gold and silver are driven by chart structure and market psychology
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Gary Wagner is a market commentator and editor of The Gold Forecast who speaks primarily from a technical-analysis and precious-metals-trading lens. In the supplied transcript, he frames gold, silver, crude oil, the dollar, and equity markets as interconnected macro signals and repeatedly relies on Elliott Wave counts, Fibonacci retracements, and chart-based sentiment analysis. He presents gold as highly responsive to both inflation/rates-style inputs and to broader uncertainty, and he emphasizes market psychology over simple headline causality. The external links and identity resolution point to his own website and X account, supporting that this is a consistent public-facing market analysis role rather than a one-off media appearance.
Wagner’s recurring worldview is that markets are driven by technical structure, crowd psychology, and macro uncertainty, with precious metals especially sensitive to shifts in the dollar, crude oil, and risk sentiment. He tends to interpret big moves in gold and silver as part of larger wave patterns rather than as isolated reactions to news. In this transcript, he says higher oil usually supports gold via inflation pressures, but argues that recent inversions reflect uncertainty and transitional conditions; if those conditions normalize, he expects the more traditional gold-oil relationship to reassert itself. Overall, he appears constructive on gold and silver when charts, momentum, and macro stress align, while treating pullbacks as normal corrective phases within a broader uptrend.
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Preview:Gary Wagner discusses gold's recent break below $4,000 and how rising Fed rate-hike expectations are overwhelming geopolitical support for precious metals. He revises his gold price target downward from ~$6,000 to around $5,600, identifies key support near $3,900–3,934, and explains why silver's steeper decline is a warning signal for the whole complex. The core thesis: interest rate expectations now dominate gold price action more than inflation data or military conflict.
Preview:Gary Wagner reassesses his gold outlook after the $4,000 support level has cracked. He had previously given it a 60-70% chance of holding; now, with a closing break below, he lowers his near-term support to ~$3,920 (based on October 2025 lows). The new Fed chair's hawkish rate-hike rhetoric has shifted market participants' focus away from geopolitics and toward interest-rate risk, which is bearish for non-yielding gold. Wagner walks back his $6,000 year-end target, acknowledging the call "has to change," and describes the multi-month decline as a textbook series of lower highs and lower lows. Silver is falling faster, consistent with bearish precious-metals sentiment. The recovery would need to reclaim ~$4,100 to earn trust.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold may have put in a tentative floor around 4,000, but he does not call it confirmed yet. His core view is that the recent bounce is encouraging, while the key technical test is whether gold can reclaim roughly 4,180-4,200 and then 4,300; failure to do so would keep the move classified as a correction rather than a new bull leg.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that gold’s role as a safe-haven and inflation hedge has not behaved normally this year, while silver looks relatively stronger on the charts and may be the better accumulation vehicle right now. He remains constructive on physical precious metals, but emphasizes slow dollar-cost averaging, central-bank demand as a possible floor, and the Fed’s inflation data as the key macro driver for rates and metals.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold is in a correction, but not necessarily the start of a 50% collapse. He sees technical damage in gold, yet thinks central-bank buying, inflation dynamics, and possible easing in energy prices could keep a floor near $4,000. He is more constructive on silver than gold at current levels.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold and silver are still in a damaged but potentially repairable bull phase, with gold near a critical support test around $4,000 and key resistance in the $4,360-$4,375 area, while silver is trying to stabilize above its 200-day moving average but is not yet showing the same strength. His core emphasis is that inflation alone is no longer bullish for metals if the market is increasingly pricing in a Fed rate hike, and that the next move depends on follow-through buying rather than one-day rebounds.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold likely found a near-term floor around $4,000, but he wants follow-through next week to confirm it. He sees $4,000 as a key psychological support, with $4,375-$4,378 and then $4,500 as the next resistance zones, while silver’s weaker rebound is a caution sign rather than a decisive bearish signal.
Preview:Gary Wagner presents a technical analysis of gold and silver using Elliott Wave theory, arguing gold is entering a new motive wave sequence with a target of $5,200+ in the next leg and potentially $6,000 by year-end. He highlights accelerating rally compression, shallow corrections, and silver's correlated breakout as confirming signals of institutional accumulation rather than speculative froth.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold and silver are still in a powerful Elliott-wave bull structure, with gold potentially targeting $6,000 by year-end and silver leading on volatility and upside strength. He says the recent correction was healthy, the dollar and geopolitics have not derailed the trend, and miners are finally confirming the move.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold remains in a major bull trend but may still have some downside before completing its correction, with a year-end target of about $6,000 and longer-term potential toward $7,000. He is also bullish on silver, constructive on the S&P 500’s breakout, and cautiously positive on Bitcoin, though he prefers a small set of surviving crypto assets rather than the broader altcoin universe.
Preview:Gary Wagner says gold and silver are behaving unusually: instead of reacting in the classic risk-off way to war, inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty, both metals are mostly rangebound and sideways. He still frames the prior move in gold as a correction within a bull market, while silver’s violent run-up and retracement are described as a very deep correction rather than a confirmed long-term bear market.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold’s recent correction was a textbook Elliott Wave ABC move after a powerful rally, and he thinks the broader uptrend is still intact. His key call is that the current structure should eventually resolve into a new five-wave advance that could carry gold above the prior record high around 5,600 over the next 3–4 months, with silver also participating.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that gold and silver are not broken despite a sharp correction; he reads the move as a normal Elliott-wave-style ABC correction after parabolic rallies. He says both metals can still reach new all-time highs this year, while oil’s breakdown and the gold/oil disconnect suggest the market is behaving less like a clean macro hedge and more like a volatile trading asset.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold and silver have likely completed a corrective ABC phase and are starting a new impulsive advance, with gold potentially exceeding its prior high above 5,600 over the next few months. Near term, he says gold could still chop or top out around current levels, while oil’s decline and dollar weakness remain key cross-asset drivers.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that gold and silver are still in powerful uptrends, but the market is now at key technical inflection points. Gold must reclaim and hold above 4,900 to open the path toward 5,100 and eventually 5,400; silver’s real breakout test is above 89–90, with 96 as the next resistance. He also broadens the point into a larger observation: price swings in metals, oil, and other markets are happening faster than in prior cycles, so volatility and timing risk matter more than simple bullish narratives.
Preview:The speaker argues that gold, silver, and crude oil are all moving in unusually fast, sharp cycles, with gold and silver still in strong technical rallies and crude oil reacting violently to geopolitics. His core idea is that market moves are being “compressed in time”: the same large percentage moves and corrections seen in prior cycles are happening much faster now than they used to.
Preview:Gary Wagner presents a technical analysis of gold and silver using Elliott Wave theory, arguing both metals have completed corrective phases and are poised to resume their bull trends. His year-end gold target remains $6,000. He attributes the recent sharp sell-off primarily to large institutional profit-taking rather than a fundamental sentiment shift, and frames silver's 78% Fibonacci retracement as an acceptable correction within an ongoing rally — though he acknowledges silver's lower liquidity makes it more volatile.
Preview:Gary Wagner presents a bearish technical and macro case for gold and silver, arguing both are in the final C-wave of an ABC correction pattern. The primary catalyst is the US-Iran conflict driving crude oil above $100, which is spiking inflation expectations toward 4%, collapsing rate-cut probabilities to 38%, and pushing Treasury yields higher — crowding gold out. Turkey's sale/swap of 60 tons of gold for liquidity signals that central banks may become sellers under stress rather than accumulators. Wagner sees gold potentially testing the 200-day MA (~$4,090) and silver having room to fall to its 200-day MA after breaking the 50-day and 100-day MAs. Resolution of the Iran conflict is, in his view, the only path to a bullish reversal.
Preview:The video argues that gold, silver, and crude are being hit by a fundamentally driven liquidation tied to rising oil, sticky inflation, hawkish Fed expectations, and the US–Iran conflict. Gary Wagner says gold is likely in the final C-wave of an ABC correction and may need another retest before a durable floor forms.
Preview:Gary Wagner analyzes the sharp sell-off in gold and silver following gold's all-time high above $5,600. Despite escalating US-Iran-Israel military conflict and persistent inflation ~3.4%, gold broke below $5,100 and its 50-day moving average — a technical red flag. Wagner maintains his $6,000 year-end gold target but acknowledges the correction is deep enough to threaten a full trend reversal. He notes capital may be rotating from gold into crude oil (which broke above $100) and the dollar (DXY rallied post-Feb 28 strikes), undermining gold's traditional safe-haven bid. Silver shows even more extreme volatility, with an intraday plunge to $65 before recovering to $73, reflecting lower liquidity and concentrated positioning rather than fundamentals. The 78% Fibonacci retracement at $4,568 is the critical line in the sand.
Preview:Gary Wagner says gold’s plunge looks technically severe but is still not conclusively a bearish regime change. He remains cautious on gold near term, keeps a $6,000 year-end target, and sees crude oil as the current relative-strength trade.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold remains in a secular bull market despite a violent pullback, and he sees the recent dollar strength as mainly a liquidity trade rather than a lasting rejection of metals. He thinks the key near-term test is whether gold can hold above 5,000 on April futures; longer term, he still expects 6,000 gold this year and sees silver eventually sustaining above 100.
Preview:Gary Wagner discusses the impact of the Strait of Hormuz conflict on gold, silver, and oil markets. He sees silver showing surprising relative strength and expects it to move higher toward $87-100 resistance. Gold is in a correction with critical support near $5,000-5,100 — the question is whether this is a quick recovery or an ABC correction with one more leg down. The US dollar's aggressive 4% rally explains much of gold's weakness as capital rotates into dollars amid oil-spike uncertainty. Wagner argues oil prices above $100 are the key macro risk, and believes resolution of the geopolitical conflict within 1-2 weeks would allow markets to normalize.
Preview:This is a bullish precious-metals discussion centered on silver’s alleged COMEX stress and gold’s near-term technical pivot. The speakers argue that Bank of America’s extreme silver targets, repeated exchange “glitches,” and unusually large delivery/withdrawal figures point to a physical squeeze, while gold is framed as holding key support around 5,000 and needing to confirm the uptrend or risk an ABC correction.
Preview:Jeremy Saffron and Gary Wagner frame gold as being in a sharp geopolitical-and-dollar-driven correction after a huge run, with $5,000–$5,100 highlighted as key support. Silver is presented as stronger than gold, with Wagner arguing the broader precious-metals bull trend remains intact unless the conflict becomes prolonged and oil stays elevated.
Preview:The video argues that gold and silver remain in a powerful long-term bull market, but both metals are currently in a technical correction after an extremely fast February 2026 run-up. Gary Wagner says the pullback is healthy profit-taking and “technical rebalancing,” not a trend reversal, with gold testing support near $4,900 to $4,850 and silver trying to hold the $70 area. He remains constructive over the medium and long term, but wants traders to respect the current ABC correction and moving-average damage before expecting the next leg higher.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues the selloff in silver and gold is primarily a technical/positioning unwind, not a fundamental breakdown. His key near-term focus is silver’s break below the 50-day moving average and the $70 area as support, while gold is weaker but still behaving better than silver and may remain in a broader bull market.
Preview:Kitco’s Jeremy Saffron interviews Gary Wagner about a sharp liquidation in silver, gold, and the dollar. Wagner argues the move is primarily technical and profit-taking driven, not a major fundamental break, and says silver’s key support is around $70 while gold may be near support in the mid-$4,800s.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that gold and silver remain in a strong bull market despite a short-term pullback from record highs. He says the recent downside move looks like profit taking and a reset of risk, not a fundamental reversal, and he sees heavy dip-buying, especially near gold $5,000 and silver $100.
Preview:Gary Wagner and Rafi Farber argue that gold and silver are still in a larger bull market, and that any pullbacks should be treated as profit-taking rather than a trend reversal. Their core conviction is that the real “endgame” only arrives when the next banking crisis forces the Fed back to zero rates and large-scale money printing; until then, they think the move can continue even though corrections are inevitable.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that gold and silver are still in powerful uptrends, not tops, despite sharp intraday volatility. He frames recent pullbacks as normal technical digestion inside a larger fiat-currency debasement narrative, with gold targeting $6,000 by year-end and silver targeting $115 short term and $160-$180 by end-2026.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that gold and silver are not topping despite the historic $5,000 gold / $100 silver print; he sees the move as a response to fiat-currency distrust, central-bank and broader capital allocation into metals, and rising geopolitical/political uncertainty. Near term he expects some correction risk in gold, but he remains bullish into year-end, calling for higher prices in both metals.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues that silver's pullback from ~$76 to ~$70 is not a correction — it's noise within a massive 150% annual rally. He sets $71 as the key support level in silver and $4,300 in gold; above those, the bullish trend is intact. He sees gold reaching $4,700-$4,800 by Q2 and possibly $5,000 by year-end. The real driver is global fiat-currency skepticism, not just dollar weakness. The main risk is that a long-overdue real correction (23-38%) could eventually arrive, and shorting metals right now is "standing on train tracks." Wagner advises slowing but not stopping physical accumulation.
Preview:This Kitco segment argues that silver’s pullback is mostly mechanical noise from the Bloomberg Commodity Index rebalance, not structural damage. Host Jeremy Saffron frames silver’s drop to the mid-70s as day-one flow pressure, while Gary Wagner says both gold and silver remain in strong bullish trends because neither has had a real correction yet.
Preview:Gary Wagner analyzes the recent decoupling of gold and silver, with silver dramatically outperforming and entering uncharted all-time high territory above $60. He attributes the rally to Powell's unexpected liquidity expansion ($40B/month purchases) and dollar weakness. Gold sits ~$60 below its October record near $4,370, and Wagner sees both challenging highs by year-end. Using long-term monthly charts, he compares the current gold slope to the 2008-2011 run, noting the lack of meaningful corrections since late 2023. He acknowledges overbought conditions but sees no technical evidence of a top, while cautioning that corrections are inevitable. Silver's trajectory is purely sentiment-driven with no historical reference points.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold and silver remain in a powerful year-end uptrend, with silver now in true price discovery above $60 and gold still pressing toward its prior all-time closing high around 4370. He ties the move mainly to liquidity expansion, Powell/Fed policy, dollar weakness, and ongoing central-bank gold buying, and says the lack of a meaningful correction means he would keep accumulating, just more slowly.
Preview:This is a gold-and-silver interview focused on the post-FOMC reaction, near-term technical targets, and the longer-run case for precious metals. Guest Gary Wagner argues Powell’s reserve-management purchases and broader dollar weakness are helping drive the breakout, and he stays bullish into year-end and early 2026 while warning that the market is extremely overbought and nearing a point where corrections become increasingly likely.
Preview:Charlotte Mloud interviews Gary Wagner about gold and silver into 2026. Wagner says 2025 was a “phenomenal” year for gold, with futures roughly doubling from around 2,600 to over 4,400 before pulling back to the low 4,000s, and he expects gold to hold near 4,200 if the Fed cuts rates as expected. He is bullish on both metals into next year, especially silver, but stresses that the next major moves will depend more on Fed guidance, labor-market weakness, liquidity, and geopolitics than on any single headline.
Preview:Gary Wagner, a hybrid technical-fundamental analyst, analyzes gold's recent correction from $4,400+ to ~$3,940, framing it as a normal Fibonacci retracement within an intact bull market. He identifies key support at $3,900–$3,960 and resistance at $4,200–$4,400, notes a concerning lower high pattern and three-crow candlestick formation, and expects holiday-thinned, rangebound consolidation unless strong fundamental catalysts emerge. He questions the Fed's rate-cut logic with inflation near 3% and emphasizes that gold must hold above $3,900 to preserve the bullish structure.
Preview:Jeremy Saffron interviews Gary Wagner on the technical structure of gold after its historic run to ~$4,400 and sharp correction to the low $3,900s. Wagner identifies a healthy 61.8% Fibonacci retracement but flags concern over the lower high at $4,200 and three consecutive down days. He sees gold as rangebound between ~$3,900 support and $4,400 resistance into year-end, with a break below $3,900 threatening the bull thesis. On silver, he highlights a "clear as day" double top at ~$54 and identifies $49.20 and $47 as critical support levels to maintain the bullish posture.
Preview:Bill Holter argues gold and silver are thermometers of systemic decay, pointing to a potential silver failure-to-deliver event that could collapse the derivative chain within 72 hours. He ties the metals rally to the 2022 Russian reserve confiscation, eroding dollar trust, BRICS de-dollarization, and tightening physical silver supply. His core thesis: the fractional-reserve monetary system is in its endgame, and physical precious metals are the only asset not created by credit.
Preview:Gary Wagner, editor of thegoldfor.com, reviews gold's recent correction from $4,400 to ~$3,900, arguing it's a healthy ABC correction within a secular bull trend. He sees the current bounce as a B-wave that could reach $4,150 before a final C-wave dip to ~$3,880, followed by a primary third wave that would exceed all-time highs. Central bank buying, GLD inflows, and expected December rate cut are cited as tailwinds. Silver is also discussed, having made new all-time highs above $54 before a shallow retracement, and Wagner expects both metals to challenge record highs again.
Preview:Gary Wagner, editor of thegoldforecast.com, discusses gold's correction from ~$4,400, arguing it was overdue after a rare 9-week sequential candle exhaustion signal (Tom DeMark TD9) combined with a dark cloud cover pattern. He views this as a wave 2 correction within a larger Elliott Wave structure, with key Fibonacci supports at $3,872 (50%) and $3,748 (61.8%). Once complete, he expects a primary third wave to exceed $4,400. Silver gets a similarly bullish long-term call ($60 target). The near-term catalyst is the Fed decision: a 25bp cut is priced in, but Powell's forward guidance will set direction. Wagner notes the tension between dovish Fed policy (bullish gold) and US-China trade deal optimism (bearish gold via reduced safe-haven demand). He identifies fundamentals as the real driver but uses charts for clarity amid contradictory news.
Preview:Gary Wagner presents a bullishly technical view on gold and silver, calling for $4,300 gold and $55–58 silver by end-2024/early-2025. He notes an unprecedented divergence where both metals are surging alongside a strengthening dollar, driven by overwhelming physical demand and central bank accumulation. However, he cautions that mainstream media attention and speculative froth signal a likely near-term correction, though any pullback would be a healthy reset within a secular bull trend.
Preview:Gold analyst Gary Wagner discusses gold's unprecedented rally above $4,000, framing it primarily as a fiat currency devaluation story rather than an isolated gold move. He sets near-term targets of $4,150-$4,300 using Fibonacci, admits his original $3,800 target is obsolete, and emphasizes that gold in record territory renders traditional technical tools useless. Wagner advocates physical gold as a multi-generational hold rather than a trading vehicle, while acknowledging the parabolic nature of the move makes downside risk hard to quantify. The host anchors the discussion around whether we are in an "everything bubble" given simultaneous all-time highs in gold, S&P 500, and silver, though no firm conclusion is reached.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold’s move has become nearly parabolic after hitting $4,000, but he still views the trend as bullish and expects any pullback to be a correction rather than a trend change. He also says silver is consolidating below $50, with resistance around $48.5–$50 and likely support nearer $45 if it breaks down.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues gold's bullish run remains intact despite being technically overbought. He sees the pattern of parabolic spikes followed by sideways consolidation (not corrections) as the defining strength signal. He dismisses the RSI overbought warning, arguing that strong fundamentals can keep an asset pegged at overbought levels indefinitely. He targets $3,800-$3,900 this year and $4,000 by Q1/Q2 2025, and sees silver's breakout above $45 as a catch-up move with $50 within reach.
Preview:The video is a technical analysis interview on gold, silver, and the U.S. dollar. Gary Wagner argues that gold has confirmed a breakout from a symmetrical triangle, silver is catching up with room toward $42 and possibly $44, and the dollar’s weakness is the main macro tailwind behind the precious-metals rally.
Preview:Gary Wagner presents a bullish gold thesis based on technical analysis, identifying a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern that he expects to break to the upside within 2-3 weeks. He targets $3,725+ initially, with $3,700–$3,800 possible by Q1 2026. The bullish case rests on the prevailing uptrend, policy uncertainty under the current administration, geopolitical tensions, dollar weakness, and anticipated Fed rate cuts starting September. He is more bullish on gold than silver and sees no real safe-haven alternative. Key invalidation: a break below ~$3,350 support.
Preview:Gary Wagner discusses gold's compressed range between ~$3,280 support and ~$3,430 resistance, interpreting it as a consolidation triangle within a strong uptrend. He sees one more small rally, a final minor correction, then a thrust breakout. His long-term target of $3,600 by Q1 2026 remains intact. Neither the hotter CPI, tariff announcements, nor dollar strength have stirred gold, which he attributes to summer doldrums and institutional trader absence. Silver gets a brief look with no strong conviction.
Preview:Gold dropped ~$26 on a hot CPI print, breaking below the 50-day SMA (3346 on August futures) for the first time in months. Gary Wagner flags this as technically alarming — every prior 2025 correction found support at that moving average. The dollar surged ~0.5%, explaining nearly all of gold's move. Wagner maintains a cautiously bullish stance above $3,300 but warns that a sustained close below the 50-day could signal softer prices over the next 1-2 weeks. Silver is consolidating near $38-39 after its best run since 2012, with $42 as the next major upside target.
Preview:Gary Wagner returns to Kitco NEWS after correctly calling $3,200 support and $3,400 resistance. He now sees signs of a short-term corrective phase in gold, with the August futures contract forming a bearish engulfing pattern. Key downside levels: $3,393 (23.6% Fib), $3,340 (38.2% Fib), with a deeper correction possible to $3,300. He maintains a bullish long-term outlook targeting $3,600 this year and ultimately $4,000, but expects choppy sideways-to-lower action over the next 2–3 months. On silver, $37 is the level to beat — it failed once already, and he wants to see a close above it on a sustained basis before turning bullish. The Fed meeting and Middle East tensions are the immediate macro wildcards.
Preview:Gold analyst Gary Wagner discusses silver's breakout to $37 (13-year highs), sets a $40-42 near-term target, and notes gold's counterintuitive rally despite a US-China trade deal and zero rate-cut expectations. He advises dollar-cost averaging for new buyers, comments on the "big beautiful bill" as fiscally irresponsible, and highlights Florida's tax exemption on precious metals as a potentially trend-setting policy. The interview is bullish precious metals overall, with silver favored over gold in the near term.
Preview:Gary Wagner (TheGoldForecast.com) joins David Lin to discuss gold's sideways consolidation since mid-April, the recent silver surge, and macro drivers. Wagner sees gold in a compression triangle with bullish bias above the 50-day moving average (~$3,310), but warns a major fundamental shift (trade resolution, dollar strength, Fed cuts) could trigger a $300-$700 correction. He views silver's move to $37 as catch-up to gold, with upside to ~$42 but expects extreme volatility. Year-end gold target: $3,600-$3,700. He cautions against selling gold now due to dollar weakness, and advises scaled entries for new buyers.
Preview:Gary Wagner, technical analyst behind thegoldforecast.com, returns to Soar Financially for a gold update. He notes gold has settled into a mid-range (~$3,300) between the $3,500 high and $3,180 low, forming what appears to be a bull flag with a potential $3,600 target by early 2026. Key supports: the 50-day moving average (~$3,264) and $3,200 as a critical floor. The dollar's ~10% decline (DXY from 110 to ~98) is a primary driver. Wagner sees inflation and tariff uncertainty as sustaining gold's floor, though he acknowledges the uncertainty factor has diminished since Liberation Day, allowing gold to consolidate rather than spike.
Preview:Gary Wagner analyzes gold's technical setup around $3,300, highlighting Fibonacci confluence supporting this level. He sees gold as rangebound with strong support at ~$3,175–3,200 and resistance at $3,440 (record close). The dollar's 11% decline has been a major driver, but trade negotiation progress is reducing the uncertainty premium. Wagner notes gold is ignoring real yields, reacting instead to uncertainty. Key catalysts: Friday's PCE data and trade deal progress. He maintains a cautiously bullish stance, with $3,200 as the line in the sand and $3,440 as the breakout confirmation.
Preview:Technical analyst Gary Wagner examines gold's post-$3,500 consolidation, identifying a new base at $3,300 with strong dip-buying support. He attributes roughly one-third of gold's recent 33% rally to dollar weakness (DXY falling from 109 to ~99), with the remaining 20% driven by active market participation amid tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risk. Wagner sets near-term resistance at $3,434 and absolute resistance above $3,500, with $3,600 as an achievable target and $3,700+ possible. He notes gold has decoupled from real yields and that the expected correction to $3,200 has been rejected by traders treating dips as buying opportunities.
Preview:Gary Wagner identifies a rare parabolic setup in gold on Heikin-Ashi charts — an unprecedented string of large green candles with no lower wicks — signaling exceptional trend strength. He projects $3,300–$3,500 gold within 30–60 days using Fibonacci extensions, notes healthy sideways consolidation above $3,200, and flags dollar weakness (DXY breaking below 100 with scant technical support down to 97 or even 89) as a powerful tailwind. The key risk level is a close below the 50-day moving average (~$3,000).
Preview:Gary Wagner explains gold's ~$180 three-day decline as a technically normal 61.8% Fibonacci correction within an ongoing bull trend, driven by forced liquidation across assets rather than fundamental weakness. He sees gold maintaining long-term purchasing power as fiat currencies inevitably depreciate, and advocates a consistent allocation to physical gold for wealth preservation.
Preview:Gary Wagner argues the market damage from tariffs and the escalating trade war has pushed equities deeper toward recession, and he thinks gold is temporarily behaving poorly but should recover before stocks. He uses recent price action, Fibonacci levels, moving averages, and candlestick patterns to say gold is not in a bear market yet, with roughly 2,972–2,970 as the key near-term line and 2,946 as a deeper support area.
Preview:Kitco’s Jeremy Safran interviews technical analyst Gary Wagner about gold’s record-breaking rally and silver’s lagging but still strong move. Wagner argues gold’s surge is being driven by persistent geopolitical and tariff-driven uncertainty, plus inflationary pressure, and he sees further upside to about $3,200 short term and roughly $3,400 by Q3, while treating $4,500 as possible but more aggressive than his chart-based call.
Preview:Gary Wagner, technical analyst and founder of TheGoldForecast.com, returns to Soar Financially to discuss gold's historic run above $3,000. He attributes the rally to Trump's tariff-driven uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and a fundamental loss of faith in fiat currencies. Using a combination of candlestick patterns, Elliott Wave, and Fibonacci extensions, Wagner targets $3,300–$3,400 for gold by end of 2025. He acknowledges gold is technically overbought but argues the shallow corrections and relentless dip-buying make this a different kind of market. Wagner advocates trend-following with trailing stops over day-trading or shorting, and frames gold not as something that appreciates, but as the only asset that preserves buying power across centuries.
Preview:Gary Wagner (editor, TheGoldForecast.com) and Joey Wagner (silver/crypto analyst) join host Ivan to discuss gold's relentless rally to new all-time highs above $3,000, silver's imminent breakout attempt, and the unique macro drivers behind the move. Gary points to Trump administration tariffs as a key differentiator stoking inflation fears and eroding trust. Joey sees silver about to clear a multi-year high ($34.84) with $40 in play this year but thinks Bitcoin has already topped for this cycle. Both touch on the Fort Knox audit debate and gold's absurdly low balance-sheet valuation. Conversation is light on data; heavy on narrative and anecdote.
Preview:Kitco’s Jeremy Saffron interviews technical analyst Gary Wagner about gold’s record run and whether it can extend toward $3,000. Wagner argues the tape remains strongly bullish: dips are being bought quickly, the weekly/daily candle structure still shows strong momentum, and the market has not yet printed the kind of sustained two-day weakness that would confirm a real correction. He says $3,000 is “not if but when,” while warning that a pullback is still likely at some point, especially if price approaches major round-number resistance.
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