gold and silver as monetary hedges against debt and fiscal crisis
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Kai Hoffmann appears to be a market commentator and investor with a long Wall Street research background, speaking from an evidence-driven equity perspective. In the transcript he emphasizes his 30+ year research career, prior roles as analyst/strategist, and experience running real-money equity portfolios since 2005. His communication style is blunt and process-oriented: he prefers company fundamentals over macro headlines, and frames market views through disciplined, long-horizon research rather than short-term prediction. The resolved identity links point to his Soar Financial website and X account (@JrMiningGuy), consistent with a finance/media presence. Evidence is somewhat limited here, so this profile is best read as a working summary rather than exhaustive biographical coverage.
Hoffmann’s recurring economic worldview is strongly pro-equity and fundamentally driven. He argues that investors should focus on companies, earnings, and disciplined valuation work rather than trying to trade the macro backdrop, geopolitical noise, or headline economic statistics. He repeatedly frames U.S. stocks as durable and sees the market as capable of signaling recession risk better than commentary does. In the excerpt, he presents himself as a long-term secular bull, with a preference for multi-year horizons over quarterly reactions. His broader outlook is that fundamentals, sentiment, and earnings eventually dominate, and that volatility or weak macro conditions do not necessarily invalidate a constructive view on equities.
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Preview:Keith Neumeyer, CEO of First Majestic Silver, interviewed at the Rule Symposium 2026, argues that silver's parabolic breakout above $50 to $120 was driven by a physical-market squeeze that broke the paper market, with banks taking multi-billion-dollar losses covering shorts. He views the current ~$60 level as healthy consolidation, expects $50 to now act as support, and wants silver to trade between $60–$80 for the next 12 months to build a base before eventually returning to triple digits. He also provides updates on First Majestic's record Q2 production, $1B+ cash position, dividend doubling, share buybacks, and the Jerritt Canyon gold mine restart.
Preview:Brent Cook, founder of Exploration Insights and economic geologist, sits down at the Rule Symposium 2026 to assess the health of the junior mining exploration sector. He sees the sector as healthy with record-level financing (~$4.5B raised so far in 2026), but warns that roughly one-third of that money funds "dumbass ideas" — old dead projects recycled under new names without solving their original fatal flaws. Cook's core investment thesis centers on discovery: find something a major will buy. He is broadly constructive on gold and copper prices a year out, barring recession, but emphasizes that price speculation is not his game. Key jurisdictions he favors include the Andes, Brazil, Bolivia, the Guyana Shield, and the Western US.
Preview:Adrian Day argues the precious-metals pullback is a contrarian buying opportunity, not a reason to panic. He is constructive on gold over a 3–10 year horizon, more cautious near term because a retest of the recent low is possible, and especially bullish on silver’s setup after a sharp correction and heavy retail selling.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann argues the resource setup is constructive, with copper stronger on fundamentals and gold more headline- and liquidity-driven. He is bullish on select mining equities, especially developers, while warning that higher rates, a tech/liquidity crunch, or a real global recession could still pressure the sector.
Preview:Tavi Costa argues that gold and silver are in an unusually oversold, near-capitulation condition and that the recent selloff is more likely a buying opportunity than a broken thesis. He says the market is overreacting to two things he thinks are unsustainable: geopolitical tension and the idea of a new hiking cycle, while the U.S. dollar looks stretched and likely to roll over. He is more constructive on miners than on the metals themselves, saying many cash flows and margins remain strong and that institutional capital is starting to notice.
Preview:Nomi Prins argues that the market is being misread through short-term headlines: oil spikes, war headlines, and Fed fear are creating volatility, but the underlying setup remains bullish for hard assets—especially gold, silver, copper, and uranium. Her core view is that inflation should trend lower from the oil-driven spike, the Fed is effectively backstopping the long end of the curve, dollar strength is partly artificial, and structural demand/supply imbalances plus central-bank gold buying point to higher commodity prices over time.
Preview:Matthew Piepenburg argues that gold’s recent volatility is a tactical shakeout inside a much larger secular bull market, not a thesis break. He says the price is being held “artificially cheap” by paper-market mechanics, margin pressure, and narrative management while central banks and other large buyers accumulate physical gold and push collateral demand eastward.
Preview:Grant Williams, interviewed at the Rule Symposium 2026, argues that we are in a dangerous late-cycle environment where the rational portfolio posture should be defensive — preserving capital rather than chasing returns. He frames this within the "Fourth Turning" / 100-year pivot thesis, emphasizes gold as the perpetual safe haven, warns against overtrading geopolitical headlines (US-Iran), and flags AI capex overvaluation and passive-bid fragility as key risks. His core message: stop trying to time the crash; instead, build a liquid, tail-resistant portfolio that survives whatever comes.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre, interviewed by Kai Hoff at the 2026 Rule Symposium, says he's ~80% cash and has only recently bought one stock — in oil. He sees substantial bullish arguments for gold but won't rule out a 1980-style or 2011-style post-peak selloff. He notes a market pivot back to Fed-watching, observes dip-buying at ~$4,000 gold, and argues the structural case for gold as a hedge is a genuine paradigm shift. His highest-conviction commodities remain copper and uranium, but he finds them not yet cheap. The oil patch is where he's started deploying capital.
Preview:Andy Schectman argues that the recent gold/silver selloff was mostly structural and paper-driven, not a fundamental breakdown, and that the real signal is huge physical demand into COMEX delivery. He says central banks and other large buyers are using price suppression as “misdirection” while standing for delivery, and he expects the bond market—not Fed headlines—to be the likeliest trigger for the next major move higher in metals.
Preview:Austrian economist Dr. Mark Thornton identifies three classical bust signals all flashing red: (1) hyper-elevated stock/asset markets driven by AI and data-center mania, (2) persistent inflation from excessive money creation, and (3) an extreme K-shaped economy where the rich get richer while real wages for the working class collapse. He ties a potential market tipping point to rising real interest rates and the skyscraper curse — with a new record-setting tower expected around late 2027 marking the economy's descent. Thornton remains structurally bullish on gold, silver, and natural resources, arguing the fundamental thesis (government debt, central bank monetization, geopolitical destruction of productive capacity) is stronger than ever despite engineered selloffs. He is pessimistic about near-term policy but optimistic long-term about growing public awareness of sound money and real economics.
Preview:Michael Pento argues the market is wrong to price Fed rate hikes — growth and inflation are both slowing on a second-derivative basis, making the next Fed move a cut, not a hike. He has been loading up on gold, gold miners (GDX/GDXJ), low-volatility dividend stocks, and international equities. The recent weak jobs report validates his pivot. His structural thesis: the US economy is so over-financialized (equity market cap 235% of GDP, $40T debt at 720% of revenue) that positive real rates and genuine balance sheet tightening would trigger a depression. The long-term destination is hyper-stagflation, eventually requiring a currency and debt reset.
Preview:Ed Yardeni argues the bull market remains fundamentally intact because the economy has avoided recession, earnings momentum is still strong, and AI-related capital spending plus wealthy retiring baby boomers are supporting demand. He is constructive on equities, cautious about parts of tech valuation and earnings quality, skeptical of Bitcoin, and opportunistic on gold near $4,000.
Preview:Martin Armstrong sees the recent gold selloff below $4,000 as a geopolitical-premium unwind, not a trend reversal. He believes gold is making a low with major support around $3,500 and expects a new leg up driven by escalating geopolitical crises from the week of July 6th onward, lasting into Q1 2027. He argues markets are underpricing risks around Iran, Ukraine, Taiwan, and European instability, and warns that a Gulf State debt default could trigger a banking crisis reaching London.
Preview:Bill Fleckenstein argues the recent move in the dollar is mostly noise inside a long range, the Fed is trying to sound tougher than it will likely act, and gold/silver have been shaken out by a mix of sentiment, geopolitics, and central-bank flows. He is still constructive on precious metals but says he wants more technical proof before adding back risk.
Preview:Francis Hunt argues the sharp gold and silver pullback is a liquidity/distress event, not a broken bull market. He sees dollar strength, bond-market stress, and broader crisis dynamics—especially in Asia, private credit, and equities—as the real drivers, while still believing the secular case for gold/silver remains intact.
Preview:Kai interviews energy expert Josef Schachter about whether the oil shock fears are overdone and where the broader commodity cycle sits. Schachter argues the market is still early in a long commodity supercycle, with oil, natural gas, uranium, metals, grains, and precious metals all benefiting from underinvestment and rising non-OECD demand. Near term, he thinks the Strait of Hormuz risk is easing as alternative export routes and inventory drawdowns reduce the immediate supply shock, but he still sees structurally tighter balances ahead.
Preview:Lawrence Lepard argues the Fed and Treasury are still effectively printing money, even if the messaging sounds hawkish, and that this eventually forces lower real rates, a weaker dollar, and higher gold and silver. He thinks the current pullback in precious metals is a correction inside a long bull market, while mining stocks remain cheap relative to the upside he expects if inflation and liquidity stay elevated.
Preview:George Noble argues that the macro regime has shifted toward higher inflation, higher rates, fiscal dominance, and a less liquidity-friendly environment, which makes the bond market the key risk signal. He is bullish on gold, silver, and especially gold miners, saying the miners are extremely cheap and can rally even if gold stays flat, while he is sharply bearish on AI/hyperscalers and Tesla.
Preview:Melody Wright argues the U.S. housing market is not in a sudden crash but in a long, frozen, slow-decelerating correction. She says inventory is rising, sellers are delisting when they do not get desired prices, builder confidence is weak, and forced selling is likely to build into late 2026 as delinquencies and foreclosures flow through the system.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann argues the Iran-US deal is still too incomplete to trust, with markets reacting optimistically while oil and gold are sending mixed signals. He also views SpaceX as a historic but extremely crowded valuation story that could drain liquidity from other risk assets, and he says mining/commodities are being slowly re-legitimized by war, energy insecurity, and a broader global wake-up call.
Preview:Axel Merk argues gold’s spike is being driven by a temporary relief move in the Iran/oil shock, but the bigger backdrop is still about inflation, real rates, and Fed credibility. He thinks the immediate market reaction is more about the peace/MOU headline and oil forward curve than a clean long-term regime shift, while warning that a hawkish, more rules-based Fed under Kevin Warsh could pressure gold if it tightens financial conditions or signals more anti-inflation resolve.
Preview:Jim Bianco argues the Iran/Israel/US de-escalation is mainly important because it may reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which would validate the market’s current oil and inflation pricing. He thinks the stock market is being driven far more by AI than by geopolitics, with today’s rally concentrated in AI names while the non-AI market is relatively subdued. His broader macro view is that inflation is still too hot for the Fed to cut, long rates near 4.5%-5% are closer to fair value than a sign of crisis, and AI is early enough to be productivity-enhancing before it becomes a speculative bubble.
Preview:Simon Hunt argues the reported US-Iran "peace deal" is not a real treaty but a fragile memorandum that largely reflects an Iranian win and an American retreat. He says the deal likely buys only a few weeks of calm, after which Israel may resume bombing Lebanon or the US may try one last strike on Iran if Washington cannot accept the appearance of defeat.
Preview:Daniel Lacalle argues the Fed is unlikely to hike next week, but also says the Fed should stay on hold and keep shrinking its balance sheet because tighter policy could choke credit and liquidity. He thinks the bigger macro problem is not a U.S. recession but stagnation across developed economies, while global liquidity is still enough to keep U.S. equities supported and pressure some other assets. He is bullish gold and silver on dips over the medium term, bearish oil, and skeptical that dedollarization has become a true substitute-based monetary shift.
Preview:Gareth Soloway argues the market is rolling over after an AI-led, euphoric run, and he thinks the pending SpaceX IPO is pulling liquidity from semis and other risk assets. He is bearish near term on the S&P, gold, silver, and copper, while favoring defensive names, Treasuries, and possibly the dollar until lower prices create better entries.
Preview:Vince Lanci argues the recent gold and silver selloff is a consolidation, not a thesis break. He says the underlying drivers are intact: central-bank buying remains strong, gold is increasingly treated as collateral rather than just a price chart, and the move lower was intensified by war headlines and short-sided positioning.
Preview:Dave Collum argues that the market’s apparent invincibility is a product of a long, valuation-expanding secular regime driven by demographics, passive flows, and central-bank backstops — and that it is now extremely stretched. He thinks AI megacap and IPO exuberance, especially around SpaceX and the “Magnificent 7,” is feeding a fragile bubble, while gold’s sideways action reflects a market that is oddly complacent rather than healthy.
Preview:David Morgan argues that copper, gold, and silver are being undervalued by the market despite strong underlying fundamentals, especially the copper demand tied to electrification, AI data centers, and grid expansion. He is constructive on the sector but expects a choppy summer, with equities lagging metals because investors remain skeptical and money has been diverted into ETFs and big-tech attention.
Preview:Gregory Mannarino argues that there is no real market—just a debt-market-driven distortion propped up by Fed/Treasury intervention, currency debasement, and war-related borrowing. He says the key risk is an uncontrolled spike in bond yields that would trigger a fast global equity selloff and a broader credit event. His practical answer is to prepare by holding real assets, especially physical silver, and to stop relying on the system.
Preview:Peter Grandich argues the precious-metals correction is largely over, with gold and silver now offering renewed upside—especially the miners, which he says are still undervalued and should benefit from leverage, M&A, and broader generalist re-entry. He is also notably bullish copper and thinks the real macro risk is the unwinding of the huge U.S. stock-market bubble, not a collapse in metals demand.
Preview:Luke Gromen argues the market is being distorted by a conflict between high oil prices, rising Treasury yields, and an overlevered U.S. fiscal system. He says the real pinch point is not oil itself but the way oil shocks force foreign holders to sell Treasuries and, if needed, equities to buy food and energy, which feeds back into higher rates and a sovereign debt spiral.
Preview:Warwick Powell argues the US-China summit mainly calmed tensions rather than producing big deliverables, and he sees that as fragile because US domestic politics and anti-China pressure in Washington could quickly reverse it. His core macro thesis is that China is strategically stable, economically resilient, and moving deeper into an energy- and technology-led industrial transition, while US military deterrence in Asia is weakening after the Iran conflict exposed base-vulnerability problems.
Preview:Peter Schiff argues that the U.S. debt and dollar problems are worsening, not being solved, and that gold is the best long-run protection. He says gold and silver are consolidating after major breakouts, real rates are falling as inflation stays above target, and the next leg higher will likely be triggered by a market or policy shock. He also makes a strong case that tokenized gold will ultimately dominate stable coins and crypto because a dollar-pegged stable coin inherits the dollar’s instability.
Preview:Michael Howell argues the market is being stabilized by active Federal Reserve and Treasury liquidity operations, but that support is also masking deeper fragility in bonds, FX, and the repo system. He remains constructive on gold and silver, sees China as the key medium-term driver of gold via liquidity, and frames U.S. dollar strength as a function of global dollar debt and the rise of stablecoins.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre argues the big-picture setup is still bullish for gold, silver, and copper, but he thinks the market is vulnerable to a correction, with miners likely to struggle if metals go sideways or if war-driven costs hit margins. His immediate stance is defensive: he has taken profits and is holding about 80% cash to exploit what he sees as a potentially life-changing crash opportunity.
Preview:Mario Innecco argues that rising inflation, persistent liquidity, and a bond bear market are making gold and silver more attractive despite short-term volatility. He is broadly bearish bonds, skeptical that central banks can meaningfully tighten, and thinks geopolitical risk and debt overhang support hard assets.
Preview:Matthew Piepenburg argues that markets are disconnected from fundamentals because of central-bank liquidity, while bond markets, gold, China, and de-dollarization are the real signals to watch.
Preview:Judy Shelton argues the biggest threat to the dollar is not foreign competition but Washington’s own fiscal and monetary conduct: persistent deficit spending, a politicized Fed, and policies that erode purchasing power. She favors a more supply-side, market-oriented Fed, a dependable dollar, and ultimately some form of gold-linked benchmark to restore trust.
Preview:Michael Oliver argues that gold and especially silver are in a late-stage acceleration phase driven by monetary debasement and an approaching government bond crisis, not by headlines like war or Fed policy. He sees U.S. bonds and stocks as vulnerable, while gold, silver, and miners could see a sharp vertical move if the bond market breaks and the Fed responds with renewed liquidity.
Preview:Andy Schectman argues that gold and especially silver are being accumulated for trust/counterparty-risk reasons, not just dollar weakness, and that recent price action is being distorted by paper-market mechanics while physical demand and deliveries stay strong.
Preview:Henrik Zeberg argues the market is in a late-stage blow-off rally: stocks may keep rising for weeks or months even as the real economy and consumer deteriorate underneath. He sees the consumer, private credit fragility, and eventually a stronger crisis-driven dollar as the key risks, while bonds, gold/silver, and crypto may benefit in the short run from a weaker dollar and risk-on melt-up.
Preview:The interview argues that China is escalating a financial and geopolitical challenge to the U.S. through sanctions resistance, treasury selling, commodity control, and gold accumulation, while the U.S. is trapped by its Middle East commitments and a worsening bond/currency crisis.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre argues the gold bull market is still intact but in a correction/consolidation phase that could last longer than many expect. He warns that miners are not automatically cheap just because gold is high, though he still sees strong margins and says the best near-term opportunity may actually come in oil if war/peace headlines trigger an oversold selloff.
Preview:Steve Hanke argues the US stock market is in bubble territory, inflation will reaccelerate because money supply growth is running hot, China is the main strategic winner, and gold can still reach $6,000-$7,000 as commodities and rearmament drive a broader super-cycle.
Preview:Clive Thompson argues the macro backdrop is turning stagflationary: commodity and energy prices are rising, inflation is still above target, jobs are weakening, and central banks are trapped between fighting inflation and supporting growth. That mix, plus heavy debt burdens and weakening confidence in fiat currencies, is his core case for owning gold and silver, especially physical bullion.
Preview:Kai interviews Lynette Zang about gold and silver as monetary assets, arguing that recent volatility reflects flows, overbought conditions, and a broader shift away from paper-market pricing toward physical supply/demand and monetary distrust.
Preview:David Hunter argues the market is in a late-cycle parabolic melt-up that can still extend into summer, with the S&P 500 potentially reaching 9,500 and precious metals making another major leg higher after a correction. Beneath the near-term volatility, he sees a mixed but still resilient U.S. economy, an eventual rollover in rates and inflation, and ultimately a global bust that would force aggressive monetary easing.
Preview:Michael Howell argues the market is not crashing because global and U.S. liquidity are still supportive, even as the global liquidity cycle is rolling over. He thinks commodities, especially gold and resource stocks, are the key beneficiaries, while U.S. equities may stay rangebound rather than break down.
Preview:Mario Innecco argues that inflation is fundamentally monetary—created by money and credit expansion from governments, central banks, and banks—not by oil prices or CPI methodology. He says the practical response is to hold hard assets, especially physical gold and silver, because the fiat/debt system cannot be normalized without severe economic damage.
Preview:Andrew Sleigh argues that gold and silver’s recent correction does not invalidate the thesis: he sees both as still functioning as liquid, crisis-resilient money, though he is short-term bearish on price. He frames the pullback as a buying opportunity amid war, macro weakness, and a possible coming shift back toward monetary metals.
Preview:Gary Wagner says gold and silver are behaving unusually: instead of reacting in the classic risk-off way to war, inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty, both metals are mostly rangebound and sideways. He still frames the prior move in gold as a correction within a bull market, while silver’s violent run-up and retracement are described as a very deep correction rather than a confirmed long-term bear market.
Preview:Marc Friedrich argues the world is in a Fourth Turning "winter": trust in governments, media, and fiat money is breaking down; debt, inflation, geopolitics, and social conflict are converging; and scarce assets like gold, silver, Bitcoin, and other limited resources should benefit.
Preview:Clem Chambers argues that the market is being supported by US policy-driven liquidity, with the Fed balance sheet turning up again and money flowing into equities through a carry-trade-style plumbing system. He thinks inflation is likely to stay higher than many expect because of energy, supply-chain, and rebuilding/industrial-capacity pressures, and he prefers value, gold, silver, and selective cheap equities over crowded megacaps.
Preview:Chris Whalen argues that the Iran war has made inflation more persistent, pushed Fed cuts off the table for now, and is already feeding through energy, housing, and consumer affordability. He sees private credit as a liquidity and suitability problem for retail investors rather than a systemic threat, expects housing to weaken in many overheated markets, and remains constructive on gold, silver, and select miners.
Preview:Francis Hunt argues that Europe is moving toward a more confrontational, war-preparatory posture toward Russia, with Hungary’s political shift removing one obstacle to that trajectory. He pairs that geopolitical view with a macro call for ongoing stagflation/hyper-stagflation, bearish Brent oil, and preference for silver over gold at present.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann argued that Europe’s immediate energy situation is still manageable but fragile, with Germany and the broader region facing higher fuel costs, possible jet-fuel stress, and continuing dependence on external energy sources. He was broadly bullish on gold, silver, and copper, saying the long-term trend remains intact and that the recent gold pullback was more about liquidity and sentiment than a broken fundamental thesis.
Preview:Rick Rule argues that liquidity is the dominant risk factor right now: he is raising cash, worried about private credit stress, higher rates, and a possible oil-driven recession/liquidity event. He remains constructive on gold, silver, copper, and selected oil and mining equities over multi-year horizons, but prefers owning quality assets where market pricing still implies worse outcomes than he expects.
Preview:The speaker argues that the Strait of Hormuz appears partially reopened, which is easing oil pressure and supporting risk assets, but he remains cautious because the situation is fragile and any renewed attack could quickly reverse sentiment. He is constructive on gold/silver miners and says he is holding cash until he sees more confirmation, while warning that the economic and market effects of higher fuel prices will lag for weeks to months.
Preview:Brian Belski argues the market is entering an earnings-led phase rather than a momentum/multiple-expansion phase, with the US still in a secular bull market that he dates to 2008-2010. He is constructive on US equities, especially financials, communication services, and small/mid caps, while turning neutral on tech and cautious on gold after its strong run.
Preview:Doug Casey argues the world has entered a period of mass psychosis, political polarization, and war risk, with the U.S. and Europe moving away from normalcy. He says the best response is personal insulation: leave cities if possible, avoid stocks and bonds, favor gold/silver, mining stocks, and energy—especially oil, gas, coal, and nuclear—while expecting a broader depression and weaker currencies.
Preview:Michael Lebowitz argues the market is reacting primarily to oil, not the geopolitical conflict itself, and that the key question is how long elevated energy prices persist. He expects the Fed to remain constrained by a weak labor market and temporarily higher inflation, sees bonds as eventually supported if oil stabilizes, and thinks gold has become a crowded, high-volatility trade rather than a clean inflation hedge.
Preview:David Hay argues the US economy is already weakening and that Wall Street is underestimating a stagflationary setup driven by energy shocks, sticky inflation, deteriorating labor data, and fragile earnings expectations. He says the market is still too complacent on recession risk, while his preferred opportunities remain hard assets, resource equities, and select overseas breakouts.
Preview:Adrian Day argues gold’s post-conflict weakness is mostly explained by buy-the-rumor/sell-the-news behavior, dollar strength, and regional liquidity stress rather than a broken bull market. He remains bullish on gold long term, thinks the mining sector’s oil-cost hit is real but manageable, and expects broader investor flows into gold if equity markets start to roll over.
Preview:David Woo argues the Israel-Iran conflict is a major US–China proxy struggle centered on control of the Strait of Hormuz, and says the market is underpricing the risk of escalation. He thinks Trump is signaling flexibility to manage equities while preparing for a harder next phase, with oil likely much higher and stocks lower if the market priced the situation correctly.
Preview:Kai and Doomberg frame the Middle East conflict as an energy shock with rapidly changing market pricing, escalating geopolitical risk, and major implications for oil, gas, inflation, and the global balance of power. Doomberg argues the US can shield itself more than Europe, while China’s role is underappreciated and the fog of war makes official narratives unreliable.
Preview:Egon von Greyerz argues that the gold pullback does not alter the larger thesis: fiat currencies are structurally headed to zero, debt and inflation will keep rising, and the current monetary system is nearing its end. He remains bullish gold and silver, bearish bonds and private credit, and says the best way to respond is to hold physical precious metals and ignore short-term volatility.
Preview:Ole Hansen argues the Iran-related shock is hitting refined fuel and gas markets more than crude itself, with Europe and Asia exposed to a prolonged energy squeeze. He thinks gold’s selloff is mostly a liquidity and positioning event, not a thesis break, and still sees much higher gold over the coming years once markets stabilize.
Preview:Alex Krainer argues Trump’s brief pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure is a sign of weakness, not a real diplomatic breakthrough. He says Iran is existentially committed, unlikely to stop fighting, and that the conflict is wider than Iran-Israel because Russia and China see Iran as strategically essential.
Preview:Ted Oakley argues the market selloff is a normal de-risking after an overextended move, with oil-driven inflation and Fed confusion as the main catalysts. He says the right response is to own quality single names, keep liquidity, and selectively add to beaten-down gold/silver miners, energy-related names, and other commodity exposures rather than hiding in broad index funds.
Preview:George Friedman argues that the world is being restructured around three big axes: a weakened Russia, a fragmented Europe, and the enduring US-China rivalry. He says Russia effectively lost in Ukraine by failing to conquer a much smaller country, NATO’s old mission is fading, Iran is a tactical but not central issue, and China still needs US markets more than it can openly back Iran.
Preview:Jason Shapiro argues markets are rotating from complacency into a more skeptical, crowded narrative around war, inflation, and higher yields, but he thinks the most important tell is fixed income rather than equities. He says the tape is not broadly broken, positioning is not yet extreme in most areas, and the main risk is a bond-market dislocation that forces renewed liquidity support.
Preview:Richard Haass argues the world is moving from a highly structured post-Cold War order into a more disorderly, less predictable system shaped by weaker U.S. dominance, more capable rivals, and more unilateral American policy. On the Iran war specifically, he says continued strikes have diminishing returns, oil/transit risk is rising, and diplomacy plus a verifiable nuclear ceiling are the only plausible endgames.
Preview:Thomas Hoenig argues the Fed faces a stagflation-like setup: an oil shock and weaker growth will pressure the economy and financial system, but the Fed should avoid panicking into aggressive easing that could re-ignite inflation.
Preview:John Rubino argues the gold/silver bull market remains intact even if prices pause, and says weakness in miners is more about market-wide deleveraging and investor psychology than a broken fundamental setup. He thinks strong miner cash flow, possible Fed easing, and M&A/dividends/buybacks could eventually pull miners higher again.
Preview:The video is a three-way interview with silver miners First Majestic, Endeavour Silver, and Hecla Mining at a silver industry event. The core message is that $90 silver has transformed cash flow, but the companies are still emphasizing discipline, unhedged exposure, debt reduction, shareholder returns, and selective growth rather than chasing the spot move.
Preview:Milton Berg argues the U.S. economy is not in recession and that the S&P 500 remains in a bull market despite war headlines and oil-price fears. He spends most of the conversation explaining a long-run model that buys the S&P 500 on durable weakness and exits on an 8% drawdown, then applies the same general thinking to saying gold is overextended and more likely late-cycle than early-cycle.
Preview:Ron Stöferle argues gold is no longer contrarian, but the secular bull market is still intact. He says the easy money is behind investors, institutions remain underallocated, and the next leg likely comes from Western capital rotating out of bonds and into hard assets.
Preview:Louis-Vincent Gave argues the Middle East crisis is primarily an energy shock with bigger implications for Asia than for the US, because Asia is more exposed to imported oil and Gulf gas. He thinks the immediate market reaction may be too complacent, sees China-US relations as possibly improving tactically through trade gestures and a Trump-Xi meeting, and believes the deeper issue is a shift in how global foreign policy is being justified around oil, inflation, and domestic politics rather than a coherent grand strategy.
Preview:Steve Keen argues that the Iran conflict could trigger a severe oil shock, driving war-led inflation, supply shortages, and stagflation, especially in Europe. He also says the bigger underlying risk is still excessive private debt, which makes the economy fragile even if the immediate crisis is geopolitical.
Preview:Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar argues the U.S. is moving toward stagflation in 2026, with the Iran conflict, persistent liquidity expansion, and fiscal deficits likely pushing inflation higher while slowing growth. He is especially bearish on the dollar’s long-run reserve status and expects gold, silver, miners, and other real assets to outperform if policy discipline does not improve.
Preview:Jim Iuorio argues the market’s pullback is a volatility phase, not a broken bull case: he sees Middle East conflict, rising yields, oil, and tariffs as near-term inflation and sentiment shocks, but still thinks risk assets can work later if the S&P holds key levels and the Fed keeps easing. He remains constructive on gold, oil, and a Russell/Nasdaq rotation, while warning equities may stay choppy for the first half of the year.
Preview:Mario Innecco argues the Middle East war has not produced the classic flight-to-quality pattern because the market is pricing a quick US-Israel victory and possible regime change in Iran. He says that weak Treasury reaction, rising yields, and continued strength in gold, silver, and oil all point to a broader monetary realignment away from paper assets and toward hard assets.
Preview:Bubba Horwitz argues the current market shock is a fear-driven, overdone move: equities look increasingly vulnerable to a larger correction, crude oil is likely to fade after the Middle East spike, and gold/silver/platinum remain in a consolidation phase that should resolve higher over time.
Preview:Mark Thornton argues that rising gold and silver are warning signals of broader economic stress, not just bullish commodity moves. He sees a slowing U.S. and global economy, rising debt, K-shaped inequality, tariff uncertainty, and private-credit/private-equity fragility as signs that 2026 could bring a major downturn.
Preview:Ed Dowd argues the US economy is already slipping into a recession-like slowdown, with bad labor data, weakening GDP, housing stress, and a budding credit/liquidity unwind. He expects the setup to favor long-duration Treasuries over risk assets in 2026, while still viewing gold and silver as long-term monetary hedges.
Preview:Michael Howell argues global liquidity is still at record levels in absolute terms but is losing momentum, and that this matters more for markets than the headline level. He says China is the main marginal driver of gold because it is injecting liquidity, suppressing crypto, and pushing households and capital toward gold, while the US is mainly doing liquidity support to stabilize repo and the financial system.
Preview:A Soar Financially interview centered on Michael Every’s view that a U.S. strike on Iran is likely, but the bigger issue is the global shift toward neo-mercantilism and bloc politics. He argues the Middle East, Latin America, Europe, and China are all being folded into a wider contest over resources, supply chains, and strategic leverage.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold and silver are in a technical correction after an extreme run-up, not a trend reversal, and expects the broader bull market to resume once the selloff finishes.
Preview:Mike McGlone argues that recession risk is rising because risk assets, especially crypto and equities, are overextended relative to GDP and income, and he thinks that rollover in speculative assets will transmit into stocks, commodities, and eventually softer inflation and lower bond yields. His contrarian call is to sell gold and buy long Treasuries, while also expecting weaker Bitcoin, silver, copper, oil, and eventually a 10% S&P drawdown.
Preview:David Morgan argues silver’s sharp pullback was a normal blow-off correction after an extreme parabolic run, not the end of the bull market. He says the real driver remains a physical-market squeeze: strong industrial demand, persistent deficits, growing institutional adoption, and the possibility that governments and corporations will increasingly stockpile or source silver directly.
Preview:Peter Schiff argues the precious-metals bull market remains intact despite sharp volatility, with silver especially prone to violent corrections after an outsized breakout. He ties the bigger move to dollar debasement, deficit spending, Fed pressure, and global diversification out of U.S. assets, and remains constructive on gold, silver, and miners.
Preview:A BIS veteran argues that rising gold, a weakening dollar, and stubbornly high debt levels are all signals that the global monetary system is under strain. He sees fiscal dominance, fragile long-bond markets, and growing interest in alternatives like gold and cross-border payment rails as signs of a deeper regime transition.
Preview:Marc Faber argues that Trump’s 15% U.S. growth promise is unrealistic, current GDP figures overstate real economic strength, and policy is increasingly interventionist and inflationary. He says the market is inflated by a small set of mega-cap tech stocks, while gold, silver, and platinum better reflect the long-run erosion of fiat purchasing power.
Preview:Gregory Mannarino argues that the real risk is not equities but the US debt market: suppressed yields, Federal Reserve/Treasury intervention, and foreign selling of Treasuries are setting up a larger credit event. He says gold and silver are already signaling a collateral rotation out of debt, while stocks can keep rising for now because bad economic news increases expectations for more intervention and currency debasement.
Preview:A fireside chat at VRIC featuring Adrian Day (portfolio manager) and Christopher Aaron (iGold Advisor founder, cycle analyst). Both are structurally bullish on gold. Day argues all prior drivers remain intact (central bank de-dollarization) plus a new one (Tether's gold-backed stablecoin buying). Aaron sees a long-term breakout of gold vs. US equities, targeting $9,000 gold within 12–24 months based on the 2011 gold/stock ratio, and expects the DXY to break a 20-year uptrend. Both acknowledge they can't identify a reasonable catalyst for a sustained gold bear market, though Day finds that fact itself unnerving. They see value in miners, particularly small-cap developers still recovering from near-bankruptcy conditions of 2023.
Preview:Lyn Alden argues the gold/silver surge is both a structural monetary-regime shift and a short-term momentum/positioning blowoff. Her core view is that fiat systems, sovereign debt, and reserve-currency credibility have been deteriorating for years, so neutral reserve assets like gold have been repricing upward, but the latest move was likely accelerated by leverage, algorithms, and crowded positioning.
Preview:Clem Chambers argues the silver selloff was a classic bubble bust driven by frothy positioning, not a fundamental change in the broader precious-metals thesis. His core macro view is that gold remains the key signal for a rising China-vs.-America geopolitical conflict, and that any lasting move in silver will ultimately re-sync with gold after the current repricing phase.
Preview:An interview at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference with First Majestic’s newly minted president Mani Alafaji focused on the company’s transformational 2025, its doubled dividend, and the implications of silver moving above $100. The core message was bullish on First Majestic’s operating leverage and on silver’s scarcity story, while stressing the company does not hedge and is positioning to benefit from higher prices through lower cut-off grades, plant expansions, exploration, and optionality at Jarrett Canyon.
Preview:Taylor Kenney argues that gold and silver are in the early stages of a structural monetary reset, not a late-cycle blowoff. He says trust in fiat and U.S. Treasuries is eroding, physical demand is driving prices, and investors should keep stacking rather than try to time a top.
Preview:Matthew Piepenburg argues that the surge in gold and silver is not a bubble but a market warning about a broken fiat currency and debt system, with the U.S. dollar and sovereign bonds at the center of the stress. He frames the move as a symptom of long-running monetary debasement that could eventually force some kind of reset, revaluation, or more centralized policy response, though he says the timing is unknowable.
Preview:Adam Taggart argues the market is likely entering a volatile, less linear phase: the economy could slow while policy-driven stimulus and rotation out of mega-cap tech keep broad indices choppy. He is especially focused on precious metals and oil/gas, but warns that gold and silver’s vertical move may be near-term stretched and vulnerable to a sharp pullback even if the longer secular case remains intact.
Preview:Robert Kiyosaki argues that the recent surge in gold and silver is a warning sign, not just a bullish metals story: when gold and silver move in tandem, he says it often signals currency stress and a coming collapse in the dollar or other fiat systems. He repeatedly frames the issue through historical examples like Weimar Germany and Zimbabwe, and says ordinary people are already being squeezed by inflation, weak financial education, and a debt-driven system.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre argues silver and gold remain in a powerful bull market, but he is not calling a top. His key tactical distinction is between a blowoff phase that may still have more upside in mining stocks versus his preferred base case of a consolidation/pullback that would create better entries.
Preview:Lynette Zang and Andy Schectman deliver an urgent, structural thesis: the US dollar system is in terminal decline, central banks worldwide are pivoting from Treasuries to gold, and China is building a parallel financial architecture (mBridge, digital yuan with gold convertibility) to bypass the dollar. They see gold heading toward $6,500-7,000 and silver to $175+, driven by de-dollarization and a potential monetary reset. The conversation is framed as a wake-up call for viewers to hold physical gold/silver and build local community resilience.
Preview:Brent Johnson argues that the strong dollar alongside record gold is not a contradiction: the world remains in a fiat-vs-fiat regime where the U.S. can still attract capital and manage crises better than most peers. He sees rising fragility from deglobalization, refinancing needs, Japan’s bond/currency stress, and stablecoins as a potential geopolitical extension of dollar power, but says the timing of any reset is highly uncertain.
Preview:Chris Vermeulen argues that gold, silver, and now platinum are in a powerful late-stage blowoff phase, with metals acting as the clearest warning signal that broader financial stress is building. He thinks the next move may be very fast and very extended, but also very near a short-term top, so the main tactical message is to protect gains and expect a sharp correction once leverage and retail frenzy peak.
Preview:Colonel Douglas McGregor argues the U.S. is drifting toward a highly dangerous war with Iran that could accelerate the end of dollar reserve status and expose American military-industrial limits. He frames Iran, China, Turkey, Ukraine, and gold as linked parts of a broader shift away from U.S. dominance.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews Andy Schectman at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference about the surge in gold and silver. Schectman argues the move is not a bubble but evidence that physical delivery demand is overwhelming paper suppression, with rising margin requirements and large COMEX/LBMA deliveries signaling stress in the system. He frames the rally as part of a broader loss of trust in the dollar, treasuries, and institutions, and as an early stage repricing of precious metals within a changing monetary regime.
Preview:Rick Rule argues the gold/silver/mining complex is in a powerful but overextended bull market: he remains constructive on the long-term setup, but thinks valuations are already ahead of themselves and that a pullback or re-rating risk is real. He says he reduced physical silver, rotated toward higher-quality silver equities, and expects earnings season to surprise because analyst price assumptions are still far too low versus realized gold prices.
Preview:Doomberg argues that the Maduro/Venezuela operation has been geopolitically dramatic but oil-market-muted because oil is already well supplied and Venezuela’s production base had already collapsed. He frames the bigger story as a Western Hemisphere energy reordering, with Venezuela, Guyana, and U.S. policy all pointing toward higher future supply and lower long-run oil prices.
Preview:Michael Pento argues that the apparent strength in U.S. growth is not sustainable because nominal GDP is running well above what bond yields can support. He thinks the real story for 2026 is a global bond-market repricing led by Japan, a likely rise in U.S. long yields, and eventual Fed intervention that would be inflationary rather than stabilizing.
Preview:This is an interview centered on the silver market’s recent rally, with Stefan Gleason arguing that the main issue is not a clean, global “squeeze” but severe supply-chain dislocations—especially in retail minting and refining—combined with strong, broadening demand. He thinks the U.S. is not yet in a true metal shortage, but London and Asia are tight, premiums are elevated, and the market may be entering a new retail demand growth phase.
Preview:Larry McDonald argues that a global regime shift is underway: capital is rotating out of long-duration tech and bonds into hard assets, global value, and select commodities. He ties this to higher-for-longer inflation, rising global yields, populist policy pressure on Big Tech and banks, and a looming credit/housing fragility that could keep markets choppy even as the rotation continues.
Preview:Warwick Powell argues the US-China relationship is in a temporary stasis: still tense, but less heated after the September Trump-Xi understandings and with lots of tariff exemptions softening the immediate shock. His bigger point is structural: China is reorienting toward the Global South, exporting more capital equipment and building production networks abroad, while the US remains distracted, financialized, and increasingly unable to match China in the material economy.
Preview:Neil Howe argues that 2026 is in a late-cycle “winter” phase of the Fourth Turning: geopolitics, domestic polarization, generational revolt, and financial repression are converging toward a disruptive reset. He thinks the next decade will be very hard but also that the system eventually improves after crisis; for now, he favors inflation-resilient, low-beta positioning, commodities, precious metals, cash, and selective exposure to defense, resources, and industrial-policy beneficiaries.
Preview:Gerald Celente argues that the world is already in a broader war regime, with the immediate danger centered on escalating great-power conflict, especially with Russia and Iran. He also says a dot-com-style AI bubble, widespread youth unrest, and the hollowing-out of Western economies and institutions are the other major 2026 trends.
Preview:Melody Wright argues the U.S. housing market is still very cold, with weak existing-home sales, heavy downward revisions in new-home data, rising rental vacancy, and broad affordability problems. She sees recent policy proposals—like MBS purchases and a credit-card-rate cap—as politically motivated attempts that may change rates and credit conditions, but she doubts they will solve affordability and thinks they may actually tighten lending and eventually expose more price weakness.
Preview:Bill Fleckenstein argues the macro backdrop is still a mixed, mildly stagflationary economy supported by a powerful passive-buying flow into stocks, but that the bigger story is mounting inflation psychology, rising deficits, and a bond market that is increasingly rejecting the Fed’s easing path. He sees the surge in gold, silver, and selected miners as a sign of waning confidence in fiat currencies and central-bank credibility, not a short-lived trade.
Preview:Jim Thorne argues the US is entering an early supply-side boom driven by deregulation, capex incentives, AI, and easier credit, while the Fed remains stuck in a Keynesian framework that is overly tight for interest-rate-sensitive parts of the economy. He sees Trump’s policies as non-inflationary, favors banks and early-cycle exposure, expects gold/silver to consolidate after a strong move, and thinks Bitcoin may catch up if the Clarity Act passes.
Preview:Judy Shelton argues gold’s surge in 2026 is a meaningful signal of dissatisfaction with existing monetary arrangements, not just speculative noise. She uses the moment to advocate for a U.S. gold-backed Treasury bond and a broader return to “sound money,” framing it as a strong-confidence move that would signal fiscal discipline and monetary integrity rather than weakness.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre argues the move in silver, copper, and related metals is bigger than a simple precious-metals squeeze: he thinks it looks like a broad commodity super cycle driven by inflationary policy, wars, rearmament, AI/energy demand, and underinvestment. He’s constructive on miners because he expects blowout earnings, but he repeatedly warns that the move is already strong, volatility is high, and investors need a selling plan rather than chasing everything blindly.
Preview:Michael Green argues that markets are still being driven far more by flows than by fundamentals, with passive/index investing, buybacks, retirement flows, and constrained active management amplifying large-cap winners. He says the recent strength in mega caps can continue as long as employment, participation, and passive inflows hold up, but a meaningful rise in unemployment or a reversal of flows would change the regime.
Preview:David Woo argues that 2025’s biggest surprise was that Trump’s tariff shock did not trigger a U.S. recession, and he credits the AI boom for offsetting it through capex, wealth effects, and stronger consumer spending. He is bearish on the sustainability of that support into 2026, and thinks the main investable issue next year is the U.S. midterm election, with oil, Venezuela, Russia/Ukraine, and affordability likely to matter more than conventional macro indicators.
Preview:Ed Yardeni argues that the market’s recent “fear” has given way to AI fatigue, which he thinks could actually be bullish because it encourages broader participation beyond the Magnificent 7. He remains constructive on the U.S. economy and 2026 growth, but sees the next few months as potentially choppy if fiscal stimulus, Treasury supply, and Fed easing push bond yields higher and unsettle equities. On gold, he stays bullish and now treats it as a geopolitical hedge with upside still tied to reserve diversification, central bank buying, and the broader 2020s growth/inflation mix.
Preview:Vince Lanci argues the silver surge is not a bubble but a physical-demand and supply-dislocation story tied to deglobalization, China’s import needs, and shifting Western resource strategy. He also treats the proposed “unit” as a real though messy trade-settlement concept, not a fully validated political project, and says the website/promoters may be dubious even if the underlying idea is serious.
Preview:Alasdair Macleod argues that the silver market is under physical strain, with industrial demand, Chinese export restrictions, and thin London/COMEX liquidity creating a squeeze that is exposing the weakness of the paper-dominated commodity system. He broadens that into a macro thesis: commodity strength, rising bond yields, and escalating debt dynamics are signs that the fiat-currency regime is nearing an inflection point, with 2026 likely to bring higher yields, more QE, equity stress, and possibly price controls.
Preview:Simon Hunt argues that 2026 is likely to bring more geopolitical escalation, weaker U.S. and European economies, higher bond yields later in the cycle, and continued structural outperformance for China in manufacturing and AI. He is bullish on gold and silver on geopolitical grounds, but expects a near-term correction in metals and warns that bond-market stress and the yen carry trade could destabilize global markets.
Preview:Doug Casey argues the surge in gold and silver is not a simple Fed trade but a sign of deeper monetary stress: bankrupt governments, eventual currency debasement, and a coming reset in which gold and silver regain monetary roles. He says gold is still worth owning even after the rally, and he is even more bullish on silver because of its smaller market and structural deficit. He also broadens the discussion into his ‘greater depression’ framework, warning of political instability, rising inflation, and possible fragmentation in the U.S., Europe, and Canada.
Preview:Kai and Lynette Zang argue that the recent surge in gold and silver is bigger than a simple Fed-cut or geopolitics story. Zang says the market is shifting from paper price discovery to physical demand, that central banks have been accumulating gold for years, and that rising precious-metal prices are signaling a broader currency and confidence crisis heading into 2026.
Preview:Gary Schilling argues the economy is slowing but not yet in recession, with the Fed cutting rates because it sees weak underlying growth rather than strength. He sees elevated debt, especially consumer debt and federal borrowing, as a major fragility, and thinks AI is the most obvious bubble forming now. He is agnostic on gold, but expects lower CPI, higher unemployment, lower Treasury yields, a slightly higher S&P 500, and a slightly higher dollar by mid-2026.
Preview:This is a geopolitical macro discussion centered on Europe’s frozen Russian assets, the Ukraine war, U.S.-China rivalry, and a possible U.S. move against Venezuela. Professor Jiang argues that Europe is trapped: if it confiscates the €210 billion in Russian assets, it would damage its legal credibility and could accelerate capital flight from the euro zone. He also frames the Ukraine war as already lost for Europe and says the likely outcome is battlefield resolution, with Odessa as the key strategic point. On Venezuela, he thinks Trump is using pressure there as part of a Monroe Doctrine-style push against Chinese and Russian influence, but he expects mostly managed escalation rather than a full war.
Preview:Kai Hoffman uses a year-end weekly wrap to argue that something is breaking beneath markets: US labor data are softening, inflation is less clear than the official CPI suggests, Japan’s rate hike may matter for the yen carry trade, and geopolitical trust issues are boosting gold. He remains constructive on precious metals into 2026, with silver catching up sharply, and he adds a mining-finance and Barrick-specific catalyst angle tied to a little-reported US Ex-Im financing for Pakistan.
Preview:An interview about the gold and silver rally, arguing it is still early rather than finished. The guest says the move is being driven by money printing, inflation risk, central-bank buying, low mine investment, and a broader resource squeeze linked to AI, electrification, and energy demand.
Preview:EJ Antoni argues the Fed is not responding to a genuine labor-market emergency so much as covering a liquidity problem created by its post-2020 reserve framework. His core claim is that the Fed has already stopped QT and effectively restarted QE by buying short-term Treasuries, which he says is money creation that is inflationary, supportive of hard assets, and harmful to private credit and growth.
Preview:This is an interview about the US auto market as a barometer for consumer health. The guest argues the market is split: affluent buyers are still fine, but lower- and middle-income consumers are being squeezed by high prices, high financing costs, and limited affordable inventory. He sees easing used-car prices, more negotiability in new cars, and heavier incentives from manufacturers and dealers, but also warns that delinquencies, repossessions, and loan-loss provisions are rising enough to keep credit risk on the radar.
Preview:Jesse Felder argues the macro backdrop is already stagflationary: inflation remains above target, labor is weakening, and the market is too optimistic about the benefits of Fed easing. His bigger call is that the AI capex boom looks bubble-like, with spending running far ahead of demand and eventual returns likely to disappoint, which could pressure high-flying AI-related stocks over the next 12–18 months. He is more constructive on commodities—especially oil and gas—than on precious metals miners at current relative valuations, and he sees gold’s strength, Bitcoin weakness versus gold, and a softer dollar as warning signs that risk appetite and foreign support for U.S. assets may be rolling over.
Preview:Kai and Henrik Zeberg argue that the Fed has turned more dovish because the U.S. economy is deteriorating beneath the surface, with weakness concentrated in lower-income consumers and labor-market indicators rather than the headline unemployment rate. Henrik says the Fed’s Treasury bill purchases are effectively liquidity support, which should keep the ongoing equity and crypto blowoff going for a while, while also setting up a later recessionary unwind. On precious metals, both hosts are excited by gold and especially silver’s parabolic move, but Henrik thinks silver is already stretched and that the current surge may be vulnerable if the dollar bottoms and turns higher in 2026.
Preview:A weekly wrap focused on three things: the Fed’s 25 bp cut and what the speaker sees as a subtle return of liquidity support; the explosive move in silver and gold; and skepticism about the viral claim that JPMorgan massively flipped from short to long silver. The host argues the market is responding to easier monetary conditions, but also warns that some of the silver chatter is over-interpreted and source quality is weak.
Preview:Peter St Onge argues the Fed cut is less about a genuinely weak economy and more about political pressure and a distorted reading of the labor market. He says the real macro backdrop is still strong GDP growth, AI and reshoring-driven capex, and persistent debasement, which makes gold, silver, and Bitcoin the key long-run hedges. He is constructive on equities and skeptical of bonds, while seeing unemployment and inflation drift modestly higher as AI and spending dynamics play out.
Preview:Gareth Soloway argues the metals breakout is real, especially in gold and silver, but the very near term could still see a pause or pullback after the recent surge. He is tactically cautious on broad equities, more constructive on gold long term, bullish near term on Oracle into earnings, and bearish on copper as a possible recession signal tied to slowing AI capex.
Preview:Dave Collum argues the market is in a broad, complacent bubble across equities, real estate, and other assets, and that the eventual unwind will hurt boomers most because their wealth is concentrated in paper assets. He is especially constructive on precious metals, calling platinum the most compelling bullish trade in the interview, while also expressing strong skepticism about AI stocks, passive flows, and the ability of the Fed or policymakers to prevent a long revaluation.
Preview:Kai Hoff uses the episode to review US macro data, market positioning, geopolitics, and a new wave of attention around a supposed BRICS gold-backed “unit” currency. His core stance is cautious: he thinks parts of the story may be early-stage or real, but the current public presentation feels messy enough that he cannot rule out a hoax or other hidden interests.
Preview:This interview centers on Michael Oliver’s view that the real breakout is not just in gold and silver prices, but in their relative performance versus the S&P 500 and in the miners. He argues the U.S. stock market is in a protracted topping process, the dollar has broken a major long-term momentum trend, and the ongoing decay of fiat money is setting up a much larger move into monetary metals, especially silver.
Preview:Adrian Day argues gold’s move remains fundamentally driven by central-bank buying, expanding non-official demand, and increasing investor fear of fiscal deterioration, with the market now pricing in a December Fed cut. He thinks the recent pullback was shallow, likely already seen the low, and sees the bigger near-term risk as the Fed disappointing or sounding hawkish. He is also very constructive on miners and royalties, especially in the context of Tether’s entry as a major new gold buyer.
Preview:A solo weekly market wrap-up covering gold's fourth consecutive monthly gain, the emergence of Tether as a massive new gold buyer (24 tons in Q3, more than any central bank), Fed rate-cut expectations driving the latest gold rally, geopolitical developments (Russia-Ukraine peace plan, Japan-China tensions), consumer credit stress signals, and mining sector updates including Barrick restructuring pressure and the Anglo-Tech merger saga.
Preview:Francis Hunt argues that the market is setting up for a broader collapse led by debt stress in the AI complex, with Nvidia, Oracle, Meta-linked financing structures, Palantir, and MicroStrategy as the most vulnerable crowded names. His preferred response is a four-step playbook: raise liquidity, own precious metals, short or buy puts on overextended assets into 2026-27, then rotate gains into miners—especially silver and platinum—after the washout.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews Markus Bussler about the gold/mining cycle. Bussler argues the bull market is still mid-cycle, central-bank buying started the move, and the “real boom” is still ahead for junior miners—but he also thinks a correction is already underway and that the next top could come in 2026 or 2027. He prefers conservative valuation assumptions, sees more upside in smaller miners than in large producers, and warns that crowded leverage, broad market stress, and speculative overheating could shake out weaker holders.
Preview:Rick Rule argues that gold’s pullback was normal after a very strong move and that the broader bull market is still in its early-to-middle innings. He frames any Fed rate-cut cycle as structurally bullish for gold and bearish for the dollar, while emphasizing that investors need patience, selectivity, and a willingness to hold through large drawdowns. He also discusses where he still sees opportunity in mining jurisdictions, financing terms, and the behavior of junior explorers versus more crowded development names.
Preview:Alex Krainer argues that commodity prices are the key variable for commodity businesses because they drive risk, hedging, and survival. He is constructive on gold and silver trends, but especially bearish on Western sovereign bonds, which he thinks are setting up for a major multi-year decline that could spill into currencies.
Preview:John Forwood argues the current gold/silver setup is driven mainly by falling Fed rates, dollar debasement, and broad liquidity, while silver and PGMs also benefit from industrial demand. He thinks junior resource stocks are still early in the cycle because large caps have rerated while micro caps remain cheap and underfunded.
Preview:David Finch, CEO of Ixio Asset Management, argues gold miners are still in early innings despite having doubled in 2025. Sentiment remains modest (GDX shares outstanding at 10-year lows), and valuations have actually declined this year — the sector trades at ~4.7x EV/EBITDA and ~9.5x P/E on spot gold. He emphasizes the industry's new discipline: free cash flow is being returned via buybacks/dividends rather than wasted on empire-building. He predicts the sector doubles again in the next 12 months even without gold moving higher, merely re-rating to mid-range historical multiples. The interview also covers M&A dynamics, reserve pricing, junior financing trends, and the behavioral hurdle of investors who think they've "missed it."
Preview:Keith Neumeyer, CEO of First Majestic Silver, discusses the company's record Q3 financials ($560M+ treasury, ~$98M free cash flow), the potential restart of the Jerritt Canyon gold mine at $4,000 gold, and his bullish silver thesis driven by physical demand rather than short-covering. He notes five years of structural silver deficits totaling nearly 1 billion ounces, argues $50 silver is insufficient to incentivize new supply, and suggests silver could reach $60–65 by year-end with triple-digit silver as his personal exit trigger.
Preview:Martin Armstrong argues gold is consolidating around $4,100 and will not crash because the world is entering a multi-front global conflict ("World War III") that will escalate after January 2026. He frames gold not as a speculative trade but as a neutral reserve asset amid a sovereign debt crisis, where central banks buy gold not because they are bullish but to hedge against the possible collapse of governments. His core thesis: confidence in government debt is eroding first in Europe and Japan, war is the escape valve for politicians, and gold has a structural bid that prevents a return to $2,000 unless genuine peace breaks out — which he sees as impossible.
Preview:Chris Powell argues that the gold market is being suppressed by central-bank-linked derivative trading, but that the suppression is weakening as physical demand from central banks and other holders overwhelms paper supply. He says the recent rise in gold reflects a long-running shift of gold from West to East and may already be part of a broader gold revaluation process.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre sits down with Kai Hoffmann at the New Orleans Investment Conference to discuss the Fed's November rate cut, stagflation risks, and the outlook for gold, silver, and copper. Tiggre argues the Fed is signaling stagflation without saying so, sees the $4,000 gold consolidation as healthy, and warns that a blowoff top would shorten the bull market. He advocates taking profits on mining stocks while continuing to accumulate physical bullion, and names copper as his highest-conviction trade on a spectacular demand/supply imbalance.
Preview:Rick Rule argues the dominant market story is not nominal prices but liquidity, debasement, and relative scarcity. He says the U.S. dollar could lose 75% of its purchasing power over 10 years, which would imply a roughly 3x gold price, while oil and many miners still look cheap versus their long-run cash-flow and NPV potential. He is constructive on gold, selective on mining M&A, and bullish on oil and gas because he thinks the market is underestimating depletion and underinvestment.
Preview:Professor Steve Hanke argues the US dollar's dominance is strengthening (not de-dollarizing), gold has a secular bull market targeting $6,000/oz, and Argentina should dollarize rather than receive US bailouts. He critiques Trump's tariffs as creating a "bureaucratic mess" with massive revenue leakage, warns the Fed may overdo monetary loosening and reignite inflation, and predicts the Supreme Court logically should strike down tariffs under the IEEPA — creating months of uncertainty, all bullish for gold.
Preview:Economist Mark Skousen, interviewed at the New Orleans Investment Conference, argues that beneath strong GDP headlines, the US economy is weakening — business spending (B2B) is contracting, the labor market is softening, and the risk of recession is real. He criticizes tariff policy for fueling stagflation, notes that inflation is permanent under the current fiat system, and sees gold as a victim of the discipline lost after Bretton Woods. While fully invested with stops in place, he flags high-PE tech as vulnerable, likes uranium and biotech, and expects financials to weather a downturn better. The conversation also touches on government shutdown data gaps, Argentine reform, and China-US chip geopolitics.
Preview:Jim Bianco argues the Fed's rate cut was a mistake — market-based short-term rates haven't budged because the real problem is a brewing liquidity squeeze in Treasury funding markets, driven by relentless government deficit spending and QT. He sees the early signs of debt finally mattering, warns that the "easy money" era for stocks may be temporarily over, and frames gold as an uncertainty/problem hedge benefiting from these structural stresses. The interview also covers the K-shaped economy, Fed groupthink, and the political desperation inflation creates.
Preview:Peter Schiff, interviewed at the New Orleans Investment Conference, argues that gold's recent pullback from ~$4,400 to $3,900 is a healthy correction within a powerful bull market — not a slump. He contrasts the nervous, skeptical mood at the gold conference with the euphoria he observed at a prior Bitcoin conference, framing Bitcoin as a leveraged Ponzi scheme heading for a catastrophic collapse driven by ETF liquidations and margin calls on Bitcoin-collateralized loans. He expects the coming crypto crash to be larger than the dot-com bust, warns of systemic risk, and hopes burned Bitcoiners will migrate toward gold — including his new tokenized gold product (T-Gold). He is bullish on gold miners, citing widening profit margins and an M&A wave, and bullish on foreign stocks vs. US stocks.
Preview:Mike Maloney, founder of GoldSilver.com, delivers a strongly bearish macro outlook arguing the US is heading into a historic financial crisis because stocks, bonds, and real estate are simultaneously in bubbles of unprecedented magnitude. He sees gold and silver as the primary beneficiaries, with physical demand from Asia and central banks signaling the early stages of the final, most explosive phase of the bull market. He projects gold at $9,000-$10,000+ and expects the gold/silver ratio to compress from ~85 down to 20 or less, implying massive silver outperformance.
Preview:Robert Kiyosaki, interviewed by Kai Hoff at the New Orleans Investment Conference, delivers his standard hard-money thesis: the US dollar is doomed, the Fed is Marxist, and savers in fiat are "losers." He argues gold and silver are real money, predicts the end of the American Empire via hyperinflation, and adds a bullish Ethereum thesis — that stablecoins will use Ethereum as the blockchain layer and back themselves with gold, silver, and oil, driving demand for tangible assets. He discloses $1.2 billion in personal debt used to acquire income-producing assets. The conversation is light on data, heavy on conviction, and serves as a promotional appearance for his worldview.
Preview:Danielle DiMartino Booth sits down with Kai Hoffman at the New Orleans Investment Conference to discuss the economic damage from the US government shutdown, the Fed's diminishing credibility and internal political dynamics, the end of quantitative tightening on Treasuries by December 1, the frozen US housing market, and emerging cracks in the $1.7 trillion auto loan market — where delinquencies are rising fastest among prime and super-prime borrowers.
Preview:Lawrence Lepard, author of "The Big Print," sits down with Kai Hoffman at the New Orleans Investment Conference. He argues the US government cannot stop printing money, making both gold and Bitcoin essential insurance. He sees Bitcoin as the only legitimate cryptocurrency — all others are "shitcoins." Near-term, he notes stress in repo markets and Fed signals pointing to QE resumption by year-end. He expects political pressure to force easier policy under a Trump-appointed Fed chair, driving gold, silver, and Bitcoin much higher. He's been rotating some gold-stock profits into Bitcoin at ~$106K, believing Bitcoin is cheap relative to gold at this moment. He floats the possibility of a gold-backed bond in 2026 and sees the "monetary debasement trade" going mainstream.
Preview:Mark Newton argues the U.S. market remains in a late-stage but still healthy momentum-led melt-up, with tech carrying the indices while breadth is weak and several sectors lag. He sees a likely near-term consolidation into mid-November, but still expects the S&P to finish the year higher; his longer-run view is that AI remains a durable secular boom, even if some parts of tech and metals need a pause.
Preview:Kai Hoffen's weekly wrap covers the Fed's 25bp cut and end of QT, Trump's Asia trip with tariff deals, and gold reclaiming $4,000. He views the end of quantitative tightening as a pivotal liquidity regime shift — not QE yet but a step in that direction — and sees the China tariff truce as fragile. The World Gold Council's Q3 demand report shows record 1,313 tonnes, with central bank buying up 10% and recycling surprisingly muted. Agnico Eagle's strong margins are highlighted despite rising royalty costs from higher gold prices.
Preview:Daniel Lacalle argues the gold selloff was a liquidity-driven correction after a huge run, not a breakdown in the bull case, and he stays constructive on gold, U.S. equities, and the dollar’s role as the least-bad reserve currency. He expects further Fed cuts, continued strong nominal asset prices, and a year-end equity melt-up unless inflation re-accelerates.
Preview:Cole Smead argues the S&P 500 is set up for poor long-run returns, while the economy can still stay surprisingly strong thanks to deficit spending, easier rates, and cheaper energy. His preferred opportunities are in underinvested commodity businesses, especially oil and gas in Canada, where he sees capital-cycle upside and merger-driven value creation. He is skeptical of gold miners, thinks valuations in large-cap tech are distorted by capex accounting, and believes the market is underestimating inflationary policy tradeoffs.
Preview:Kai Hoffman, host of "Soore Financially" on YouTube, joins Sprott Money to discuss Europe's economic and political decline, focusing on Germany's self-inflicted wounds: deindustrialization driven by green energy policies, the destruction of nuclear power, and regulatory overreach that stifles innovation. The conversation also covers digital ID/CBDC rollout concerns, the West's broader self-destruction, and how precious metals serve as protection. Hoffman expresses envy of US nuclear and AI policy direction under Trump, while host Andrew grounds the discussion in gold/silver as the ultimate hedge against monetary and political degradation.
Preview:Mark Thornton, Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute, explains Austrian economics and applies it to the current macro environment. He argues that runaway government spending, debt ($38T+), and money printing are structurally weakening the economy and will continue to drive gold and silver higher long-term despite the pullback below $4,000. He criticizes the Fed, calls Trump's industrial policy crony capitalism, and sees China's BRICS currency push as a secular trend eroding dollar dominance. The metals correction is framed as normal profit-taking in an overextended market within an intact bull trend.
Preview:Kai Hoffen argues the sharp gold and silver sell-off was purely a mean-reverting correction after an overbought rally — not a fundamental breakdown. The dollar, geopolitics, and Fed policy haven't changed; profit-taking and hot-money exits explain the move. He expects stabilization near $4,000–$4,038, notes both October and December Fed cuts remain priced in, flags declining production at Newmont as a concern for major miners, and remains structurally bullish on precious metals.
Preview:John Rubino lays out a bull case for gold and silver driven by a structural fiat-currency death spiral, central bank gold buying, and tight physical silver conditions including backwardation and lease-rate stress. He sees silver potentially reaching $100/oz and expects Q3 miner earnings to be spectacular, attracting generalist inflows — but acknowledges the tension between holding for the reset and taking profits at the old $50 silver ceiling.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann delivers a weekly gold/macro wrap-up from Melbourne, arguing gold above $4,300 is being driven by a major institutional mindset shift. He cites Jamie Dimon's $5,000–$10,000 gold call, Goldman Sachs's estimate that a 1% rotation from US Treasuries into gold could push gold to $5,000, Morgan Stanley's new 60/20/20 portfolio allocation including 20% gold, and Ray Dalio's earlier warning about fiat devaluation. He flags copper volatility from tariff news, notes QT may be ending, highlights a booming junior mining financing market ($5.2B CAD raised in 2025), and cautions that while momentum is strong, floating "turds" will multiply—investors should stick to principles.
Preview:The video is an interview about gold and silver as a monetary breakdown trade. Egon von Greyerz argues that fiat currencies are entering a sudden terminal phase, gold is accelerating because money itself is being debased, and investors should prioritize physical gold and silver over paper assets. He says the current move is not a speculative trade but a wealth-preservation response to debt, inflation, rising rates, and eventual currency failure.
Preview:Kai hosts Doomberg for a wide-ranging discussion centered on the Middle East ceasefire, oil, gold, Europe’s energy decline, and the China–US trade confrontation. Doomberg’s core view is that Israel needed the ceasefire, Iran effectively “won” the 12-day war in strategic terms, Europe is sliding into irrelevance because it lacks energy and heavy industry, and China now has major leverage through rare earths and supply chains.
Preview:Michael Howell argues that the world is in a broad monetary-inflation regime where liquidity is rising strongly, driving an “everything bubble” in financial assets and increasingly in real assets like gold, silver, commodities, and potentially property. He says the trend has been in place since 2022, but the cycle may be nearing an inflection over the next 6–12 months as debt refinancing needs rise and liquidity growth rolls over.
Preview:Jay Martin argues the current gold and silver rally is not just another momentum trade, but a signal that the global monetary and geopolitical system is being repriced. He links the move to de-dollarization, geopolitical realignment, state intervention in strategic industries, and central-bank demand for gold, while repeatedly urging investors to take profits and de-risk into stronger balance sheets rather than chase speculative juniors.
Preview:Andrew Sleigh (Sprat Money) joins the Soar Financially host to discuss gold above $4,000 and silver breaking $50/oz for the first time since the Hunt brothers era. Sleigh argues that institutional and sovereign demand, waning short-side firepower, and accelerating currency debasement are driving a structural bull run that is just beginning. He reports physical supply tightness across mints (RCM, Rand, Perth) and sees the dollar's purchasing power collapsing. Both he and the host temper near-term euphoria with caution born from years of false starts in the precious metals space.
Preview:Gold analyst Gary Wagner discusses gold's unprecedented rally above $4,000, framing it primarily as a fiat currency devaluation story rather than an isolated gold move. He sets near-term targets of $4,150-$4,300 using Fibonacci, admits his original $3,800 target is obsolete, and emphasizes that gold in record territory renders traditional technical tools useless. Wagner advocates physical gold as a multi-generational hold rather than a trading vehicle, while acknowledging the parabolic nature of the move makes downside risk hard to quantify. The host anchors the discussion around whether we are in an "everything bubble" given simultaneous all-time highs in gold, S&P 500, and silver, though no firm conclusion is reached.
Preview:Michael Gentile, a prominent gold equity investor with a private-equity approach, sits down with Kai Hoffman in Frankfurt. Gentile argues gold is in the "third inning" of a multi-year bull market driven by central bank de-dollarization following the Russian reserve freeze, structural fiscal deficits, and still-miniscule global investor allocation (~1.5%). He sees the recent pullback as healthy, warns against lowering quality standards in a rising tide, and expects Q3/Q4 producer earnings to draw new institutional interest as consensus gold price assumptions lag spot by ~$1,000+.
Preview:Ted Oakley argues the current market feels like a late-stage melt-up similar to 1999: bad news is being ignored, speculative money is chasing anything with AI or growth optics, and a correction may come once the crowding breaks. He is more worried about inflation re-accelerating than weak employment prints, thinks the Fed is likely to ease too soon and politicize policy, and prefers short-duration Treasuries and gold/miners over long bonds.
Preview:David Lin (host of The David Lin Report) joins Kai Hoffmann on Soar Financially to discuss gold hitting $4,000, silver nearing $50, and a macro environment where markets appear detached from economic reality. Lin argues we are in an "everything rally" driven by M2 growth, Fed rate cuts, and AI-driven capex — not QE. He flags a divergence between weak underlying economic data and surging asset prices, reminiscent of 2020 but without the same explicit liquidity backstop. On gold/silver, he believes the public hasn't yet digested the move, suggesting more FOMO buying ahead. He expects capital rotation into 2026 as institutional investors rebalance overweight positions.
Preview:Matthew Piepenburg, partner at Von Greyerz Gold, argues the US is in an irreversible debt trap that is driving political polarization, dollar decline, and a secular gold bull market. He contends the Fed cannot raise rates given $37T in debt, that de-dollarization is accelerating faster than expected, and that central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries for the first time since 1996. The conversation covers the government shutdown, Fed policy, the DXY outlook, and the debate between dollar bulls (Brent Johnson, Henrik Zeberg) and dollar bears. Piepenburg acknowledges the strong-dollar thesis but argues 2022's weaponization of the dollar was a turning point comparable to 1971, making a final dollar spike unlikely.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann (Soar Financially / @JRMiningGuy) hosts a weekly wrap-up covering gold at ~$3,850 near all-time highs, silver catching up with the gold-silver ratio dropping to 80.5, central bank buying resuming (Poland raising its gold reserve target to 30%), and a massive high-grade discovery at Prospector Metals. He flags the US government shutdown, weak ADP jobs data (-32K vs +50K expected), and Gaza peace plan as macro drivers. He highlights sudden C-suite departures at both Barrick and Newmont within 5 hours, interprets the dips-bought pattern in gold as extremely bullish, and argues analysts are "flat-out wrong" with $2,500 gold consensus targets — Q3 producer margins are set to explode with average realized prices $250–300/oz higher than Q2.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann argues there is still no bear case for gold: central-bank buying, debt, geopolitics, a weaker dollar, and momentum are all reinforcing the move. He sees the gold-mining complex in a later but still ongoing rotation, with big producers and royalty names leading, mid-tiers next, and juniors still behind; his preferred next-12-month setup is gold mid-tier/developer names, especially where financing and M&A can create catalysts.
Preview:Interview with Andy Schectman argues that gold and silver are in a structural repricing phase driven by central-bank buying, rising institutional allocation targets, heavy Comex deliveries/imports, and mounting distrust in fiat assets. The host and guest frame the current macro backdrop—weak jobs data, government shutdown, likely Fed cuts, and fiscal strain—as supportive for precious metals and bearish for holding dollars or long-duration Treasuries.
Preview:Peter Schiff argues that gold’s breakout reflects monetary deterioration, not a temporary trade, and that Wall Street is only belatedly catching up. He says GDP and Fed forecasts are unreliable, the economy is weaker than official data suggest, rate cuts and likely QE will stoke inflation, and the dollar’s reserve status is eroding as central banks and institutions rotate toward gold and away from bonds, Bitcoin, and eventually U.S. assets.
Preview:Geopolitical analyst and former hedge fund manager Alex Krainer argues that Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan is a delaying tactic to avoid war with Iran. He sees Trump as partially (60/40) breaking from the post-WWII globalist order, evidenced by renewed US-Russia cooperation and a rhetorical break at the UN. Krainer frames the broader conflict as a war between Western financial oligarchy and the rest of the world, warns of potential false-flag operations to escalate the Russia-Ukraine war, and views NATO "Russian provocation" stories as propaganda.
Preview:Mike McGlone argues that gold’s rally is being driven less by inflation and more by geopolitics, Trump-era policy noise, central bank buying, and a growing fear that U.S. equity and macro conditions are overextended. He sees gold as a warning signal for a possible Q4 volatility pickup, while silver and copper are both supported but are lagging because they are more tied to industrial demand and global deflation risks than gold.
Preview:Kai and guest David Erfle argue that gold’s breakout is still in its early-to-middle innings, even though the sector is extremely overbought and due a pullback. Erfle’s core view is that a new valuation regime is underway: gold has broken out above long-term technical patterns, central banks are supportive, real-world inflation and debt dynamics are undermining faith in fiat policy, and mining equities are still lagging enough to justify further upside despite recent huge gains.
Preview:Gerald Celente, publisher of the Trends Journal, delivers a fiery macro-political rant. His core thesis: the US is a "crime syndicate" run by warmongering elites, stagflation is actually "dragflation" (contracting economy + rising inflation), and this geopolitical chaos — not Wall Street metrics — is driving gold toward its fastest run since 1979. He calls Trump a "daddy's boy" narcissist who did a 180 on Ukraine, dismisses Palestine recognition as "empty words," and argues that when economies fail, "they take you to war." His one clear market call: lower rates → weaker dollar → higher gold.
Preview:Colonel Douglas Macgregor delivers a sweeping geopolitical interview covering the UN General Assembly, the Israel-Palestine conflict, NATO's decline, the Russia-Ukraine war, China's strategic rise, and de-dollarization. He argues the UN is paralyzed by US hypocrisy, Israel and Palestine cannot coexist, NATO is disintegrating, and the West is losing its global dominance. He highlights the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact and Chinese gold vault initiatives as signals of a shifting world order, and urges viewers to watch European bond markets and de-dollarization trends closely.
Preview:A bullish metals-and-macro interview: Clem Chambers argues gold and silver are rising because the dollar is too strong, the U.S. is trying to reindustrialize, and global conflict plus central-bank behavior are driving demand for hard assets. He is especially constructive on gold, silver, and copper, and frames AI/automation as the deeper structural force that will reshape labor, manufacturing, and commodity demand.
Preview:Gregory Mannarino argues the Fed’s 25 bp cut is effectively QE in disguise: it weakens the currency, suppresses rates, and transfers wealth toward the top of the system while leaving the real economy weaker. He expects the market to keep rising for now, but says the deeper setup is a debt-market break, a rising-yield shock, and eventually a sharp unwind in stocks, the dollar, and the bond market, with gold and silver as the main beneficiaries.
Preview:The speaker argues the Fed's 25bp cut combined with Powell's hawkish press conference (continuing QT despite easing) is the best outcome for gold investors — it prevents overheating and allows healthy consolidation. He walks through gold/silver charts suggesting a sideways consolidation pattern similar to April–August, reviews the GDX/GDXJ rebalancing, and highlights Barrick Gold's Four Mile project as a major catalyst. Core thesis: sustainability over euphoria.
Preview:Keith McCullough argues the Fed meeting matters less than the underlying trend: a slowing U.S. labor backdrop, reaccelerating inflation, a weaker dollar, and strong bond-market signals have already set up a bullish path for gold and stocks. He frames the current environment as “quad 3” stagflation, says the market is front-running the Fed, and expects any near-term volatility to be more about hedging/unwinding than a true regime break.
Preview:This was a live reaction to the Fed’s 25 bp cut and Powell’s press conference, framed as unusually contradictory: the statement and dot plot were seen as more hawkish than markets expected, while the labor-market weakness still justified easing. The speakers argued that Powell is trying to balance a weakening jobs backdrop against tariff-driven inflation that may not be merely one-off, which leaves the Fed boxed in and keeps gold, real assets, and selected commodities supported over time.
Preview:Louis Gave argues the macro landscape is being reshaped by a potential AI bubble unwind, the growing China-India-Russia economic integration, and a structurally weak US dollar. He's skeptical AI capex will generate returns, sees China shifting from deflationary bust to a "deflationary boom," and views gold/miners as in a durable bull market regardless of Fed moves. The Fed meeting is a sideshow; Nvidia results matter more for the dollar and AI thesis.
Preview:Martin Pelletier, senior portfolio manager at Travest and Wellington Altas Private Council, joins Soar Financially to discuss the Fed decision, labor markets, inflation, housing, and energy. He sees a liquidity-driven melt-up in risk assets but warns longer-term about fiscal irresponsibility, political polarization from wealth inequality, and a day of reckoning signaled by gold. He expects a 25bp cut with hawkish messaging that disappoints both sides, favors active stock-picking over passive, sees oil as rangebound dead money, and recommends global infrastructure and select individual names.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann’s weekly wrap-up says the macro setup has shifted bullish for gold/miners: weaker jobs revisions, softer producer inflation, expectations for Fed cuts, and rising geopolitical risk are all being read as supportive for gold, silver, and mining equities. He argues the Beaver Creek sentiment was euphoric, that the sector must now adjust to a much higher gold-price floor, and that deal valuations, financing terms, and investor expectations need to reset accordingly.
Preview:Harry Dent predicts a massive market crash starting between late 2025 and Christmas 2025, driven by unprecedented debt accumulation, demographic shifts, and 16+ years of government stimulus that merely postponed an inevitable downturn. He expects stocks to fall 85-93%, with the first crash wave delivering 40-50% losses in 2-4 months. Dent argues recessions are healthy economic cleansing mechanisms and that the current bubble — the largest in history — must burst violently to clear zombie companies and unproductive debt.
Preview:David Hunter argues this is still a late-cycle meltup, not the final top yet: he thinks stocks, gold, and bonds can all keep rising for a while as the Fed starts easing into a weakening economy. His near-term call is for one or more cuts next week, lower yields, and continued upside in gold and silver, but he also warns that the bigger bust likely comes next year and could be worse than 2008.
Preview:Chris Vermeulen argues gold’s breakout is likely part of a larger trend that could extend toward $4,100–$4,500, with silver and miners still catching up. He thinks the market is front-running a Fed cut and that the bigger risk is not chasing tops in an otherwise strong uptrend.
Preview:Peter Tchir, head of macro strategy at Academy Securities, argues the US economy is weaker than official data suggests. He expects 500K-800K downward revisions to employment data driven by a flawed birth-death model that misreads gig-economy EIN applications. Tchir believes the Fed is behind the curve and should cut 50-75 bps, but warns rate cuts alone won't sustain equity markets. He sees AI spending slowing, consumer stress mounting, and geopolitical risks from eroding US soft power and China's stranglehold on critical mineral processing. He favors long-dated bonds/MUNI closed-end funds over equities, remains underweight US vs EM, and is cautious on small caps due to tariff headwinds.
Preview:Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar argues that gold’s breakout toward $3,600 is being driven by currency debasement, tariff uncertainty, and growing stagflation risk. He thinks the move can extend toward $4,000 within a few months, especially if Fed politicization keeps pushing short rates lower while long yields rise.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann does an impromptu live stream reacting to the massive NFP miss (22K vs 75K expected). He sees the data cementing a September rate cut, opens the door to a jumbo 50bp cut, and argues gold has been pricing this in since Jackson Hole. He flags rising gold ETF inflows, retail selling into strength as a potential consumer-stress signal, and several mining M&A deals as evidence of a junior mining bull market. He also previews the upcoming Beaver Creek conference and notes Newmont's third-place S&P 500 ranking.
Preview:David Morgan argues that gold and silver are breaking out because buying pressure is overwhelming selling, with silver’s smaller market amplifying the move. He sees the current move as an early-to-middle stage of a larger precious-metals bull leg, with miners and platinum beginning to confirm the shift.
Preview:Tom Hayes argues the recent gold/silver breakout is less a durable macro signal than a market reaction to Powell’s softer tone and weakening labor data. His bigger call is that the real opportunity is in the “unmagnificent 493,” small caps, and especially Intel, which he sees as a government-backed national-security turnaround with far more upside than already-expensive mega-cap AI winners.
Preview:Mario Innecco argues the gold and silver breakout is more than a technical move: it reflects a broader loss of confidence in the dollar-based reserve system, rising central-bank gold demand, and growing geopolitical fragmentation. He is bullish gold, silver, and miners, and skeptical of stablecoins as a meaningful fix for U.S. funding or monetary credibility.
Preview:Professor Jiang argues the Tianjin/SCO summit signals a broader shift away from a U.S.-led unipolar order toward a more multipolar, institution-building model centered on China. He says China is trying to offer trade, infrastructure, and alternative financial rails—like development banks and SWIFT substitutes—while the U.S. relies more on military power, sanctions, and an ideology-driven “good vs bad” framework.
Preview:Kai Hoffen interviews Professor Steve Keen about Ray Dalio’s warning of an “economic heart attack” in three years. Keen argues Dalio is wrong on the mechanism: the real issue is not government borrowing crowding out funds, but the fact that banks create money through lending and governments create money through deficit spending. He says the mainstream and Dalio both misunderstand the monetary system, while Trump’s tariffs and pressure on the Fed are chaotic but partly aimed at the right symptoms.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann hosts the SF Weekly wrap-up, covering gold's push above $3,400, Fed rate-cut expectations (with Waller opening the door to a "jumbo cut"), GDP revision to 3.3%, Nvidia earnings as a geopolitical indicator, mining-sector financing health, and a concerning Burkina Faso government move to acquire an additional 35% of West African Resources' Kiaka mine — prompting Hoffmann to exit his Orzone position.
Preview:Rick Rule declares we are in a bona fide gold bull market with legs, driven by the long-term erosion of US dollar purchasing power. He warns that 85% of mining stocks remain worthless and bull markets are dangerous because they reward narrative over fundamentals. He sees the strongest near-term risks as an overcrowded anti-dollar trade and a potential global recession, but remains structurally bullish on gold for the next decade.
Preview:Jim Bianco argues that the Fed is about to repeat its 2024 mistake: cutting rates into an economy that doesn't need stimulus, which will push long-term yields higher and reignite inflation. The labor market weakness is driven by collapsing immigration (labor supply), not falling demand — and Powell knows it but won't say so. The bond market is already rejecting the policy via higher long-end yields. Bianco calls this the "4-5-6 market": cash ~4%, bonds ~5%, stocks ~6% expected returns — a world where diversification actually matters again. He also discusses Trump's firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook and the broader political pressure on the Fed.
Preview:Tom McClellan argues the market is being driven more by Fed liquidity, positioning, and seasonality than by fundamentals, and that the Jackson Hole rally may be a fakeout rather than a durable breakout. He is bearish on stocks into early October, neutral on gold near term, and thinks longer-term yields likely rise later as gold’s earlier move works through with a lag.
Preview:Michael Gentile argues the gold/mining bull market is still early, with improving miner margins, stronger cash flows, and more capital discipline finally showing up in Q2 results. He thinks the next leg needs tech/AI leadership to cool, capital to rotate, and M&A to accelerate as majors use rising cash and scarce quality projects to replenish depleted pipelines.
Preview:Richard Haass (Council on Foreign Relations) argues the US faces a dangerous mix: unsustainable debt (~$37T, ~125-130% GDP), eroding dollar dominance, and misguided across-the-board tariff policy. He sees no political will to fix the debt, warns of a slow-motion fiscal crisis, and views tariffs as inflationary and geopolitically counterproductive. On US-China, he expects a trade deal eventually but sees no imminent military conflict. Markets are priced for upside that may disappoint, with the Fed cautious on rate cuts due to tariff-driven inflation lag.
Preview:Michael Every (Rabobank global strategist) joins host Kai on Soar Financially for a dense, wide-ranging discussion on the "meta" geopolitical chess game reshaping global markets. Every argues the old macro playbook is dead: the US is simultaneously reordering trade (tariffs), security (reverse Marshall Plan demanding allies pay up), and the monetary system (stablecoins as a dollarization back door) — all while trying to pivot to Asia to confront China. On Ukraine, he sees a frozen conflict as the best-case scenario, with darker possibilities including Chinese involvement. On stablecoins, he frames them not as desperation but as a revolutionary tool to dollarize emerging economies at the consumer level. His bottom line for investors: extreme caution — he cannot recall a more uncertain period, and advises hedging across multiple binary scenarios. No specific asset recommendations beyond safe-haven positioning.
Preview:Kai Hoffmann launches a weekly market wrap-up focused on gold, silver, mining equities, and macro catalysts. He argues Fed rate-cut expectations are overpriced (CME odds dropped from ~85% to 71%), discusses FOMC division, and flags geopolitical developments (Russia suggesting China as Ukraine security guarantor). He highlights Newmont Mining as the second-best S&P 500 performer YTD (+82%), notes Barrick's rebrand and breakout, and pitches Osino Resources (now Osino Development) as a build-phase rerating story. Gold is rangebound $3,280–$3,400 needing a catalyst; silver consolidating near $38 with $40 as key breakout. Overall tone: bullish precious metals structurally but tactically waiting for an impulse.
Preview:Interview with John Forwood, CIO of Lowell Resource Investment Funds, discussing the dramatic turnaround in mining equities — notably Newmont becoming the S&P 500's second-best performer YTD. Forwood explains gold sensitivity to US interest rate expectations, the role of central bank buying, weaponization of commodities by governments, and his fund's contrarian 30% allocation to grassroots explorers. Host Kai moderates a wide-ranging conversation covering gold price assumptions, lithium's uncertain recovery, M&A dynamics, and the catalyst potential of a more dovish Fed chair.
Preview:Katie Stockton argues the U.S. equity uptrend is still intact, but momentum has weakened enough that traders should be more cautious into late summer and early fall. She sees a possible pullback or consolidation, especially if the 20-day moving average rolls over, yet does not think the major indices have broken down. She is constructive on gold, silver, and oil over longer horizons, neutral on gold in the current trading range, and sees platinum as a better longer-term setup but not an immediate entry.
Preview:Steven Bavaria, author of *The Income Factory*, explains his credit-focused income investing strategy as an alternative to equity indexing. He argues investors can achieve equity-like 8-10% returns with less volatility by investing in senior loans, high-yield bonds, and credit-focused closed-end funds, where returns come from predictable yield rather than capital gains. He frames credit risk as mathematically manageable — even in severe recessions, losses are contained within the interest component. The conversation also touches on current macro uncertainty (tariffs, rate cuts, inflation risks) and why credit is his preferred positioning in this environment.
Preview:Will Rhind argues gold has become the de facto alternative to the U.S. dollar, supported by central-bank buying, investor flows, and a world of rising debt and weak confidence in fiat currencies. He sees the macro backdrop as generally supportive for risk assets too—low inflation pressure, expected rate cuts, and still-strong earnings led by AI-heavy large caps—but thinks gold and silver are the cleaner expressions of the current regime shift.
Preview:Trader Ferg argues that the best opportunities are in neglected commodities and related miners, especially platinum, rhodium, uranium, coal, tin, tungsten, oil services, and some junior gold names. His core framework is contrarian, patient, and focused on inflections in hated assets where supply is constrained and consensus forecasts are too bearish.
Preview:An academic gold bull case anchored in central-bank buying, geopolitics, and dollar diversification. Dirk Baur argues gold’s move to around $3,400–$3,500 is mostly explained by a shift in demand—especially central banks—not by jewelry or industrial use, and he treats the current price as broadly efficient rather than obviously over- or under-valued.
Preview:Dr. Marc Faber argues that official inflation statistics grossly understate real cost-of-living increases (6-12%), that tariffs are a consumer tax, and that all classic bubble symptoms are present — record margin debt, extreme complacency, and speculative excess. He suggests the Fed should tighten, not cut, but acknowledges liquidity from money printing can sustain the bubble longer than expected. His preferred wealth-preservation assets are gold, silver, and especially platinum, which he calls unusually cheap relative to gold. He floats the possibility that money could rotate out of overvalued US assets into Europe, Latin America, and Asia.
Preview:Michael Pento argues that the US is sitting on multiple interlocking bubbles — equities, credit, and real estate — inflated by years of negative real rates and now made more fragile by tariffs, huge deficits, and potential rate cuts into persistent inflation. He is bullish on gold and hard assets, skeptical of cryptocurrencies in retirement accounts, and thinks the biggest near-term risk is that a weaker economy collides with policy easing and a bond-market revolt.
Preview:Alasdair Macleod presents a deeply bearish macro thesis: the US is in a private-sector recession masked by deficit spending, credit bubbles replicate 1929 conditions, and Trump's tariffs are a modern Smoot-Hawley. He argues the 54-year fiat currency system is in its "death throes" and gold is the only safe haven. Technically, he flags a pennant formation suggesting a breakout above $3,440 could propel gold to ~$4,400–$4,500 by year-end. He expects bond yields to spike in autumn as stagflation is priced in, the dollar to continue declining, and China/Russia to eventually back the yuan with gold as the next reserve currency.
Preview:Mel Mattison argues the market is at a tactical inflection point after a big run in equities, but the bigger picture remains bullish for stocks, gold, and other hard assets because of fiscal dominance, AI-driven margin expansion, and a structurally weaker dollar. He is highly dismissive of the Fed’s relevance and sees the Treasury and political forces increasingly setting the monetary backdrop.
Preview:Warwick Powell, adjunct professor at Queensland University, argues that the US-China tariff standoff reflects American "displacement anxiety" amid declining US primacy, and that China holds the stronger hand due to its manufacturing dominance and ability to expand domestic liquidity. He predicts the August 12 tariff deadline will result in an extension, not a deal, since China is unhurried. The conversation also covers the emerging China-Japan-South Korea trilateral trade agreement, diminishing US military power projection in Asia, and Australia's need to prepare for a post-American regional order.
Preview:Clem Chambers argues the market is being driven by geopolitics, tariffs, and reserve-currency dynamics more than by traditional fundamentals. He thinks gold is in an equilibrium range around 3,500 for now, but could jump to 5,000 if global tension escalates; Bitcoin is a flight asset and platinum/palladium are his favorite year-end opportunities because supply is tiny versus potential demand.
Preview:Edward Fishman argues that the world is already deep into an era of economic warfare, not World War II, where sanctions, tariffs, export controls, payment rails, and supply-chain choke points are the main tools of great-power conflict. He says the United States built this playbook after the failures of Iraq and Afghanistan, and that Iran, Russia, China, and the dollar system are the key case studies.
Preview:James Lavish joins Soar Financially to explain stablecoins and their strategic importance to the US government. He argues the US is in an inescapable debt spiral with mandatory spending and $1T+ in annual interest costs. Stablecoins — particularly Tether (USDT) and USDC — are becoming major buyers of US treasuries (Tether is now a top-10 global holder), creating new demand for US debt issuance. Lavish frames the pending stablecoin legislation as Washington's way to create more regulated buyers of treasuries. He is critical of the Fed, advocates for its abolition, and warns CBDCs are "evil." The conversation covers the mechanics of stablecoins, why they matter for Treasury demand, the Fed's loss of control over the long end of the yield curve, and Tether's recent gold mining royalty acquisition.
Preview:Jim Rogers says he remains broadly defensive: still holding gold, silver, U.S. dollars, and China-related exposures, while seeing little real opportunity elsewhere. His core message is that tariffs, debt accumulation, and rising inflation are not being taken seriously enough, and he thinks the market’s calm may be masking growing excess.
Preview:Gary Wagner discusses gold's compressed range between ~$3,280 support and ~$3,430 resistance, interpreting it as a consolidation triangle within a strong uptrend. He sees one more small rally, a final minor correction, then a thrust breakout. His long-term target of $3,600 by Q1 2026 remains intact. Neither the hotter CPI, tariff announcements, nor dollar strength have stirred gold, which he attributes to summer doldrums and institutional trader absence. Silver gets a brief look with no strong conviction.
Preview:Axel Merk, founder of Merk Investments, discusses with host Kai Hoffmann the June CPI print (2.7% YoY headline, hotter than expected), arguing the Fed is paralyzed—caught between sticky inflation partly driven by tariffs and an economy that hasn't broken. He sees tariffs as a 10% baseline reality that inhibits financial flows and keeps long-term rates elevated. On Fed succession, Merk views Kevin Warsh as the candidate most likely to reform Fed decision-making while still being independent. He also comments on the DoD/Apple investments in MP Materials as a "light touch" form of industrial policy for strategic minerals.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews Tavi Costa about why he expects the U.S. to lean toward lower rates and a weaker dollar because the current debt, fiscal, and current-account burdens look unsustainable. Costa argues this macro setup favors non-U.S. assets, commodities, and parts of the mining complex, and he sees the Department of Defense’s MP Materials deal as a sign the U.S. is becoming more directly involved in strategic resource supply chains.
Preview:Jeff Snider argues that the Eurodollar system—not the Fed—remains the real plumbing of global money, and that the post-2008 world has been stuck in a prolonged, low-growth “silent depression.” He uses the payroll/ADP mismatch, weak real spending, and swap-market pricing as evidence that the economy is slowing even if headline data and stocks look resilient.
Preview:Melody Wright argues the U.S. housing market is weakening because affordability is broken, not because rates are simply too high. She says prices are still sticky, but inventory, distress, credit tightening, and seasonal weakness are setting up a slower but potentially sharper second-half 2025 decline.
Preview:Ed Dowd argues the U.S. economy is rolling into a recessionary/deflationary slowdown, with housing weakness, slowing money growth, and rising unemployment eventually forcing the Fed into aggressive cuts. He thinks the market is still too focused on summer price action and not yet discounting the harder data that should show up in the fall.
Preview:Arthur Laffer argues the "Big Beautiful Bill" is essential not for growth but to prevent a severe economic downturn by averting automatic tax increases on January 1, 2026. He frames Trump as a genuine free trader using tariff threats as leverage to negotiate freer trade deals, not as a protectionist. Laffer outlines five pillars of prosperity — low-rate broad-based flat tax, spending restraint, sound money, minimal regulations, and free trade — and expresses strong confidence in Trump's economic instincts, while acknowledging the bill has problems. The conversation is more political-economic manifesto than market analysis.
Preview:Julian Brigden (MI2 Partners) argues the US dollar has entered a new multi-year down cycle — only ~10% into what historically averages 40-50% declines. He frames it as a macro/flow story (the world was max-long dollars and US assets) with the Trump administration's weak-dollar policy as a supporting actor. The interview covers implications for bonds, inflation, equity sector rotation, and the Big Beautiful Bill, with Brigden delivering a structural bear case on long-dated Treasuries (term premium rising, eventual 8-10% 10Y yields) and a bullish view on gold, mining/metals, and international diversification.
Preview:Thomas Mayer, former Deutsche Bank chief economist and founding director of the Flossbach von Storch Research Institute, offers a European perspective on the euro's recent strength, Germany's stagnation, EU structural problems, and the dollar's resilience. He argues the dollar's weakness is an ordinary correction, not a regime change; the euro remains an "unfinished currency" incapable of replacing the dollar. On Germany, he sees some short-term fiscal stimulus but insists productivity reforms are the real issue. He advocates a pragmatic compromise on European safe assets via ECB-issued bills, and views a potential 10% US-EU tariff as digestible.
Preview:Rafi Farber argues a dollar crunch is imminent because Treasury cash management and repo-market funding will drain bank reserves, forcing the Fed back into QE within weeks, not months. He extends that into a broader collapse thesis: credit-based dollars weaken, gold reasserts itself as money, and silver could lag then accelerate violently as inventories tighten and monetary demand rises.
Preview:Vince Lanci argues gold is still in a broader uptrend, but the urgent geopolitical bid is fading as Middle East tension cools and tariff panic eases. He thinks the next major upside driver is likely U.S. rate cuts or recession, while Basel 3 and gold repatriation have already helped raise gold’s floor rather than create a fresh catalyst.
Preview:Jaime Carrasco argues the macro backdrop is a late-stage credit-cycle breakdown: excessive debt, rising yields, weak growth, and accelerating currency debasement make gold the preferred “lifeboat.” He is especially bullish on silver and senior miners, saying the market still under-allocates to precious metals and that a major wealth transfer into real assets is underway.
Preview:Gary Shilling argues the U.S. is in a long transition away from post-WWII global leadership toward a multipolar world, with Europe and Asia taking more responsibility and U.S. trade, budget, and current-account imbalances becoming more politically visible. He is bearish on stocks, thinks recession odds are meaningfully elevated, is constructive on Treasury bonds and the dollar, and is agnostic on gold despite its popularity.
Preview:Lance Roberts argues the US economy is slowing under the weight of the “3Ds” — debt, demographics, and deflation — and that the market is underpricing the long-run growth drag these create. He thinks inflation has largely normalized, tariffs are more disinflationary than inflationary, the Fed is too tight, and the recent Iran shock matters far more for specific sectors than for the broad market.
Preview:Diego Parrilla argues the US strike on Iranian nuclear facilities was historic but still contained, so the market response is rationally muted and mainly showing up in oil rather than a broad panic. He then broadens the discussion to say the bigger macro story is tariffs, Treasury stress, dollar weakness, and an eventual stagflationary regime that calls for portfolios built with explicit protection, not just nominal diversification.
Preview:Jim Iuorio argues the U.S. is not near a financial-system collapse, but is entering a prolonged period of monetary and policy strain driven by heavy Treasury issuance, weak demand at the long end, and a Fed that may eventually have to buy bonds again. He sees that as supportive for gold, silver, platinum, real estate, and Bitcoin, while also likely weighing on the dollar, though he thinks the dollar’s recent drop is partly positioning-driven and may have gone too far too fast.
Preview:EJ Antoni argues that the U.S. is finally seeing some disinflation because government spending is slowing, energy policy is easing, and wholesale prices have flattened. But he says the economy is still burdened by massive debt, that short-term statistics can look worse even when the real economy improves, and that the Fed is acting politically rather than data-dependently.
Preview:Steve Diggle argues markets are underpricing a regime shift toward higher volatility. He says expensive U.S. equities, sticky inflation, reduced Fed flexibility, and Trump-driven policy shocks make hedging more attractive now than over the last decade.
Preview:Doomberg argues the Israel-Iran war is a "catastrophic mistake" that Israel cannot win, having failed to achieve a knockout blow and now entering a war of attrition against a larger, Russia/China-backed Iran with functioning hypersonic missile capability. Markets are not pricing escalation — oil is down on Putin-Trump peace signals and OPEC supply. His contrarian view: fading oil spikes is safer than chasing them, and Trump's presidency is at risk if the war drags on.
Preview:Chance Finucane says the market is too complacent after the spring drawdown: growth is slowing, inflation should re-accelerate into the second half, and valuations already assume a rosy outcome with little downside priced in. He argues Oxbow has shifted back to a defensive posture—favoring short-term Treasuries, selective energy, precious metals, and high-quality cash-flow businesses—because the Fed has little reason to cut quickly and risk assets look expensive.
Preview:This is a timely market reaction interview about Israel’s strike on Iran and what it means for oil, gold, the dollar, bonds, and broader risk positioning. David Giesecke argues the macro backdrop is still more “recovery/acceleration” than recession, but the war shock may accelerate a shift out the risk curve from gold into silver/miners and potentially oil, while the dollar’s failure to rally is a major signal that the old safe-haven playbook is weakening.
Preview:This interview centers on former Kansas City Fed president Thomas Hoenig arguing that the Fed should stay cautious: tariffs, budget deficits, and still-elevated inflation make immediate rate cuts unlikely, while a recession or sharper slowdown could eventually force easing or even renewed QE. Hoenig says the Fed’s biggest problem is uncertainty — especially around tariffs, fiscal policy, and bank liquidity — and he frames the balance sheet and Treasury-market plumbing as critical signals to watch.
Preview:Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, sits with host Kai Hoffman to argue that the US dollar's decline is structural and accelerating — driven by deglobalization, fiscal recklessness, and foreign central bank diversification away from USD reserves. He sees recession odds as "reasonably high," expects the Fed to resume QE as the debt-ceiling crisis forces massive Treasury issuance, and is exceptionally bullish on gold (99.5% confidence year-end higher) and especially gold miners, which he believes are in the earliest innings of a cycle that has barely begun to attract North American retail/institutional flows.
Preview:Jesse Felder argues the market is mispricing a stagflationary regime shift: inflation is likely to re-accelerate, growth is slowing, and valuations remain too high for the current rate backdrop. He thinks policy, tariffs, and bond-market pressure are aimed at lowering long rates, but the side effect is weaker growth and a much better setup for commodities than for stocks.
Preview:Jan van Eck argues 2025 is the year America faces a fiscal reckoning: overspending, Social Security insolvency risk, and higher long rates are forcing markets to price a slower economy and eventually political pressure to cut spending. He stays constructive on gold, Bitcoin, and India, and sees U.S. fiscal weakness plus de-dollarization as the main multi-year backdrop.
Preview:Doug Casey delivers a deeply bearish macro sermon, arguing the US government is effectively bankrupt and its $2T+ deficits are being monetized by the Fed, creating a "fool's paradise" in asset markets. He advocates defaulting on the national debt rather than inflating it away, sees gold heading to $30,000-$40,000/oz if governments are forced to re-monetize it, and dismisses bonds as a "triple threat" to capital. Geopolitically, he frames Russia as provoked by NATO expansion, calls Western European leaders "criminally insane," and argues the US should withdraw from all foreign conflicts. He praises Argentina under Milei as a rare bright spot. The interview ends with a preview of his upcoming book *The Preparation* — a four-year alternative to college for young men.
Preview:Bill Campbell, portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital, discusses a cautious macro outlook shaped by the Trump administration's trade policy sequencing, persistent fiscal concerns, and fragile global growth. He argues that long-duration bonds are losing their safe-haven role as term premium rebuilds due to both fiscal risk and central bank balance-sheet normalization, favoring the front-to-middle of yield curves instead. On the dollar, he sees structural but slow-moving de-dollarization via regional trade agreements and bilateral central bank arrangements, not a clean replacement by any single rival currency. Recession probability has come down from post-Liberation Day highs but remains elevated above ~25%, and he expects a more tactical, active-management-driven environment going forward.
Preview:Gary Savage argues gold and silver are still in a secular bull market, but they are in the late phase of an intermediate advance and likely due for a correction after one more possible push higher. He is bullish on physical silver in particular, sees the dollar in a secular downtrend, expects higher gold and silver targets over the coming years, and thinks geopolitics—especially Ukraine/NATO risk—could accelerate the whole move.
Preview:Michael Howell argues that the U.S. Treasury bond market is being reshaped by global term-premium increases, short-end funding, and rising debt monetization, not by a uniquely U.S. loss of safe-haven status. His core investment conclusion is that this is a monetary inflation regime: bonds are unattractive, while gold, Bitcoin, and other liquidity-sensitive assets should outperform.
Preview:Peter Grandich argues the market regime has changed and investors should prioritize capital preservation over capital appreciation. His core thesis is that debt, deficits, trade conflict, de-dollarization, and bond-market stress make the U.S. riskier than the headline stock indices suggest, while gold and select metals/mining exposure remain his preferred defensive allocation.
Preview:Gary Wagner, technical analyst behind thegoldforecast.com, returns to Soar Financially for a gold update. He notes gold has settled into a mid-range (~$3,300) between the $3,500 high and $3,180 low, forming what appears to be a bull flag with a potential $3,600 target by early 2026. Key supports: the 50-day moving average (~$3,264) and $3,200 as a critical floor. The dollar's ~10% decline (DXY from 110 to ~98) is a primary driver. Wagner sees inflation and tariff uncertainty as sustaining gold's floor, though he acknowledges the uncertainty factor has diminished since Liberation Day, allowing gold to consolidate rather than spike.
Preview:Geopolitical strategist Simon Hunt lays out an intensifying Russia-Ukraine conflict, with the EU's missile-range decision framed as a de facto war declaration. He sees a Russian summer offensive aiming for the Dnieper River and beyond, driven by security concerns over future hypersonic missile threats. On Iran, Hunt expects diplomacy to hold for ~18-24 months before breaking down. He ties these conflicts into a macro outlook: G7 recession into early 2026, followed by a highly inflationary global recovery starting Q2 2026, 10%+ bond yields, crashing equities, and a 4-5 year rolling depression — with gold as the only durable asset.
Preview:Lynette Zang argues gold is severely undervalued at ~$3,300, with a "true fundamental value" near $40,000/oz based on dividing total global debt (~$313T) by total above-ground gold. She believes the fiat system is terminal, dollar purchasing power trends to zero, and confidence in US Treasuries is eroding globally. She expects eventual currency resets that revalue gold dramatically higher, though timing is unknowable. The host, Kai Hoffman, frames the discussion around gold's $800+ rally YTD, tariff-driven uncertainty, and whether the gold "cartel" has broken.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews chart analyst Gareth Soloway about the post-April rally, retail speculation, tariffs, oil, copper, gold, silver, and palladium. Soloway argues the market’s V-shaped rebound looks fragile, retail is driving the move more than institutions, and a summer pullback or stagflationary setup remains likely even if the S&P briefly makes new highs.
Preview:Ronald Peter Stoeferle argues gold is in a continuing bull market, but no longer as a contrarian trade: it has moved into a more mainstream, structurally supported phase driven by central-bank buying, emerging-market demand, weak trust in fiat systems, and a weaker dollar backdrop. He thinks the next leg favors “performance gold” — silver, miners, and broader commodities — while gold itself likely pauses and consolidates in the near term.
Preview:Mike McGlone argues the rally in U.S. risk assets is fragile and that the bigger setup is still deflationary: gold is leading, crude oil is weak, bond yields are spiking, and U.S. equities look stretched versus the rest of the world. He thinks the key risk is the U.S. stock market rolling over, which would reinforce gold’s strength, pressure commodities tied to growth, and force the Fed toward easier policy.
Preview:Florian Grummes argues gold’s long-term re-monetization is being driven by China, repatriation flows, and a broader shift back toward physical gold as a trust anchor. Near term, he expects gold to consolidate sideways and volatile after a sharp run-up, while silver and mining stocks are the bigger catch-up candidates.
Preview:Trevor Hall, host of Mining Stock Daily, interviewed by Kai Hoffman at the Deutsche Gold Messe in Frankfurt. Hall paints a cautious macro picture: the US economy is in a K-shaped recovery, tariffs remain a significant drag even after de-escalation from 145% to 30% on China, and the bond market is the key signal to watch — the 10-year yield at 4.48% indicates the market is demanding higher premiums for US debt. He expects the Fed will eventually resort to QE, deficits will keep growing, and the dollar remains strong despite administration desires. On mining, sentiment among CEOs is optimistic, permitting is improving under Trump, and he sees opportunity in small producers with development projects. His advice for summer: enjoy life, don't obsess over markets.
Preview:Kwasi Ampofo argues that gold is regaining strategic importance in an unstable geopolitical and monetary environment, while critical minerals have become central to energy security and industrial policy. His core message is that governments and private capital must support mining supply, policy certainty, and ESG standards if the energy transition is to work.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre argues that the post-'Liberation Day' trade shock is still working through the economy even after the temporary U.S.-China de-escalation. He sees Wall Street as too optimistic, expects tariff and supply-chain effects to show up in inflation and margins soon, and thinks fiscal dominance and ongoing deficit spending mean the real monetary backdrop remains inflationary and broadly supportive for commodities, especially gold and silver miners.
Preview:Francis Hunt argues the market is in a debt-led reset, not a normal recession: leveraged assets, housing, retail, and even currencies are being devalued as long-end rates rise and the bond market loses its reserve-asset role. His core trade view is bullish gold/precious metals, cautious on bonds, and skeptical that the Fed can meaningfully cut without destabilizing the system further.
Preview:Keith Neumeyer argues silver is structurally undervalued versus gold and expects a stronger silver move as supply deficits persist, while First Majestic uses its strong cash flow for buybacks, dividends, and opportunistic M&A. He highlights record Q1 results, smooth Gatos integration, and a growing mint business as the company’s current operating catalysts.
Preview:Andrew Slay (Sprott Money) interviews Kai Hoffmann (Soar Financially) on Europe's economic and energy struggles, Germany's deindustrialization, geopolitical irrelevance, creeping capital controls, and the coming digital euro/CBDC transition. Hoffmann sees the EU as uncompetitive and ignored in Ukraine negotiations. Slay argues the green energy agenda is deliberately sabotaging grids to justify 15-minute cities and CBDCs. Both agree gold remains a long-term wealth protector, with pullbacks as accumulation opportunities. Hoffmann predicts a monetary reset is 2-3 years out, not imminent.
Preview:Rick Rule argues the gold move is mainly a long-running response to fiat debasement, not a reaction to the latest headlines. He also says tariffs are taxes, mining policy will be shaped by political favoritism and subsidies, and the real opportunity is in select high-quality miners and politically aligned resource jurisdictions.
Preview:Jim Thorne argues the market has shifted from tariff panic to an AI/liquidity-led reflation trade. He thinks the Fed is too late, US growth was artificially boosted by deficit spending, and the better portfolio setup is secular growth, gold, and Bitcoin rather than recession hedges.
Preview:Henrik Zeberg argues the Fed is making a major policy mistake by keeping rates too high even as inflation cools, the consumer weakens, housing softens, and unemployment begins to rise. He expects a strong final risk-asset blowoff into new highs, then a recession and deflationary bust later this year, with the S&P possibly reaching 6,500–6,800 before rolling over.
Preview:Andy Schectman argues that the U.S. dollar system is under growing strain because the Fed is quietly supporting Treasury demand, while the rest of the world is moving toward gold and alternative settlement rails. He frames tariffs, sanctions, and reserve-currency dynamics as accelerating de-dollarization, and he sees gold—and to a lesser extent silver—as signaling a broader monetary reset.
Preview:Marc Faber argues that Europe’s political economy is structurally broken, Germany’s fiscal loosening is another step toward decline, and U.S. tariffs are economically misguided. He remains broadly bearish on policy intervention, skeptical of democracies’ ability to cut spending, constructive on select Asia/China opportunities, and bullish on gold as a monetary hedge.
Preview:Matthew Piepenburg argues the dollar and U.S. Treasury are no longer the unquestioned center of the system, because the world is moving away from a debt-backed, dollar-centric order toward gold, localized trade, and more centralized digital money. He frames recent U.S. tariff and fiscal moves as symptoms of desperation rather than strength, and says gold’s rise reflects central-bank buying and declining trust in U.S. assets.
Preview:Michael Oliver argues the U.S. equity market has already broken technically and is likely entering a multi-year bear market, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s earlier momentum breaks signaling a larger regime change rather than a normal pullback. He pairs that view with bullish calls on gold, constructive but more selective views on miners, a potential breakout in silver, and a cautious-to-bullish setup in crude oil if key resistance levels are reclaimed.
Preview:Neil Howe, author of The Fourth Turning, discusses his generational cycle theory with host Kai Hoffman. He argues the world is accelerating toward the "crisis" phase of the current Fourth Turning — a period of conflict, institutional breakdown, and a retreat from globalism. Howe warns the defining conflict has not yet occurred and sees flashpoints in Iran, Kashmir, and potential U.S. domestic constitutional crisis. He is critical of Elon Musk's DOGE cuts, skeptical of Trump's tariff strategy, and fears the reconciliation bill will balloon deficits to 7-8% of GDP, triggering capital shortages and interest rate spikes.
Preview:John Rubino argues that gold’s move is a symptom of a broader fiat-currency and debt-system breakdown, not just a normal commodity bull market. He thinks the world is entering a chaotic “terminal phase” where governments keep borrowing to service old debts, currencies keep losing value, and real assets — especially gold, silver, oil, uranium, and farmland — become the logical refuge.
Preview:Lyn Alden argues the U.S. debt and trade imbalances are structural, not fixable with quick policy moves. She says tariffs, reserve-currency status, and dollar devaluation efforts are all tangled together, but the current approach looks messy: tariffs hit markets, the dollar weakened instead of strengthening, and bond yields briefly rose in an anti-U.S.-exceptionalism move.
Preview:Chris Whalen argues the U.S. economy is not in recession, but is still working through the distortions created by years of Fed-driven liquidity and leverage. His main tactical views are that housing remains vulnerable to a multi-year reset, long rates may stay elevated even if the Fed cuts, and gold/financials look attractive as the market normalizes.
Preview:Ross Gerber argues the market is underpricing the damage from tariffs and policy uncertainty, and that the US is already slipping into recession. He says gold is a safer store of value than Bitcoin in this regime, while still keeping some Bitcoin exposure, and he remains constructive on long-term tech but more defensive in the near term.
Preview:Bill Fleckenstein argues the U.S. is sitting on a debt problem that was enabled by years of Fed policy and masked by passive flows, and that tariffs, deficit stress, and weaker confidence are now exposing it. His tactical stance is defensive: he thinks a weak bond market, weak dollar, and fading passive bid could trigger a sharper equity drawdown before year-end, while gold and cash look more attractive than crowded U.S. stocks.
Preview:Jordan Roy-Byrne argues that gold’s secular bull market has already been confirmed by a major 2024 breakout and that the bigger story is the rotation of capital out of bonds and, increasingly, out of stocks into gold, silver, and mining shares. He thinks the current regime is different from 2008 because bonds are in a secular bear market, which changes how selloffs, recessions, and capital flows behave.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews geopolitical commentator Alex Krainer about Iran, Ukraine, Europe, and African decolonization. Krainer argues the Trump administration is trying to shift the US from global policeman toward a more multipolar posture, while still having to navigate entrenched pro-Israel and Western imperial interests. He says war with Iran would be highly costly and is less likely than negotiation, dismisses Russia invading Europe as fearmongering, and frames Africa—especially Burkina Faso and the Congo—as the next front in a broader struggle over sovereignty and resource control.
Preview:Tom Luongo argues Trump is trying to break the offshore dollar order rather than merely fighting China or managing domestic politics. He ties tariff drama, Ukraine, gold, and recent funding-market stress to a broader fight over Eurodollar pricing, European leverage, and U.S. monetary sovereignty.
Preview:Andrew Sleigh of Sprat Money joins Kai Hoffman to argue that all fiat currencies are in terminal decline, the global economy is a "dumpster fire," and gold/silver are the only reliable stores of value. He predicts a 1929-style collapse followed by a CBDC rollout (potentially this fall), and advises moving wealth into physical metals. The conversation covers Canadian politics, tariff wars as distraction, and the mechanics of currency debasement.
Preview:Robert Embree argues the tariff shock is already hitting growth, confidence, and markets, and that the main uncertainty is whether Trump fully reverses or softens the tariffs enough to avoid recession. He links the macro slowdown to lower business hiring/capex, softer survey and hard data, a weaker dollar, supportive bond-market signals for Fed cuts, and strong gold as a hedge against uncertainty.
Preview:Steve Hanke argues the U.S. is heading into a recession because broad money has contracted since 2022 and is still growing too slowly to support 2% inflation. He extends that framework to say Trump-era tariff and policy upheaval creates regime uncertainty, which could deepen the slowdown and pressure equities, while gold benefits from sanctions, dollar devaluation, and rising lawlessness in the global system.
Preview:Clive Thompson argues that the tariff shock has shaken confidence in U.S. assets, driven money toward gold, and could eventually force a broader monetary reset. He thinks the gold bull market is just getting started, and that a Powell exit or aggressive Fed easing would likely trigger short-term panic but then a powerful rally in gold and equities.
Preview:Ed Yardeni argues the April 8th lows likely marked the stock market bottom, driven by peak bearish sentiment and the "Trump pivot" on tariffs. He believes the bull market will revive because Republicans won't risk losing the 2026 midterms. The Fed is boxed in — the Fed put is on hold — but a financial crisis would trigger intervention. On gold, Yardeni sees a structural bull market fueled by central bank buying from China/Russia/Iran/Venezuela amid a "new world disorder," with amateur technical targets of $4,000 by year-end and $5,000 by end of 2026. He remains cautiously optimistic on the dollar and US exceptionalism but recommends holding gold as chaos insurance.
Preview:The discussion argues that tariff shocks, energy weakness, and policy uncertainty are slowing global trade and pressuring Europe, while simultaneously boosting defense, infrastructure, and resource-linked assets. Michael Habisch sees Europe as a belated wake-up story, thinks the ECB can still cut while the Fed is more constrained, expects tariffs to be inflationary over time, and argues gold remains the clearest beneficiary of capital rotation and sovereign diversification.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews Judy Shelton about Trump-era trade, the Fed, gold, and a proposed gold-convertible Treasury bond. Shelton argues the Fed is too political and too powerful, says currency manipulation matters as much as tariffs, and makes the case for using gold as a monetary anchor to restore “sound money.”
Preview:Jared Dillian joins Kai Hoffmann to break down markets: gold at $3,326 signals an intractable US deficit problem, not tariffs. He takes the contrarian view that tariffs are deflationary (demand destruction), the Fed should be cutting rates, and bonds are undervalued despite foreign selling. He sees a weak-dollar regime beginning, housing turning bearish, and gold still in early innings with almost no retail participation. A crisp, wide-ranging macro interview.
Preview:Lawrence Lepard argues the old fiat monetary system is breaking, with tariffs, rising debt service, softer stocks, a weaker dollar, and record gold prices all pointing to a coming “big print” response from the Fed and other authorities. His core prescription is to own sound-money assets—especially gold, silver, and Bitcoin—because governments cannot print them.
Preview:Brent Johnson, creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, joins Kai Hoffen to discuss the current macro landscape: Trump's tariff-driven realignment, the dollar's trajectory, bond market risks, and gold's role. Johnson argues that the US is deliberately engineering volatility as part of an "America First" strategy to contain China, consolidate Western Hemisphere influence, and force trade renegotiations. He maintains the Milkshake Theory remains intact — dollar weakness is temporary, a crisis would send the dollar and gold higher together, and bonds are no longer safe. His core thesis: the world still needs dollars to service dollar-denominated debt, and the US consumer market gives America unmatched leverage in tariff negotiations.
Preview:Andy Home argues that critical minerals have become a frontline geopolitical weapon, with China using export controls and processing dominance to pressure Western supply chains. He says the West is racing to rebuild mining, refining, and recycling capacity, but that decades of offshoring left it short on know-how, infrastructure, and time.
Preview:A Soar Financially interview between host Kai Hoffman and Travis Spencer argues that U.S. housing is deeply unaffordable because real median household income has stagnated while debt, property taxes, insurance, and financing costs have risen. Travis frames the market as a “fraud and debt bubble,” says QT is effectively still liquidity support, and argues that housing demand is being crushed by payment affordability rather than just prices. He is especially focused on Texas and Florida inventory, new-home oversupply, and what he sees as overassessment and tax fraud.
Preview:John Reade, senior market strategist at the World Gold Council, discusses the explosive gold rally with host Kai Hoffman. The core driver is risk and uncertainty post-Trump's second term, amplified by tariff chaos, eroding trust in US Treasuries as the world's safe haven, and a massive 400-ton swing in ETF flows in Q1 2025. Reade argues the leverage flush-out is likely complete, Western investors are just beginning to rotate in, and emerging-market central bank buying will accelerate. His key bear case: if the US announces gold sales to fund a strategic Bitcoin reserve, it would flip the narrative overnight.
Preview:Daniel Lacalle argues that inflation is primarily the result of monetary and fiscal policy, not a temporary accident, and that central banks are now trapped between supporting markets and admitting inflation is still persistent. He says 2024’s huge government spending, rate cuts, and delayed balance-sheet normalization created excessive optimism and leverage, which is now unwinding through higher bond yields, tariff shocks, and weaker confidence in sovereign debt.
Preview:Francis Hunt argues the current selloff is not a normal tariff-driven correction but the start of a much bigger debt-market reset, with gold as the main reserve asset to own and rallies in bonds, oil, crypto, and overlevered equities to fade or short. Kai Hoffman frames the discussion around bond-market stress, tariff escalation, and whether the move reflects retaliation or a deeper financial war.
Preview:Michael Zuber sees 2025 as a bifurcated year: terrible for first-time home buyers but excellent for disciplined real estate investors who can exploit growing supply and falling demand. He expects existing home sales to fall below 4M (a cycle low), mortgage rates to ease as the 10Y-mortgage spread normalizes, and inflation to surprise higher by mid-year, forcing a July Fed "fork in the road." His personal strategy flipped after the April 2 tariff announcement: he now plans a cash-out refinance to accumulate dry powder for distress he expects in 9-15 months. He disagrees with Melody Wright on a 2025 crash, seeing flat prices, but agrees distress is building in FHA, Airbnbs, and commercial multifamily.
Preview:Clem Chambers argues the market has entered a major crash phase driven by the Trump/Vance policy mix: rapid tariff escalation, aggressive cuts to government spending, and hostile geopolitics that he says amount to a “trifecta of insanity.” He says he has moved heavily to cash, sold most equities, and sees the S&P and other markets as likely much lower from here, with Europe eventually benefiting structurally while gold becomes the key war/instability asset.
Preview:Mike McGlone argues the tariff shock is a deflationary catalyst that accelerates the unwind of expensive US risk assets, with crude oil, copper, Bitcoin, and broad equities vulnerable, while gold remains the main relative safe haven. He ties the setup to mean reversion, higher US market cap-to-GDP, weakening China demand, and falling bond yields, and says the near-term move is likely more liquidation before a larger deflationary reset plays out.
Preview:Peter Schiff joins Kai Hoffman to frame the April 2, 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs as the trigger for what he argues will be the worst US recession in modern history. He contends tariffs are paid by Americans, will produce stagflation worse than the 1970s, and reverse the decades-long arrangement where the US exports inflation abroad in exchange for cheap goods. Schiff sees a major rotation out of US markets into foreign equities, a collapsing dollar, rising gold, and eventual loss of US reserve currency status. He promotes his Europac funds and gold stocks as the right positioning.
Preview:Chris Vermeulen argues the market has likely put in a major top, with equities losing momentum while gold and bonds attract flows. He sees a short-term oversold bounce in stocks, but believes the larger move is down and could evolve into a recessionary bear market. On gold, he says the long-term supercycle target has already been reached, but there is still a final 2.5%–4% upside leg before a larger correction later.
Preview:Martin Armstrong argues the world is entering a recession/debt crisis that could run into 2028, with Europe at the center because governments are using war rhetoric to justify fiscal and political control. He says gold is rising mainly as a geopolitical and sovereign-credit hedge, not because of ordinary inflation, and warns that digital currency and capital controls could trap money in place.
Preview:Mario Innecco argues that today’s market turmoil is less about a single trigger than the end of an artificial, debt-fueled system. He says the combination of deficit spending, central-bank easing, geopolitical weaponization of reserves, and tariffs is exposing overvaluation in stocks while pushing real assets like gold and silver higher.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews David Morgan about gold’s new highs, silver’s lag, and what both are signaling about the monetary system. Morgan argues gold’s move is still early in a broader “run to gold,” while silver is being held back by its larger industrial identity and quiet retail participation.
Preview:Gary Wagner, technical analyst and founder of TheGoldForecast.com, returns to Soar Financially to discuss gold's historic run above $3,000. He attributes the rally to Trump's tariff-driven uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and a fundamental loss of faith in fiat currencies. Using a combination of candlestick patterns, Elliott Wave, and Fibonacci extensions, Wagner targets $3,300–$3,400 for gold by end of 2025. He acknowledges gold is technically overbought but argues the shallow corrections and relentless dip-buying make this a different kind of market. Wagner advocates trend-following with trailing stops over day-trading or shorting, and frames gold not as something that appreciates, but as the only asset that preserves buying power across centuries.
Preview:Todd "Bubba" Horwitz, chief market strategist at Bubba Trading, joins host Kai Hoffman to argue the US middle class is in a stealth recession, a 2008-style crash is coming this year from overleveraged banks and reseting debt, and real inflation is ~12.8% not 2.8%. He sees the 10-year heading to 6%, is tactically short gold futures (target $2,750) while bullish physical gold long-term, and says only cheaper energy — oil back to the $40s — can genuinely bring down inflation.
Preview:David Collum argues the U.S. economy is already weak, official inflation understates reality, and the market remains dangerously overvalued by long-run historical measures. He thinks Trump may be intentionally forcing a recessionary “demolition phase” to purge distortions, but he frames the process as painful, disruptive, and only partly observable in the data so far. He is skeptical of gold revaluation schemes, bullish on gold as a macro hedge rather than a hyperbolic trade, and more interested in undervalued hard assets like platinum than in long-duration bonds or crowded equity benchmarks.
Preview:G. Edward Griffin, 93-year-old author of *The Creature from Jekyll Island*, joins host Kai Hoffen to discuss the Federal Reserve as a private banking cartel, the history of its creation, and the broader thesis that a small elite has used psychological warfare and deception to move toward total control via digital currency. Griffin frames the Fed not as a failed institution but as one succeeding at its real purpose — enriching cartel members and consolidating political power. The conversation covers the Fabian Society, collectivism vs. individualism, CBDCs as the "finish line" for control, and ends with a pitch for Griffin's Red Pill Expo and a free booklet on collectivism.
Preview:Danielle DiMartino Booth argues the U.S. and broader North America are already in recession, with the weakness showing up first in confidence, then in layoffs, revisions, and consumer credit stress. She says the Fed is behind the curve on labor and will likely have to pivot toward a more aggressive cutting path in 2025. Housing is a major weak spot in her view, helped higher previously by subsidy distortions and now rolling over under the weight of high rates and less Fed support.
Preview:Alex Krainer joins Kai Hoffman to discuss Trump's geopolitical strategy, the US attack on Yemen, Israel's internal decay, and gold's structural bull case. Krainer argues Trump is navigating a complex domestic political base (Zionist/evangelical) while attempting a grand realignment with Russia and China. The Yemen campaign he calls a "blunder" exposing US naval vulnerability. Israel, he contends, is an imperial beachhead project that is now failing from within. On gold, he sees the early stages of a secular bull market driven by delivery stress on COMEX, institutional under-allocation, and a narrative/cultural reversal that lags price.
Preview:Michael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, lays out his meta-geopolitical framework: the world has shifted from economic policy to "economic statecraft," where political, military, and economic tools are wielded together for national interests. The US-led rules-based order is crumbling into a multipolar world. He argues this is a secular shift, not a Trump blip, and that Europe holds almost no cards, though rearmament could change that over years. On markets: stocks were overpriced, the transition rewards those who understand the meta picture; the dollar isn't going away but will be wielded differently; gold above $3,000 is the real signal; and the bond market reflects two competing narratives about whether there's a deliberate plan or chaos.
Preview:Michael Green argues the US’s biggest risk is internal fragmentation, not China, and that recent market moves reflect passive-flow mechanics, employment weakness, and an emerging shift in capital back toward Europe. He frames tariffs and capital controls as part of a broader regime change in which countries try to keep savings at home, while warning that short-term market rebounds are possible even as medium-term flow and labor risks build.
Preview:Interview with Zach Shefska, founder of CarEdge, discussing the state of the US auto loan market, used and new car pricing trends, Tesla depreciation, negative equity crisis, tariff impacts, and whether auto loans could trigger a broader financial crisis. Shefska argues auto debt at ~$1.5T is too small relative to mortgage debt (~$10T+) to cause a systemic crisis, but delinquency and default rates are at multi-decade highs, used car prices remain elevated, and an affordability bifurcation is widening between wealthy and budget-conscious buyers.
Preview:Lobo Tiggre argues the Fed press conference was more dovish than it looked: despite raising inflation forecasts, Powell kept two rate cuts on the table, leaned on "transitory" again, and signaled the Fed is prioritizing labor-market weakness over inflation. He sees that as bullish for gold, bearish for the dollar, and supportive of real assets, while warning that recession risk, tariff uncertainty, and policy chaos are rising.
Preview:Jim Rogers tells Kai Hoffmann he has sold most of his global stock holdings, increased gold, silver, and USD cash positions, and is "worried" about what's coming. He sees an overextended bull market since 2009, ballooning US debt (far beyond the reported $36T), and eventual inflation from money printing — but hasn't gone short yet because he hasn't seen "wild exuberance." He views Trump as unpredictable, believes the dollar will be sought as a perceived safe haven in turmoil (despite not being sound), and expects China to become the dominant 21st-century economy. His key message: be very careful.
Preview:Jim Bianco argues the Trump administration believes the US fiscal status quo is unsustainable — debt, deficits, and interest costs have become a national security threat. The "game plan" is to bring down the 10-year yield, weaken the trade-weighted dollar (vs. Mexico/Canada/China, not the DXY), and shift defense costs onto allies via tariffs and billing. Markets are struggling with uncertainty because Trump is transactional, not ideological, and hasn't delivered a clear policy speech. Bianco sees bonds returning ~5% and stocks ~6% over the next several years (the "4-5-6" world), with bonds offering low-volatility returns rather than crash insurance. He does not expect a forced recession but anticipates continued volatility as the adjustment plays out. He frames the Mar-a-Lago Accord concept — not an actual accord — as the blueprint: lower the dollar, restructure trade, and make allies pay for security.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews Willem Middelkoop about gold breaking above $3,000, the dollar system, central-bank buying, and what he sees as an emerging global monetary reset. Middelkoop argues physical demand — especially from central banks — is overwhelming the paper market, while geopolitical friction, U.S. debt stress, and dollar debasement are pushing investors toward gold, silver, and selected mining equities.
Preview:Michael Gentile argues that gold and gold stocks are setting up to take leadership from tech because gold prices are rising faster than industry costs, margins are expanding, and free cash flow is inflecting while the sector remains underowned and cheap. He says this is now showing up in relative performance, better producer fundamentals, and early generalist interest, with permitting reform and M&A as the next big catalysts.
Preview:David Hunter argues the market is still in a tactical rally phase, but that the bigger move is a recession this year followed by a much larger global bust within roughly a year. He expects the Fed and bond market to ease, the dollar to weaken, and gold, silver, and parts of the metals complex to keep rising before the later downturn hits risk assets hard.
Preview:Peter Boockvar (Bleakley Financial Group) argues the US economy has been a "three-legged stool" — upper-income spending, AI capex, and government spending — and all three legs are now weakening simultaneously. Tariff escalation is the near-term catalyst, but vulnerabilities were already forming (DeepSeek, Mag-7 concentration). He sees the highest recession risk in years, though not yet in aggregate. The gold/Atlanta Fed GDP distortion is clarified: official GDP excludes gold trade, so the -2.4% GDPNow print overstates weakness. Boockvar advocates rotation into value, international equities, gold/silver, and short-duration Treasuries — the things that haven't worked for years.
Preview:Michael Pento argues the market has already entered the correction he warned about, with the S&P 500 down around 6% from the mid-February high and the Nasdaq down about 15%. He says valuations were extreme, the Fed is constrained, tariffs are adding uncertainty, and gold and short-term Treasuries are the cleaner places to hide while he waits for tighter credit conditions before turning more aggressively short.
Preview:Stefan Gleason, CEO of Money Metals, discusses gold's multi-year bull run: central bank buying (especially China), the Fort Knox audit controversy, the gold revaluation question, tariff-driven COMEX arbitrage, retail selling vs. institutional buying, the sound money movement, and why silver has lagged gold. He frames gold as a crisis hedge that has risen despite a strong dollar and stock market, and argues a recession would be further bullish.
Preview:Steven Hochberg argues the US equity market is at an extreme valuation peak and is likely already entering a broad, historic bear market. He says the setup resembles the 2000 topping sequence, sees rising yields ahead, expects the US dollar to weaken further, and thinks gold is relatively strong while silver’s lag is a short-term warning. The host largely agrees and frames the conversation around macro, cycle timing, and defensive positioning.
Preview:Taylor Kenney, economic journalist at ITM Trading, argues the US dollar collapse is not a single event but a decades-long process that is now accelerating. She sees gold entering mainstream consciousness — from Fort Knox audits to central bank buying — as evidence that a new monetary system is being ushered in. She views gold as fundamentally undervalued regardless of spot price, believes a gold revaluation is a real possibility, and frames the current moment as the dawn of a commodity super cycle with gold at its center.
Preview:Diego Parrilla argues the market is entering a more hostile phase driven by tariffs, sticky inflation, volatility, and heavy debt. He says official inflation is understated, tariffs are inflationary at least initially, the 60/40 portfolio has a hidden failure mode in simultaneous equity/bond drawdowns, and gold remains the clearest long-term hedge against monetary and fiscal abuse.
Preview:Harry Dent returns to Soar Financially and doubles down on his "everything bubble" thesis, arguing that unprecedented post-2008 money printing merely delayed an inevitable crash. He expects a 40%+ initial stock decline in 2025, sees gold peaking near $3,000 then correcting 40-60% before a secular bull run driven by Indian demand, and positions Treasury bonds (TLT) as the ultimate safe haven in the crash's second phase. Dent also forecasts China's demographic implosion and identifies India as the next mega-bull story.
Preview:Michael Howell argues that global liquidity has been the key driver of asset prices, and that the recent pause in liquidity growth has created a temporary air pocket in risk assets. He sees China as the main swing factor now, with U.S. money markets also tight enough that the Fed may need to ease again around midyear. He also thinks the setup increasingly favors gold and real assets over paper assets, with a possible regime shift toward a looser gold-linked monetary order.
Preview:Steve Keen argues that private debt, not government debt, is the real economic danger — private entities can go bankrupt while a currency-sovereign government cannot. He contends the US government's deficit spending creates money (not "borrowing"), that the bond market merely swaps non-interest-bearing reserves for interest-bearing tradable bonds, and that Trump's aggressive spending cuts risk a deflationary shock. On tariffs, Keen breaks from conventional economics: he argues tariffs historically drove industrialization (US, Korea, Japan) by forcing domestic investment, though Trump misunderstands who pays them. He sees the US dollar's reserve status as structurally overvaluing the currency and undermining manufacturing — you cannot have both a strong dollar and a strong manufacturing sector. Near term, he expects economic stuttering from fiscal contraction.
Preview:Gerald Celente, publisher of the Trends Journal, returns after a year to discuss his outlook: a "Wild Card" 2025 driven by Trump's unpredictability, an AI bubble echoing the dot-com bust, a coming commercial real estate crisis, and a bullish long-term gold thesis — including a speculative scenario where the US revalues gold to $5,000/oz to deal with debt. He also delivers sharp geopolitical commentary on Israel's West Bank actions, China's AI rise, and the hollowing out of US governance.
Preview:Gary Savage argues gold has already broken past the key suppression zone, that silver is now the next likely short-squeeze candidate, and that both metals are still early in a larger multi-year bull cycle. He expects gold to continue higher into a potential 2026-2028 top, with a near-term correction likely in late March or April, while silver needs a decisive break above $33 to unlock a move toward $37-$38 and possibly $40+.
Preview:Thomas Hayes argues the US economy is still strong, earnings are decent, and the market is rotating away from expensive US mega-cap tech into cheaper international, China, and select cyclical/value names. He sees the biggest near-term catalyst as a drop in Treasury yields from roughly 4.8% toward 4% or even a three-handle, helped by softer tariffs, DOGE-style spending cuts, and slowing inflation pressure.
Preview:Melody Wright argues the U.S. housing market is already deeply unhealthy, with new-home supply elevated, existing-home sales weak, and affordability so stretched that small mortgage-rate moves no longer change the setup. She frames 2025 as a year of rising distress, more listings, and weaker price discovery rather than a quick rebound.
Preview:Dominic Frisby is broadly bullish on the U.S. and still constructive on gold and selected miners, but his biggest edge is being selective: he prefers technical signals over macro stories, and he thinks the junior mining space remains deeply unloved. He is skeptical of Europe, skeptical of anti-fossil-fuel policy, and sees central-bank gold buying—not retail—as the main force behind the gold bull market.
Preview:Alasdair Macleod argues gold is not an investment to trade but money and safety from an escalating credit collapse. He explains the recent COMEX short squeeze — where panicked bullion banks covered shorts, driving premiums to 10-12% and pulling physical gold from London — as evidence that the paper-market control over gold is breaking. Stands for delivery are surging at a rate that could exceed 2,000 tons in 2025 alone. He dismisses revaluation talk, ETF ownership, and geopolitical factors as distractions; the real story is the largest credit bubble in history preparing to burst. His core message: stop thinking like an investor, get out of credit, and stack physical gold.
Preview:Ted Oakley argues the U.S. economy is weakening beneath the surface, with housing, construction, and lower-income consumers showing stress even as markets look stable. He thinks the Fed is behind the curve, inflation is more stagflationary than the headline numbers suggest, the dollar may be pressured lower, and gold/miners still have room to run.
Preview:Keith McCullough argues that the market is in a global/US Quad 2 setup: growth and inflation are re-accelerating, the dollar is weak, and that combination is bullish for gold, commodities, and select cyclical/real-asset trades. He is much less worried about recession or bond-market stress than about being on the wrong side of rate-of-change signals, and he frames Nvidia/AI as maturing from a single dominant winner into a broader rotation toward robotics, quantum computing, and space.
Preview:Eric Jackson argues that the mega-cap AI leaders remain structurally strong, Nvidia’s post-DeepSeek selloff was overdone, and the broader tech market could still have a multi-year run if AI capex and productivity gains keep compounding. He is bullish on the “Magnificent 7” relative to the rest of tech, but he also flags real risks: inflation, tariffs, higher rates, and AI-related job losses.
Preview:Dave Erfle argues gold’s breakout is being driven by geopolitical and fiscal instability, with miners and silver still lagging but potentially poised to catch up if key resistance breaks. He remains constructive on quality juniors and selectively bullish on copper, while warning that gold is short-term overbought and could correct if peace talk or macro calm reduces fear demand.
Preview:Doomberg joins Soar Financially's Kai Hoffman to analyze the Trump administration's disruptive foreign policy — viewing the Russia-Ukraine war as a lost NATO/Western defeat, with Trump seeking normalization of US-Russia relations. He argues the Istanbul agreement was a missed peace deal, that European leaders are scrambling after being caught off-guard by Trump's pivot, and that a durable peace would bring a "peace dividend" pushing oil toward $50 equilibrium. The conversation covers the potential US withdrawal from NATO, Germany's election and energy policy, and the triumvirate of US-Russia-Saudi Arabia as the world's largest oil producers shaping energy markets.
Preview:Dan Niles argues the U.S. economy is still strong, but that strength is a problem for inflation, Fed policy, and valuations. His core warning is that the market is too complacent about inflation staying elevated, the Fed potentially having to stop cutting or even hike, and the knock-on effect that could compress multiples and hurt the highest-valuation stocks, especially the AI-linked mega caps.
Preview:Don Durrett argues the U.S. is near a recession that could expose structural fragility in the bond market, force the Fed/Treasury into monetization choices, and ultimately accelerate a much larger reset in gold, silver, and miners. He sees the current gold move as a warning signal, not a finished breakout, and thinks miners are still early because the real catalyst is broader economic turmoil and a breakdown in risk assets, especially the S&P 500.
Preview:Christian Vartian argues gold has already reached the key 2,843 target he projected and is now moving more on flow and sentiment than on fresh internal fuel. He sees slightly more upside than downside near term, but says the market is “on ice” and not yet in a clean precious-metals boom; silver and gold-miner leadership would need to strengthen before a decisive next leg.
Preview:Kai Hoffman interviews Christian Vartian about gold, silver, treasuries, and Fed policy. Christian says gold already hit the key 2,843 target he had called, but he sees the move as still lacking “own steam” and not yet a full precious-metals boom. He is modestly bullish on gold near term, more constructive on silver’s upside, and skeptical that the market is already overcrowded. He frames the main driver as capital rotation away from treasuries and, to a lesser extent, stocks, rather than a classic demand-led inflation story.
Preview:Retired Colonel Douglas Macgregor paints a dire geopolitical picture: the US and Israel are the primary destabilizing forces globally, and the Middle East is a tinderbox that could ignite a regional war as early as March 2025. He argues that Trump's Gaza takeover rhetoric has unified the Muslim world against Israel/US, that Russia has decisively won in Ukraine, that NATO is heading toward extinction, and that war with China over Taiwan would be "the dumbest idea in the history of mankind." On markets, he sees an oil and coal supply squeeze coming as years of anti-carbon policy meet renewed demand, and warns of a US sovereign debt crisis.
Preview:Darius Dale argues the U.S. economy is still resilient and markets are still broadly bullish, but he thinks inflation is more likely to re-accelerate than return durably to 2%, and that mid-year catalysts — especially tariffs, a stronger dollar, and a liquidity pullback — could trigger a meaningful correction or crash. He frames the main trade as staying invested while the current risk regime holds, but being alert to crowded positioning and global liquidity downside later in 2025.
Preview:Dr. Sri-Kumar argues the U.S. economy is still strong but sitting on shaky footing because inflation remains above target, the Fed has eased too soon, and tariffs/trade retaliation could tip growth into recession. His central market call is constructive on gold, with a $3,500 target in the next 5–6 months, driven by currency debasement fears, central-bank buying, and distrust of paper assets.
Preview:Edward Dowd argues the US economy is rolling from artificial support into recession, with illegal immigration, deficit spending, and weak housing leading the reversal. He sees disinflation/deflation ahead, bonds as the main beneficiary, and the AI trade as an overbuilt bubble that is starting to crack.
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