30–60 days, and a government shutdown with potential mass federal worker layoffs adds near-term risk just as seasonal hiring fades and student loan defaults loom. The second half of the video pivots to a lengthy pitch for his paid trading services (Meta Strategy, CTA Timer Pro, Momentum Timer Pro), using backtests on SPY and a recent SMH trade to sell subscriptions.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-10-01 17:00

This ALWAYS Happens Before Layoffs EXPLODE!

ADP payroll data and labor market contractionISM manufacturing PMI and factory slowdownCapacity utilization and continued claims relationship

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US labor market is in the early stages of a recessionary spiral, citing ADP data showing 32,000 jobs lost, a seventh straight month of manufacturing contraction (ISM 49.1), declining capacity utilization, and rising continued claims. He contends the Fed is behind the curve and that rate cuts won't help once layoffs cascade. He also flags a government shutdown and potential mass federal layoffs as additional downside catalysts. The episode features a sponsored segment on Heritage Distilling Holding Company (IPST) and its IP token treasury strategy.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-30 17:00

Texas Has FALLEN—The Nation is NEXT!

Texas economy and oil sector layoffsOil prices and breakeven dynamicsDallas Fed manufacturing survey

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that oil industry layoffs in Texas — led by Exxon's 2,000 job cuts — are a leading indicator of a nationwide economic downturn. He connects depressed oil prices (below the ~$63/barrel breakeven) to falling Dallas Fed manufacturing and services surveys, plunging Texas retail sales, and rising jobless claims. He warns that a potential government shutdown and furloughs/firings could push unemployment toward 4.5–4.7%, while consumer sentiment is already at five-month lows. The second half of the video is a paid sponsor segment for Mindwalk Holdings (HYFT).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-29 17:00

America ISN'T Ready For This...

Treasury General Account mechanicsFederal Reserve independence erosion

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US Treasury could revalue its gold reserves from the archaic $42.22/oz to current market prices, unlocking ~$990 billion without congressional approval. He contends this is the last remaining policy option as tax cuts, trade wars, and Fed rate cuts have all failed. He sees rising unemployment, especially youth unemployment and factory job losses, pushing the economy toward recession. His advice: if gold revaluation happens, hard assets like gold and crypto will surge.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-28 17:00

Holy Sh*t: BofA Is Preparing for Something BIG!

Short-dollar trade unwind riskDollar technical breakout (UUP/DXY)Market breadth deterioration

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns of an impending market correction triggered by a disorderly unwind of the short-dollar trade. Citing a Bank of America client note from Michael Hartnett, he argues the DXY breaking above 102 would force short-covering that crushes tech stocks, gold, and crypto — all beneficiaries of dollar weakness. He points to deteriorating market breadth, elevated machine positioning, hedge fund selling, and over-optimistic earnings estimates as compounding risks. His recommended hedge: raise cash/dollars. The episode also promotes sponsor Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) with an Elliott Wave thesis.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-27 17:00

🚨 URGENT: This News Will SHOCK the WORLD (Markets Will Crash)!

US consumer sentimentlabor market and hours workedgovernment shutdown risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that collapsing US consumer sentiment, driven by income worries and a cost-of-living crisis, signals an imminent recession and stock market crash. He ties the University of Michigan sentiment drop to falling hours worked, declining payrolls, and plunging retail sales, warning of a subprime-style delinquency spiral. A potential government shutdown on Tuesday with federal worker firings could be the tipping point. The video is heavily interwoven with pitches for his trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-26 17:00

🚨 CarMax is COLLAPSING and it's QUICKLY Spreading to the ENTIRE Auto Sector!

Auto sales and consumer demand collapseHeavy truck sales recession signal

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the US economy is entering the early stages of a subprime-style financial crisis, using CarMax's 20% stock plunge, collapsing heavy truck sales, and a major auto parts supplier's bankruptcy as evidence. He contends that pulled-forward demand, rising delinquencies, and off-balance-sheet debt are creating an "air pocket" that will cascade through jobs, profits, and credit markets. The video is heavily interwoven with promotional segments for his trading strategy service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-25 17:00

😱 All HELL is About to Break Loose—America ISN'T Ready for THIS!

student loan delinquenciesconsumer credit and spendingUS labor market

Preview:Steve Van Metre warns that a wave of student-loan defaults (270-day mark) will hit the US economy in the coming months, crushing consumer spending, retail, and eventually manufacturing employment. He ties rising credit-card and student-loan delinquencies to an imminent economic cliff, argues companies like Starbucks and Best Buy are already cutting jobs while refusing to lower prices, and pitches his enhanced "Meta Strategy" trading system throughout the video.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-24 17:00

🚨 China's Banks Are DUMPING Trillions—You're WARNED!

PBOC liquidity operationsFX swap mechanics

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Chinese banks are quietly preparing for a massive liquidity crisis by dumping yuan and accumulating dollars via spot purchases and swap markets. He interprets this as a bearish signal for the yuan, the Chinese economy, and global manufacturing, citing falling PMI new orders, 35 months of factory deflation, and a collapsing property sector. He theorizes the banks may be buying US Treasuries for appreciation ahead of Fed rate cuts, and frames Powell's recent dovish speech as reinforcement. The episode is heavily interleaved with a sponsored promotion for Mindwalk Holdings (HYFT).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-23 17:00

🚨 This ALWAYS Happens Before EVERYTHING Collapses!

Manufacturing PMI and backlogs collapseGlobal economic slowdown / recession riskLabor market deterioration and layoff forecasts

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that collapsing manufacturing backlogs globally are the "canary in the coal mine" signaling an imminent economic collapse. He contends that once backlogs run out, manufacturers will align workforces with lower production, triggering mass layoffs that cascade through the economy. He ties this to Fed rate cuts being behind the curve and predicts rates will go all the way back to zero. The episode is bookended by a heavy pitch for his "Meta Strategy" trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-22 17:00

⚠️ This SHOCKING COLLAPSE in China is a WARNING for AMERICA!

China labor market deteriorationfactory deflation and anti-involution policyUS manufacturing new orders and backlogs

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues China's labor market is deteriorating rapidly as persistent deflation morphs into job losses — a direct consequence of Beijing's "anti-involution" policy preventing factories from competing on price. He contends the US is on the same path, just lagging: factory new orders are rolling over, backlogs are nearly depleted, and hours worked are set to drop, which will crush consumer spending amid sticky inflation. Governments lack fiscal firepower due to massive deficits, rate cuts won't fix a demand problem, and the global economy faces a recession that could trigger a financial crisis. The episode includes a heavy pitch for his Meta Strategy trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-21 17:00

🚨 This JUST Triggered Our DOWNFALL—On Monday *EVERYTHING* Changes!

tech valuationsH-1B visa feeearnings season

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the new $100,000 H-1B visa fee could hit tech margins, hiring, and sentiment right as earnings season begins, making highly valued mega-cap tech vulnerable to a sharp pullback or broader correction. He ties the move to weakening breadth, profit pressure, layoffs, and a potentially weaker economy, while also using the episode to promote sponsor Mindwalk Holdings (HYFT).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-20 17:00

😱 Olive Garden Just Issued a Massive WARNING to the U.S. Economy!

Consumer spending declineRestaurant industry distressWage vs. inflation disconnect

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Olive Garden's rollout of smaller-portion, lower-price entrees is a warning signal of severe consumer distress. He contends that Americans are cutting restaurant spending not because of weight-loss drugs or a desire to save, but because wages have failed to keep pace with inflation. He ties shrinking restaurant demand to falling weekly hours, rising continued claims, and the risk of a consumption-led recession, dismissing JP Morgan's reduced recession probability as out of touch with consumer reality. The video contains a mid-roll and end-roll pitch for his paid "meta strategy" trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-19 17:00

🚨 Billion-Dollar Auto Lender CRASHES Overnight – Subprime MELTDOWN 2.0 Begins!!

Tricolor Holdings bankruptcysubprime auto lending crisisauto ABS market stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre covers the bankruptcy of Tricolor Holdings, a Texas-based subprime auto lender accused of pledging the same collateral to multiple warehouse lenders. He frames this as the opening shot of a subprime auto crisis, driven not by interest rates but by a weakening labor market — specifically declining average weekly hours. Banks are physically repossessing cars from dealer lots in a scramble for collateral. He ties rising auto delinquencies across all credit tiers to his broader thesis that the economy has been slowing since 2021 and will continue to spiral. The episode includes a promotional segment for his trading subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-18 17:00

😱 You WON'T Believe What China's Banks JUST Did!

PBOC monetary policy and rate expectationsUS commercial and industrial lending trends

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's banks are making a massive contrarian bet by loading up on ~$10 trillion in government bonds, signaling they expect the PBOC and global central banks to slash rates as the Chinese economy slides toward recession. He then connects this to US macro data — declining imports at the Port of LA, weakening capacity utilization, falling commercial lending — to argue the US is approaching a similar tipping point where banks will flee into bonds ahead of a global recession or financial crisis. The video is heavily intercut with pitches for his trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-17 17:00

⚠️ This Won’t End Well… (I’ve Tried to Warn You!)

Fed rate cut (25 bps)Labor market weakness and recession riskUS consumer stress and spending inequality

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes the Fed's 25 bps rate cut, arguing it signals labor market weakness rather than a soft-landing success. He contends the US economy has been decelerating since late 2021, rate cuts aren't working to stimulate growth, and the real risk is recession driven by falling hours worked and consumer stress. He ties housing market weakness, declining construction starts, and the inability of rate cuts to reach struggling consumers into a bearish macro thesis.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-16 17:00

🚨 The WORLD Is NOT Ready For What’s Coming TOMORROW!

Fed policy and FOMC rate decisionInventory overhang and economic deceleration since 2021Labor market weakening (manufacturing, services, JOLTS)

Preview:Steven Van Metre frames the upcoming FOMC meeting as unusually consequential. He lays out the consensus for a 25 bp cut, noting the 2-year yield supports as much as 50 bp but the Fed typically lags. His core thesis is that rate cuts will temporarily lift equities but won't fix the real problem: a persistent inventory overhang and labor-market softening that began in 2021. He warns that if Powell cites labor-market weakness as the reason for cutting, equities face a sub-3-month window before decline. Most of the transcript is spent on this macro setup, interspersed with heavy promotion of his trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-15 17:00

😱 The U.S. Isn't Ready for What Just Happened in New York!

Manufacturing recession and inventory cycleLabor market leading indicators (hours, unemployment)

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index's 21-point crash to -8.7 signals a spreading manufacturing recession that rate cuts cannot fix. He ties weak orders, falling hours, inventory overhang, and tariff-financing stress into a thesis predicting job losses, a prolonged recession, and a potential financial crisis — while pitching his Meta Strategy trading system.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-14 17:30

The oil business has a message for the rest of the country

Texas initial jobless claims spikeEnergy sector layoffs as leading indicatorConsumer sentiment deterioration

Preview:Two speakers (Jeff and Steve Van Meter) argue that a spike in Texas initial jobless claims — driven by energy firms like Chevron and ConocoPhillips "throwing in the towel" — is an early-warning signal for broader US layoffs. They tie this to falling consumer sentiment, deteriorating expectations, and a labor market they believe is already in trouble. The Fed-meeting debate lands on a 25bp vs 50bp cut, with both agreeing cuts are coming but disagreeing on size; the larger point is that employers' patience has run out.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-14 17:00

⚠️ This ONLY Happens ONCE Every 10 Years...

Fed rate cut cycle and bond market opportunityCorporate share buyback blackout windowMarket breadth deterioration (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the Fed's imminent rate-cutting cycle creates a bond-market opportunity that only appears about once every 10 years. He warns that equity markets face multiple headwinds — weakening breadth, the corporate buyback blackout window starting Monday, stretched positioning, and rate cuts driven by labor-market weakness rather than disinflation. The bulk of the episode is a pitch for his subscription service, showcasing several trade ideas (DBA, junior gold miners, bonds, corn) generated by his "optimized meta strategy."

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-13 17:01

🚨 It's STARTED—It's About to SHAKE the WORLD to It's BREAKING POINT!

US consumer sentiment and spendingLabor market weakness and job-loss expectationsManufacturing backlogs and new orders

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that plunging US consumer sentiment, driven primarily by labor market fears rather than inflation expectations, signals the global economy is at a "breaking point." He contends that declining hours worked, evaporating backlogs, and inventory overhangs will cascade through manufacturing into layoffs, triggering recession. He dismisses the inflation-expectations narrative, pointing to stagnant gasoline prices and historical patterns where retail sales trumped inflation fears. The video includes a substantial promotional segment for his "Meta Strategy" trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-12 17:00

⚠️ EMERGENCY DECLARED: In JUST 72 Hours, This Will SHOCK the WORLD!

Trump Fed board challenge (Cook removal)FOMC rate cut outlook and dissent dynamicsMorgan Stanley accelerated rate-cut forecast

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that President Trump's emergency court hearing on Monday (seeking to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook before Tuesday's FOMC meeting) will rattle markets, but the "real emergency" is what Morgan Stanley is forecasting: a faster pace of rate cuts through early 2026 driven by a deteriorating labor market, signaling recession. He contends rate cuts are a warning sign, not a lifeline, and positions gold miners (GDXJ) as a beneficiary.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-11 17:00

🚨 Texas Has FALLEN—Nationwide CRASH Imminent!

US initial jobless claims spikeTexas energy sector layoffs and rig count declineSubprime auto loan crisis and ABS market stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the next subprime crisis has officially begun, centered in Texas. He ties a spike in initial jobless claims (highest since Oct 2021) to energy-sector layoffs, falling Permian Basin rig counts, and a collapsing Texas subprime auto lender. His thesis: as energy jobs vanish, workers default on auto loans, small lenders fail, and contagion spreads through ABS markets to Wall Street giants like JPMorgan and BlackRock. He predicts a recession spiral, eventual Fed rate cuts toward zero, and a broader financial crisis — while pitching his "Meta Strategy" trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-10 17:00

😱 The Banks Are WARNING About Something BIG—Last Time This Happened We Had a Financial CRISIS!

Canada banking liquidity crisisRepo market stressBank of Canada policy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues there are early signs of a liquidity crisis in Canada's banking system, evidenced by strains in repo markets and the Bank of Canada's first $12B repo intervention in months. He contends that rate cuts won't fix the underlying problem — banks with reserves don't want to lend to those without, fearing defaults. Separately, he flags US PPI unexpectedly declining, signaling margin compression for manufacturers squeezed by tariffs, weak demand, and falling profits. He ties this to a broader recessionary pattern: inflation fades, margins collapse, layoffs follow, and equity markets suffer. The Fed cuts rates next week but Van Metre doubts rate cuts can resolve either crisis. The show is sponsored by Allied Critical Metals (tungsten junior miner).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-09 17:00

🚨 It's the WORST in HISTORY--This Means We're On the VERGE of TOTAL COLLAPSE!

BLS payroll revisionlabor market decelerationoversupply thesis

Preview:Steven Van Metre reacts to a massive downward revision of ~911,000 jobs from BLS payroll data (year through March 2024), arguing this validates that the US economy has been decelerating for two years. He frames this as the beginning of a broader labor-market collapse driven by economy-wide oversupply — in energy, housing, shipping, and agriculture — that rate cuts cannot fix. The show is structured as a rapid-fire scan of negative headlines (oil-patch layoffs, lumber's recession signal, plunging shipping profits, record farm trade deficits, rising credit-card delinquencies) interspersed with promotional segments for his "Meta Strategy" trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-08 17:00

😱 This SHOCKING News Will Go GLOBAL! (Markets Will CRASH)

BLS QCEW benchmark revisionNon-farm payroll data accuracyFederal Reserve rate cuts and behind-the-curve risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the upcoming BLS QCEW benchmark revision (expected ~800K to 1M fewer jobs than reported) will be the biggest story of 2025, exposing a far weaker labor market than official data showed. He contends the revision will infuriate Trump, show the Fed is behind the curve, and trigger a global realization that the US consumer is tapped out — potentially sending markets crashing. He dismisses rate cuts as a fix, citing weak JOLTS, declining hours, and consumer stress (McDonald's value meals, NY Fed survey data). The episode heavily promotes his "AI-powered Meta Strategy" trading service.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-07 17:47

The Largest Wave of Layoffs Since 2020 Has Begun

ISM services backlog indexUS labor market tipping pointLayoff announcements (KICo Phillips, Chevron, Paramount)

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steven Van Metre discuss the ISM services backlog index falling to its lowest since May 2009, arguing the US labor market has reached a critical tipping point. They cite recent layoff announcements (KICo Phillips 25% cuts, Chevron 20% cuts, Paramount's back-to-office as stealth layoffs), falling copper/gold ratio, plunging Treasury yields, and weakening consumer confidence as evidence that a vicious cycle of spending cuts and job losses is already underway. They contend Fed rate cuts are too late to matter and that the cutting cycle is still in its early stages.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-07 17:00

🚨 SELL NOW: SHOCKING Indicator Predicts BILLIONS Will Be WIPED OUT Starting NEXT Week!

Market breadth deteriorationCTA / systematic positioning riskBuyback blackout window

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns of a bearish setup for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100, driven by deteriorating market breadth (fewer stocks above 50-day moving average), maxed-out CTA positioning, the approaching buyback blackout window (Sept 15), and the upcoming Fed rate cut (Sept 17) — which he frames as historically bearish for stocks. He sees small caps (Russell 2000) and emerging markets as relative bright spots, presents a consumer staples (XLP) long trade for Monday, and heavily promotes his sponsor Onalytics Biotech (NCY) as an Elliott Wave 3 setup.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-06 17:00

💣 Trump Drops a Game-Changing Bombshell–Everything Changes Now!

Trump Fed Chair nominationFOMC rate cut expectationsinventory overhang and economic slowdown

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Trump's announcement that Hassett, Walsh, and Waller are finalists for Fed Chair, framing it as an attempt to undermine Powell ahead of the FOMC meeting. He argues rate cuts won't fix the economy because the real problem is excess inventories built up on false expectations of a 2025 rebound, combined with falling real wages and weakening consumer demand — a global phenomenon, not just a US issue. The announcement is also about creating a scapegoat when the economy continues to deteriorate.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-05 17:00

💣 This PROVES Everything: Don't Say I Didn't WARN You!

US nonfarm payrollsFederal Reserve rate cutsUS consumer spending and recession risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the August payroll report (22K jobs added, June revised negative, unemployment at 4.3%) proves the US economy is at a "tipping point" heading into recession. He expects the Fed to cut only 25bp in September — not 50bp — because a larger cut would signal panic. He points to weak hours worked, inventory overhang, corporate profit compression, and parallel labor-market collapses in Canada (7.1% unemployment) and the UK as evidence of a global downturn. The one offsetting positive: rising labor-force participation suggests workers are still optimistic. The transcript is roughly half market analysis and half promotional pitch for his "Meta Strategy" trading signals service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-04 17:00

🚨 In 15 Hours, This News Will Flip the World Upside Down—What’s Next Will Blow Your Mind!

Non-farm payrollsFed rate cuts (25 vs 50 bps)Labor market recession indicators

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Friday's non-farm payroll report will disappoint those hoping for a 50 bps Fed cut, but the real problem is what comes next: planned layoffs are surging, backlogs are collapsing, and leading indicators point to a labor-market recession within months. He is bearish on the economy and stocks, pitches his platinum trade and CTA Timer Pro service throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-03 17:01

💣 This Has NEVER Happened Before—Why I'm TERRIFIED!

JOLTS job openings and labor market demand-constraintAverage weekly hours as leading recession indicatorFederal Reserve rate cuts and their ineffectiveness during rising unemployment

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US labor market has crossed a historic threshold: for the first time ever before a recession, job openings have fallen below the number of unemployed workers. He warns this demand-constrained labor market, combined with declining hours worked, weak consumer spending, and manufacturing contraction, signals a globally synchronized financial crisis. He also promotes his platinum trade and CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-02 17:00

🚨 White House PANICS—I WARNED You This Would Happen!

US housing market and national emergencyLabor market hours and incomes as housing driverISM manufacturing contraction and backlogs

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the White House is panicking over an imminent housing crisis that could trigger a recession. He contends the real problem isn't interest rates but falling hours and incomes, and that consumer sentiment has already plunged in a pattern that historically precedes a drop in housing starts. The episode is heavily intercut with a sponsor segment promoting Cleancore Solutions (ZONE) as a "Dogecoin treasury company."

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-09-01 17:00

💣 HELL is Coming—Why Goldman Says: Do This NOW or REGRET It!

Goldman Sachs seasonal warningFed rate cut cycle and recession riskInstitutional and hedge fund selling flows

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents Goldman Sachs research warning that the next two weeks are historically the worst for markets, coinciding with dried-up systematic demand, institutional selling for two straight months, and hedge funds on track for a second month of net selling. He argues the real risk is a Fed rate cut driven by weak payrolls, which historically precedes recession and market declines. He recommends hedging via cash, Treasuries, or tight stop-losses, while highlighting tactical opportunities in energy (XLE), small caps (IWM), long bonds (TLT), and gold miners (GDX, GDXJ). The video also contains a lengthy sponsored segment for Avana (AVCN/AVCNF), a cannabis-based medicine company.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-31 17:30

NEW Fed Warning: Jobs Market Collapse Could Force a 50bps Cut

Federal Reserve monetary policyLabor market deteriorationConsumer confidence and unemployment expectations

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve Van Metre analyze Fed Governor Christopher Waller's speech hinting at labor market contraction and potential for a 50bps September cut. They discuss the deteriorating jobs picture, consumer confidence collapse, tariff-driven distortions in spending, and the inventory build-up that created artificial economic support. Snider leans toward a 50bps cut; Van Metre argues Powell prefers 25bps to avoid panic signals. Both agree the labor market is far weaker than headline data suggests and that the "second half rebound" narrative has failed to materialize.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-31 17:00

😱 This Will SHOCK the WORLD—Don't Say I Didn't WARN You!

US labor market weaknessQCEW benchmark revisionFederal Reserve rate cut expectations

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US labor market is far weaker than reported, with a massive downward payroll revision (QCEW) due September 9th that could show ~550,000 jobs never existed. He expects this to force the Fed into a jumbo 50bp rate cut (vs. current 25bp consensus), triggering panic mode as the US economy slides into synchronized global recession alongside weakening data from China. Weak retail sales, declining hours worked, and falling job openings all point to an unraveling labor market.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-30 17:00

🚨 This Changes EVERYTHING—The Economic Consequences Will Be SEVERE!

Trump tariffs legal rulingIEEPA presidential authorityConsumer confidence and spending

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a US appeals court ruling against Trump's tariffs creates severe economic consequences regardless of the eventual Supreme Court outcome. His thesis: if tariffs are struck down, companies get rebate checks but won't pass savings to consumers — they'll buy back stock instead. If tariffs stand, consumers already front-ran purchases and are now tapped out. Either way, the underlying economy was already deteriorating (falling consumer confidence, rising jobless claims, inventory overhang), and the Fed is behind the curve. He promotes his Momentum Timer Pro service and a commodities trade (DBA) throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-28 17:00

⚠️ It Hits Tomorrow—And You’ll HATE It!

de minimis tariff exemption eliminationUS consumer financial stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the end of the de minimis tariff exemption (starting tomorrow) will deliver an unexpected financial shock to American consumers already squeezed by stagnant wages, rising energy costs, and declining real purchasing power. He weaves together evidence from Dollar General's trade-down boom, Best Buy's weak outlook, Tesla's European sales collapse, and the risk of jobless claims breaking above 2 million to paint a recessionary picture — all while pitching his Meta Strategy trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-27 17:00

😱 Domino's Can't Even Sell Pizzas... (Something is VERY Wrong!)

Domino's global sales decline as consumer stress signalReal wage erosion and inflation outpacing paychecksTariff front-running hangover and demand payback

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that declining sales at Domino's Pizza Enterprises globally signal a consumer-led global recession is underway. He connects shrinking real paychecks, tariff front-running hangover, and falling demand to a cycle where corporate profits contract, layoffs follow, and consumption spirals lower. He dismisses Fed rate cuts as a fix and warns that China's entrenched deflation exports downward price pressure worldwide. The video is interspersed with heavy promotion of his Meta Strategy trading service and CTA/Momentum Timer Pro reports.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-26 17:00

⚠️ SHOCKING FDIC WARNING: Your Deposits May Not Be Safe!

Bank unrealized losses and FDIC warningsFed interest rate policy and zero-rate inevitabilityConsumer confidence and labor market deterioration

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the FDIC is quietly warning about systemic banking risks despite reporting that paper losses at US lenders have shrunk. He contends banks still hold ~$400B in unrealized losses on held-to-maturity securities, delinquency rates are rising as consumer incomes decline, and manufacturing data signals a lending collapse ahead. His core thesis: the economy is closer to a banking crisis than most believe, the Fed is avoiding rate cuts to let banks rebuild high-yielding assets before the inevitable return to zero, and when the next crisis hits, banks will have no way to respond — putting depositors at risk.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-25 17:00

💣 Chicago Has FALLEN – What Happens Next Will SHOCK You!

Chicago Fed National Activity IndexUS economic contractionNon-farm payrolls outlook

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the Chicago Fed National Activity Index confirms the US economy is contracting, setting up for a weak payroll report. He contends rate cuts won't fix housing or the broader economy because the real problem is falling incomes and hours worked. He points to deflationary signals in consumer spending, builder incentives, and Chinese real estate distress, concluding the world faces a globally synchronized recession.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-24 17:00

BUY BUY BUY: What You MUST Know Before Monday's Market Open!

Fed rate cuts and recession riskGoldman Sachs 3-month post-cut equity window

Preview:Steven Van Metre turns tactically bullish around a Fed rate-cut catalyst, citing Goldman Sachs data showing equities typically rise for ~3 months after the first cut — but only if recession is avoided. He flags the biggest risks as AI bubble concentration, weak NASDAQ breadth, and the recessionary track that historically follows Fed cutting cycles. He sees the best near-term setups in the Russell 2000 (short-squeeze potential), energy (XLE), gold miners (GDX), and financials (XLF), while cautioning against chasing the NASDAQ and S&P 500. The core message: there's a 3-month bullish window, but you must manage risk tightly because the recession clock is ticking.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-23 17:00

🚨 McDonald's Just WARNED They Are In MAJOR Trouble! Is this the END?

McDonald's consumer distress signalfalling average weekly hours and incomerate cut ineffectiveness

Preview:Steven Van Metre uses McDonald's deep discounting and breakfast-sales collapse as a leading indicator that the global consumer is breaking down. He argues falling hours worked, not "uncertainty," is driving the spending pullback; that rate cuts are powerless when paychecks shrink; and that the weakness is spreading from the US to Canada and South Korea. The video is structured as a macro-consumer warning wrapped around a promotion for his Meta Strategy trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-22 17:00

⚠️ This FRIGHTENING Indicator Reveals IMMINENT Housing CRASH!

housing market crash signalhome purchase contract cancellationsbuilder inventory overhang

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a record-high 15.3% cancellation rate on home purchase contracts signals an imminent housing crash, driven by falling hours worked, stagnant pay, and a weakening labor market — not buyers simply finding better deals. He ties this to Powell's Jackson Hole speech, which he interprets as setting up a 25bp September cut because the Fed sees rising employment downside risks. He also flags Canada's tariff retreat as evidence that Japan's export collapse is spreading globally, and warns that falling imports will push US unemployment higher.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-21 17:00

💣 Walmart Drops BOMBSHELL: Americans Reached Their BREAKING Point!

Walmart earnings and consumer stressCredit card delinquencies and retail salesUS labor market and continuing claims

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Walmart's earnings miss — blamed on "claims" rather than weak demand — masks a deeper consumer breaking point. He contends wealthier shoppers trading down to Walmart, rising credit card delinquencies, and climbing continuing jobless claims (approaching the critical 2 million mark) all signal an imminent recession. He dismisses Goldman's "buy the dip" call as a distribution tactic, citing deteriorating breadth. The Fed is trapped: rate cuts won't help once layoffs accelerate, and Powell is unlikely to commit to anything at Jackson Hole beyond "data dependent."

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-20 17:00

🚨 Japan Has Fallen – What Happens Next Will Shock You!

Japan export contractionGlobal demand destructionUS consumer stress and shrinking paychecks

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Japan's export contraction as the first major-economy signal of a global demand collapse. He argues that shrinking consumer paychecks — not tariffs alone — are driving the slowdown, that falling breadth on the NASDAQ 100 warns of further equity downside, and that Fed rate cuts will not rescue the economy because they only respond to weakening conditions. He uses the episode to promote his trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-19 17:01

Home Depot Just Issued a MAJOR WARNING to the ENTIRE U.S. Economy–Something is VERY Wrong!

Home Depot earnings warningUS consumer spending slowdownLabor market and real wage compression

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Home Depot's earnings warning as a signal of deeper consumer distress. He argues that retailers and the media blame high interest rates, but the real problem is a deteriorating labor market — falling hours worked, shrinking real wages, and rising unemployment fears — that is causing consumers to pull back on big-ticket spending. He connects this to a weakening housing market with excess inventory, falling builder confidence, and a historic mismatch of sellers over buyers. The piece culminates in a warning that real estate fund redemption freezes (like Trans Capital's) echo March 2020 and foreshadow a broader financial crisis, with Home Depot's planned price hikes only making things worse.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-18 17:00

😱 China’s SHOCKING Move Is a DIRE Warning to ALL Americans!

container-ship collapse and global trade slowdownUS consumer spending and paycheck compressionFed policy and Jackson Hole rate-cut signaling

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that collapsing container-ship departures from China signal a globally synchronized recession is imminent. He contends US consumers are tapped out, paychecks are shrinking, and the resulting import collapse will crush corporate profits and employment — with the stock market's current rally being a trap built on lowballed earnings estimates that companies won't meet going forward. He expects Powell at Jackson Hole to hedge on a September rate cut, citing sticky producer-price inflation. The thesis frames a mutual economic destruction between China and the US, with China's cement-production lows and rare-earth export pivot as corroborating evidence.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-17 17:00

🚨 Act FAST or Lose BIG: BofA Urges ALL Investors MUST Do This Before It’s Too LATE!

BofA Fund Manager Survey and Flow ShowMarket breadth divergence vs. priceHedge fund selling and fund manager positioning

Preview:Steven Van Metre walks through BofA's latest Fund Manager Survey and Flow Show, highlighting record equity overvaluation sentiment, hedge fund selling in tech, deteriorating market breadth, stretched CTA positioning, and BofA's call for dollar debasement as a catalyst for gold, crypto, and commodities. He layers on his own momentum/CTA timing signals across SPX, NDX, RTY, commodities, EM, bonds, gold, and the dollar, promoting his Meta Strategy subscription service throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-16 17:00

⚠️ I WARNED This Would Happen! You're NOT Ready For This...

Capacity utilization and employment linkage

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that US industrial production and manufacturing are stagnating, signaling that consumer demand is weakening because paychecks are failing to keep pace with inflation. He warns this will back-feed up the supply chain, leading to mass unemployment and recession. He dismisses the "trade-war uncertainty" narrative and says the real problem is the squeezed consumer. The video includes a promo for his Meta Strategy trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-15 17:00

🚨 The WORLD Will Be in SHOCK When This HITS!

China housing market collapseGlobal manufacturing recession

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues China's economy is "days away from collapse," citing falling home prices, rising unemployment to 5.2%, slowing industrial production and retail sales, developer liquidations, and deflationary price wars. He predicts this slowdown will cascade through Germany, Europe, and eventually the US as the global manufacturing cycle rolls over. US consumers are already pulling back spending. He dismisses Chinese stimulus as ineffective and frames the setup as an imminent global shock that markets are unprepared for. The episode is interspersed with promotional segments for his trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-14 17:00

⚠️ Crisis Protocols Activated—They’re Panicking!

China property crisisChina bad debt and banking insolvency riskUS demand collapse and box shipments indicator

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China is on the brink of a financial crisis driven by its property sector, with bad debt overwhelming banks and bad-debt managers alike. He ties China's problems to a broader global demand slowdown, pointing to collapsing US cardboard box shipments, rising producer prices, and falling consumer confidence as signals that the US economy is heading into recession. He dismisses rate cuts as a magic fix and pitches his "Meta Strategy" trading system throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-13 17:00

🚨 They’re DUMPING Billions—It’s Triggering a MASSIVE Cash CRISIS!

Chinese banking liquidity crisisGlobal contagion from China property crash

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China is on the cusp of an all-out liquidity crisis triggered by Evergrande liquidators hiring UBS to sell $1.1 billion in property units at steep discounts. He contends this will force Chinese banks to write down assets, sparking a banking crisis that spreads globally. He ties this to US commercial real estate risks, contracting loan growth, and consumer retrenchment, predicting the Fed will be powerless to stop the downward spiral. The episode is punctuated by a paid sponsor segment for Orchestra Biomed (OBIO).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-12 17:01

😱 The World Isn't Ready for What Just Happened In China

Evergrande liquidationChina property crisisLehman Brothers analogy

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Evergrande's move toward liquidation is China's "Lehman Brothers moment" — a price-discovery event that could cascade through the global banking system. He then pivots to US macro, warning that services inflation is unsustainable as consumers can't afford higher prices, that corporate profits are falling while stocks rally (a bear-market setup), and that falling short-term yields signal tightening financial conditions rather than a soft landing.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-11 17:00

💣 This News Will SHOCK the World – And I'm TERRIFIED!

CPI report and stagflation riskLabor market deterioration and unemployment claimsSmall business tariff burden and survival risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that the upcoming CPI report could reveal stagflation — slowing growth alongside sticky or rising prices — which he argues will shock markets and policymakers. He walks through labor market deterioration, small business stress from tariffs, declining imports as a recession signal, and the risk that even falling inflation reflects collapsing demand rather than a soft landing. The episode also includes a paid sponsor segment for Upexi (UPXI).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-10 17:00

🚨 URGENT: The Last Time This Signal CRASHED, Markets Followed!

Market breadth divergence as crash signalAI capex bubble and dot-com parallelsCTA/systematic positioning and derisking risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that declining market breadth — with only ~57% of S&P 500 and ~50% of NASDAQ stocks above their 50-day moving averages while price hits new highs — is the same signal that preceded the dot-com crash. He highlights extreme concentration in mega-cap tech/AI names, stretched CTA positioning, and parallels to 2000-era TMT valuations. He sees tactical opportunities in bonds (TLT) and gold miners (GDX), is bearish small caps and financials, and suggests the dollar may squeeze CTA shorts. The core call: a major stock correction is likely as AI spending fails to convert to profits.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-08 17:00

⚠️ What JUST Happened in Canada Has Me FRIGHTENED!

Canada employment reportglobal recession riskcentral bank policy error

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Canada's unexpected loss of 40,800 jobs in July, arguing it signals a global recession spreading to the US. He contends that front-running of tariffs created a temporary hiring boom now rolling over, that central banks are making a policy error by worrying about inflation instead of the deteriorating labor market, and that the bond market (per Goldman Sachs) is pricing rates back to zero. He pitches his CTA Timer Pro trading service and a GDX trade recommendation throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-07 17:00

🚨 MILLIONS Will Soon Be Unemployed!

US labor market deteriorationContinuing jobless claims as leading indicatorProductivity gains as layoff signal

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the US labor market is on the verge of unraveling, pointing to rising continuing jobless claims (near 2 million), rising productivity as a layoff precursor, and a declining copper/gold ratio. He contends the Fed and other central banks are wrongly fixated on inflation while missing imminent labor-market weakness that will force aggressive rate cuts. The episode includes a promotion for his CTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-06 17:00

💣 BILLION-DOLLAR Meltdown IGNITES Banking PANIC – Major Cities FACE TOTAL COLLAPSE!

commercial real estate crisisregional bank risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the $277M Wells Fargo Center bond collapse in Denver is the first domino of a looming commercial real estate (CRE) crisis that will hit regional banks, trigger a liquidity panic, and spread globally — drawing parallels to Germany's manufacturing decline and China's property bust. Heavy sponsor promotion for UPEXI (UPXI), a Solana-treasury company.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-05 17:01

😱 Trump's Top Official DROPS EXPLOSIVE WARNING!

Bessent refuses Fed Chair nominationISM Services near-stagnationStagflation warning

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Treasury Secretary Bessent's refusal to be considered for Fed Chair is a massive warning signal: Bessent knows the economy is sliding toward recession and doesn't want to take the blame. Van Metre presents ISM services data showing near-stagnation (50.1), contracting employment (46.4), and rising prices paid as evidence of stagflationary dynamics. He connects shrinking weekly hours, rising consumer delinquencies, and falling beer sales to build a bearish case that the Fed is powerless and a recession is coming.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-04 17:00

⚠️ What JUST Happened in China is a WARNING for America

China manufacturing PMI contractionChinese export orders decline and global demandDeflationary dynamics in China manufacturing

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's economic deterioration — falling manufacturing PMI, declining export orders, deflationary price behavior, and a deepening property slump — is a preview of what's coming for the US. He presents US data (durable goods plunge, falling factory orders, declining employment trends index, and corporate insider selling) as evidence the same pattern has already begun domestically. His core thesis is that falling demand will drive disinflation/deflation, squeeze corporate margins, and push unemployment higher, making the Fed rate cuts Trump wants a signal of weakness rather than relief.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-03 17:00

🚨 I've Been WARNING About This For Weeks—And NOW It's Happening!

market breadth deterioration

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the recent market selloff isn't about Amazon earnings, tariffs, or the jobs report — it's about deteriorating market breadth that he's been warning about for weeks. He makes a technical case that declining breadth across the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and especially the Russell 2000 (only 38% above 50-day MA) is pulling prices lower, with momentum indicators turning negative. He flags the strengthening dollar as a headwind for corporate profits, sees gold as vulnerable to further selling, and views bonds as not yet in a confirmed bullish trend. The episode includes a paid sponsor segment for ImmunoPrecise Antibodies (IPA).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-02 17:00

⚠️ This Has NEVER Happened Before—Is This America’s BREAKING POINT?

BLS data collection failuresFed monetary policy and data dependence

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the 260K downward revision to May-June non-farm payrolls exposes a structural crisis: the BLS can no longer collect timely, accurate economic data due to budget cuts and low survey response rates. He warns this means the Fed is setting policy on bad data — risking being deep in recession before the numbers catch up. He also flags the resignation of Fed Governor Kugler as potentially opening the door for Trump to install a loyalist, creating a "shadow Fed chair" dynamic. The core thesis: bad data → bad policy → accelerated economic downturn, with rate cuts unlikely to help given where we are in the cycle.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-08-01 17:00

🚨 NIGHTMARE CONFIRMED—I Told You This Would Happen...

July 2025 non-farm payroll report and downward revisionsStagflation thesisFed rate cut expectations (September FOMC)

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the July 2025 non-farm payroll report (+73K) and massive downward revisions (~260K over prior two months) confirm the labor market is unraveling. He frames the setup as stagflation: weakening employment, slowing wage growth, rising prices, and collapsing new orders. He cites Fed officials Waller and Bowman's recent labor-market warnings as validation. His thesis: the Fed will be forced to cut rates — potentially 50 bps by September — as the economy slides toward recession, with Treasury yields tumbling and equities repricing lower. The show includes a promotional offer for his "Meta Strategy" trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-31 17:00

⚠️ We’re SCREWED—I WARNED You...

US labor market deteriorationChallenger job cuts report July 2025Real retail sales vs unemployment claims historical pattern

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US economy is headed for recession, citing a surge in planned job cuts (62,751 announced in July vs ~25,900 a year ago) driven by AI displacement, tariffs, and collapsing demand. He warns that falling retail sales, squeezing profit margins, declining durable goods orders, and flattening wage growth all point to an accelerating labor market unwind. The Fed is trapped between weakening growth and sticky inflation, making rate cuts unlikely until the labor market cracks. The show includes a sponsor segment for Night Food Holdings (NGTF).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-30 17:00

😱 THIS IS *VERY* CONCERNING!

Tariff rebate checks / fiscal stimulusConsumer spending slowdownGDP quality and underlying demand metrics

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US government is panicking about a weakening economy, evidenced by a Senate bill proposing tariff rebate checks of $600+ per adult. He contends the headline 3% GDP growth masks weak underlying demand, with real retail sales declining, consumer delinquencies rising even among wealthy Americans, and companies like Starbucks and Cisco warning about consumer pullback. The Fed held rates steady (9-2 vote), but Van Metre sees stimulus checks as the "last resort" to prop up consumption before the economy deteriorates further.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-29 17:00

🚨 WORSE Than I Thought—You Won’t Believe It!

US consumer credit delinquenciesLabor market deterioration (JOLTS, hours, wages)

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the US economy is in worse shape than he previously thought, pointing to surging credit card and auto loan delinquencies among high-income earners ($150K+), which have jumped nearly 20% in two years — outpacing lower-income cohorts. He contends this signals a structural currency shortage in the debt-based economy, not just a cyclical slowdown. Falling job openings (JOLTS), declining hours worked, flatlining wages, and rising delinquency rates all point toward an impending recession that Fed rate cuts cannot forestall. He predicts the stock market's current bullishness is disconnected from reality and will reverse as consumer spending collapses.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-28 17:00

⚠️ In Just 48 Hours, Chaos Hits (Don’t Say I Didn’t Warn You!)

Mag 7 earnings riskmarket breadth and concentrationAI monetization skepticism

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that Wednesday July 30, 2025 marks a potential inflection point: Microsoft and Meta report earnings with a "bar set high" while the Fed meets the same day. He argues deteriorating market breadth, slowing consumer spending, weakening hours worked, and lofty Mag 7 valuations create a setup where any earnings miss could trigger a sharp selloff. The Fed is expected to hold rates with no near-term cut signal, disappointing markets. He frames the current rally as a "buy the rumor, sell the news" event, with structural risks from declining retail sales, falling corporate profits, and AI spending that has yet to produce real revenue.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-27 17:00

🚨 Market Shocker Hits 1 Hour After Monday's Opening Bell!

Corporate buyback windowsMarket breadth deterioration

Preview:Steven Van Metre walks through a technical market overview covering Goldman Sachs' warning that the 2021 meme-stock frenzy is back, lists the five most-shorted stocks to watch, and then pivots to his own sector-level calls. He is bullish on financials breaking out, cautiously watching the long bond (TLT) for a potential turn, and has trades on GDX (gold miners) and emerging markets. He is bearish on oil/energy and gold itself. The core tactical call is that corporate buyback windows reopen one hour after Monday's open, which he expects will add buying pressure to an already momentum-driven, narrow-breadth rally.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-26 17:00

⚠️ EMERGENCY Declared!

PBOC liquidity crisisChinese banking system stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes the PBOC's emergency liquidity injection into China's bond market, arguing the central bank created its own crisis by signaling higher rates after banks had loaded up on bonds. He draws parallels to the US regional banking crisis and Japan, warns of contagion risks from forced bond selling, and ties this to a broader global manufacturing slowdown evidenced by weak Eurozone PMIs, German employment data, and signs that tariff front-running is fading in the US.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-25 17:01

🚨 Toronto's Unexpected COLLAPSE is a WARNING to the World!

Toronto economic collapse as leading indicatorTariff impact on manufacturing and auto sectorCapacity utilization and unemployment linkage

Preview:Steven Van Metre uses Toronto's economic deterioration — falling retail sales, rising unemployment (8.7%), collapsing auto output, and a softening housing market — as a leading indicator for what he expects will spread to the US and globally. He argues that the post-tariff "payback period" is arriving, that capacity utilization and durable goods orders are rolling over, and that corporate profit margin compression (citing VW and Intel) will drive layoffs. His core thesis: the US is ~1-2 months behind Toronto, and the slowdown will force Trump toward rebate checks because rate cuts aren't coming.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-24 17:00

😱 The Shocking Reason Behind Trump's Unheard-of Move

Trump Fed confrontationPowell removal riskLabor market recession signals

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Trump's threat to remove Fed Chair Powell, arguing it's economically motivated as the US economy deteriorates despite tax cuts, a stock market at highs, and a trade war winding down. He presents charts showing continued claims rising while initial claims stay low — a recession precursor — and evidence from airlines, restaurants, and Tesla that consumer demand is weakening. His core thesis: rate cuts won't work because the transmission mechanism to consumer spending is broken, and Trump's push is "too late." Substantial sponsor promotion for CyberCatch Holdings (CYB/CYBHF) is interleaved throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-23 17:00

⚠️ Banks Are Scrambling to Bury Bad Loans—You Won't Believe Why!

Hong Kong bad bank formationglobal financial crisis parallels

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Hong Kong banks' push to create a "bad bank" for $25B in sour commercial real estate debt mirrors the pre-2008 playbook. He ties this to slowing commercial & industrial lending, rising delinquencies, deteriorating corporate profits, and tariff-driven demand destruction, warning the global banking system is on the cusp of another financial crisis. Central banks are powerless; rate cuts won't fix insolvency. Sponsorship segments for IPA (ImmunoPrecise Antibodies) are interspersed throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-22 17:00

😱 Trump Official Exposes Imminent Monetary Reset Plan!

Federal Reserve reform and reviewStablecoin legislation and monetary reset

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's call for a full Fed review, combined with Trump's stablecoin bill, signals the early stages of a deliberate US monetary reset — undermining the Fed and the dollar from below by shifting toward Treasury-backed stablecoins. He presents charts showing the Fed is always behind the curve, cites weakening manufacturing/earnings data, and promotes sponsored stock AGRI.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-21 17:00

🚨 UK’s Shocking Emergency: It's the WORST Crisis in OVER 25 Years!

UK profit warnings record highGlobal profit margin compressionTrade war tariff impact on corporates

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that record UK profit warnings — the worst in 25 years — are the canary in the coal mine for a global profit-margin crisis. He claims companies can no longer absorb tariffs, demand is collapsing, and the next step is layoffs, spreading from the UK to Japan, China, and the US. The thesis is that falling corporate profits always precede rising unemployment, and with US equities near all-time highs, a recessionary bear market is nearly inevitable.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-20 17:00

🚨 This Signal CRASHED Stocks Before – It JUST Triggered AGAIN, Act NOW!

Bank of America sell signalsbubble risk and market concentration

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues Bank of America just triggered three simultaneous sell signals on US equities — the fund manager cash rule (cash below 4%), declining global breadth, and equity/bond flow ratios — warning a major correction or bubble burst may be near. He walks through deteriorating breadth across the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 while momentum remains positive, creating a divergence he views as bearish. He advises avoiding energy and gold miners, is cautiously long emerging markets and gold (via Bravos 9 signals), and positions for a dollar reversal via short euro.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-19 18:51

😱 Trump Insider’s Bombshell: The Unthinkable Has Started!

Fed policy and rate-cut prospectsPrivate-sector labor market deteriorationChristopher Waller's dissent signal

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Fed Governor Waller's unusual public dissent against the anticipated July rate hold, arguing Waller's insider warning signals the US economy — particularly the private-sector labor market — is far weaker than official data suggests. He walks through declining average hourly earnings, falling weekly hours, softening retail sales, rising layoffs in trucking/logistics, and the impending hit from student loan payment resumption. The core thesis: the Fed is behind the curve, the bond market is already pricing cuts, and recession risk is mounting even as the stock market cheers.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-17 17:01

"Spending Just Stopped"—We're SCREWED!

Retail sales and consumer spendingLabor market and paycheck shrinkageCredit card delinquencies and bank lending standards

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the headline retail sales surge is misleading because it's not inflation-adjusted. Real spending has stopped as paychecks shrink (hours worked at second-lowest since pandemic), banks tighten lending standards, and credit card delinquencies remain near all-time highs. He warns of an impending spending collapse driven by a dollar shortage, tariff front-running inventory overhangs, and deteriorating consumer credit — setting up a recessionary inflection point.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-16 17:00

⚠️ Banks Reveal Americans Hit Their Breaking Point!

auto loan delinquenciesconsumer credit stressaverage weekly hours vs delinquencies

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that surging auto loan delinquencies — now at a 15-year high — are the "final warning sign" before the US economy plunges into crisis. He ties rising delinquencies to falling weekly hours worked, high car payments (record $750/month average, nearly 20% of new loans over $1,000), and broader disinflationary pressure visible in flat PPI and falling services costs. Bank of America's rising loan-loss provisions, volatile port traffic tied to tariff uncertainty, and declining gasoline demand all reinforce his thesis that a dollar shortage and recessionary spiral are underway.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-15 17:00

History’s Repeating: This Signal Crashed a MAJOR Economy – It’s Here Again!

China economic collapse speculationPBOC monetary policy impotence

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that record inflows into long-duration Chinese government bond ETFs are not a "flight to safety" but a speculative bet that China's economy is heading for collapse — and that neither PBOC rate cuts nor Beijing stimulus can stop it. He frames China as a leading indicator, warning that the same demand-destruction pattern (falling hours worked, weaker loan demand, tariff front-running) is already visible in the US and could trigger a broader global downturn reminiscent of 2008.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-14 17:00

🚨 PBOC in Crisis Mode—Banks Hit with OUTRAGEOUS Orders!

PBOC policy flip-flop and inflation vs. deflation debateChinese banking system bad debt and forced lendingChina aggregate financing and credit demand weakness

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the PBOC's sudden shift from worrying about deflation to warning about inflation risks from excessive bank bond holdings is a smokescreen. The real risk, he claims, is that Chinese banks are forced to lend into a slowing economy, piling bad loans onto bad loans, while buying bonds as a hedge against an eventual financial system collapse. He ties this to weakening global demand (UK labor data, US imports) and frames it as a precursor to a global financial crisis — with Bitcoin as the only hedge. The episode is built around a sponsored segment for Agraforce (AGRI), a Bitcoin mining company.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-13 17:01

OH SH*T: The Banks Are Warning About Something Big—Last 5 Times This Happened the Market Crashed!

market breadthcrowding and positioningearnings season

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that market internals are deteriorating even as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 sit near highs, and he says several breadth indicators have historically preceded major pullbacks or crashes. He also frames earnings season, tariff cost absorption, and heavy crowding in mega-cap/momentum names as the key near-term risk factors, while discussing a handful of tactical trades and a sponsored stock segment on Avalon Global Care (ALBT).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-12 17:00

⚠️ Amazon's Most FRIGHTENING Warning Yet—It's Happening!!

Amazon Prime Day 2025 consumer spending analysisUS consumer financial stress and breaking point thesisLabor market weakness (declining average weekly hours)

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Amazon Prime Day 2025 results to argue the US consumer has hit a breaking point. Despite a headline 30% sales increase (over a doubled 4-day event), underlying data shows shoppers buying staples under $20, avoiding discretionary items, and hunting for deals — behavior he claims matches pre-recession patterns. He ties this to shrinking average weekly hours, tariff fears, and bloated retail inventories. He also pushes back on Jamie Dimon's call for higher rates, arguing six-month T-bill yields signal the opposite, and promotes his Momentum Timer Pro service and Monetary Metals gold-yield product.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-10 17:00

😱 China’s Ultra-Rare Move—Just 4 Times in History—It's OFFICIALLY a CRISIS!

China Urban Work Conference and crisis stimulusGlobal overcapacity and excess supplyChina deflation and falling producer prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China is on the verge of convening only its fifth-ever "Urban Work Conference" — a crisis-level policy meeting last held in 2015 — because all prior stimulus has failed to revive its economy. He links China's overcapacity and deflation to a global slowdown, rising inventories, and a weakening US labor market. He is skeptical the stimulus will work because global consumer demand is deteriorating, and he warns that rising continued unemployment claims in the US signal a recession ahead.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-09 17:01

The World Isn't Prepared for What Just Happened In China

China deflationglobal demand weaknessproducer price index

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's economy is in deepening trouble: producer prices have fallen for 33 straight months despite trillions in stimulus, consumer confidence remains crushed, and cutthroat price wars are accelerating deflation. He contends this deflationary spiral will spread globally — already visible in Canada's softening labor market — and that rate cuts won't help because unemployed people can't get loans. The core thesis: stimulus has failed everywhere, demand is deteriorating, and labor markets are next to crack.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-08 17:00

⚠️ What JUST Happened in Canada is a WARNING for America

Canada services PMI contractionTariff front-running payback periodUS small business optimism and pricing

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Canada's accelerating services-sector contraction — driven by tariff-induced input-cost inflation, falling demand, and part-time hiring masking weakness — is a preview of what will soon hit the US. He cites deteriorating PMIs, rising selling prices met with falling sales, and shrinking consumer paychecks as evidence that the global economy is rolling over. He also flags a potential sharp US dollar reversal as the biggest second-half trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-07 17:00

🚨 Major Banks BRACE for a Massive Financial CRASH!

Two-year Treasury yield vs fed funds rate divergenceBank lending standards and credit creation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that major US banks are quietly preparing for a financial crisis by aggressively buying short-term Treasuries (bills and notes) at yields below the federal funds rate — behavior he claims only occurs ahead of every major recession. He contends that the post-tax-bill drop in yields, tightening bank lending standards, decelerating loan creation, rising delinquencies, and a divergence between payrolls and the Conference Board employment index all point to an imminent crisis. He also posits that the consensus weak-dollar view is wrong and that the dollar could surge as financial conditions tighten.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-06 17:00

⚠️ Shocking E-Mail Exposes Huge Market Risk – Prepare for Next Week!

BofA global breadth rule / Hartnett bubble warningNarrow market breadth / concentration risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre reviews market risks flagged by BofA's Michael Hartnett, who warns of a potential sell signal as soon as this week if the S&P 500 hits 6,300. He highlights extremely narrow market breadth — the worst in history — with only 22 S&P stocks at all-time highs. While consensus calls for 6,500, Van Metre sees structural fragility underneath. He identifies oversold opportunities in the long bond (TLT) and the dollar, presents a bullish dollar trade (YCS), and remains cautious on gold despite pushback from viewers. The episode is sponsored by Light AI (ALGO/OCFF).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-06 12:25

WARNING: Housing Prices Are About to CRASH!

US housing market correctionbuilder inventory and price cutslabor market and weekly hours as leading indicator

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the US housing market is on the verge of a major price correction driven not by mortgage rates or supply-demand mechanics, but by deteriorating economic fundamentals — specifically falling weekly hours worked, a weakening labor market, and slowing services sector activity. He draws parallels to 2009 and highlights similar housing weakness in China, Canada, and globally, warning that builder inventory at post-2009 highs and rising price cuts could cascade into a financial crisis. The transcript includes sponsor reads for Monetary Metals and his own Momentum Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-03 17:00

⚠️ This CONFIRMS the NIGHTMARE is Just Beginning...

Non-farm payrolls distortionBLS data integrityFed rate cut expectations

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the headline June non-farm payrolls (+147K) are misleading — the BLS is "cooking the books." Beneath the surface, hours are being cut, wage growth is decelerating, long-term unemployment jumped 190K, and discouraged workers rose 256K. He contends this data gives the Fed cover to delay rate cuts, which will worsen the consumer slowdown. The real story: American workers' paychecks are shrinking against inflation, and a recession is coming.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-02 17:00

🚨 In Just 15 Hours This News Will Shock the Entire World!

non-farm payroll previewADP private payroll misslabor market slowdown

Preview:Steven Van Metre previews the upcoming non-farm payroll report, arguing that ADP's unexpected 33,000 contraction in private payrolls signals a weakening US labor market that the mainstream media will spin bullishly. He contends small businesses are under acute margin stress, large tech firms like Microsoft are laying off amid an AI spending bubble, and the broader economy is slowing toward a potential financial crisis. The episode doubles as a promotional vehicle for sponsor Immunoprecise Antibodies (IPA).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-07-01 17:00

😱 Texas’s FRIGHTENING Crash Sparks PANIC—And It's SPREADING to the Rest of the COUNTRY!

Texas manufacturing surveyISM manufacturing PMIinventory recession risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the Texas manufacturing survey reveals a brewing inventory recession that is spreading nationwide. New orders are contracting, shipments are falling while production holds flat — signaling inventory buildup. Hours worked plunged to post-pandemic lows. He warns that the Fed is misreading the economy via unreliable JOLTS data and risks a major policy error by staying hawkish on inflation fears driven by tariffs, even as the real economy deteriorates.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-30 17:00

Something Just BROKE in China’s Economy – Collapse Looms!

China economic slowdown and PMI contractionTariff front-running and inventory building masking weaknessChina property market crash and wealth effect

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's economy is on the brink of collapse, hidden by headline numbers inflated by tariff front-running and inventory building. He contends that weak employment, a crumbling property market, and deflationary pressures are spreading globally — through Germany to the US — and that Goldman Sachs is warning about a profit-margin reckoning as equity investors chase all-time highs. Rate cuts and stimulus are failing because consumers without jobs cannot spend.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-29 17:00

🚨 Panic Selling Begins Monday—Don't Say I Didn't Warn You...

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents a bearish case for gold, arguing that retail investors are cashing out while the pros hold, technical indicators are breaking down (trendline, 50-day MA, RSI/MACD turning negative), and CTAs are poised to liquidate positions near $3,250. He sees potential for a 6-10% correction. Conversely, he is bullish on bonds (TLT) with momentum turning and machines buying, and flagging the dollar (UUP) as a potential reversal trade. On equities, he notes small caps (Russell 2000) failing to confirm the large-cap breakout as a red flag, while acknowledging machine buying could still push indices higher in the near term.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-26 17:01

THIS IS *VERY* CONCERNING...

Trump vs. Fed Chair Powell conflictFederal Reserve monetary policy and rate cutsUS labor market deterioration (continuing claims)

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Trump's statement at the NATO summit calling Fed Chair Powell "terrible" and hinting at successors. He argues the economy is slowing dangerously — evidenced by rising continuing claims (near 2M), FedEx warnings, Winnebago guidance cuts, and Bumble layoffs — and that the Fed is already too late. Trump's shadow-Fed-chief gambit risks undermining Powell's authority and accelerating the downturn rather than bottoming it.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-25 17:00

⚠️ FedEx Just Issued a MASSIVE Warning About the Global Economy

FedEx earnings and guidance cutGlobal demand deteriorationConsumer spending and trade-down behavior

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes FedEx's Q4 2025 earnings, arguing the shipping giant's decision to only issue current-quarter guidance — rather than full-year — signals collapsing global demand. He contends that demand is falling faster than companies can cut costs, which will force mass layoffs and potentially trigger a recession. He ties this to consumer sentiment deterioration, housing market weakness, the trade war, and Fed inaction, while also promoting sponsor Resolve AI (RZLV).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-24 17:00

😱 THIS is the TIPPING Point We've FEARED!

Student loan delinquencies and consumer credit stressFed policy error and Powell's restrictive stanceConsumer confidence and retail sales decline

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US economy is at a tipping point, driven by a surge in student loan delinquencies (5.8M borrowers, highest since 2012). He contends the Fed under Powell is making a policy error by keeping rates restrictive while demand collapses, and that tightening bank lending standards plus falling consumer confidence will push the economy into recession or a financial crisis. The video includes a promo for his Momentum Timer Pro service and a recent winning XLE trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-23 17:00

🚨 I WARNED YOU THIS WOULD HAPPEN...

US commercial real estate distressBanking system solvency and unrealized lossesFederal Reserve rate policy and zero-rate thesis

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns of a brewing global banking crisis, centered on US commercial real estate distress, rising delinquencies, and over $410 billion in unrealized bank portfolio losses. He argues the Fed will be forced to cut rates to zero, but without the congressional bailout authority from the last crisis, regional banks are vulnerable. He ties the thesis to slowing PMIs in the US, China's property-sector extend-and-pretend directives, and German manufacturing contraction. The episode is heavily intercut with a paid sponsor segment for ImmunoPrecise Antibodies (IPA).

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-22 17:30

BREAKING: The Fed Just Announced Rate Cuts (What You Must Know)

Christopher Waller CNBC commentsTariff inflation thesis failure

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steven Van Metre analyze Fed Governor Christopher Waller's CNBC comments signaling a July rate cut. They argue the Fed has been overestimating tariff-driven inflation while underestimating labor market weakness, and now must cut preemptively to avoid falling behind the curve — as it did in summer 2024. The core thesis: once the Fed starts cutting, the economic downturn will prevent it from stopping.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-22 17:00

🚨 WHY YOU NEED TO SELL THESE SECTORS ON MONDAY!

Middle East conflict impact on markets (Iran strikes, oil, flight to safety)Dollar short squeeze thesis (extreme positioning, contrarian setup)

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns of a pending equity correction driven by declining breadth, the corporate buyback blackout window, and an escalating Middle East conflict. He sees downside risk in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, a short-term opportunity in small caps (IWM), and a potential dollar squeeze given extreme short positioning. His highest-conviction trade is long base metals (DBB). Oil/energy is a "buy the rumor, sell the news" setup. He also discusses financials, emerging markets, bonds, gold, and promotes sponsor Resolve AI (RZLV).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-21 17:00

😱 WE'RE SCREWED

consumer spending slowdownwage growth vs inflationKroger and retail trade-down signals

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that consumer spending has abruptly stopped globally, driven by wages failing to keep pace with inflation. He cites Kroger's price cuts and shift to private-label brands, plus deteriorating retail sales in Canada, the UK, and the US, as evidence of a recession forming. He contends the Fed is behind the curve, misreading the labor market, and will be forced to cut rates aggressively — potentially all the way back to zero. Rare earth supply disruptions from China add a second threat: production shutdowns that could accelerate job losses.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-20 17:00

🚨 THEY'RE PANICKING

UK retail sales collapseGlobal consumer weakness and stagflationHours worked vs. inflation as recession signal

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that global economic alarm bells are ringing, led by a catastrophic plunge in UK retail sales. He warns that falling hours worked combined with sticky inflation point to a stagflationary recession already beginning. The Philly Fed manufacturing survey shows employment turning negative. Central banks are starting to panic-cut rates, with Fed Governor Waller signaling a July cut just two days after Powell held firm. Van Metre sees this as too little, too late — the global recession is already arriving.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-19 17:01

😱 Get Ready NOW: This Has NEVER Happened Before—And It Hits TOMORROW!

China auto subsidy collapse and economic weaknessDeflation vs. tariff-driven inflation debate

Preview:Steve Van Metre warns that Friday's record $5.9 trillion options expiration could trigger a sharp equity correction toward S&P 5,700. He ties this to weakening global demand, collapsing Chinese auto subsidies, and an impending recession that the Fed is too late to prevent. He argues tariffs won't cause persistent inflation because consumers can't absorb higher prices, and he positions long-duration Treasuries as a beneficiary when rates eventually get slashed. The video is a mix of macro analysis and heavy promotion of his Momentum Timer Pro service and an upcoming AI trading system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-18 17:00

🚨 My Most Important Video This Year!!

US housing market downturnConstruction employment and job lossesConsumer sentiment and housing starts correlation

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the US housing sector is on the verge of a sharp downturn that could eliminate over 1 million jobs, with housing starts plunging, inventory at 2009 highs, and consumer confidence at multi-decade lows. He extends this bearish thesis across trade/transportation, energy demand, and global exports, concluding that the Fed will be late to cut rates as unemployment claims spiral higher, potentially triggering a hard landing or even a financial crisis.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-17 17:00

🚨 U.S.'s WARNING to the WORLD: You Need to Prepare For This NOW!

US retail sales declineConsumer spending and discretionary cutbacksReal retail sales vs inflation dynamics

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that weakening US retail sales — particularly the recent back-to-back monthly declines and falling year-over-year real retail sales — are not a temporary weather or tariff-front-running blip but the early signal of a consumer-led recession. He shows charts linking real retail sales declines to falling industrial production, capacity utilization, and eventually job cuts, framing this as a warning to the world that depends on US consumer demand. The episode is heavily interspersed with sponsor segments for CyberCatch Holdings (CYB / CYBHF).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-16 17:00

😱 New York in CRISIS: Nationwide DISASTER Unfolding NOW!

Empire State Manufacturing SurveyUS manufacturing contractionLabor market and layoff risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey shows a deepening contraction (fourth straight month), with plunging new orders foreshadowing layoffs despite manufacturers holding onto workers by cutting hours. He contends that tariff front-running has given way to demand destruction, that inflation fears are overblown because weak demand will cap prices, and that China's rare-earth export restrictions plus a renewed property slump will compound the slowdown. He promotes his GDX trade (up ~9%) and his Momentum Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-15 17:00

🚨 40% CRASH in LESS THAN 24 Hours! DON’T Ignore This!

buyback blackout windowCTA systematic positioning

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns of a 40% decline in corporate buyback power starting Monday as the buyback blackout window begins, which he says could remove a key support for equities. He combines this with CTA/systematic positioning levels that could trigger heavy selling if breached, hedge fund short positioning that could fuel either a squeeze or a cascade, and BofA breadth indicators suggesting a short-term top. He also sees upside potential in oil and gold miners, and flags a potential opportunity in Brazilian equities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-14 17:00

😱 "WE'RE SHUTTING DOWN"

China rare earth export restrictionsFord factory shutdownUS industrial production and labor market linkage

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's rare earth export restrictions are creating a crisis for US manufacturing, exemplified by Ford shutting down its Chicago Explorer plant for a week. He builds a case that this is a deliberate Chinese strategy to inflict economic pain, potentially triggering a stagflationary recession via rising unemployment and contracting industrial production. He supports this with relationships between industrial production, weekly hours, imports, and consumer sentiment, then pivots to promoting his Momentum Timer Pro service, highlighting a winning XLE trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-13 17:00

😱 Breaking: Global DEVASTATION is Coming—Get Ready NOW!

Iran-Israel conflict escalationStrait of Hormuz closure risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the escalating Iran-Israel conflict is a potential tipping point for the global economy, with oil prices as the transmission mechanism. He warns that a sustained oil spike to $100-130/barrel would drive inflation higher, crush consumer spending, prevent Fed rate cuts, and potentially trigger a global recession. The video also features a paid sponsorship segment for Inspiration Energy (ISP/ISPNF), a junior gold explorer positioned as a "next door play" to Rampant Metals' Saskatchewan discovery.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-12 17:01

🚨 The World Isn't Ready For What's Coming...

UK economic contraction and rising unemployment from tariffsUS-China trade war and rare-earth leverageIndustrial production as leading indicator for labor market

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the US-UK-China trade war is now hitting labor markets, not just inflation. UK economic data shows GDP contraction and rising unemployment under a mere 10% tariff. US continuing claims hit 1.96 million — near his 2M "inflection point" for a spiral higher. China's rare-earth leverage could accelerate factory shutdowns. The core thesis: producers can't pass tariff costs to consumers, so they'll defend margins by cutting workers, triggering disinflation/deflation and a global unemployment wave. He promotes a GDX long trade and his Momentum Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-11 17:00

💣 BOMBSHELL Gov't Report JUST Dropped...

CPI inflation report May 2025Wage growth and average weekly hoursConsumer discretionary spending decline

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes the May 2025 CPI report showing inflation rising less than forecast for the fourth straight month. He argues this "relief" masks a nightmare scenario: falling wage growth, declining weekly hours, and shrinking paychecks will crush consumer spending, compress corporate profits, and eventually hit equities and employment — pushing the US economy toward a stagflationary recession. He also covers the US-China rare earth trade deal, rising oil/gas prices, and a heavy sponsor segment for ImmunoPrecise Antibodies (IPA).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-10 17:00

This JUST Triggered a Financial TSUNAMI—You Need to Prepare for this NOW!

Port of Los Angeles labor market collapseTrump tariffs impact on imports and hours workedAverage weekly hours as recession leading indicator

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that collapsing hours at the Port of Los Angeles/Long Beach — driven by Trump's tariffs choking imports — has triggered the early stages of a financial crisis. He lays out a causal chain: reduced port activity → cut hours → shrinking paychecks → rising delinquencies → bank loan losses. Citigroup's increased provisions for credit card losses are presented as the first bank admission. He sees mass layoffs as likely within weeks unless trade talks reverse the trend, and warns of a global growth crisis alongside spiking delinquencies.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-09 17:00

😱 What JUST Happened in China Threatens to PLUNGE the World into CHAOS!

China economic slowdownUS-China trade warGlobal recession risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that China's economy is weakening rapidly — exports to the US plunged 34% in May, imports fell 3.4%, consumer prices are in their fourth consecutive month of deflation, and the property market is crumbling again. He contends this is not just a China problem: declining US imports historically lead to falling hours worked, rising unemployment, and recession. He sees the US economy one step behind China's trajectory, with shrinking paychecks, an inventory overhang, and deflationary pressure likely to force the Fed to cut rates — stimulus that won't work. Both sides now want a trade deal, but he believes it's too late.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-08 17:00

🚨 Bank of America’s URGENT Warning to ALL Clients

Systematic positioning (CTAs, risk parity, vol control)Market breadth analysis and overbought thresholds

Preview:Steven Van Metre pushes back on Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett's global stock sell signal, arguing that positioning data from CTAs, risk parity, and vol control funds shows substantial buying power still available. He contends that short hedge funds and underweight asset managers may be forced to chase a grinding rally higher, and walks through bullish technical setups on SPY, QQQ, XLE, and XLF while flagging caution on small caps and EM, and noting potential in bonds, gold, and US natural gas.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-07 17:00

🚨 Walmart's Warning to the World!

Walmart consumer warningUS recession riskAI and automation job displacement

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Walmart's CFO comments as a recessionary warning. He argues consumers are stretched, spending remains flat year-over-year, and Walmart is being forced into an "unthinkable" move: replacing workers with AI and automation (drones, chatbot "Sparky") rather than just cutting hours. He ties this to declining weekly hours, falling consumer sentiment, and corporate profit margin pressure. He criticizes the Fed (citing Harker) for doing nothing despite clear recession signals. The video promotes his Momentum Timer Pro service and a GDX trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-06 17:00

😱 We are SCREWED...

May 2025 non-farm payrolls analysisLabor force participation rate declineHours worked as leading indicator

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the May 2025 jobs report is far worse than the headline 139K payrolls suggest — after accounting for 95K in downward revisions to prior months, the "real" number is closer to 40K. He contends the falling labor force participation rate, weakening hours worked, and mounting corporate layoff announcements (P&G, Nissan, Brown-Forman) signal a recession is underway. He believes the Fed is behind the curve, fixated on inflation that is already fading, and that rate cuts — though he supports them — will not rescue the economy. The episode blends macro commentary with a pitch for his momentum-trading service and a GDX trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-05 17:00

🚨 Shocking Crisis Unfolds!

Germany corporate insolvency crisisTrade war impact on global profitsUS labor market deterioration

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Germany is entering a corporate insolvency crisis worse than 2008, driven by manufacturing contraction, trade war impacts, and over-reliance on exports. He links falling corporate profits to rising delinquencies, layoffs, and eventual financial crisis, and contends the US is following the same path — evidenced by rising jobless claims, plunging business optimism, and weakening consumer spending. The core thesis: unless the trade war ends soon, the global economy faces an all-out financial crisis. The video is intercut with promotional segments for his trading subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-04 17:00

🚨 This Has NEVER Happened Before – The FRIGHTENING Reason WE’RE Next!

China rare earth export restrictionsEuropean industrial shutdown riskUS labor market deterioration

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China's rare earth export restrictions are on the verge of shutting down entire industries in Europe and will soon hit the US, triggering mass unemployment, recession, and potentially a financial crisis. He ties this to weakening US labor market data (ADP miss, ISM services contraction, declining job openings and hours) and criticizes the Fed for keeping rates tight. The episode doubles as a promotion for sponsor RT Minerals (RTM/RTMFF), a junior rare earth explorer.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-03 17:00

🚨 Terrifying Development in China Threatens Global Stability!

China Caixin manufacturing PMI contractionSmall vs. large business divergence in economic downturnsGlobal consumer confidence and spending dynamics

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that China's Caixin manufacturing PMI dropping to 48.3 (contraction) is a global tipping point, signaling that small and midsize Chinese manufacturers are cracking under trade-war pressure. He warns this will spread worldwide via layoffs, collapsing consumer confidence, and inventory recessions — pointing to similar warning signs in US consumer sentiment, factory orders, and European data. His core thesis: post-pandemic stimulus pulled demand forward, and now the global economy is not resetting to baseline but dropping below it, with governments and central banks unable to respond effectively due to fiscal constraints.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-02 17:00

🚨 It's OFFICIALLY a CRISIS and It's Spreading FAST!

ISM manufacturing contractionUS labor market deteriorationImport/export collapse and tariffs

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues the next financial crisis has officially begun, pointing to ISM manufacturing data showing four straight months of contraction, collapsing imports/exports, and declining employment. He presents a bearish macro thesis tied to the labor market cycle — falling new orders → falling employment → rising unemployment → stock market decline. However, he also floats a "melt-up" scenario driven by hedge fund short covering, CTA/systematic buying, and asset manager FOMO before the eventual crash. The video is part macro analysis, part promotional pitch for his CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-06-01 17:10

💣 This is FRIGHTENING! (Hope You're Prepared)

Preview:Steve Van Metre warns that OPEC's decision to increase oil supply by 411,000 barrels/day in July could trigger a stock market crash within days, citing the strong correlation between oil prices and equities. He notes extreme short positioning in crude could alternatively spark a massive short squeeze above $64 WTI. While technicals on the S&P and NASDAQ remain bullish, he flags bearish signals in small caps, emerging markets, energy, and gold. He also promotes his trading subscription service and sponsor Ucore Rare Metals (UURAF).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-31 17:00

😱 Trump’s Shocking Decision Ignites the Largest Cash Transfer Ever – Banks Scrambling!

Stablecoin regulation and GENIUS ActBank disintermediation and deposit flight

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that proposed US stablecoin legislation represents a transformative moment: a deliberate government strategy to channel global demand into T-bill-backed stablecoins to finance spiraling deficits. He frames this as potentially the largest cash transfer in history, with depositors fleeing banks for stablecoins — effectively buying T-bills without knowing it. The video also covers China's contracting manufacturing, deflationary pressures, Jamie Dimon's Treasury market warnings, and the SLR regulation, before pivoting to a pitch for Van Metre's proprietary trading service and a uranium trade win.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-30 17:00

🚨 The Domino Effect Begins: Why Markets May Never Bounce Back!

US consumer spending slowdownPersonal savings rate and recession signalsFederal Reserve policy and rate-cut timing

Preview:Steve Van Metre delivers a bearish macro monologue arguing the US consumer is breaking down in a way not seen since 2009. He points to collapsing real spending, a rising savings rate, falling PCE inflation, and plunging sentiment as evidence the Fed is behind the curve. He frames the tariff war as the catalyst that could tip a fragile consumer into a full-blown financial crisis, dismisses the "TACO trade" (buy-the-tariff-dip) as dangerous, and promotes his CTA trading service throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-29 17:00

💥 Forget Tariffs—This JUST Sparked a Financial NIGHTMARE!

consumer spendinginventory cyclerecession

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that a consumer-led recession is already underway — not primarily because of tariffs, but because real incomes are falling and consumers are cutting spending. He warns of an inventory overhang, declining retail sales, and a coming labor market downturn that will force the Fed into aggressive rate cuts too late.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-28 17:00

😱 Texas’s FRIGHTENING Crash Sparks PANIC—What Happens Next Will SHOCK the WORLD!

Texas services sector contractionTariff-driven demand destructionConsumer inability to absorb price increases

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the latest Dallas Fed Texas service sector survey, arguing it signals "hell is coming" for American households. He contends that businesses cannot pass on higher tariff-related prices to consumers, leading to demand destruction, hour cuts, and eventually job losses. He cites collapsing retail sales in Texas (sales index plunged 33 points to -30.5), Richmond Fed weakness, and a Goldman Sachs note conceding tariff inflation won't be sustained. His core thesis: tariffs cause a one-time price shock that consumers reject, ushering in disinflation/deflation and forcing the Fed to cut rates — a view he says is now being validated by both Goldman and a Minneapolis Fed working paper.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-27 17:00

🚨 Trump Faces Unexpected Crisis as This Just Crashed -51% (It’s Bad)

US durable goods and capital goods orders collapsePayback period from tariff front-runningStagflationary recession risk and labor market impact

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the 51.5% slump in commercial aircraft orders and a 1.3% decline in core capital goods orders signal the start of a "payback period" from tariff front-running, which will cut hours worked and push the US into a stagflationary recession. He ties rising Japanese bond yields to a potential banking/insurance crisis mirroring the US regional bank failures. He warns the current stock rally driven by consumer confidence is a mirage — hedge funds are short, retail is selling into strength, and the real economy is deteriorating.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-26 17:00

💣 In 48 Hours... It' ALL Going DOWN—Don't Say I Didn't Warn You!

JGB auction and Japanese lifer sellingCTA and hedge fund positioning

Preview:Steven Van Metre warns that Wednesday's 40-year JGB auction in Japan could be the catalyst for a spike in long-end yields that sends US equities crashing, mirroring the UK gilt crisis. He lays out the bull case (CTA buying, corporate buybacks, potential hedge fund short-covering) and the bear case (long-end rates breaking higher), walks through charts for equities, energy, banks, EM, bonds, gold, the dollar, and uranium, and concludes with a paid sponsor pitch for Rain Therapeutics (RNTX). Despite the alarming title, his actual posture is cautiously bullish on US equities while watching the JGB auction as the key binary catalyst.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-25 17:00

🚨 It's Too Late—A Financial CRISIS is RAPIDLY Spreading!

CCC-rated debt default risktariff impact on consumer demand

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that widening credit spreads on CCC-rated junk bonds signal a financial crisis has already begun. He draws parallels to the subprime mortgage phase of the GFC, warns that tariffs are crushing consumer demand and raising inflation (stagflation), and predicts defaults will spread from the weakest bonds upward through the financial system. He also promotes his uranium trade and CTA Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-23 17:00

He's Totally Over It...

Trump 50% EU tariff threatGerman manufacturing and services decline

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Trump's threats of a 50% tariff on EU goods and a 25% tariff on Apple if iPhones aren't made in the US. He argues the EU economy is already contracting (PMIs below 50, falling new orders, depleting backlogs) and has no leverage to fight a trade war. He frames July 9th — the tariff suspension deadline — as the critical date markets are watching, and warns that unresolved tariffs plus rising taxes could tip the economy from recession into financial crisis. The video includes a pitch for his CTA Timer Pro service, highlighting a uranium trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-22 17:00

🚨 The Last Time This Happened—4 Major Banks FAILED!

JGB liquidity crisisBank insolvency risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that deteriorating liquidity in global bond markets — particularly Japanese government bonds (JGBs) — is flashing the same warning signs that preceded the March 2023 bank failures. He contends that banks remain upside-down on bond portfolios purchased at ultra-low yields, liquidity is drying up at auctions, and central banks (BOJ, Fed) are doing nothing. He warns this could trigger a larger wave of bank failures than 2023. His counterpoint: inflation expectations are driven by fear rather than reality, since shrinking paychecks will crush demand and make inflation transitory. The video includes a promotional pitch for his uranium trade and CTA timer service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-21 17:00

💣 Target Just Dropped a Bombshell—The Unthinkable Has Started!

Target earnings and consumer spending pullbackReal retail sales vs. hours worked relationshipStagflationary recession risk from tariffs

Preview:Steve Van Metre uses Target's disappointing sales results as a launching point to argue the US consumer is running out of money and a recession is imminent. He connects shrinking real paychecks (declining hours worked versus rising inflation), rising debt service costs, and tariff-driven price hikes to a coming demand collapse that will spread through retail, manufacturing, and housing — with a particular warning that if the Trump tax-cut bill fails, a recession becomes the base case. The segment includes a promotional pitch for his uranium trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-20 17:00

🚨 Japan Just Declared an Emergency – This Is Scary

US consumer credit deterioration (Klarna, credit cards, delinquencies)

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Japan's bond market turmoil — driven by the BOJ's rate hikes and reduced bond purchases — is a warning signal for global markets. He contends that rising yields in a slowing economy will crush consumers, trigger a recession, and eventually cause rates to crash back down, creating a bond-buying opportunity only after significant economic pain.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-19 17:01

💥 My MOST Important Video This Year—You Must Act NOW!!

Corporate share buybacksCTA / systematic strategy positioning

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a rare bullish setup is forming in US equities, driven by three simultaneous forces: corporate share buybacks at a 90% open-window peak, systematic CTA buying (~$30B projected), and underpositioned fund managers/hedge funds who will be forced to chase. He cites Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America as all pointing to reduced recession odds after the US-China trade truce. The Moody's downgrade dip was immediately bought — confirming the "pain trade" thesis that stocks grind higher even as the real economy slows. He also presents a contrarian case on Treasury yields: historically, higher government debt correlates with lower rates (weaker growth/inflation), and the post-2020 correlation break was stimulus-driven and temporary. His uranium trade is up 15.55% and he sees more upside.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-18 17:30

Japan JUST Entered a Recession And It's Quickly Spreading Worldwide

Japan GDP recession Q1 2025Bank of Japan rate-hike policy errorUS consumer confidence collapse May 2025

Preview:Japan's Q1 GDP turned negative, marking the fifth negative quarter out of the last eight, and Q2 looks worse. The hosts argue Japan's supposed "inflationary escape" was always a pandemic supply-shock mirage — the BOJ raised rates chasing phantom demand that never existed. They extend this as a global warning: the US is following the same path, with consumer confidence falling further in May despite trade-deal optimism, record-high fear of job loss in the Michigan survey, and collapsing PPI margins signaling businesses cannot pass costs to consumers. The core thesis: the global economy "forgot how to grow" and central banks will be forced back to zero — but rate cuts won't fix a demand problem rooted in labor-market fear.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-18 17:00

😱 Did TRUMP Really JUST Announce THIS?!

Trump tariffs and Walmart price pressuresConsumer affordability and demand destructionCPI vs. hours worked recession signal

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes Trump's Truth Social post telling Walmart to "eat the tariffs" rather than raise prices. He argues this is impossible — tariffs are too large for retailers and suppliers to absorb, consumer prices will rise, and since paychecks are already shrinking relative to inflation, demand will fall, triggering a recession. He overlays CPI vs. average weekly hours to show the historical recession signal is flashing, critiques Fed's Bostic for being "clueless," and notes Trump's eagerness to meet Xi signals desperation to end the trade war. The episode includes a Momentum Timer Pro pitch for BITQ.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-17 17:00

😱 HOLY SH*T! This is Breaking Hours Ago—Trump is PISSED!

Trump tax bill failure in House Budget CommitteeMoody's US sovereign downgrade to AA1Supplemental Leverage Ratio (SLR) reform

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes two weekend developments: the House Budget Committee's rejection of Trump's tax bill and Moody's downgrade of US sovereign debt from AAA to AA1. He argues both threaten Trump's agenda and the economy. His core thesis is that Trump will bypass the Fed by pressuring regulators to ease the Supplemental Leverage Ratio (SLR), allowing banks to buy Treasuries, driving down the 10-year yield. The episode includes heavy promotion for his Momentum Timer Pro service and a BITQ trade that returned ~19%.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-16 17:00

🚨 New York Has FALLEN – What Happens Next Will STUN the WORLD!

NY Empire State Manufacturing SurveyTrade war impact on manufacturersConsumer sentiment and labor income

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey showing a third straight month of contraction (general business conditions at -9.2). He argues that rising input costs combined with consumers' inability to absorb price hikes will squeeze corporate profits, drive disinflation, and push the US toward recession. The core thesis: shrinking paychecks and hours worked, not inflation, are the real risk — and the damage from the trade war may already be done.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-15 17:00

🚨 Walmart’s MAJOR Warning to the Entire U.S. Economy—Financial NIGHTMARE Imminent!

Walmart tariff price warningStagflationary recession thesisConsumer demand destruction

Preview:Steven Van Metre uses Walmart's warning about upcoming price increases due to tariffs to argue that corporate decisions—specifically cutting hours rather than absorbing tariff costs—will push the US economy into a stagflationary recession. He contends that consumers already cannot afford current prices, so further hikes will collapse demand, forcing companies to eventually absorb tariffs anyway, but only after triggering layoffs and economic contraction. The video is structured around historical charts comparing CPI, wages, hours worked, and retail sales across prior recession cycles, with promotional segments for his CTA Time Pro service and a gold-yield sponsor interspersed throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-14 17:00

😱 OH SH*T–This CRASHED -61%!

China bank lending collapseUS-China trade war impactcommercial & industrial loan leading indicators

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that a 61% collapse in China's new bank lending signals the Chinese economy is spiraling toward a financial crisis, and that the US — with rising consumer delinquencies and only ~2% loan growth — is likely to follow with a lag. He dismisses PBOC rate cuts as ineffective when the economy is contracting, warns US tariffs have devastated Chinese manufacturing orders, and pitches sponsor Avicanna (AVCN/AVCNF) as a 58% upside chart setup.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-13 17:00

💣 JP Morgan Drops a SHOCKING Bombshell—Why I'm TERRIFIED!

JP Morgan recession call reversalUS-China trade truce and tariff front-runningLabor market deterioration and hours worked

Preview:Steve Van Metre pushes back hard on JP Morgan's decision to drop its US recession call after the US-China trade truce. He argues the economy was already trending into recession due to falling consumer demand, shrinking hours, and weakening labor markets. The 90-day truce won't fix those structural problems; front-running of Chinese imports will create an inventory overhang that makes things worse. He presents his uranium trade thesis as a way to profit regardless.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-12 17:00

😱 Los Angeles Declares EMERGENCY—9 Million at RISK!

LA/Long Beach port crisis and tariff impact on jobsRecession leading indicators (CPI vs hours worked)Credit card delinquencies and consumer stress

Preview:Steven Van Metre covers the LA/Long Beach port crisis where dock workers are seeing hours cut due to Trump's tariffs, warning this could spread to affect 9 million jobs nationally and tip the economy into recession. He then pivots to argue that stocks can rally strongly despite deteriorating economic data, driven by CTA machine buying triggers, short covering, corporate buybacks, and bearish fund manager positioning. He specifically critiques Bank of America's Michael Hartnett's "sell the rally" call, arguing the pain trade is higher. He also flags oil as a potential outperformer. The episode includes promotion of his Momentum Timer Pro service and a BITQ trade idea.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-11 17:30

Government Report Reveals A LOT of People Are About to Lose Their Jobs

Labor productivity as a leading indicatorNegative Q1 2025 productivity dataEmployer labor hoarding vs. overcapacity

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve Van Metre analyze the Q1 2025 negative productivity print, arguing that it reveals employers have too many workers for the amount of actual demand in the economy. They contend this hard data validates collapsing consumer confidence surveys: workers fear layoffs because they can see there isn't enough work. The productivity drop occurred *before* the full tariff impact, suggesting the economy was already weakening. They argue the Fed's dismissal of consumer sentiment is a mistake, and that trade deals won't fix an economy that was already heading in the wrong direction. The runway for employers to hoard labor is narrowing, and the turn toward layoffs is likely approaching.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-11 17:00

🚨 BofA Warns: Don't Do This or You'll Get WIPED OUT!

US-China trade negotiations and tariff outlookBank of America sell-the-news thesisSystematic / CTA machine positioning and trigger levels

Preview:Steven Van Metre contrasts Bank of America's warning to "sell the news" on US-China trade deals with a bullish machine-positioning / buyback thesis. He argues that if the S&P 500 closes above its 200-day moving average, systematic strategies (CTAs, risk parity) and corporate buybacks could force a sharp melt-up. He sees crude oil as the bigger opportunity on machine short-covering and views gold miners as at risk of a failed breakout. The video is a blend of macro narrative, technical analysis, and a heavy pitch for his subscription services.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-10 17:00

🚨 Canada JUST Collapsed—What's Hitting the U.S is WORSE!

Canada manufacturing job losses and unemployment surgeUS trade war spillover and 'manmade pandemic' thesisChina consumer and producer price deflation

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Canada's economy is already collapsing under the trade war — manufacturing jobs are vanishing, unemployment hit 6.9%, and it will soon spread to services. He contends the same pattern is coming to the US: zero China-bound ships for LA ports, falling imports, shrinking hours, and rising food prices. Rate cuts from the Fed or Bank of Canada won't work because banks tighten lending when unemployment rises. He frames the trade war as a "manmade pandemic" that could trigger a global stagflationary recession. The video also contains a paid promotion for his uranium trade signal service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-09 19:09

🚨 This Just CRASHED -21% and It's Rippling Across America...

US-China trade warimport crash and recession risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the 21% crash in Chinese exports to the US, framing it as the beginning of a broader economic unraveling. He argues that declining imports will trigger US job losses, shrinking paychecks, and stagflation, while simultaneously threatening dollar reserve status as trade partners seek alternatives. The core thesis: unless trade deals happen fast, the US faces a stagflationary recession that monetary policy cannot fix.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-08 17:01

😱 This Will Be Devastating... Don't Say I Didn't Warn You!

US productivity declineMass layoff leading indicatorsUnit labor costs and margin squeeze

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the recent negative turn in US productivity data is a leading indicator of imminent mass layoffs, stagflation, and recession. He walks through historical charts showing productivity declines preceded layoffs in prior recessions, criticizes the Fed for keeping rates steady (calling this a repeat of past policy mistakes), and frames the setup as a "nightmare scenario." The video is interspersed with promotional segments for his CTA Timer Pro trading service, highlighting a winning uranium (URA) trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-07 17:00

😱 Trump Officials PANIC: $2.5T Exodus to CRASH U.S. Markets!

US-China trade war and tariffsImport collapse and US labor market

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a potential $2.5 trillion dollar exodus by Asian investors and exporters threatens to crash US markets, trigger runaway inflation, and force the Fed to raise rates — even as the US-China trade war also threatens to collapse China's economy. He contends both sides are now panicked into de-escalation talks because China faces mass unemployment and the US faces a financial-system crisis. The core warning: collapsing imports will cut worker hours, then trigger layoffs and recession, while rate cuts won't help because unemployed people can't get loans.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-06 17:00

🚨 I WARNED You: China Just Did the UNTHINKABLE!

China economic data suppressionChina property market and banking fragilityUS-China trade war

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that China is deliberately suspending publication of hundreds of economic statistics to conceal an accelerating economic collapse, validating his earlier warnings about factory shutdowns and labor market distress. He ties China's troubles to weakening consumer confidence, a faltering property sector, and US tariff pressure, then extends the bearish thesis globally — predicting the same demand destruction and rising unemployment will hit the US, Canada, and Europe with a lag. The video is punctuated by multiple promotional segments for his Momentum Timer Pro trading service and a Monetary Metals sponsorship.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-05 17:00

🚨 Texas is SCREWED—I WARNED You This Would Happen!

ISM Services PMI analysisStagflationary recession thesis

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that falling crude oil prices signal a coming stagflationary recession, with the ISM Services PMI masking underlying weakness — rising prices, falling imports, contracting employment, and declining backlogs. He contends Texas is especially vulnerable due to its oil-dependent economy, but warns the entire US is at risk. He also flags a weakening dollar, despite falling imports, as a sign that global confidence in the US economy is eroding, which could fuel even more inflation. The video includes a promotional pitch for his momentum trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-04 17:00

💣 My BIGGEST Warning YET—Days Away from CHAOS!

Technical analysis and moving-average rejection riskRetail vs. institutional positioning flows

Preview:Steve Van Metre relays a bearish call from analyst Mark Demar (named as DeMar in the transcript), who warns the S&P 500 is days away from putting in a near-term top around 5,669, with a subsequent decline below the April intraday low of 4,835 — a >20% drop constituting a bear market. Van Metre layers his own technical analysis, highlighting rejection risk at the 200-day moving average, weak breadth in small caps, retail's 19-week buying streak, and corporate buyback uncertainty. He also discusses bullish setups in energy producers (XLE), uranium, Bitcoin/GBTC, the dollar, emerging markets, and financials — trades his service has already entered — while warning on gold as a reversal play.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-03 17:00

😱 Economic COLLAPSE Begins Next Week—It's a NIGHTMARE! (I'm Afraid)

US-China trade war and tariffsPort of Los Angeles import collapseStagflation and recession risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that an economic collapse begins next week, driven by a 35%+ drop in imports at the Port of Los Angeles, shrinking paychecks via hours cuts (not layoffs), rising food prices, resuming student loan collections, and collapsing consumer confidence. He frames the setup as stagflation — rising prices plus falling incomes — and predicts recession. The video uses historical analogs (1991, dot-com, GFC) linking imports, weekly hours, and delinquencies to argue the pattern is repeating. It also contains a promotional pitch for his Momentum Timer Pro service and a GBTC trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-02 17:00

💣 Japan Threatens UNTHINKABLE—US Financial System Faces SHOCKING Terror!

Trade war negotiations

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Japan's finance minister's threat to use its $1.1 trillion Treasury holdings as a negotiation card in trade talks with the US. He argues that while dumping Treasuries would cause short-term chaos, it's likely a bluff because Japan would face a catastrophic dollar squeeze if the Fed cut off swap lines. The episode also covers the April non-farm payroll report (177K), arguing it's misleading due to lagging data, birth-death model distortions, and downward revisions — suggesting the US economy is weaker than headlines imply. Van Metre ties this to Fed policy, trade-war dynamics, and promotes his Momentum Timer Pro service with a GBTC trade example.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-05-01 17:00

💣 McDonald's Just Dropped a Bombshell Warning (I'm Worried)

Consumer spending collapseStagflation riskMcDonald's sales warning

Preview:Steve Van Metre uses McDonald's 3.6% same-store sales decline as a leading indicator of stagflation, arguing consumers are tapped out because paychecks are shrinking relative to rising prices. He extends the thesis to Harley-Davidson's 23% revenue drop, ISM manufacturing contraction, and rising jobless claims, predicting a stagflationary recession. The bond market (2-year yields below Fed funds) is already signaling the Fed should cut. He promotes his Momentum Timer Pro service and a GBTC trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-30 17:00

😱 China Declares EMERGENCY—Frightening WARNING to the World!

China manufacturing PMI contractionGlobal trade war and tariff impactsChinese property market and banking system risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that China's collapsing PMI, falling new export orders, and crumbling property market are a warning signal for a global recession that will soon hit the US. He contends that as China's manufacturing contracts and its banking system teeters on the edge of a margin call from falling real estate prices, the same dynamics — slowing new orders, rising unemployment, rising delinquencies — are already visible in US data. His core thesis: the trade war is the nudge that pushes an already-weakening global economy into recession, and the labor market is the linchpin. The video is structured as a macro doom-loop argument punctuated by a promotional pitch for his momentum trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-29 17:00

🚨 Texas COLLAPSES—Nationwide CRASH Imminent!

Dallas Fed manufacturing surveyTexas services and retail sector deteriorationCapacity utilization as recession leading indicator

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Texas manufacturing and services data from the Dallas Fed signals a nationwide recession is imminent. New orders collapsed to -20, capacity utilization is falling, hours worked are being cut, and job openings are shrinking — all patterns he claims historically precede recessions. He ties the deterioration to tariff-driven uncertainty, warns that stagflation is the likely outcome as prices rise while paychecks shrink, and flags that corporate buyback freezes (like GM's) could remove the biggest buyer of US stocks, setting up a market plunge. The video intersperses promotional segments for his Momentum Timer Pro service and a gold yield product.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-28 17:00

🚨 URGENT: This News Will Stun the World (Markets Will Crash)!

Big tech earnings week and analyst estimate trapCTA/machine positioning and thin market liquidityCorporate profits vs. hours worked as recession signal

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that big tech earnings this week face an "analyst trap" — Wall Street has set the bar high expecting companies to miss, which combined with thin liquidity and bearish CTA positioning could trigger a sharp market selloff. He layers on a structural bearish thesis: declining hours worked and collapsing imports foreshadow a tariff-driven recession, mass layoffs, and potential financial crisis, with no trade war resolution in sight.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-27 17:00

💣 Most Frightening E-mail I Received This Year—What Hits Next is Terrifying!

Fund manager positioning and forced selling dynamicsMarket liquidity and systematic/machine flows

Preview:Steven Van Metre presents Bank of America's (Michael Hartnett) framework that fund managers face record pressure to sell US equities, liquidity is dangerously thin, and retail outflows are likely in May. He argues the three C's (China peace deal, Fed cuts, consumer resilience) are needed for a sustained rally, and until then, investors should sell the rips. He then walks through technical charts across equities, bonds, gold miners, the dollar, and Bitcoin, promoting his subscription service throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-26 17:00

🚨 Los Angeles is COLLAPSING—Nationwide DISASTER Begins!

Port of Los Angeles trade disruptionUS-China trade war and tariffsShipping and container vessel data

Preview:Steven Van Metre paints a dire picture of impending economic fallout from the US-China trade war, anchored on forward-looking shipping data showing a 30%+ decline in container vessels arriving at the Port of Los Angeles starting in early May. He argues this supply-chain shock will cascade through transportation workers (hours cut, then jobs lost), consumer spending, and eventually trigger aggressive Fed rate cuts as unemployment surges. The core thesis: the trade war is already collapsing demand at the front of the supply chain (China), and the US will feel it within weeks. He also notes backchannel Treasury-level negotiations between the US and China as a sign both sides are under extreme pressure.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-25 17:00

😱 Secret Trump Meeting EXPOSES UNTHINKABLE Crisis!

Trump tariffs and White House meeting with retail CEOsStagflation thesis (CPI rising, incomes flat, demand destruction)Historical recession analogs (1991, dot-com, GFC, 2022)

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes a closed-door White House meeting where Walmart, Target, and Home Depot CEOs reportedly warned Trump that tariffs will cause empty shelves, rising prices, and potential mass layoffs. He argues this confirms stagflation is imminent: CPI will spike while income growth stalls, crushing real retail sales and forcing layoffs. He also covers China's factory shutdowns and furloughs, framing the trade war as a "game of chicken" where both economies risk mutually assured destruction. The video is interwoven with a promotional pitch for his CTA Timer Pro trading service and a DBA (agricultural commodities) trade that he claims returned 12%+.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-24 17:00

😱 10’s of MILLIONS Americans Face UNTHINKABLE Crisis—WORSE Than Pandemic!

consumer credit delinquencieshours worked vs delinquency correlationconsumer confidence vs retail sales lag

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that US consumer delinquencies are already at levels comparable to the onset of the pandemic and the Global Financial Crisis, and that the worst is yet to come. His core thesis links falling hours worked to rising credit card delinquencies, and falling consumer confidence (with a lag) to collapsing retail sales. He warns that tariffs will push inflation higher just as the economy slows, creating a stagflationary setup where Fed rate cuts won't matter. The episode is heavily interwoven with promotional segments for his Momentum Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-23 17:00

🚨 Urgent: Something FRIGHTENING Just Happened—And We're NEXT!

Germany PMI and recession riskEurozone stagflationUS flash PMI data

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that a stagflationary recession is spreading from Asia to Germany and the Eurozone, and warns it is about to hit the US. Using German and US flash PMI data as evidence, he claims the services sector is contracting, new orders are collapsing, and backlogs are depleting — setting the stage for mass layoffs. He contends the Fed and global policymakers are powerless, trade war uncertainty is paralyzing business decisions, and Trump is panicking as the economic dominoes fall. The video is structured around a bearish macro call with a promotional pitch for his Momentum Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-22 17:00

🚨 Something Just BROKE in China—Global COLLAPSE Begins!

China trade collapseglobal freight demand crashUS labor market deterioration

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that a crash in Chinese freight bookings and imports signals a global economic collapse is imminent. He presents data showing US import declines of 64% from China, falling Korean exports, and Japanese manufacturer order cancellations. His core thesis: a trade-war-driven demand plunge will cut hours, then jobs, across the global supply chain, pushing the US into stagflation — with the first air pocket hitting as soon as next month. The episode includes a lengthy sponsored segment for Wearable Devices (WLDS).

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-21 17:00

🚨 It's the WORST I've EVER Seen It—You're WARNED!

Fed independence and Trump pressure on Powell

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Trump's threats to Fed independence are accelerating a dollar sell-off, eroding US safe-haven status, and pushing the economy toward a stagflationary recession. He presents charts linking dollar declines to rising inflation and falling incomes to recessions, and suggests capital is fleeing dollar-denominated assets into gold, Bitcoin, Japanese bonds, and other alternatives.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-20 17:00

😱 BofA’s SHOCKING E-mail Leaves Me SPEECHLESS—You're WARNED!

BofA Fund Manager Survey and sentiment extremesCTA / trend-follower positioning and pivot levels

Preview:Steven Van Metre reviews BofA's Global Research "Flow Show" report, highlighting that fund managers are at the fifth-most-bearish sentiment level in 25 years, raising cash to 4.8%. BofA advises selling into strength with S&P 500 buy targets at 5100 or 4800, going long bonds and gold, and playing a dollar bear market. Van Metre walks through CTA positioning (machines net short equities and commodities), upcoming corporate buyback blackout expirations, and technical setups across S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000, energy, financials, emerging markets, bonds, gold, the dollar, and Bitcoin — mostly advising patience, with energy and small caps flagged as near-term opportunities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-19 17:00

🚨 Japan is CRASHING and It’s a WARNING to the World!

BOJ rate policy and yield curveTariffs and stagflation mechanics

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Japan's bond market is flashing a major recession warning for the world. JGB yields are plunging despite rising inflation — a signal that growth expectations are collapsing. He contends the bond market is telling the BOJ they won't be raising rates but cutting them, and that tariff-driven price increases will prove transitory as demand destruction turns inflation into disinflation or deflation. The rising yen signals a global dollar shortage and flight to safety. Semiconductors (ASML, Nvidia) are validating this thesis with order misses and stock declines. The core message: Japan is entering stagflation, and the rest of the world will follow.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-18 17:00

💥 China PANICS—Trump Readies NUCLEAR Trade-War Option!

China trade war escalationChinese ADR delisting nuclear optionChina stock and housing market stability

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues China is panicking as trade-war pressure mounts, with its equity and housing markets destabilizing and consumer confidence at risk. He claims Trump holds a "nuclear option" — delisting Chinese ADRs from US exchanges — that could crash Chinese stocks, trigger a banking crisis via housing collateral, and force Beijing to the negotiating table. The thesis draws on historical US consumer-confidence correlations and analyst reports from Goldman, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. The video includes a promotional pitch for Van Metre's Momentum Timer Pro service and GDXJ trade example.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-17 17:00

🚨 Philadelphia’s COLLAPSE Sparks PANIC—This Is Just the BEGINNING!

Philadelphia Fed manufacturing surveyStagflation thesisAverage weekly hours and paycheck compression

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey's collapse signals stagflation is already underway — new orders crashed, hours worked are shrinking paychecks, while prices paid are rising. He traces this pattern through prior recessions (1991, dot-com, GFC) and warns it will spill into housing, where builders sit on the largest inventory overhang since 2007. He contends Fed rate cuts won't help because stagflation neutralizes monetary policy, and the real inflection point for mass layoffs is around 33.5 average weekly hours. The video is also a pitch for his momentum trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-16 17:00

😱 URGENT: Canada’s COLLAPSE Begins—Global CATASTROPHE Imminent!

Canada stagflation recessionUS-Canada trade warBank of Canada monetary policy paralysis

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Canada's economy is entering a stagflationary recession, driven by its over-dependence on US trade and the ongoing trade war. He frames this as a deliberate "game of economic chicken" by Trump, with Canada capitulating first (as seen in Carney dropping retaliatory auto tariffs). Van Metre contends the US is not immune — citing deteriorating New York Fed business-leader surveys, ASML's weak bookings, and declining capacity utilization — and expects the stagflation pattern to spread globally. He sees central banks as powerless (rate cuts don't help the unemployed get loans) and pitches his momentum-trading service (GDXJ trade example) as a way to profit from the downturn.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-15 17:00

🚨 New York Just COLLAPSED– Brace Yourself, a Nationwide DISASTER Is Escalating!

NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey collapseManufacturing new orders and labor market transmissionStagflation risk from tariffs and rising prices

Preview:Steven Van Metre analyzes the April 2025 New York Empire State Manufacturing Survey, arguing the collapse in future orders and shipments expectations (lowest since 2001) signals a coming nationwide labor market downturn. He links declining new orders to falling hours worked, slower wage growth, and rising unemployment claims, while also highlighting stagflationary pressures from rising prices paid/received. He frames the Fed (via Dudley and Yellen) as signaling no rescue, and promotes his Momentum Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-14 17:00

💥 Beijing’s NIGHTMARE Strikes—China’s COLLAPSE Nears!

China economic slowdownUS-China trade war / tariffsRoad traffic congestion as economic indicator

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues China's economy is on the brink of collapse, citing falling road traffic congestion data (-6.3% YoY in March), plunging imports (-4.3% vs -2% expected), canceled factory orders from US companies, and a 64% drop in US import bookings from China. He frames the tariff war as a game of economic chicken where the US holds the advantage due to inventory buffers, and predicts China loses first before a globally synchronized recession potentially unfolds. The video also covers Goldman Sachs warnings about evaporating equity liquidity and Janet Yellen's comments on Treasury market stress.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-13 17:00

🚨 Get Out NOW: Bank of America Warns—You're About to Lose 30% of Your Money!

Tariff impact on corporate earningsMachine positioning and CTA flows

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes Bank of America's revised S&P 500 year-end target of 5600 with a bear-case floor of 4000 (roughly 35% downside). He walks through technicals across equities, bonds, gold, energy, financials, emerging markets, the dollar, and Bitcoin, arguing that momentum, machine positioning, and breadth indicators suggest more downside risk before a durable bottom forms. He reveals a tactical buy signal on Bitcoin via GBTC for his subscribers, flags small caps and Brazilian equities as approaching opportunity, and cautions that corporate buyback blackouts and tariff-driven earnings uncertainty could accelerate selling.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-12 17:00

💥 I Warned You—Trump’s Latest Move WON’T Stop the Liquidity CRISIS!

Liquidity crisis and repo market plumbingHedge fund basis trade unwindingSwap spreads as recession signal

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the real driver of market turmoil is not tariffs or Chinese treasury dumping, but a full-blown liquidity crisis caused by hedge funds unwinding leveraged basis trades as repo providers pull collateral. He contends the Fed is deliberately staying out to avoid politically enabling Trump, swap spreads signal recession, and JP Morgan is sounding alarms about plumbing fractures in the financial system.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-11 17:00

😱 China’s SHOCKING Move CRUSHES Trump Hard!

US-China trade war escalationtariff retaliation and economic standoff

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that China's tariff retaliation to 125% effectively halts all US goods trade with China, giving Beijing an unexpected upper hand. He contends the real vulnerability is the US financial system — rising bond yields, forced hedge fund deleveraging, and a potential Treasury buyers' strike threaten a liquidity crisis. He pairs this with collapsing consumer sentiment and unemployment expectations, warning the US may face both a financial crisis and recession before China's economy cracks.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-10 17:00

💣 URGENT: A FULL-BLOWN Global Liquidity CRISIS is IMMINENT!

SOFR swap spreads and liquidity stressHedge fund basis trade unwindFed policy and refusal to bail out markets

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that a full-blown global liquidity crisis is imminent, evidenced by collapsing swap spreads, hedge fund unwinds in the long bond basis trade, and a Fed that has explicitly signaled it will not bail out hedge funds. He connects the plumbing stress to tariff chaos, deteriorating growth expectations, and a consumer already stretched by inflation outpacing wage gains. His tradeable takeaway: markets are in a low-liquidity, high-volatility regime that his CTA timer service claims to profit from.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-09 17:00

🚨 BREAKING: Financial Collapse Looms—LIQUIDATION Panic STRIKES Banks!

Basis trade unwindFed emergency intervention probability

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the US financial system is on the brink of crisis as a massive hedge-fund basis trade in Treasuries unwinds, driving yields up and liquidity down. He contends the Fed will be forced to intervene with emergency bond purchases, and that this unwind is spilling into equities, bank lending, and the consumer economy — all while the Trump trade war with China escalates.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-08 17:00

😱 China’s Crash Nears—This ONE Missed Reason Hits HARD!

US consumer credit contractionChina export dependency on US consumerdelinquency rates and income deceleration

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that China's economy faces a crash driven not primarily by tariffs but by the tapped-out US consumer. He presents credit data showing US consumer borrowing unexpectedly declined, delinquencies rising, and the personal savings rate increasing — all signals that the biggest force in the global economy (US consumption) is pulling back. Since China is the world's largest exporter and depends on US demand, no amount of yuan devaluation or policy tools can offset a US consumer recession. He ties this to historical patterns linking income deceleration, rising delinquencies, falling retail sales, declining new orders, and eventual labor market weakness.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-07 17:00

💣 China’s Next Move RAINS HELL on Global Markets—Brace Yourself!

US-China trade war escalationUS dollar and Treasury dynamics

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues China is poised to devalue the yuan as its primary retaliation weapon in the escalating US-China trade war. He contends this would send the dollar surging, US stocks plunging, and bond prices higher (yields lower), while simultaneously allowing China to accumulate US Treasuries — a strategic move China has used before in 2015 and during Trump's first term. He frames the macro outlook as stagflationary, with the Fed unable to cut rates despite weakening demand, and cites former NY Fed president Bill Dudley's view that stagflation is now America's "best case scenario." The episode is heavily promotional for Van Metre's CTA Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-06 17:00

🚨 WARNING: What Hits Monday Will CRUSH Stocks HARDER Than Last Week!

CTA systematic selling and momentum unwindingTariff policy persistence and market repricingRetail leverage and margin call cascade risk

Preview:Steven Van Metre delivers a bearish market warning for the week of April 7, 2025, predicting Monday could see equity selling that eclipses Friday's losses. He cites CTA systematic selling ($60B in equities over the next week, mostly foreign), drying liquidity, overleveraged retail traders, and defiant tariff rhetoric from Treasury Secretary Bessent. His technical analysis shows S&P 500 with only 23% of stocks above the 200-day MA, with downside targets of 4938, then 437-450, and potentially 307 in a depression scenario. He advocates being in cash, long bonds (TLT), and watching small caps and gold for eventual buying opportunities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-05 17:00

😱 MUST WATCH: JPMorgan Warns—You Will Lose 30% of Your Money!

JPMorgan recession forecastTrump tariffs and trade war

Preview:Steven Van Metre amplifies JPMorgan's recession warning, arguing that Trump's tariffs will trigger a stagflationary downturn with the S&P 500 potentially falling 30% or more (to 3,100–4,000, or as low as 2,500 in a depression scenario). He cites the inventory buildup, weakening demand, and an expected rise in unemployment to 5.3% as catalysts, while dismissing the Fed's ability to rescue markets since rate cuts don't work when people lose jobs. The episode is heavily interlaced with a promotional pitch for his subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-04 13:43

🚨 China STRIKES Back—Stock LIQUIDATION Sparks PANIC!

China retaliatory tariffs and US-China trade war escalationVIX / volatility-control fund mechanics and risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes the market panic following China's 34% retaliatory tariffs on US goods, framing it as the start of a major liquidation event. He argues that CTA machine positioning has been breached triggering forced selling, the VIX breaking above 40 risks volatility-control selling, and the jobs report shows front-running of tariffs rather than genuine economic strength. His core thesis: the US is heading into a stagflationary recession, China will devalue the yuan by 20-40%, and the Fed will sit on its hands. The episode is heavily promotional for his CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-03 17:00

💥 You Won't Believe what Apple Just Revealed About the Economy...

US reciprocal tariffs and Apple margin impactCorporate profit doom loop from tariff cost absorption vs price hikesDollar weakness and US inflation implications

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that the new US reciprocal tariffs — especially the 34% levy on China — will ignite a "Doom Loop" for Apple and other import-dependent companies. He contends companies face a lose-lose choice: absorb margin hits (crashing stock prices) or raise prices (killing already-weak consumer demand). A weakening dollar adds an inflationary pulse, and with ISM services stalling at 50.8 and layoff announcements surging 60%, he sees stagflationary recession risk rising. The Fed, untested against man-made tariff inflation, will likely keep policy restrictive, compounding the squeeze. The transcript is a daily market wrap blended with a heavy promotional pitch for his CTA Timer Pro subscription service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-02 17:00

💣 China Just Dropped an UNTHINKABLE Bombshell—U.S. Fallout is HUGE!

China investment restrictions on USDollar shortage and global trade dynamics

Preview:Steve Van Metre analyzes China's new restrictions on investing in the US, framing it as a defensive move to conserve dollars amid rising tariffs. He argues the dollar will strengthen as imports contract, creating a temporary boom in US manufacturing and jobs that masks an underlying stagflationary setup. The initial data looks good — ADP jobs beat, factory orders surged — but Van Metre warns this is front-running and that slowing wage gains plus tariff-driven inflation will eventually flip the economy into recession.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-04-01 17:00

😱 Texas’s FRIGHTENING Crash Sparks PANIC—What Happens Next Will SHOCK the WORLD!

Texas services sector slowdownDallas Fed survey dataStagflation risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Texas's collapsing services sector is a leading warning for the entire US economy. He presents Dallas Fed survey data showing services activity stalled in March, with the general business index dropping to its lowest since November 2023. He contends the widely-expected "soft landing" narrative was always wrong — manufacturing downturns lead services downturns, and recent hiring was merely front-running tariffs. The combination of rising input prices and weakening labor demand points to stagflation, which historically precedes recession. He uses the JOLTS survey decline to forecast falling equity markets, specifically the NASDAQ 100.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-31 17:00

🚨 Credit Markets Are CRASHING—You've Been WARNED!

Credit spreads and default riskTariff uncertainty and Liberation DayConsumer vs business delinquency cycles

Preview:Steve Van Metre warns that credit markets — particularly high-yield spreads — are flashing a major warning signal. Investment-grade CDX spreads have jumped while junk bond spreads are blowing out, signaling rising default risk. He argues this pattern historically precedes recessions: consumer delinquencies are already rising, business delinquencies are still low but likely to surge, and the Dallas Fed manufacturing survey shows falling capacity utilization, declining hours, and weak new orders. Tariff uncertainty is the proximate catalyst, but the structural problem is an over-indebted economy facing a demand cliff after inventory buildup. He sees a recession as likely and warns of a potential financial crisis, while pitching his trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-30 17:00

🚨 BofA WARNS: Forget April 2nd, This Will CRUSH Stocks Next Week—Act NOW!

payrolls reporttariffs and inflation

Preview:Steve Van Meter argues that the biggest near-term risk for stocks is not the April 2 tariff headline itself, but the Friday payrolls print and what it says about recession risk. He ties the S&P 500, Nasdaq, banks, and small caps to a potential weakening labor market, while seeing energy, gold, and gold miners as crowded or stretched rather than fresh longs.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-29 17:00

🚨 Oh Shi*t: The Dollar Is CRASHING—Why It Will Spark Nationwide PANIC!

US dollar weakness and reserve currency dynamicsTariff front-running vs. capital flight debateCredit spreads and corporate default risk

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the weakening US dollar is a warning signal that the US economy may be on the brink of collapse. He presents two competing explanations: (1) dollar weakness is from front-running tariffs and surging imports (benign), or (2) investors are fleeing dollar-denominated assets in fear of a US recession driven by tariffs, declining consumer sentiment, rising credit spreads, and sticky inflation that ties the Fed's hands. He leans toward the second view, linking dollar weakness to mounting credit market stress, falling consumer confidence, and a rising savings rate as consumers retrench.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-27 17:00

😱 In Less Than One Week...

Trump auto tariffsglobal auto supply chainUS labor market resilience

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Trump's 25% tariff on foreign automobiles, set to take effect April 2-3, will crush global auto demand, trigger mass layoffs across the supply chain, and potentially plunge the world into a depression. He contends that US consumers cannot absorb 25% price hikes when income growth is already slowing, drawing historical parallels to the 1991 recession, dot-com bust, and GFC. Japan and Germany's manufacturing sectors face the greatest near-term risk. US labor data remains strong for now, but Van Metre expects that to deteriorate quickly as the tariffs cascade through dealerships, shipping, suppliers, and services. The video includes a promotional segment for his trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-26 17:00

🚨 10 million Americans Face an UNTHINKABLE Shock—What’s Next is HORRIFYING!

student loan delinquencies and credit reporting restartconsumer credit cycle and recession riskcredit card and auto loan delinquency trends

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the US economy is approaching a recession tipping point driven by a wave of consumer credit stress. The trigger: ~10 million student loan borrowers will see delinquencies reported to credit bureaus as the COVID-era moratorium ends, locking them out of credit markets. He layers on credit card delinquencies at 5-year highs, subprime auto delinquencies at record levels, shrinking weekly hours worked, rising CRE stress, and tariff-driven price increases — framing it as a classic late-cycle credit bust in a debt-dependent consumption economy.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-25 17:00

🚨 U.S. Consumers Just Told the World to F@CK OFF—I Warned You This Would Happen!

US consumer confidence collapselabor market deterioration and unemployment outlookhours worked as leading indicator for layoffs

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that collapsing US consumer confidence — particularly the expectations component falling to a 12-year low — signals a sharp rise in unemployment and a recession ahead. He contends that shrinking hours, declining take-home pay, and rising prices are creating a dangerous feedback loop. The Fed's bias toward holding rates high compounds the risk. He also promotes his subscription trading service and a recent 7% gain on Brazilian equities.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-24 17:00

😱 U.S. Manufacturers’ FRIGHTENING Warning—What’s Next for American Workers is TERRIFYING!

US manufacturing PMI contractionTariff impact on input costs and demandCorporate profits and unemployment claims correlation

Preview:Steve Van Metre presents a bearish macro thesis based on S&P Global flash PMI data showing US manufacturing contracting at 49.8, with business outlook plunging to levels not seen since October 2022. He argues that front-running of tariffs created a demand surge that is now reversing, leaving a "hole" in the economy. Higher input costs (attributed to tariffs), declining new orders, and falling capacity utilization will force manufacturers to cut jobs, triggering a recessionary spiral. He extends this bearish view to Europe, particularly Germany and France, where manufacturing PMIs remain in contraction despite marginal improvement. The video includes a promotional segment for his trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-23 17:00

🚨 URGENT Warning—Pros DUMP Trump Trade, Sell NOW!

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that institutional "pros" are dumping the dollar and equities while retail aggressively buys the dip. He warns that the dollar faces a sharp reversal from post-election highs, with traders building massive short positions. On equities, he flags the corporate buyback blackout period, upcoming earnings risk, and April 2 reciprocal tariffs as dangerous headwinds. His technical and momentum systems show negative trends across the S&P 500, Nasdaq, small caps, financials, and energy — with only Brazilian equities and potentially bonds offering upside.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-22 17:30

Small Business Stocks Just Signaled a MASSIVE Warning to America

US recession risksmall business economic stress

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve Van Metre analyze small-cap stocks (Russell 2000) as a recession warning signal. They argue the Russell's ~20% decline from post-election highs reflects genuine economic deterioration, not just tariff uncertainty. The thesis: small businesses front-loaded inventory expecting a demand boom that never materialized, consumers are cash-strapped, and multiple data points (LEI, retail sales, Fed GDP downgrade, corporate warnings from FedEx/Nike/Lululemon) confirm broad-based economic weakening. The Fed's surprise GDP forecast cut signals even the most optimistic forecaster is losing confidence. They argue dip-buyers are premature — no bottom is visible across any indicator.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-22 17:00

🚨 Canada Just Collapsed – Brace Yourself, a Global Catastrophe Is Unfolding!

Canadian economic collapse and recession riskBusiness confidence as leading indicatorStagflation (rising prices + slowing growth)

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that Canada's economy is collapsing into recession, citing collapsing business confidence (25-year low), weakening retail sales, and rising price expectations — a stagflationary setup. He extends the warning to Australia (massive full-time job losses) and suggests the US is not immune. The thesis: tariffs are crushing demand, rate cuts don't work, and a global downturn cascade is underway. The video is structured as a macro warning interspersed with a pitch for his CTA Timer Pro trading service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-21 17:00

⚠️ FedEx Just Issued a MAJOR Warning to the World—What’s Coming for the Global Economy FRIGHTENING!

FedEx as economic bellwetherUS recession warning signsConsumer spending deterioration

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues that FedEx's latest guidance cut is a bellwether for an imminent US recession. He cites declining shipments, shrinking worker hours, rising inventories at Nike and Lululemon, and warns that the Fed's tariff-blind posture will either crush demand via rate hikes or produce stagflation. He uses historical chart overlays to claim we're at the same inflection point seen before prior recessions, and pitches his paid trading service throughout.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-20 17:00

🚨 A NIGHTMARE Is Coming to EVERY American Household—We’re DOOMED!

stagflationary recession riskTrump tariffs and April 2nd Liberation DayFed policy and rate cut debate

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the US economy is heading into a stagflationary recession, driven by tariffs (with April 2nd as "Liberation Day"), slowing income growth, rising consumer prices, and a Fed that refuses to cut rates. He draws historical parallels to recessions in 1991, 2000-2002, and 2008, and highlights declining consumer sentiment, rising continuing jobless claims, and softening restaurant sales as confirmation. The video is structured around this bearish macro thesis, interspersed with product pitches for his CTA Timer Pro service.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-19 17:00

😱 The Fed Just Told Every American to F*ck OFF as the Economy Heads into a RECESSION!

Fed policy mistake / FOMC decisionHousehold financial stress and running out of cashCredit card delinquency rates rising

Preview:Steve Van Metre argues the Fed just made one of the biggest policy mistakes in central bank history by holding rates steady despite clear signs American households are running out of cash. He points to rising credit card delinquencies, increasing loan rejection rates, declining weekly hours worked, and the Fed's own projection of unemployment rising to 4.4% — all while the Fed does nothing. He contends the economy is headed into a stagflationary recession and that cutting rates now would help, though he also argues rate cuts ultimately won't work because jobless consumers can't borrow regardless. The video includes a promo for his CTA trading service and a Brazilian equities trade.

Steven Van Metre

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-18 17:00

🚨 Trump’s Top Advisors Are TERRIFIED—Nightmare Scenario THREATENS Nationwide CHAOS!

US recession riskTrump tariffs and trade policystagflation thesis

Preview:Steven Van Metre argues that Trump's Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is publicly dismissing recession risks while the data — declining weekly hours, rising credit card delinquencies, and collapsing demand in March manufacturing surveys — signals stagflation and an imminent recession. The episode centers on the divergence between official optimism and on-the-ground economic deterioration, with a pitch for Van Metre's CTA trading service.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-03-02 18:30

Financial Markets Are Waking Up to Economic Reality

Growth scare reemergence in financial marketsConsumer spending and confidence deteriorationAtlanta Fed GDP Now collapse to -1.5%

Preview:Jeff Snider and Steve Van Metre discuss the "growth scare" reemerging in financial markets — arguing it never actually went away, but was merely ignored. They cite collapsing GDP forecasts, weak consumer spending, rising savings rates, plunging confidence, a cracking AI/crypto bubble, falling bond yields, and softening labor markets as evidence that the global economic rug is being pulled. The core thesis: markets are finally waking up to an economic reality consumers have been living for months.

Eurodollar University

Steven Van Metre

2025-02-09 18:35

Mexico’s Emergency Rate Cut Sends a MAJOR Global Warning

Mexico Banxico emergency rate cutsGlobal central bank easing waveTariffs as cover for economic weakness

Preview:Mexico's central bank (Banxico) accelerated rate cuts to 50 bps with another 50 bps likely coming in March, joining a global wave of central banks cutting more aggressively. The hosts argue this has nothing to do with tariffs — Mexico started cutting in March 2024, long before the election — and everything to do with a deteriorating global economy that rate cuts can't fix. Meanwhile, University of Michigan consumer sentiment plunged in February as inflation expectations soared, with consumers worried about job security and stretched incomes. The hosts frame falling hours worked (34.1 average work week) and declining sentiment as recessionary signals the Fed is ignoring.